Västerås SK vs GAIS Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Iver Arena (Västerås) Sat, 9 May - 1:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Västerås SK Västerås SK
0 Winner 1
GAIS GAIS
Full Time Sat, 9 May 1:00 PM
Round 7 Regular Season
|
Goal
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson - 56'

CONTEXT

In a hard-fought Allsvenskan encounter, GAIS emerged victorious with a 0-1 scoreline against home side Västerås SK. The first half concluded 0-0, as both teams traded possession without breaking the deadlock—Västerås holding 54% to GAIS's 46%. GAIS, deemed the stronger outfit pre-match, capitalized on a second-half opportunity to secure the win, demonstrating clinical finishing amid Västerås's dominance in ball control. No red cards marred proceedings, allowing uninterrupted flow, and the absence of major tactical adjustments kept the structure intact. This outcome reflects GAIS's efficiency in converting scarce chances, while Västerås rued their profligacy despite territorial edge. Minimal deviations from expected patterns underscored a straightforward team quality display.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match exhibited minimal structural deviation of 3.9% favoring GAIS.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiencies for both teams remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevented alignment determination with outcome.
  • Market alignment: Result fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable due to missing performance metrics.
  • Event impact: No significant events or second-half adjustments influenced proceedings.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

K. Karlsson

Sweden 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

P. Leek

1st Assistant

Sweden

A. Gergess

2nd Assistant

Sweden

R. Ekelund

4th Official

Sweden

League averages

Allsvenskan Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.95
Yellow cards / match 3.24
Red cards / match 0.05
Penalties / match 0.21
Västerås SK A. Rubin
A. Rubin
VS
GAIS F. Holmberg
F. Holmberg
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.71
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hammarby Rank: 68 L
Brommapojkarna Rank: 49 W
Häcken Rank: 59 D
Sirius Rank: 60 L
Elfsborg Rank: 58 D
Kalmar Rank: 50 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Örgryte Rank: 43 W
IFK Göteborg Rank: 56 D
Mjällby Rank: 68 D
Häcken Rank: 58 L
Malmö FF Rank: 64 L
Djurgården Rank: 65 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Västerås SK
0.19%
Draw
3.73%
Away GAIS
96.07%

Movement

Changes since opening
Västerås SK
0%
Draw
-0.85%
GAIS
+0.84%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
40.49
59.3
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Västerås SK
GAIS
Power Score
40.49
59.3
League Position
12
8
Global Rank
865
523

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Västerås SK — Opponent-weighted form score
GAIS — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Västerås SK GAIS

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Västerås SK

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

GAIS

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Västerås SK ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy GAIS
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
12.04
36.30
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
36.30
12.04
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Västerås SK -2.42 Efficiency Index
vs
GAIS +2.42 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Västerås SK
GAIS
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Västerås SK ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy GAIS
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Västerås SK GAIS
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Västerås SK GAIS
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Västerås SK
GAIS
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Västerås SK
vs
GAIS
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Västerås SK GAIS
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Västerås SK 0.17
GAIS 0.26
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Västerås SK GAIS
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Västerås SK 0.02
GAIS 0.00
Västerås SK
GAIS
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GAIS had peak pressure around 58'.
  • GAIS started the game with stronger pressure.
Västerås SK Pressure GAIS Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: GAIS reached the top pressure at 58' (81.35).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Västerås SK Västerås SK Home
2 matches
GAIS GAIS Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
2
-3
Goal Difference
+3

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:01:46+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
E. Jäger
Sweden
34 E. Jäger
H. Magnusson
Sweden
2 H. Magnusson
F. Nsabiyumva
Burundi
18 F. Nsabiyumva
V. Wernersson
Substitution
Sweden
21 V. Wernersson
S. Gefvert
Substitution
Sweden
11 S. Gefvert
J. Ring
Sweden
10 J. Ring
M. Diagne
Substitution
Senegal
8 M. Diagne
J. Karlsson
Substitution
Sweden
15 J. Karlsson
A. Sountonoma Taonsa
Ivory Coast
17 A. Sountonoma Taonsa
M. Riis Ladefoged
Denmark
9 M. Riis Ladefoged
A. Boudah
Substitution
Sweden
7 A. Boudah
Pitch
M. Krasniqi
Sweden
1 M. Krasniqi
R. Frej
Sweden
12 R. Frej
F. Beckman
Substitution
Sweden
24 F. Beckman
A. Cardaklija
Sweden
22 A. Cardaklija
A. Wängberg
Sweden
6 A. Wängberg
R. Þorkelsson
Substitution
Iceland
17 R. Þorkelsson
J. Åberg
Substitution
Sweden
7 J. Åberg
W. Milovanovic
Sweden
8 W. Milovanovic
R. Niklasson Johansson
Sweden
11 R. Niklasson Johansson
S. Salter
Substitution
Canada
20 S. Salter
M. Andersson
Substitution
Sweden
16 M. Andersson

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 7 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Iver Arena (Västerås)
Capacity :
7044
Pitch Surface :
N/A
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Pär Leek
Abdelmasih Gergess
Rasmus Ekelund
Kristoffer Karlsson

Statistics

Possession
Västerås SK
52%
GAIS
48%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 2
2 Shots 6
30 Dangerous attacks 54
54 Possession 46
1 Corners 5
16 Free kicks 8
0 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

3 Successful Dribbles 3
10 Dribble Attempts 9
8 Ball Safe 6
24 Throwins 20
30 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
9 Goal Kicks 7
3 Goal Attempts 1
5 Substitutions 5
0 Assists 1

Attacking

89 Attacks 115
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

3 Key Passes 10
444 Successful Passes 354
74 Long Passes 71
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45
30 Successful Long Passes 32
82 Successful Passes Percentage 79
539 Passes 449

Defensive

5 Saves 2
42 Duels Won 44
14 Tackles 12
10 Interceptions 9

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 15
1 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 16

Lineup

Referee : Kristoffer Karlsson

Starting XI ▼

34
Elis Jäger
Elis Jäger Goalkeeper
2
Herman Magnusson
Herman Magnusson Defender
18
Frédéric Nsabiyumva
Frédéric Nsabiyumva Defender
21
Victor Wernersson
Victor Wernersson Defender
5
Karl Gunnarsson
Karl Gunnarsson
Midfielder72'
8
Mamadou Diagne
Mamadou Diagne Midfielder
4
Philip Bonde
Philip Bonde
Defender72'
10
Jonathan Ring
Jonathan Ring Midfielder
11
Simon Gefvert
Simon Gefvert Midfielder
19
Jens Magnusson
Jens Magnusson
Midfielder89'
15
Jonathan Karlsson
Jonathan Karlsson Midfielder
22
Leonardo Caspari Bark
Leonardo Caspari Bark
Defender83'
7
Abdelrahman Boudah
Abdelrahman Boudah Attacker
20
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist
Defender46'
9
Mikkel Ladefoged
Mikkel Ladefoged Attacker
17
Axel Sountonoma Taonsa
Axel Sountonoma Taonsa Attacker
Referee : Kristoffer Karlsson

Starting XI ▼

1
Mergim Krasniqi
Mergim Krasniqi Goalkeeper
6
August Wängberg
August Wängberg Defender
12
Robin Frej
Robin Frej Defender
22
Anes Cardaklija
Anes Cardaklija Defender
24
Filip Beckman
Filip Beckman Defender
2
Matteo de Brienne
Matteo de Brienne
Defender78'
7
Joackim Åberg
Joackim Åberg Midfielder
4
Oskar Ågren
Oskar Ågren
Defender67'
8
William Milovanovic
William Milovanovic Midfielder
17
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson Midfielder
27
Mohamed Bawa
Mohamed Bawa
Midfielder87'
11
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson Attacker
16
M. Andersson
M. Andersson Attacker
32
Oscar Pettersson
Oscar Pettersson
Attacker67'
20
S. Salter
S. Salter Attacker
28
Lucas Hedlund
Lucas Hedlund
Attacker78'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Jens Magnusson → Simon Gefvert
10th Substitution
89'
87'
Event
Mohamed Bawa → Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson
9th Substitution
Event
Leonardo Caspari Bark → Jonathan Karlsson
8th Substitution
83'
78'
Event
Lucas Hedlund → S. Salter
7th Substitution
78'
Event
Matteo de Brienne → Filip Beckman
6th Substitution
Event
Karl Gunnarsson → Victor Wernersson
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Philip Bonde → Mamadou Diagne
4th Substitution
72'
71'
Event
Anes Cardaklija
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
67'
Event
Oscar Pettersson → M. Andersson
3rd Substitution
67'
Event
Oskar Ågren → Joackim Åberg
2nd Substitution
56'
Event
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist → Abdelrahman Boudah
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
23'
Event
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
17'
Event
S. Salter
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Axel Taonsa takes a right-footed shot but misses.
89
Attempt Attempt
Leonardo Bark's left-footed shot is saved.
89
Update Update
Jens Magnusson is on, and Simon Gefvert is off.
87
Update Update
Mohamed Bawa is on, and Robert Frosti Thorkelsson is off.
83
Update Update
Leonardo Bark is on, and Jonathan Karlsson is off.
78
Update Update
Matteo de Brienne comes on for Filip Beckman.
78
Update Update
Lucas Hedlund replaces Samuel Salter.
73
Attempt Attempt
Rasmus Johansson takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
72
Update Update
Karl Gunnarsson replaces Victor Wernersson.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Philip Bonde comes on for Mamadou Ousmane Diagne.
69
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Salter takes a left-footed shot but misses.
67
Update Update
Oskar Agren comes on for Joackim Aberg.
67
Update Update
Oscar Pettersson replaces Max Andersson.
59
Attempt Attempt
Jonathan Karlsson takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
56
Attempt Attempt
Robert Frosti Thorkelsson takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Robert Frosti Thorkelsson scores, making it 1-0.
49
Attempt Attempt
Rasmus Johansson's right-footed shot is blocked.
48
Attempt Attempt
Filip Beckman takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Melvin Ljungqvist replaces Abdelrahman Saidi.
41
Attempt Attempt
Max Andersson takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
41
Attempt Attempt
Max Andersson's left-footed shot is blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
William Milovanovic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Max Andersson takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
36
Attempt Attempt
Max Andersson takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Robert Frosti Thorkelsson takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
27
Attempt Attempt
Axel Taonsa's right-footed shot is saved.
24
Attempt Attempt
Joackim Aberg's right-footed shot is saved.
23
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Robert Frosti Thorkelsson receives a yellow card.
11
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Salter's left-footed shot is saved.
5
Attempt Attempt
Simon Gefvert takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Attempt Attempt
Rasmus Johansson's right-footed shot is blocked.

CONCLUSION

GAIS's 0-1 triumph over Västerås SK validates their superior standing, turning modest possession into a telling goal while repelling home pressure. Västerås's 54% share yielded no returns, exposing conversion frailties against GAIS's organized defense. With halftime level at 0-0 and no disruptions, the game hinged on fine margins that favored the visitors' precision. Minimal deviation and full market alignment affirm the predictability rooted in team disparities. This result propels GAIS forward, demanding Västerås refine their attack to match possession with points.

Västerås SK vs GAIS preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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