Vålerenga vs KFUM Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2026 Eliteserien, Norway

Intility Arena Sun, 3 May - 5:15 PM

Eliteserien

Vålerenga Vålerenga

2 – 2

KFUM KFUM

Full Time Sun, 3 May 5:15 PM

Round 7 Regular Season

Lucas Haren - 51'

Håkon Helland Hoseth - 2' (Own Goal)

Magnus Wolff Eikrem - 55'

Magnus Grødem - 33'

CONTEXT

In a pulsating Eliteserien clash at Intility Arena, Vålerenga and KFUM delivered a 2-2 draw that defied pre-match narratives. The home side, considered the stronger team, entered as favorites but couldn't secure victory against KFUM's stubborn defense and counter-attacks. Halftime arrived with scores level at 1-1, reflecting the balanced possession stats of 49% for Vålerenga and 51% for the visitors. Both teams traded blows in the second half, with no red cards or major disruptions altering the flow. Vålerenga's failure to convert dominance into points highlighted a significant structural deviation, while efficiency stayed in line with norms. The even contest showcased KFUM's grit, earning them a valuable point on the road. This result leaves Vålerenga reflecting on missed opportunities in their title chase.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Vålerenga exhibited a significant 74.3% structural deviation from expectations.
Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with pre-match projections.
xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable match data.
Market alignment: Draw outcome misaligned with pre-match favoritism toward Vålerenga.
xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable for post-match evaluation.
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered match dynamics.
Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from player dismissals.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

E. Eskås

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Engan

1st Assistant

I. Bashevkin

2nd Assistant

M. Hafezi

4th Official

G. Bakke

J. Moesgaard

0.89

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

0.89

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 1 - 0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Vålerenga

47.41%

Draw

25.65%

KFUM

26.94%

Movement

Changes since opening

Vålerenga

+41.93%

Draw

-64.82%

KFUM

+22.89%

Team Power Ranking

59.27

56.49

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Vålerenga

KFUM

Power Score

59.27

56.49

League Position

Global Rank

511

603

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Vålerenga — Opponent-weighted form score

KFUM — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vålerenga KFUM

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Vålerenga

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

KFUM

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Vålerenga ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy KFUM

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

39.39

29.51

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

29.51

39.39

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Vålerenga +1.01 Efficiency Index

KFUM -1.01 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Vålerenga

KFUM

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Vålerenga ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy KFUM

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Vålerenga KFUM

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Vålerenga KFUM

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Vålerenga

KFUM

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Vålerenga

KFUM

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Vålerenga KFUM

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Vålerenga KFUM

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Vålerenga

KFUM

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

KFUM had peak pressure around 44'.
KFUM started the game with stronger pressure.

Vålerenga Pressure KFUM Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: KFUM reached the top pressure at 44' (63.97).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vålerenga Vålerenga Home

2 matches

KFUM KFUM Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-1

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:06:36+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2

Match Formation 3-4-3

1 O. Hedvall

3 H. Sjåtil

4 A. Olsen

37 I. Näsberg

2 K. Finnsson

77 L. Janus Ravn-Haren

28 M. Westergaard

10 C. Lange

26 F. Thorvaldsen

8 H. Bjørdal

17 M. Grundetjern

1 E. Ødegaard

19 E. Franke Saunes

5 F. Berglie

2 D. Schneider

21 S. Sjøkvist

8 S. Hestnes

7 R. Rasch

14 H. Hoseth

22 B. Kristensen

23 M. Wolff Eikrem

28 M. Retsius Grødem

General Information

Date & Time :

May 03, 2026, 05:15 PM

Competition :

2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 7 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Intility Arena

Capacity :

3000

Pitch Surface :

Artificial turf

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Espen Eskås

Jan Erik Engan

Isaak Bashevkin

Mohammad Hafezi

Statistics

Possession

Vålerenga

49%

KFUM

51%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2

1 Big Chances Created 1

6 Shots 5

46 Dangerous attacks 41

49 Possession 51

11 Corners 3

7 Free kicks 11

6 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

36 Successful Dribbles Percentage 46

18 Throwins 23

6 Goal Kicks 7

14 Dribble Attempts 13

5 Successful Dribbles 6

1 Assists 2

4 Substitutions 5

1 Injuries 3

62 Ball Safe 63

7 Goal Attempts 10

Attacking

92 Attacks 123

1 Counter Attacks 1

1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

16 Successful Long Passes 22

440 Passes 459

41 Long Passes 48

13 Key Passes 10

81 Successful Passes Percentage 83

357 Successful Passes 383

39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46

Defensive

3 Saves 4

10 Tackles 14

14 Interceptions 5

42 Duels Won 40

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 18

11 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

11 Fouls 7

1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Espen Eskås

Manager ▼

G. Bakke Coach

Starting XI ▼

Oscar Hedvall Goalkeeper

6.93

Kolbeinn Finnsson Defender

6.95

Hakon Sjatil Defender

6.74

Vegar Eggen Hedenstad

Defender74'

6.43

Aaron Kiil Olsen Defender

6.87

Ivan Näsberg Defender

6.93

Carl Lange Midfielder

6.96

Filip Thorvaldsen Midfielder

6.53

Elias Sørensen

Attacker74'

6.62

Magnus Westergaard Midfielder

7.05

Fidel Brice Ambina

Midfielder74'

6.77

Lucas Haren Midfielder

6.6

Petter Strand

Midfielder85'

6.55

Henrik Bjørdal Attacker

7.18

M. Grundetjern Attacker

6.97

Substitutes ▼

Fidel Brice Ambina

Midfielder74'

6.77

Vegar Eggen Hedenstad

Defender74'

6.43

Elias Sørensen

Attacker74'

6.62

Petter Strand

Midfielder85'

6.55

Bench ▼

Magnus Sjøeng Goalkeeper

Kevin Tshiembe Defender

Sebastian Jarl Defender

Odin Holm Midfielder

6.45

Gabriel Rajkovic Attacker

6.42

Referee : Espen Eskås