Valencia vs Girona Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
La Liga
Girona GIRSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
Valencia secured a 2-1 home victory over Girona in a match defined by contrasting fortunes. The first half ended goalless, with both sides unable to break the deadlock despite Girona's commanding 63% possession compared to Valencia's 37%. The second half saw Valencia capitalize on their opportunities, netting twice to overturn the expected script where Girona entered as the stronger team. No red cards disrupted play, allowing the game to flow naturally. This result highlighted Valencia's clinical finishing against Girona's profligacy, resulting in a minimal structural deviation of 4.4%. The outcome stayed aligned with market expectations and efficiency norms, underscoring Valencia's opportunistic edge in a tightly contested affair.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Valencia's win featured minimal structural deviation of 4.4%.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match norms.
- xG alignment: xG data unavailable for alignment assessment.
- Market alignment: Result aligned fully with pre-match market positioning.
- xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable due to absent data.
- Event impact: No notable second-half adjustments or events influenced outcome.
- Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion from dismissals.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
A. Muñíz Ruiz
Other match officials
D. Sánchez Rojo
1st Assistant
J. Villaseñor Julián
2nd Assistant
D. Cambronero González
4th Official


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Valencia
GironaTeam Power Ranking
i
21.06
28.18
Valencia
GironaForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Valencia
Girona

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Valencia ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Valencia ⚠ Proxy
Valencia Girona
Valencia Girona
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Valencia
Valencia Girona


Valencia Girona


PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- VAL had peak pressure around 20'.
- GIR started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:07:13+00:00
STARTING XI
Valencia
Girona























































General Information
Next Match

Valencia
vs

Atlético Madrid
League: La Liga
Kickoff: Sat, 2 May - 2:15 PM
Venue: Estadio de Mestalla

Girona
vs

Mallorca
League: La Liga
Kickoff: Fri, 1 May - 7:00 PM
Venue: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
ValenciaManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼







GironaManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















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Bench ▼





Events
CONCLUSION
Valencia vs Girona preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
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Match Commentary