Valencia vs Celta de Vigo Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio de Mestalla Sun, 5 Apr - 2:15 PM
La Liga
Valencia VAL
2 Winner 3
Celta de Vigo CEL
Full Time Sun, 5 Apr 2:15 PM
Round 30 Regular Season
Guido Rodríguez - 90+3', 12'
Goal
|
Goal
Williot Swedberg - 81'
Fer López - 60'
Ilaix Moriba - 56'

CONTEXT

The match between Valencia and Celta de Vigo has finished, with Celta de Vigo securing a 3-1 away victory. Valencia initially took control, heading into halftime with a 1-0 lead, but the visitors staged a dominant second-half comeback to claim the win. This outcome went directly against pre-match expectations. The market originally favored Valencia with a 40.2% win probability, compared to a 29.2% chance of a draw and just 30.6% for a Celta de Vigo victory. Consequently, the final result failed to align with the market, representing a significant deviation in favor of Celta de Vigo. The visitors validated their comeback by dictating the tempo, maintaining 58% of the possession while restricting Valencia to just 42%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, meaning it cannot be determined whether the final scoreline aligned with the underlying shot quality. Despite the lack of xG data, the match's overall efficiency shift was recorded as being in line with standard baseline expectations. Additionally, the game was played without major disciplinary incidents, featuring zero red cards for either side, leaving the focus entirely on Celta de Vigo's surprising second-half turnaround.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Celta de Vigo showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

I. Galech Apezteguía

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

I. Alonso López

1st Assistant

J. Escuela Melo

2nd Assistant

G. Romero Freixas

4th Official

Valencia C. Corberán Vallet
C. Corberán Vallet
VS
Celta de Vigo C. Giráldez González
C. Giráldez González
1.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.64
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sevilla Rank: 74 W
Real Oviedo Rank: 69 L
Deportivo Alavés Rank: 76 W
Osasuna Rank: 78 W
Villarreal Rank: 84 L
Levante Rank: 73 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Deportivo Alavés Rank: 75 L
Real Betis Rank: 82 D
Real Madrid Rank: 94 L
Girona Rank: 75 W
Mallorca Rank: 75 W
Espanyol Rank: 74 D
17
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
17 - 6 - 11
11

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Valencia
40.16%
Draw
29.21%
Away Celta de Vigo
30.63%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
78.21
82.47
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Valencia
Celta de Vigo
Power Score
78.21
82.47
League Position
13
6
Global Rank
72
44

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Valencia — Opponent-weighted form score
Celta de Vigo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Valencia Celta de Vigo

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Valencia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Celta de Vigo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Valencia ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Celta de Vigo
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.67
18.62
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.62
36.67
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Valencia +1.63 Efficiency Index
vs
Celta de Vigo -1.63 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Valencia
Celta de Vigo
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Valencia ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Celta de Vigo
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Valencia Celta de Vigo
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Valencia Celta de Vigo
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Valencia
Celta de Vigo
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Valencia
vs
Celta de Vigo
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Valencia Celta de Vigo
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Valencia 0.27
Celta de Vigo 0.25
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Valencia Celta de Vigo
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Valencia 0.08
Celta de Vigo 0.04
Valencia
Celta de Vigo
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 34 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Valencia VAL Home
34 matches
Celta de Vigo CEL Away
Match Record
17
Wins
11
6
Draws
6
11
Losses
17
Goals
51
Goals Scored
44
44
Goals Conceded
51
+7
Goal Difference
-7

Data last updated: 2026-04-06T00:03:56+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
S. Dimitrievski
Macedonia
1 S. Dimitrievski
U. Núñez Gestoso
Substitution
Spain
4 U. Núñez Gestoso
C. Tárrega Requeni
Spain
5 C. Tárrega Requeni
E. Cömert
Switzerland
24 E. Cömert
J. Gayá Peña
Substitution
Spain
14 J. Gayá Peña
L. Rioja González
Spain
11 L. Rioja González
J. Guerra Moreno
Substitution
Spain
8 J. Guerra Moreno
G. Rodríguez
Argentina
2 G. Rodríguez
D. Ribeiro Almeida
Substitution
Portugal
10 D. Ribeiro Almeida
H. Duro
Substitution
Spain
9 H. Duro
L. Ramazani
Belgium
17 L. Ramazani
Pitch
I. Radu
Romania
13 I. Radu
M. Alonso Mendoza
Spain
20 M. Alonso Mendoza
J. Aidoo
Ghana
4 J. Aidoo
J. Rodríguez Galiano
Substitution
Spain
32 J. Rodríguez Galiano
S. Carreira Vilariño
Spain
5 S. Carreira Vilariño
Ilaix Moriba
Guinea
6 Ilaix Moriba
H. Sotelo
Spain
22 H. Sotelo
Ó. Mingueza García
Substitution
Spain
3 Ó. Mingueza García
H. Álvarez Antúnez
Substitution
Spain
23 H. Álvarez Antúnez
P. Durán Fernández
Substitution
Spain
18 P. Durán Fernández
F. Jutlgà Blanc
Substitution
Spain
9 F. Jutlgà Blanc

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 05, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio de Mestalla
Capacity :
49430
Attendance :
43764
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Iosu Galech Apezteguía
Ignacio Alonso López
José Carlos Escuela Melo
Gonzalo Romero Freixas

Statistics

Possession
VAL
44%
CEL
56%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 3
0 Big Chances Created 2
2 Shots 1
48 Dangerous attacks 36
42 Possession 58
6 Corners 0
21 Free kicks 14
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

6 Goal Kicks 9
15 Throwins 19
7 Dribble Attempts 13
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 46
3 Successful Dribbles 6
1 Assists 2
11 Goal Attempts 6
0 Injuries 3
110 Ball Safe 130
6 Successful Headers 6
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

71 Attacks 119

Possession

81 Successful Passes Percentage 87
8 Key Passes 7
43 Long Passes 58
285 Successful Passes 440
351 Passes 504
21 Successful Long Passes 27
49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47

Defensive

4 Interceptions 8
2 Saves 2
48 Duels Won 41
19 Tackles 15

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 9
6 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

0 Offsides 2
14 Fouls 21

Lineup

Referee : Iosu Galech Apezteguía

Starting XI ▼

1
Stole Dimitrievski
Stole Dimitrievski Goalkeeper
4
Unai Núñez
Unai Núñez Defender
23
Filip Ugrinic
Filip Ugrinic
Midfielder63'
5
César Tárrega
César Tárrega Defender
14
José Gayà
José Gayà Defender
7
Arnaut Danjuma
Arnaut Danjuma
Attacker78'
24
Eray Cömert
Eray Cömert Defender
2
Guido Rodríguez
Guido Rodríguez Midfielder
2
8
Javi Guerra
Javi Guerra Midfielder
15
Lucas Beltrán
Lucas Beltrán
Midfielder63'
10
André Almeida
André Almeida Midfielder
12
Thierry Correia
Thierry Correia
Defender63'
11
Luis Rioja
Luis Rioja Midfielder
9
Hugo Duro
Hugo Duro Attacker
6
Umar Sadiq
Umar Sadiq
Attacker63'
17
Largie Ramazani
Largie Ramazani Attacker
Referee : Iosu Galech Apezteguía

Starting XI ▼

13
Ionuț Radu
Ionuț Radu Goalkeeper
4
Joseph Aidoo
Joseph Aidoo Defender
20
Marcos Alonso
Marcos Alonso Defender
32
Javi Rodríguez
Javi Rodríguez Defender
39
Jones El-Abdellaoui
Jones El-Abdellaoui
Attacker46'
3
Óscar Mingueza
Óscar Mingueza Midfielder
29
Yoel Lago
Yoel Lago
Defender88'
5
Sergio Carreira
Sergio Carreira Midfielder
6
Ilaix Moriba
Ilaix Moriba Midfielder
22
Hugo Sotelo
Hugo Sotelo Midfielder
9
Ferran Jutglà
Ferran Jutglà Attacker
7
Borja Iglesias
Borja Iglesias
Attacker71'
18
Pablo Durán
Pablo Durán Attacker
8
Fer López
Fer López
Midfielder46'
23
Hugo Álvarez
Hugo Álvarez Attacker
19
Williot Swedberg
Williot Swedberg
Midfielder46'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Guido Rodríguez
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
90+3'
88'
Event
Yoel Lago → Óscar Mingueza
10th Substitution
Event
Guido Rodríguez
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
84'
81'
Event
Williot Swedberg
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Arnaut Danjuma → José Gayà
9th Substitution
78'
71'
Event
Hugo Sotelo
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
71'
Event
Borja Iglesias → Ferran Jutglà
8th Substitution
Event
Umar Sadiq → Hugo Duro
7th Substitution
63'
Event
Lucas Beltrán → Javi Guerra
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Thierry Correia → André Almeida
5th Substitution
63'
Event
Filip Ugrinic → Unai Núñez
6th Substitution
63'
60'
Event
Fer López
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
56'
Event
Ilaix Moriba
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
46'
Event
Jones El-Abdellaoui → Javi Rodríguez
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Fer López → Pablo Durán
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Williot Swedberg → Hugo Álvarez
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
Marcos Alonso
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
43'
Event
Javi Rodríguez
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Guido Rodríguez
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
12'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Umar Sadiq from Valencia misses a chance with a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Guido Rodríguez scores for Valencia with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the left corner. The match score is now Valencia 2, Celta Vigo 3, with an assist from Umar Sadiq.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Valencia losing 2-3 to Celta Vigo.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas Beltrán against Valencia.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Joseph Aidoo of Celta Vigo.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Borja Iglesias of Celta Vigo.
90
Update Update
César Tárrega of Valencia won a free kick in defense.
90
Attempt Attempt
Umar Sadiq from Valencia had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box, but it went just to the left. Thierry Correia provided the assist.
90
Update Update
Umar Sadiq from Valencia won a free kick on the left wing.
90
Update Update
Ilaix Moriba from Celta Vigo won a free kick in defense.
89
Update Update
Foul committed by Borja Iglesias of Celta Vigo.
89
Update Update
Eray Cömert of Valencia won a free kick in defense.
89
Update Update
Foul committed by Borja Iglesias of Celta Vigo.
89
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 6 minutes of added time.
88
Update Update
Yoel Lago from Celta Vigo won a free kick in defense.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: Yoel Lago replaces Óscar Mingueza.
87
Attempt Attempt
Eray Cömert of Valencia attempts a header from the center of the box, but it's saved in the top center of the goal by Ionut Radu of Celta Vigo. The assist came from Filip Ugrinic with a cross.
87
Update Update
Foul committed by Arnaut Danjuma against Valencia.
84
Corner Corner
Valencia wins a corner after Óscar Mingueza concedes.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Guido Rodríguez from Valencia receives a yellow card for a foul.
84
Update Update
Ilaix Moriba from Celta Vigo was awarded a free kick on the left wing.
83
Corner Corner
Umar Sadiq from Valencia had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, just missing the top right corner. The assist was provided by Eray Cömert.
83
Update Update
Guido Rodríguez of Valencia commits a foul.
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Valencia wins a corner after Jones El Abdellaoui concedes.
80
Update Update
César Tárrega from Valencia commits a foul.
80
Attempt Attempt
Goal! Celta Vigo leads 3-1 against Valencia. Williot Swedberg scores with a right-footed shot from inside the six-yard box, placing it to the left side of the center of the goal, assisted by Ilaix Moriba.
80
Update Update
Borja Iglesias from Celta Vigo won a free kick in the defensive area.
78
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Beltrán's shot from outside the box is blocked. Guido Rodríguez provided the assist.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: Arnaut Danjuma replaces José Gayà.
76
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Ilaix Moriba of Celta Vigo.
75
Update Update
Luis Rioja of Valencia won a free kick on the right wing.
75
Update Update
Foul committed by Óscar Mingueza of Celta Vigo.
74
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Luis Rioja takes a left-footed shot from outside the box after a free kick for Valencia.
73
Update Update
Filip Ugrinic from Valencia won a free kick in an attacking position.
72
Update Update
Fouled by Jones, El Abdellaoui from Celta Vigo.
72
Update Update
José Gayà from Valencia won a free kick in defense.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: Borja Iglesias replaces Ferran Jutglà.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Hugo Sotelo of Celta Vigo receives a yellow card for a foul.
71
Update Update
Lucas Beltrán from Valencia won a free kick on the right wing.
71
Update Update
Lucas Beltrán from Valencia won a free kick on the right wing.
70
Update Update
César Tárrega of Valencia was awarded a free kick in defense.
70
Update Update
Ferran Jutglà from Celta Vigo commits a foul.
69
Update Update
Williot Swedberg of Celta Vigo won a free kick in defense.
69
Update Update
César Tárrega from Valencia commits a foul.
68
Attempt Attempt
Jones El Abdellaoui's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Fer López.
64
Corner Corner
Valencia wins a corner after Ferran Jutglà concedes.
64
Corner Corner
José Gayà from Valencia has a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from outside the box, but it goes high after a corner.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: Filip Ugrinic replaces Unai Núñez.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: Lucas Beltrán replaces Javi Guerra.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: Umar Sadiq replaces Hugo Duro.
63
Corner Corner
Valencia wins a corner after Ferran Jutglà concedes it.
62
Update Update
Hugo Duro of Valencia won a free kick in an attacking position.
62
Update Update
Hugo Sotelo from Celta Vigo commits a foul.
62
Update Update
Guido Rodríguez of Valencia won a free kick in defense.
62
Update Update
Ferran Jutglà from Celta Vigo committed a foul.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Celta Vigo takes the lead 2-1 with Fer López scoring from the center of the box with a left-footed shot into the top right corner, assisted by Williot Swedberg.
59
Update Update
Javi Guerra from Valencia committed a foul.
59
Update Update
Ilaix Moriba of Celta Vigo won a free kick in an attacking position.
59
Update Update
Williot Swedberg of Celta Vigo won a free kick in defense.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ilaix Moriba scores for Celta Vigo with a left-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box into the right corner. The match is now 1-1.
56
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Williot Swedberg of Celta Vigo has a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved by Stole Dimitrievski, the goalkeeper for Valencia. The assist came from Ferran Jutglà.
53
Update Update
Luis Rioja of Valencia won a free kick on the right wing.
53
Update Update
Foul committed by Williot Swedberg of Celta Vigo.
52
Corner Corner
Valencia is awarded a corner after Óscar Mingueza concedes.
49
Update Update
Ferran Jutglà from Celta Vigo commits a foul.
49
Update Update
César Tárrega from Valencia was awarded a free kick in defense.
48
Attempt Attempt
Ferran Jutglà's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
46
Update Update
César Tárrega from Valencia commits a foul.
46
Update Update
Óscar Mingueza from Celta Vigo won a free kick on the left wing.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Eray Cömert of Valencia.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
45
Update Update
Hugo Sotelo from Celta Vigo won a free kick in defense.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: Williot Swedberg replaces Hugo Álvarez.
45
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Hugo Duro from Valencia.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Valencia leading Celta Vigo 1-0.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: Fer López replaces Pablo Durán.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: Jones El Abdellaoui replaces Javi Rodríguez.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: Williot Swedberg replaces Hugo Álvarez.
44
Update Update
Hugo Duro of Valencia won a free kick in defense.
44
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marcos Alonso of Celta Vigo receives a yellow card for a foul.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Javi Rodríguez of Celta Vigo receives a yellow card for a foul.
43
Update Update
Foul committed by Javi Rodríguez of Celta Vigo.
43
Update Update
Largie Ramazani of Valencia won a free kick in defense.
43
Update Update
Sergio Carreira from Celta Vigo won a free kick on the left wing.
43
Update Update
Luis Rioja fouled a Valencia player.
42
Update Update
Foul committed by Marcos Alonso - Celta Vigo.
42
Update Update
Javi Guerra from Valencia won a free kick in defense.
40
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Ferran Jutglà from Celta Vigo takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved by the goalkeeper, Stole Dimitrievski from Valencia, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Hugo Álvarez.
38
Attempt Attempt
Eray Cömert from Valencia had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from over 40 yards on the left wing, but the shot went high and wide to the right. André Almeida provided the assist.
32
Update Update
Guido Rodríguez from Valencia won a free kick in defense.
31
Update Update
Luis Rioja fouled by Valencia.
31
Update Update
Sergio Carreira from Celta Vigo has been awarded a free kick in defense.
29
Attempt Attempt
Eray Cömert from Valencia missed a chance, heading the ball from the center of the box high and wide to the left, assisted by Unai Núñez's cross.
28
Update Update
Largie Ramazani from Valencia was awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
26
Update Update
Foul committed by Eray Cömert of Valencia.
26
Update Update
Ferran Jutglà of Celta Vigo won a free kick in defense.
24
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Hugo Álvarez from Celta Vigo.
23
Update Update
Hugo Álvarez from Celta Vigo won a free kick in an attacking position.
23
Update Update
Foul by Unai Núñez - Valencia.
22
Update Update
Celta Vigo is called offside. Pablo Durán is the player in an offside position.
21
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Pablo Durán from Celta Vigo.
21
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Eray Cömert from Valencia.
19
Update Update
Ferran Jutglà fouled a player from Celta Vigo.
19
Update Update
Guido Rodríguez from Valencia won a free kick in defense.
16
Update Update
José Gayà from Valencia committed a foul.
16
Update Update
Óscar Mingueza from Celta Vigo won a free kick in the attacking area.
14
Update Update
José Gayà of Valencia won a free kick in defense.
14
Update Update
Óscar Mingueza from Celta Vigo committed a foul.
12
Attempt Attempt
Largie Ramazani's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Valencia leads Celta Vigo 1-0. Guido Rodríguez scores for Valencia with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the left corner after a corner kick.
11
Corner Corner
Valencia wins a corner after Ionut Radu concedes.
11
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. André Almeida from Valencia takes a right-footed shot from a difficult position and long distance on the left, but it's saved in the top right corner by Ionut Radu of Celta Vigo.
10
Update Update
Joseph Aidoo from Celta Vigo commits a handball.
9
Update Update
Unai Núñez from Valencia won a free kick in defense.
8
Update Update
Celta Vigo is called offside. Pablo Durán is in an offside position.
7
Corner Corner
Valencia wins a corner after Javi Rodríguez concedes.
2
Update Update
Ferran Jutglà from Celta Vigo misses a chance, shooting with his left foot from outside the box, sending it high and wide to the left. Hugo Sotelo provided the assist.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Celta de Vigo exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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