Udinese vs Cremonese Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Dacia Arena Sun, 17 May - 6:45 PM
Serie A
Udinese UDI
Versus
Cremonese USC
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 6:45 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

At the Dacia Arena, Udinese hosts Cremonese in Serie A regular season action for the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 10th in the league, Udinese wields a robust power score of 77.13, surpassing Cremonese's 57.18 by a substantial 20 points, marking them as the clear stronger side. Form metrics further tilt the scales, with Udinese's 28.78 rating towering over Cremonese's feeble 5.06, underscoring recent struggles for the visitors entrenched at 18th. Home advantage bolsters Udinese's bid to extend their edge in this mid-table versus bottom clash. Cremonese faces an uphill battle, needing to defy projections and power disparities. Midfield control and defensive solidity will prove pivotal, as Udinese leverages superior standing and momentum to secure vital points. Detailed set piece and efficiency insights remain unavailable, heightening focus on core strengths.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Udinese holds a 20-point power advantage with a score of 77.13 over Cremonese's 57.18.
  • Form: Udinese's form score stands at 28.78, dwarfing Cremonese's 5.06.
  • Squad: Udinese ranks 10th in Serie A while Cremonese occupies 18th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not detailed in current analyses.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable due to disabled add-on and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables absent for both teams in this fixture.
  • Market: Udinese 40.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.5% (Δ+0%) | Cremonese 31.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Udinese K. Runjaic
K. Runjaic
VS
Cremonese M. Giampaolo
M. Giampaolo
1.4
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.68
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cagliari Rank: 71 W
Torino Rank: 75 W
Lazio Rank: 80 D
Parma Rank: 72 L
AC Milan Rank: 84 W
Como Rank: 84 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pisa Rank: 63 W
Lazio Rank: 81 L
Napoli Rank: 85 L
Torino Rank: 75 D
Cagliari Rank: 70 L
Bologna Rank: 79 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Udinese
40.4%
Draw
28.5%
Away Cremonese
31.11%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.13
57.18
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Udinese
Cremonese
Power Score
77.13
57.18
League Position
10
18
Global Rank
85
259

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Udinese — Opponent-weighted form score
Cremonese — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Udinese Cremonese

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Udinese UDI Home
3 matches
Cremonese USC Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
4
+3
Goal Difference
-3

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:11:53+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
M. Okoye
40 M. Okoye
B. Mlacic
22 B. Mlacic
T. Kristensen
31 T. Kristensen
O. Solet Bomawoko
28 O. Solet Bomawoko
J. Zemura
33 J. Zemura
J. Karlström
8 J. Karlström
J. Piotrowski
24 J. Piotrowski
A. Atta
14 A. Atta
H. Kamara
11 H. Kamara
N. Zaniolo
10 N. Zaniolo
A. Buksa
18 A. Buksa
Pitch
E. Audero Mulyadi
1 E. Audero Mulyadi
F. Folino
55 F. Folino
S. Luperto
5 S. Luperto
M. Bianchetti
15 M. Bianchetti
F. Terracciano
24 F. Terracciano
J. Vandeputte
27 J. Vandeputte
A. Grassi
33 A. Grassi
Y. Maleh
29 Y. Maleh
T. Barbieri
4 T. Barbieri
J. Vardy
10 J. Vardy
F. Bonazzoli
90 F. Bonazzoli

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Dacia Arena
Capacity :
25132
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

40
Maduka Okoye
Maduka Okoye Goalkeeper
6.79
11
Hassane Kamara
Hassane Kamara Midfielder
6.82
33
Jordan Zemura
Jordan Zemura Midfielder
6.64
18
Adam Buksa
Adam Buksa Attacker
6.68
10
Nicolò Zaniolo
Nicolò Zaniolo Attacker
6.95
8
Jesper Karlström
Jesper Karlström Central Midfield
6.69
14
Arthur Atta
Arthur Atta Central Midfield
6.95
22
Branimir Mlacic
Branimir Mlacic Right Back
6.63
24
Jakub Piotrowski
Jakub Piotrowski Central Midfield
6.73
28
Oumar Solet
Oumar Solet Left Back
7.1
31
Thomas Kristensen
Thomas Kristensen Centre Back
6.95

Starting XI ▼

1
Emil Audero
Emil Audero Goalkeeper
6.99
4
Tommaso Barbieri
Tommaso Barbieri Midfielder
6.63
27
Jari Vandeputte
Jari Vandeputte Midfielder
6.91
90
Federico Bonazzoli
Federico Bonazzoli Attacker
7.02
10
Jamie Vardy
Jamie Vardy Attacker
6.81
5
Sebastiano Luperto
Sebastiano Luperto Left Back
6.78
15
Matteo Bianchetti
Matteo Bianchetti Right Back
6.74
24
Filippo Terracciano
Filippo Terracciano Right Back
6.84
29
Youssef Maleh
Youssef Maleh Central Midfield
6.55
33
Alberto Grassi
Alberto Grassi Central Midfield
6.68
55
Francesco Folino
Francesco Folino Left Back
6.52

CONCLUSION

Udinese enters as favorites, armed with superior power, form, and league position against a faltering Cremonese. The home side's 20-point edge suggests dominance, particularly harnessing Dacia Arena's atmosphere. Cremonese must summon resilience to counter this mismatch, yet their lowly form score hints at challenges ahead. Watch for Udinese's exploitation of structural strengths in possession and pressure phases. Absent specialized metrics like efficiency or set pieces, the contest hinges on execution and adaptability. Expect Udinese to edge victory, propelling them up the table while Cremonese grapples with survival.

Udinese vs Cremonese preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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