Udinese vs Como Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Dacia Arena Mon, 6 Apr - 10:30 AM
Serie A
Udinese UDI
0 – 0
Como COM
Full Time Mon, 6 Apr 10:30 AM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

The match between Udinese and Como has finished with a full-time score of 0-0. Neither side could find a breakthrough, remaining deadlocked from a goalless half-time through to the final whistle. Before the game, Como entered as the clear stronger team. The pre-match market gave Como a 58.2% probability of securing the victory, compared to a 25% chance of a draw and just 16.8% for a Udinese win. Despite these expectations, the match was incredibly balanced on the pitch. Possession was nearly evenly split, with Udinese holding 49% of the ball and Como edging it slightly with 51%. Expected goals (xG) data was unfortunately not available to measure the precise quality of scoring chances created by either side. Because Como was heavily favored, the resulting draw meant the final outcome did not align with the pre-match market, representing a significant deviation from expectations for Como. Despite the stalemate, team efficiency shifts were evaluated to be in line with the overall flow of the game. Furthermore, the contest ended without any red cards being issued, allowing both sides to finish this closely fought match at full strength.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Como showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

F. Maresca

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Perenzoni

4th Official

M. Ceccon

1st Assistant

M. Belsanti

2nd Assistant

Udinese K. Runjaic
K. Runjaic
VS
Como F. Fàbregas i Soler
F. Fàbregas i Soler
1.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Genoa Rank: 74 W
Juventus Rank: 84 L
Atalanta Rank: 86 D
Fiorentina Rank: 77 W
Bologna Rank: 79 L
Sassuolo Rank: 75 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pisa Rank: 65 W
Roma Rank: 84 W
Cagliari Rank: 69 W
Lecce Rank: 68 W
Juventus Rank: 85 W
AC Milan Rank: 86 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Udinese
16.77%
Draw
25%
Away Como
58.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
74.09
84.46
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Udinese
Como
Power Score
74.09
84.46
League Position
11
4
Global Rank
117
38

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Udinese — Opponent-weighted form score
Como — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Udinese Como

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Udinese

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Como

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Udinese ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Como
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.96
27.84
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.84
32.96
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Udinese +0.55 Efficiency Index
vs
Como -0.55 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Udinese
Como
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Udinese ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Como
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Udinese Como
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Udinese Como
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Udinese
Como
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Udinese
vs
Como
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Udinese Como
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Udinese 0.33
Como 0.27
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Udinese Como
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Udinese 0.00
Como 0.00
Udinese
Como
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Udinese UDI Home
3 matches
Como COM Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
2
-3
Goal Difference
+3

Data last updated: 2026-04-07T00:00:58+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Okoye
Nigeria
40 M. Okoye
T. Kristensen
Denmark
31 T. Kristensen
C. Kabasele
Substitution
Belgium
27 C. Kabasele
O. Solet Bomawoko
France
28 O. Solet Bomawoko
K. Ehizibue
Substitution
Netherlands
19 K. Ehizibue
J. Piotrowski
Substitution
Poland
24 J. Piotrowski
J. Karlström
Sweden
8 J. Karlström
H. Kamara
Substitution
Gambia
11 H. Kamara
J. Ekkelenkamp
Substitution
Netherlands
32 J. Ekkelenkamp
A. Atta
France
14 A. Atta
N. Zaniolo
Italy
10 N. Zaniolo
Pitch
J. Butez
France
1 J. Butez
?. Valle Gómez
Spain
3 ?. Valle Gómez
M. Kempf
Germany
2 M. Kempf
D. Santos Silva
Brazil
34 D. Santos Silva
I. Smolčić
Substitution
Croatia
28 I. Smolčić
L. Da Cunha
France
33 L. Da Cunha
M. Perrone
Substitution
Argentina
23 M. Perrone
M. Caqueret
Substitution
France
6 M. Caqueret
N. Paz Martínez
Argentina
10 N. Paz Martínez
A. Diao Diaoune
Substitution
Senegal
38 A. Diao Diaoune
A. Douvikas
Substitution
Greece
11 A. Douvikas

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 06, 2026, 10:30 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Dacia Arena
Capacity :
25132
Attendance :
24347
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ , Clear
Referees :
Daniele Perenzoni
Fabio Maresca
Marco Ceccon
Marco Belsanti

Statistics

Possession
UDI
49%
COM
51%

Top Statistics

1 Big Chances Created 1
11 Shots 7
43 Dangerous attacks 44
49 Possession 51
6 Corners 2
12 Free kicks 10
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

1 Injuries 1
4 Successful Headers 10
25 Dribble Attempts 13
52 Successful Dribbles Percentage 54
7 Goal Kicks 2
22 Throwins 18
13 Successful Dribbles 7
5 Goal Attempts 6
80 Ball Safe 63
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

89 Attacks 88
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

421 Passes 444
38 Long Passes 40
87 Successful Passes Percentage 85
365 Successful Passes 379
8 Key Passes 7
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 58
14 Successful Long Passes 23

Defensive

15 Tackles 33
44 Duels Won 60
7 Interceptions 10
4 Saves 4

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 9
3 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

3 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Fabio Maresca

Starting XI ▼

40
Maduka Okoye
Maduka Okoye Goalkeeper
27
Christian Kabasele
Christian Kabasele Defender
13
Nicolò Bertola
Nicolò Bertola
Defender86'
28
Oumar Solet
Oumar Solet Defender
31
Thomas Kristensen
Thomas Kristensen Defender
8
Jesper Karlström
Jesper Karlström Midfielder
11
Hassane Kamara
Hassane Kamara Midfielder
20
Juan Arizala
Juan Arizala
Midfielder69'
19
Kingsley Ehizibue
Kingsley Ehizibue Midfielder
6
Oier Zarraga
Oier Zarraga
Midfielder86'
24
Jakub Piotrowski
Jakub Piotrowski Midfielder
38
Lennon Miller
Lennon Miller
Midfielder65'
10
Nicolò Zaniolo
Nicolò Zaniolo Attacker
14
Arthur Atta
Arthur Atta Attacker
32
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp Attacker
7
Idrissa Gueye
Idrissa Gueye
Attacker69'
Referee : Fabio Maresca

Starting XI ▼

1
Jean Butez
Jean Butez Goalkeeper
2
Marc Oliver Kempf
Marc Oliver Kempf Defender
3
Álex Valle
Álex Valle Defender
28
Ivan Smolcic
Ivan Smolcic Defender
77
Ignace Van der Brempt
Ignace Van der Brempt
Defender86'
34
Diego Carlos
Diego Carlos Defender
6
Maxence Caqueret
Maxence Caqueret Midfielder
20
Martin Baturina
Martin Baturina
Midfielder60'
10
Nico Paz
Nico Paz Midfielder
23
Máximo Perrone
Máximo Perrone Midfielder
8
Sergi Roberto
Sergi Roberto
Midfielder60'
33
Lucas Da Cunha
Lucas Da Cunha Midfielder
38
Assane Diao
Assane Diao Midfielder
7
Álvaro Morata
Álvaro Morata
Attacker80'
11
Anastasios Douvikas
Anastasios Douvikas Attacker
31
Mërgim Vojvoda
Mërgim Vojvoda
Defender59'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Thomas Kristensen
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Oier Zarraga → Kingsley Ehizibue
10th Substitution
86'
Event
Nicolò Bertola → Christian Kabasele
8th Substitution
86'
86'
Event
Ignace Van der Brempt → Ivan Smolcic
9th Substitution
Event
Kingsley Ehizibue
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
85'
Event
6th Yellowcard
85'
80'
Event
Álvaro Morata → Assane Diao 
7th Substitution
78'
Event
Ivan Smolcic
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
72'
Event
Diego Carlos
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Juan Arizala → Hassane Kamara
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Idrissa Gueye → Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Lennon Miller → Jakub Piotrowski
4th Substitution
65'
60'
Event
Martin Baturina → Maxence Caqueret
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Sergi Roberto → Máximo Perrone
3rd Substitution
59'
Event
Mërgim Vojvoda → Anastasios Douvikas 
1st Substitution
50'
Event
Máximo Perrone
Argument / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Marc Oliver Kempf from Como.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Udinese and Como drawing 0-0.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 5 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Offside called against Como. Álvaro Morata is offside.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Thomas Kristensen of Udinese receives a yellow card for a foul.
88
Update Update
Foul committed by Thomas Kristensen of Udinese.
88
Update Update
Álvaro Morata won a free kick in an attacking position.
87
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Mërgim Vojvoda from Como shoots with his right foot from the center of the box but it goes over the goal. The assist was provided by Jean Butez.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Udinese: Oier Zarraga replaces Kingsley Ehizibue.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Udinese: Nicolò Bertola replaces Christian Kabasele.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Como: Ignace Van der Brempt replaces Ivan Smolcic.
85
Update Update
Álvaro Morata won a free kick in defense for Como.
85
Update Update
Foul committed by Kingsley Ehizibue of Udinese.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kingsley Ehizibue of Udinese receives a yellow card for a foul.
83
Update Update
Idrissa Gueye's header from the right side of the six-yard box is blocked. The assist came from Lennon Miller's cross.
83
Corner Corner
Udinese wins a corner after Nico Paz concedes.
82
Attempt Attempt
Nicolò Zaniolo's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Juan Arizala.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Udinese after a concession by Marc Oliver Kempf.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Como: Álvaro Morata replaces Assane Diao.
80
Update Update
Christian Kabasele of Udinese won a free kick in defense.
80
Update Update
Assane Diao commits a foul for Como.
79
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Lucas da Cunha from Como takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved by Udinese goalkeeper Maduka Okoye, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Mërgim Vojvoda.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ivan Smolcic from Como receives a yellow card for a foul.
78
Update Update
Arthur Atta of Udinese won a free kick in an attacking position.
78
Update Update
Oumar Solet of Udinese is caught offside.
78
Update Update
Foul by Ivan Smolcic of Como.
76
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Idrissa Gueye from Udinese takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it's saved by goalkeeper Jean Butez from Como, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Oumar Solet.
74
Update Update
Sergi Roberto misses a chance for Como, heading the ball over the goal from the center of the box. The assist came from Martin Baturina's cross.
73
Update Update
Nicolò Zaniolo from Udinese won a free kick on the left wing.
72
Attempt Attempt
Idrissa Gueye's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. The assist came from Arthur Atta.
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Diego Carlos from Como receives a yellow card for a foul.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Udinese: Juan Arizala replaces Hassane Kamara.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Udinese: Idrissa Gueye replaces Jurgen Ekkelenkamp due to injury.
67
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Jurgen Ekkelenkamp of Udinese.
67
Update Update
Udinese is called offside. Jurgen Ekkelenkamp is the player in an offside position.
66
Update Update
Nicolò Zaniolo from Udinese won a free kick in the attacking area.
66
Update Update
Sergi Roberto from Como won a free kick in defense.
66
Update Update
Foul committed by Jesper Karlström for Udinese.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Udinese: Lennon Miller replaces Jakub Piotrowski.
64
Attempt Attempt
Martin Baturina's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Nico Paz.
62
Update Update
Oumar Solet from Udinese won a free kick in defense.
61
Update Update
Assane Diao from Como won a free kick in an attacking position.
61
Update Update
Foul committed by Christian Kabasele of Udinese.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Como: Martin Baturina replaces Maxence Caqueret.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Como: Sergi Roberto replaces Máximo Perrone.
59
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Como: Mërgim Vojvoda replaces Tasos Douvikas.
57
Attempt Attempt
Christian Kabasele of Udinese makes a header from the center of the box, but it's saved by Como's goalkeeper Jean Butez, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Hassane Kamara's cross.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Udinese after a foul by Diego Carlos.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Udinese after a concession by Tasos Douvikas.
54
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Tasos Douvikas from Como takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it's saved in the right corner by Maduka Okoye from Udinese.
52
Update Update
Foul committed by Tasos Douvikas for Como.
52
Update Update
Christian Kabasele from Udinese won a free kick in defense.
50
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Máximo Perrone from Como receives a yellow card.
50
Update Update
Oumar Solet from Udinese won a free kick in the attacking area.
49
Attempt Attempt
Jakub Piotrowski's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
48
Attempt Attempt
Jakub Piotrowski's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
47
Update Update
Jakub Piotrowski of Udinese won a free kick in the attacking area.
46
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Udinese after a concession by Ivan Smolcic.
45
Attempt Attempt
Jakub Piotrowski from Udinese had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from the center of the box, but it went close and missed the target.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Udinese 0, Como 0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Udinese and Como tied at 0-0.
44
Corner Corner
Udinese wins a corner, conceded by Jean Butez.
44
Attempt Attempt
Jakub Piotrowski's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
44
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Hassane Kamara of Udinese takes a left-footed shot from a difficult position on the left, which is saved by Jean Butez of Como in the top center of the goal. The assist comes from Arthur Atta with a through ball.
42
Update Update
Foul committed by Ivan Smolcic of Como.
42
Update Update
Arthur Atta of Udinese won a free kick in defense.
42
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Nico Paz from Como takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but Maduka Okoye from Udinese saves it in the right corner.
39
Update Update
Offside called against Como. Tasos Douvikas is offside.
38
Update Update
Maxence Caqueret from Como won a free kick in defense.
38
Update Update
Jesper Karlström fouled an Udinese player.
37
Update Update
Assane Diao from Como won a free kick in defense.
37
Attempt Attempt
Jakub Piotrowski's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked.
37
Update Update
Foul committed by Jakub Piotrowski of Udinese.
36
Update Update
Jakub Piotrowski from Udinese won a free kick in the attacking area.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Como after Oumar Solet concedes.
29
Attempt Attempt
Kingsley Ehizibue's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. The assist came from Hassane Kamara's cross.
29
Attempt Attempt
Jesper Karlström's shot from the center of the box is blocked.
26
Update Update
Maxence Caqueret from Como won a free kick in an attacking position.
26
Update Update
Kingsley Ehizibue of Udinese won a free kick in defense.
26
Update Update
Foul committed by Jesper Karlström for Udinese.
18
Update Update
Álex Valle from Como won a free kick in defense.
18
Update Update
Foul committed by Kingsley Ehizibue of Udinese.
17
Update Update
Foul committed by Nicolò Zaniolo of Udinese.
17
Update Update
Máximo Perrone from Como won a free kick in defense.
15
Update Update
Offside called against Udinese. Arthur Atta is offside.
10
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Arthur Atta of Udinese shoots with his left foot from the left side of the box, but Jean Butez of Como saves it in the right corner. The assist was provided by Oumar Solet.
10
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Máximo Perrone from Como takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved by Udinese's goalkeeper Maduka Okoye, who is positioned in the center of the goal.
7
Update Update
Jesper Karlström from Udinese won a free kick in defense.
7
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas da Cunha of Como.
7
Attempt Attempt
Tasos Douvikas from Como has his right-footed shot from the right side of the box blocked.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Como after a concession by Jakub Piotrowski.
6
Attempt Attempt
Nico Paz's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Tasos Douvikas.
6
Corner Corner
Ivan Smolcic from Como had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box but it went to the left. The assist came from Lucas da Cunha, who provided a cross after a corner.
6
Attempt Attempt
Lucas da Cunha's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Assane Diao.
6
Corner Corner
Diego Carlos from Como had a missed opportunity, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box but missing to the left. The assist came from Ivan Smolcic following a corner.
4
Update Update
Máximo Perrone from Como won a free kick in defense.
4
Update Update
Foul committed by Kingsley Ehizibue of Udinese.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Como exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

Udinese vs Como preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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