Tunisia vs Netherlands Prediction, Preview and Stats

2026 World Cup, World
Kansas City Stadium Thu, 25 Jun - 11:00 PM
World Cup
Tunisia TUN
1 Winner 3
Netherlands NED
Full Time Thu, 25 Jun 11:00 PM
Round 3 Group Stage
Hazem Mastouri - 54'
Goal
|
Goal
Jan Paul van Hecke - 62'
Brian Brobbey - 7'
Ellyes Skhiri - 3' (Own Goal)

CONTEXT

Netherlands secured a 1-3 victory against Tunisia after leading 0-2 at halftime. The visitors dominated with 72 percent possession compared to the hosts 28 percent. Expected goals heavily favored Netherlands at 2.01 against Tunisia 0.54 creating a differential of minus 1.47. The stronger team delivered the win as the outcome remained consistent with underlying metrics. A significant deviation of 17.8 percent was recorded yet alignment held across key indicators. No red cards occurred to alter the flow allowing natural progression based on performance. The result reflected clear superiority from the away side throughout the match.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The match showed a significant deviation of 17.8 percent favoring Netherlands.
  • Efficiency shift: Performance efficiency remained in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome proved consistent with the expected goals differential.
  • Market alignment: Results aligned with market expectations throughout the contest.
  • xG expectations: Netherlands posted an expected goals figure of 2.01 against Tunisia's 0.54.
  • Event impact: Key events led to Netherlands securing a 1-3 victory on the day.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued affecting the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

K. Itzel García

Mexico 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

S. Ramírez

1st Assistant

Mexico

J. Naranjo Pérez

2nd Assistant

Spain

J. Benítez

4th Official

Paraguay

League averages

World Cup Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 15.21
Yellow cards / match 1.61
Red cards / match 0.1
Penalties / match 0.08
Tunisia H. Renard
H. Renard
VS
Netherlands R. Koeman
R. Koeman
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Japan Rank: L
Sweden Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sweden Rank: W
Japan Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Tunisia
5.29%
Draw
12.55%
Away Netherlands
82.16%

Movement

Changes since opening
Tunisia
+5.07%
Draw
+10.63%
Netherlands
-15.7%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
31.48
45.19
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Tunisia
Netherlands
Power Score
31.48
45.19
League Position
4
1
Global Rank
44
7

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Tunisia Opponent-weighted form score
Netherlands Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Tunisia Netherlands

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Tunisia

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Netherlands

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Tunisia ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Netherlands
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
16.00
20.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.00
16.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Tunisia -0.36 Efficiency Index
vs
Netherlands +0.36 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Tunisia
Netherlands
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Tunisia
vs
Netherlands
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Tunisia Netherlands
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
38%
33%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.20 vs -0.67
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Tunisia Netherlands
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
33%
38%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.67 vs -0.20
Tunisia
Netherlands
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Tunisia
vs
Netherlands
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Tunisia Netherlands
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Tunisia Netherlands
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Tunisia
Netherlands
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NED had peak pressure around 31'.
  • NED started the game with stronger pressure.
TUN Pressure NED Pressure
Pressure Index: NED reached the top pressure at 31' (85.12).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Tunisia TUN Home
0 matches
Netherlands NED Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-26T00:00:33+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
A. Dahmen
Tunisia
16 A. Dahmen
Y. Valery
Tunisia
20 Y. Valery
M. Talbi
Tunisia
3 M. Talbi
E. Skhiri
Tunisia
17 (C) E. Skhiri
A. Ben Hmida
Substitution
Tunisia
21 A. Ben Hmida
A. Abdi
Tunisia
2 A. Abdi
A. Slimane
Substitution
Tunisia
25 A. Slimane
I. Gharbi
Substitution
Tunisia
11 I. Gharbi
R. Khedira
Substitution
Tunisia
13 R. Khedira
H. Mejbri
Tunisia
10 H. Mejbri
H. Mastouri
Substitution
Tunisia
9 H. Mastouri
Pitch
B. Verbruggen
Netherlands
1 B. Verbruggen
N. Aké
Netherlands
5 N. Aké
V. van Dijk
Netherlands
4 (C) V. van Dijk
J. van Hecke
Netherlands
6 J. van Hecke
D. Dumfries
Netherlands
22 D. Dumfries
T. Reijnders
Substitution
Netherlands
14 T. Reijnders
F. de Jong
Substitution
Netherlands
21 F. de Jong
R. Gravenberch
Netherlands
8 R. Gravenberch
C. Gakpo
Substitution
Netherlands
11 C. Gakpo
B. Brobbey
Substitution
Netherlands
19 B. Brobbey
D. Malen
Substitution
Netherlands
18 D. Malen

General Information

Date & Time :
Jun 25, 2026, 11:00 PM
Competition :
2026 World Cup, World · Round 3 · Group Stage
Stadium :
Kansas City Stadium
Capacity :
76416
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Katia Itzel García
Sandra Ramírez
José Enrique Naranjo Pérez
Juan Gabriel Benítez

Statistics

Possession
TUN
32%
NED
68%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
3 Big Chances Created 2
6 Shots 13
23 Dangerous attacks 82
28 Possession 72
4 Corners 6
11 Free kicks 13

Match Overview

10 Goal Kicks 6
5 Substitutions 5
12 Throwins 14
0 Hit Woodwork 1
6 Successful Headers 6
1 Assists 2
8 Dribble Attempts 14
1 Successful Dribbles 4
13 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29

Attacking

55 Attacks 140
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

48 Long Passes 22
253 Passes 642
196 Successful Passes 592
77 Successful Passes Percentage 92
7 Key Passes 15
21 Successful Long Passes 15
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 68

Defensive

4 Saves 3
16 Tackles 8
8 Interceptions 10
32 Duels Won 35

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 28
4 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Katia Itzel García

Starting XI

16
Aymen Dahmen
Aymen Dahmen Goalkeeper
6.52
2
Ali Abdi
Ali Abdi Defender
6.51
3
Montassar Talbi
Montassar Talbi Defender
6.25
17
Ellyes Skhiri
Ellyes Skhiri (C) Defender
6.29
20
Yan Valery
Yan Valery Defender
6.32
21
Mohamed Amine Ben Hamida
Mohamed Amine Ben Hamida Defender
6.34
12
Mortadha Ben Ouanes
Mortadha Ben Ouanes
Midfielder67'
10
Hannibal
Hannibal Midfielder
6.59
11
Ismaël Gharbi
Ismaël Gharbi Midfielder
6.38
19
Firas Chaouat
Firas Chaouat
Attacker75'
13
Rani Khedira
Rani Khedira Midfielder
6.33
15
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud
Midfielder67'
25
Anis Slimane
Anis Slimane Midfielder
6.51
7
Elias Achouri
Elias Achouri
Midfielder67'
9
Hazem Mastouri
Hazem Mastouri Attacker
6.78
26
Sebastian Tounekti
Sebastian Tounekti
Attacker90'
Referee : Katia Itzel García

Starting XI

1
Bart Verbruggen
Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper
6.85
4
Virgil van Dijk
Virgil van Dijk (C) Defender
7.5
5
Nathan Aké
Nathan Aké Defender
6.46
6
Jan Paul van Hecke
Jan Paul van Hecke Defender
7.08
22
Denzel Dumfries
Denzel Dumfries Defender
6.9
8
Ryan Gravenberch
Ryan Gravenberch Midfielder
6.55
14
Tijjani Reijnders
Tijjani Reijnders Midfielder
6.93
7
Justin Kluivert
Justin Kluivert
Attacker72'
21
Frenkie de Jong
Frenkie de Jong Midfielder
7
20
Teun Koopmeiners
Teun Koopmeiners
Midfielder72'
11
Cody Gakpo
Cody Gakpo Attacker
6.59
17
Noa Lang
Noa Lang
Attacker84'
18
Donyell Malen
Donyell Malen Attacker
7.06
24
Crysencio Summerville
Crysencio Summerville
Attacker72'
19
Brian Brobbey
Brian Brobbey Attacker
7.51
10
Memphis Depay
Memphis Depay
Attacker77'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Sebastian Tounekti Hazem Mastouri
10th Substitution
90'
84'
Event
Noa Lang Cody Gakpo
9th Substitution
77'
Event
Memphis Depay Brian Brobbey
8th Substitution
Event
Firas Chaouat Ismaël Gharbi
7th Substitution
75'
72'
Event
Justin Kluivert Tijjani Reijnders
4th Substitution
72'
Event
Teun Koopmeiners Frenkie de Jong
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Crysencio Summerville Donyell Malen
6th Substitution
Event
Elias Achouri Anis Slimane
1st Substitution
67'
Event
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud Rani Khedira
2nd Substitution
67'
Event
Mortadha Ben Ouanes Mohamed Amine Ben Hamida
3rd Substitution
67'
62'
Event
Jan Paul van Hecke
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Hazem Mastouri
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
54'
1ST-HALF
7'
Event
Brian Brobbey
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
3'
Event
Ellyes Skhiri
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Hazem Mastouri from Tunisia took a right-footed shot from over 35 yards after a quick counterattack.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tunisia: Sebastian Tounekti comes on for Hazem Mastouri.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of added time.
90
Corner Corner
Tunisia is awarded a corner after Nathan Aké concedes.
90
Attempt Attempt
Elias Achouri's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to the Netherlands after Ellyes Skhiri concedes.
84
Update Update
Foul committed by Firas Chaouat of Tunisia.
84
Update Update
Nathan Aké of the Netherlands is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for the Netherlands: Noa Lang comes on for Cody Gakpo.
83
Update Update
Hannibal Mejbri from Tunisia wins a free kick in the defensive half.
83
Update Update
Foul committed by Nathan Aké of the Netherlands.
81
Update Update
Firas Chaouat is caught offside for Tunisia.
80
Update Update
Nathan Aké from the Netherlands misses an attempt with a header from the center of the box, sending it just a bit too high. He was assisted by Jan Paul van Hecke, who provided a headed pass after a set piece situation.
79
Update Update
Justin Kluivert from the Netherlands is awarded a free kick on the left wing.
79
Update Update
Foul committed by Hadj Mahmoud of Tunisia.
79
Update Update
Nathan Aké of the Netherlands is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
79
Update Update
Foul committed by Hadj Mahmoud of Tunisia.
78
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Virgil van Dijk's header from the center of the box is saved.
78
Update Update
Justin Kluivert from the Netherlands wins a free kick in the attacking half.
78
Update Update
Foul committed by Hazem Mastouri of Tunisia.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for the Netherlands: Memphis Depay comes on for Brian Brobbey.
77
Corner Corner
Elias Achouri from Tunisia misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it high and wide to the right after a corner.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tunisia after Bart Verbruggen concedes.
76
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Hannibal Mejbri's left-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the top right corner by Bart Verbruggen. The shot was assisted by Hazem Mastouri.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tunisia: Firas Chaouat comes on for Ismaël Gharbi.
74
Update Update
Ryan Gravenberch commits a foul for the Netherlands.
74
Update Update
Mortadha Ben Ouanes from Tunisia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
74
Update Update
Teun Koopmeiners commits a foul for the Netherlands.
74
Update Update
Hannibal Mejbri from Tunisia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
72
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are set to continue.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for the Netherlands: Crysencio Summerville comes on for Donyell Malen.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for the Netherlands: Justin Kluivert comes on for Tijjani Reijnders.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for the Netherlands: Teun Koopmeiners comes on for Frenkie de Jong.
69
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tunisia: Elias Achouri comes on for Anis Ben Slimane.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tunisia: Mortadha Ben Ouanes comes on for Mohamed Amine Ben Hmida.
68
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Tijjani Reijnders from the Netherlands has his right-footed shot from outside the box saved in the bottom left corner by Aymen Dahmen of Tunisia. The shot was assisted by Brian Brobbey.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tunisia: Hadj Mahmoud comes on for Rani Khedira.
66
Update Update
Denzel Dumfries from the Netherlands misses a header from the right side of the box.
66
Attempt Attempt
Tijjani Reijnders from the Netherlands hits the woodwork with a right-footed shot from the left side of the box.
65
Update Update
Frenkie de Jong wins a free kick for the Netherlands in the defensive half.
65
Update Update
Foul committed by Mohamed Amine Ben Hmida from Tunisia.
65
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Hazem Mastouri from Tunisia has his right-footed shot from outside the box saved.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now Tunisia 1, Netherlands 3. Jan Paul van Hecke scores for the Netherlands with a header from the left side of the six-yard box after a corner.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to the Netherlands after Yan Valery concedes.
61
Attempt Attempt
Cody Gakpo's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Nathan Aké provided the assist.
59
Update Update
Donyell Malen from the Netherlands is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
59
Update Update
Foul committed by Jan Paul van Hecke of the Netherlands.
59
Update Update
Hannibal Mejbri from Tunisia wins a free kick on the left wing.
59
Update Update
Rani Khedira commits a foul for Tunisia.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to the Netherlands after a concession by Ali Abdi.
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tunisia 1, Netherlands 2. Hazem Mastouri scores for Tunisia with a header from the center of the box after a corner.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tunisia after Jan Paul van Hecke concedes.
51
Update Update
Foul committed by Jan Paul van Hecke of the Netherlands.
51
Update Update
Hazem Mastouri from Tunisia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
51
Attempt Attempt
Denzel Dumfries from the Netherlands has a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it is blocked.
49
Update Update
Foul committed by Virgil van Dijk of the Netherlands.
49
Update Update
Hazem Mastouri of Tunisia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
47
Update Update
Cody Gakpo is caught offside for the Netherlands.
46
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Tunisia 0, Netherlands 2.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 3 minutes of added time.
44
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Denzel Dumfries from the Netherlands has a left-footed shot from the right side of the box that is saved.
44
Update Update
Offside called against Tunisia. Yan Valery is caught offside.
42
Attempt Attempt
Brian Brobbey's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Donyell Malen provided the assist for the Netherlands.
39
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Ryan Gravenberch from the Netherlands with a right-footed shot from outside the box.
38
Update Update
Ryan Gravenberch from the Netherlands is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
38
Update Update
Foul committed by Mohamed Amine Ben Hmida of Tunisia.
34
Update Update
Hannibal Mejbri from Tunisia wins a free kick in the defensive half.
34
Update Update
Frenkie de Jong commits a foul for the Netherlands.
32
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Ismaël Gharbi from Tunisia took a right-footed shot from outside the box after a set piece situation.
32
Update Update
Ryan Gravenberch commits a foul for the Netherlands.
32
Update Update
Hannibal Mejbri wins a free kick for Tunisia in the attacking half.
31
Corner Corner
Donyell Malen from the Netherlands misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it high and wide to the left after a corner.
30
Update Update
Virgil van Dijk wins a free kick for the Netherlands in the attacking half.
30
Attempt Attempt
Denzel Dumfries from the Netherlands has a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Brian Brobbey.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to the Netherlands after a concession by Mohamed Amine Ben Hmida.
30
Update Update
Foul committed by Hazem Mastouri of Tunisia.
30
Update Update
Cody Gakpo of the Netherlands misses a header from the center of the box, directing it to the right. The attempt was assisted by Donyell Malen's cross.
29
Corner Corner
Attempt missed. Donyell Malen's right-footed shot from outside the box for the Netherlands goes high and wide to the right. Tijjani Reijnders provided the assist after a corner.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to the Netherlands after a concession by Mohamed Amine Ben Hmida.
28
Attempt Attempt
Ryan Gravenberch's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. He was assisted by Cody Gakpo.
27
Update Update
Foul committed by Brian Brobbey of the Netherlands.
27
Update Update
Ellyes Skhiri from Tunisia wins a free kick in the defensive half.
26
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
23
Update Update
The match is currently paused for a drinks break.
23
Update Update
Nathan Aké of the Netherlands commits a handball.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to the Netherlands after Aymen Dahmen concedes.
19
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Tijjani Reijnders from the Netherlands has a right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box, but Aymen Dahmen from Tunisia saves it in the top center of the goal. The shot was assisted by Donyell Malen.
17
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Jan Paul van Hecke from the Netherlands heads the ball from the center of the box after a set piece situation.
16
Update Update
Tijjani Reijnders wins a free kick for the Netherlands on the right wing.
16
Update Update
Foul committed by Mohamed Amine Ben Hmida of Tunisia.
13
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Anis Ben Slimane (Tunisia) header from the centre of the box is saved.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tunisia after Nathan Aké concedes.
11
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. Frenkie de Jong's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
9
Update Update
Denzel Dumfries wins a free kick for the Netherlands on the right wing.
9
Update Update
Hannibal Mejbri commits a foul for Tunisia.
9
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Ali Abdi from Tunisia takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes to the left. He was assisted by Anis Ben Slimane with a cross.
7
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
6
Update Update
Goal! Ellyes Skhiri scores an own goal, making it 0-1.
6
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ellyes Skhiri scores an own goal with a left-footed shot.
3
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
2
Attempt Attempt
Ismael Gharbi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Katia Garcia.

CONCLUSION

Netherlands demonstrated clear control from the opening stages to claim the 1-3 result. Their possession advantage and chance creation aligned closely with the expected goals data. Efficiency stayed consistent allowing effective conversion without major fluctuations. The significant deviation did not disrupt overall consistency with projections. Absence of red cards kept the focus on structured play across both halves. This outcome reinforced the visitors status as the stronger side through measured execution. Tactical adjustments in the second period maintained their edge leading to a deserved win.

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