Tromsø vs Lillestrøm Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2026 Eliteserien, Norway

Alfheim Stadion Wed, 15 Apr - 5:00 PM

Eliteserien

Tromsø Tromsø

0 – 0

Lillestrøm Lillestrøm

Full Time Wed, 15 Apr 5:00 PM

Round 15 Regular Season

CONTEXT

The match between Tromsø and Lillestrøm is finished, ending in a 0-0 draw at full time. This outcome represented a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, which had identified Tromsø as the stronger side with a 52 percent forecast for a home win. The draw instead delivered a result that failed to align with that projection, as the home team could not translate their status into a victory despite being the more favored outfit beforehand. Tromsø held 60 percent possession to Lillestrøm’s 40 percent but created little clear danger, with no expected goals data available to measure chance quality. No red cards were issued and no major disruptive events altered the flow. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations across both halves, yet the stalemate left Tromsø’s territorial control unrewarded. Overall the result did not match the pre-match projection that pointed toward a home success. Tromsø, though stronger on paper, were held at bay in a contest that produced no goals and highlighted the visitors’ resilience in securing a point.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Tromsø showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

K. Hagenes

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

K. Kristiansen

4th Official

E. Hareland

2nd Assistant

R. Langseth

1st Assistant

J. Vik

H. Ødegaard

2.4

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

15 - 9 - 12

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Tromsø

51.96%

Draw

24.94%

Lillestrøm

23.09%

Movement

Changes since opening

Tromsø

+46.45%

Draw

-65.95%

Lillestrøm

+19.49%

Team Power Ranking

38.9

32.89

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Tromsø

Lillestrøm

Power Score

38.9

32.89

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Tromsø — Opponent-weighted form score

Lillestrøm — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Tromsø Lillestrøm

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Tromsø

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Lillestrøm

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Tromsø ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Lillestrøm

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

22.67

26.63

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

26.63

22.67

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Tromsø -0.41 Efficiency Index

Lillestrøm +0.41 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Tromsø

Lillestrøm

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Tromsø ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Lillestrøm

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Tromsø Lillestrøm

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Tromsø Lillestrøm

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Tromsø

Lillestrøm

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Tromsø

Lillestrøm

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Tromsø Lillestrøm

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Tromsø Lillestrøm

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Tromsø

Lillestrøm

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

Tromsø had peak pressure around 93'.
Tromsø started the game with stronger pressure.

Tromsø Pressure Lillestrøm Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: Tromsø reached the top pressure at 93' (77.03).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 36 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Tromsø Tromsø Home

36 matches

Lillestrøm Lillestrøm Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-4

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T00:00:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2

Match Formation 4-1-4-1

1 J. Haugaard

2 L. Jean Cornic

30 I. Vådebu

21 T. Kvalvågnes Guddal

25 A. Kinteh

29 A. Warneryd

5 D. Edvardsson

11 R. Yttergård Jenssen

6 J. Hjertø-Dahl

7 L. Larsen

9 D. Braut

12 P. Dahlberg

26 Y. Paintsil

23 U. Yttergård Jenssen

28 L. Gabrielsen

2 L. Ranger

29 Y. Ibrahimaj

20 V. António Félix

17 E. Bugale Kitolano

8 M. Karlsbakk

15 S. Drammeh

10 T. Lehne Olsen

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 15, 2026, 05:00 PM

Competition :

2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 15 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Alfheim Stadion

Capacity :

6687

Attendance :

5256

Pitch Surface :

N/A

Weather :

☀️ , Clear

Referees :

Kristoffer Hagenes

Kristian Kristiansen

Erland Hareland

Runar Langseth

Statistics

Possession

Tromsø

60%

Lillestrøm

40%

Top Statistics

1 Big Chances Created 0

6 Shots 6

72 Dangerous attacks 33

60 Possession 40

6 Corners 5

9 Free kicks 19

1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

3 Goal Kicks 6

23 Dribble Attempts 18

9 Successful Dribbles 6

39 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33

14 Throwins 19

1 Injuries 2

10 Goal Attempts 7

62 Ball Safe 72

3 Substitutions 4

Attacking

160 Attacks 73

1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

8 Key Passes 6

569 Successful Passes 329

639 Passes 417

53 Long Passes 53

60 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40

32 Successful Long Passes 21

89 Successful Passes Percentage 79

Defensive

12 Interceptions 9

6 Saves 6

17 Tackles 15

44 Duels Won 50

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 14

6 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

19 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Kristoffer Hagenes

Manager ▼

J. Vik Coach

Starting XI ▼

Jakob Haugaard Goalkeeper

6.94

Leo Cornic Defender

7.24

Vetle Skjærvik

Defender82'

7.28

Tobias Guddal Defender

7.42

Abubacarr Sedi Kinteh Defender

6.45

Alexander Thongla-Iad Warneryd Defender

7.14

Sander Innvær

Midfielder82'

6.47

Isak Vådebu Defender

7.35

David Edvardsson Midfielder

7.32

Jens Hjertø-Dahl Midfielder

7.91

Ruben Yttergård Jenssen Midfielder

7.44

Lars Olden Larsen Attacker

7.09

Heine Åsen Larsen

Midfielder46'

7.1

Daniel Braut Attacker

6.92

Substitutes ▼

Heine Åsen Larsen

Midfielder46'

7.1

Sander Innvær

Midfielder82'

6.47

Vetle Skjærvik

Defender82'

7.28

Bench ▼

Ole Lauvli Goalkeeper

Mathias Tønnessen Defender

Jens Berland Husebø Defender

Troy Engseth Nyhammer Midfielder

6.36

Aleksander Lilletun Elvebu Midfielder

Mads Mikkelsen Midfielder

Referee : Kristoffer Hagenes