Trabzonspor vs Göztepe Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Medical Park Stadyumu Sat, 2 May - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Trabzonspor TRA
1 – 1
Göztepe GOZ
Full Time Sat, 2 May 5:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
Umut Nayir - 90+3'
Goal
|
Goal
Juan - 32'
Mustafa Eskihellaç 42' Second yellow card
|

CONTEXT

Trabzonspor hosted Göztepe in a tightly contested Süper Lig match that ended in a 1-1 draw. The home side, considered the stronger team, dominated possession with 58% to Göztepe's 42% but trailed 0-1 at halftime after conceding early. Trabzonspor fought back in the second half, equalizing despite a critical red card reducing them to ten men. This numerical disadvantage led to a more cautious approach, distorting the game's structure as Göztepe pressed for a winner but couldn't capitalize. The draw represented a moderate structural deviation, with Trabzonspor underperforming relative to their favoritism. Possession stats highlighted Trabzonspor's control, yet defensive resilience from both sides ensured parity. The red card event significantly influenced proceedings, forcing adjustments and limiting attacking fluidity.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match showed moderate 9.1% structural deviation for Trabzonspor.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
  • Event impact: Red card to home team altered second-half dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion identified in second-half adjustments.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

O. Ergün

Fouls / match 0
Yellow cards / match 0
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Temel

2nd Assistant

B. Olcar

4th Official

M. Altan

1st Assistant

Trabzonspor F. Tekke
F. Tekke
VS
Göztepe S. Stoilov
S. Stoilov
2.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.6
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Konyaspor Rank: 70 L
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 74 D
Alanyaspor Rank: 70 D
Galatasaray Rank: 87 W
Eyüpspor Rank: 64 W
Rizespor Rank: 69 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Antalyaspor Rank: 60 W
Kocaelispor Rank: 64 D
Kasımpaşa Rank: 65 D
Galatasaray Rank: 88 L
Gençlerbirliği Rank: 66 W
Alanyaspor Rank: 68 D
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Trabzonspor
3.6%
Draw
90.89%
Away Göztepe
5.51%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
79.2
73.12
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Trabzonspor
Göztepe
Power Score
79.2
73.12
League Position
3
6
Global Rank
64
137

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Trabzonspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Göztepe — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Trabzonspor Göztepe

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Trabzonspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Göztepe

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Trabzonspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Göztepe
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Trabzonspor Göztepe
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Trabzonspor Göztepe
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Trabzonspor
Göztepe
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Trabzonspor
vs
Göztepe
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Trabzonspor Göztepe
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Trabzonspor 0.00
Göztepe 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Trabzonspor Göztepe
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Trabzonspor 0.00
Göztepe 0.00
Trabzonspor
Göztepe
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • TRA had peak pressure around 64'.
  • GOZ started the game with stronger pressure.
TRA Pressure GOZ Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: TRA reached the top pressure at 64' (87.64).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Trabzonspor TRA Home
13 matches
Göztepe GOZ Away
Match Record
6
Wins
4
3
Draws
3
4
Losses
6
Goals
20
Goals Scored
15
15
Goals Conceded
20
+5
Goal Difference
-5

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T16:30:56+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
A. Onana
Cameroon
24 A. Onana
W. Cardoso Pina
Portugal
20 W. Cardoso Pina
C. Nwaiwu
Nigeria
27 C. Nwaiwu
S. Malkoçoğlu
Substitution
Türkiye
74 S. Malkoçoğlu
M. Eskihellaç
Türkiye
19 M. Eskihellaç
T. Jabol Folcarelli
France
26 T. Jabol Folcarelli
B. Bouchouari
Substitution
Morocco
8 B. Bouchouari
O. Tufan
Türkiye
11 O. Tufan
E. Muçi
Substitution
Albania
10 E. Muçi
F. da Silva
Substitution
Brazil
99 F. da Silva
E. Onuachu
Nigeria
30 E. Onuachu
Pitch
M. Lis
Poland
1 M. Lis
M. Mputu
Cameroon
26 M. Mputu
A. Godói Santos
Brazil
3 A. Godói Santos
A. Dennis
Substitution
Nigeria
30 A. Dennis
M. Cherni
France
15 M. Cherni
N. Dismas
Substitution
Tanzania
20 N. Dismas
H. dos Santos
Brazil
5 H. dos Santos
A. Kurtulan
Türkiye
2 A. Kurtulan
A. Antunes
Substitution
Switzerland
8 A. Antunes
Juan
Substitution
Brazil
9 Juan
J. de Carvalho Costa
Substitution
Brazil
39 J. de Carvalho Costa

General Information

Date & Time :
May 02, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Medical Park Stadyumu
Capacity :
40782
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Ozan Ergün
Murat Temel
Burak Olcar
Murat Altan

Statistics

Possession
TRA
54%
GOZ
46%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 3
8 Shots 10
46 Dangerous attacks 46
58 Possession 42
4 Corners 3
22 Free kicks 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 6
18 Dribble Attempts 25
14 Goal Kicks 7
0 Hit Woodwork 1
8 Successful Dribbles 11
18 Throwins 15
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 44
29 Successful Headers 17
70 Ball Safe 57
4 Goal Attempts 10
1 Assists 1

Attacking

88 Attacks 119
0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

81 Successful Passes Percentage 79
59 Long Passes 49
319 Successful Passes 233
396 Passes 294
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39
8 Key Passes 12
31 Successful Long Passes 19

Defensive

8 Interceptions 10
20 Tackles 21
81 Duels Won 61
1 Saves 3

Build-up

23 Total Crosses 15
8 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

0 Offsides 3
14 Fouls 22

Lineup

Referee : Ozan Ergün

Starting XI ▼

24
André Onana
André Onana Goalkeeper
6.96
19
Mustafa Eskihellaç
Mustafa Eskihellaç Defender
6.99
20
Wagner Pina
Wagner Pina Defender
6.85
27
Chibuike Nwaiwu
Chibuike Nwaiwu Defender
7.34
74
Salih Malkoçoğlu
Salih Malkoçoğlu Defender
6.73
14
Mathias Løvik
Mathias Løvik
Defender69'
6.6
8
Benjamin Bouchouari
Benjamin Bouchouari Midfielder
6.44
22
Oleksandr Zubkov
Oleksandr Zubkov
Midfielder69'
7.27
10
Ernest Muci
Ernest Muci Midfielder
7.32
42
Christ Inao Oulaï
Christ Inao Oulaï
Midfielder46'
7.27
11
Ozan Tufan
Ozan Tufan Midfielder
6.93
26
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli Midfielder
6.91
99
Felipe Augusto
Felipe Augusto Midfielder
6.94
18
Umut Nayir
Umut Nayir
Attacker85'
6.58
30
Paul Onuachu
Paul Onuachu Attacker
7.32
Referee : Ozan Ergün

Starting XI ▼

1
Mateusz Lis
Mateusz Lis Goalkeeper
6.9
3
Allan Godói
Allan Godói Defender
6.91
26
Malcom Bokele
Malcom Bokele Defender
6.72
30
Anthony Dennis
Anthony Dennis Defender
6.76
6
M. Mohammed
M. Mohammed
Midfielder76'
6.53
2
Arda Okan Kurtulan
Arda Okan Kurtulan Midfielder
6.83
5
Héliton
Héliton Midfielder
6.89
15
Amin Cherni
Amin Cherni Midfielder
6.77
20
Novatus Miroshi
Novatus Miroshi Midfielder
6.77
4
Taha Altıkardeş
Taha Altıkardeş
Defender90+6'
6.77
8
Alexis Antunes
Alexis Antunes Attacker
6.76
10
Filip Krastev
Filip Krastev
Midfielder76'
6.79
9
Juan
Juan Attacker
7.01
14
Guilherme Luiz
Guilherme Luiz
Attacker88'
6.56
39
Janderson
Janderson Attacker
6.74
19
Jeh
Jeh
Attacker88'
6.71

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Paul Onuachu
Argument / 9th Yellowcard
90+7'
Event
Christ Inao Oulaï
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
90+6'
90+6'
Event
Taha Altıkardeş → Novatus Miroshi
9th Substitution
Event
Umut Nayir
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
90+3'
Event
Var
88'
88'
Event
Guilherme Luiz → Juan
8th Substitution
88'
Event
Jeh → Janderson
7th Substitution
Event
Umut Nayir → Felipe Augusto
6th Substitution
85'
84'
Event
Héliton
Time wasting / 7th Yellowcard
81'
Event
Arda Okan Kurtulan
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Wagner Pina
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
80'
76'
Event
M. Mohammed → Anthony Dennis
5th Substitution
76'
Event
Filip Krastev → Alexis Antunes
4th Substitution
Event
Mathias Løvik → Salih Malkoçoğlu
2nd Substitution
69'
Event
Oleksandr Zubkov → Benjamin Bouchouari
3rd Substitution
69'
68'
Event
Janderson
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
57'
Event
Alexis Antunes
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Christ Inao Oulaï → Ernest Muci
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Mustafa Eskihellaç
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
42'
Event
Mustafa Eskihellaç
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
40'
32'
Event
Juan
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Benjamin Bouchouari
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
25'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Ozan Tufan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Heliton Jorge Tito dos Santos takes a header but misses the shot.
90
Attempt Attempt
Mehmet Umut Nayir scores with a right-footed shot.
90
Attempt Attempt
Wagner Pina's right-footed shot is blocked.
90
Update Update
Taha Altikardes is on, and Novatus Miroshi is off.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Christ Inao Oulai.
88
Update Update
Guilherme Luiz comes on for Juan.
88
Update Update
Jeferson Marinho dos Santos is on, and Janderson de Carvalho Costa is off.
85
Update Update
Mehmet Umut Nayir comes on for Felipe Augusto.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Heliton Jorge Tito dos Santos.
82
Update Update
Felipe Augusto takes a header but misses the target.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Arda Kurtulan receives a yellow card.
77
Attempt Attempt
Arda Kurtulan takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
76
Update Update
Filip Krastev replaces Alexis Antunes.
76
Update Update
Musah Mohammed comes on for Anthony Dennis.
71
Attempt Attempt
Novatus Miroshi takes a left-footed shot but misses.
69
Update Update
Oleksandr Zubkov is on, and Benjamin Bouchouari is off.
69
Update Update
Mathias Fjortoft Lovik comes on for Salih Malkocoglu.
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Janderson de Carvalho Costa.
64
Attempt Attempt
Amine Cherni takes a right-footed shot but misses.
61
Attempt Attempt
Novatus Miroshi's left-footed shot is blocked.
60
Attempt Attempt
Paul Onuachu's header is saved.
58
Update Update
Paul Onuachu takes a header, but it goes wide.
54
Attempt Attempt
Arda Kurtulan takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
52
Attempt Attempt
Alexis Antunes takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
46
Substitution Substitution
Christ Inao Oulai is substituted off for Ernest Muci.
44
Attempt Attempt
Novatus Miroshi takes a left-footed shot but misses.
42
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mustafa Eskihellac receives a second yellow card.
40
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mustafa Eskihellac receives a yellow card.
38
Attempt Attempt
Paul Onuachu's header is saved.
36
Attempt Attempt
Juan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Janderson de Carvalho Costa takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
31
Attempt Attempt
Heliton Jorge Tito dos Santos attempts a header but misses the shot.
24
Attempt Attempt
Ernest Muci takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
22
Update Update
Paul Onuachu's header is blocked.
22
Attempt Attempt
Felipe Augusto attempts a header but misses the shot.
13
Attempt Attempt
Juan takes a left-footed shot but misses.
13
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Alexis Antunes with his left foot, but it's blocked.
12
Update Update
Juan's header goes wide.
11
Attempt Attempt
Novatus Miroshi takes a left-footed shot but misses.
11
Attempt Attempt
Juan takes a shot with his right foot, but it hits the post.
6
Attempt Attempt
Amine Cherni takes a left-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw leaves Trabzonspor with a point despite their superiority in possession and status as the stronger side, hampered by the red card that shifted momentum. Göztepe's halftime lead and solid defending earned a valuable share, showcasing resilience on the road. This result underscores how disciplinary lapses can distort outcomes, preventing Trabzonspor from securing a win. Both teams displayed grit, with the draw feeling like a fair reflection given the circumstances, though Trabzonspor may rue the sending-off. Looking ahead, Trabzonspor must tighten discipline to convert dominance into victories, while Göztepe builds on this fighting spirit.

Trabzonspor vs Göztepe preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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