Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Medical Park Stadyumu Sun, 17 May - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Trabzonspor TRA
Versus
Gençlerbirliği GSK
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 5:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Trabzonspor host Gençlerbirliği in Super Lig (Regular Season) at Medical Park Stadyumu. Domestically, Trabzonspor sit 3th in the table while Gençlerbirliği are 15th. Power ranking favours Trabzonspor by 22.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Trabzonspor commands a 22.5-point power advantage with 80.2 versus Gençlerbirliği's 57.75.
  • Form: Hosts lead in form at 31.11 compared to visitors' 11.61.
  • Squad: Third-placed Trabzonspor fields a stronger squad than 15th-placed Gençlerbirliği.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency statistics unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play insights limited by absent detailed metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data relies on low-confidence proxies for Trabzonspor and Gençlerbirliği.
  • xVariable: xG metrics unavailable as add-on disabled for this fixture.
  • Market: Trabzonspor 29.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.5% (Δ+0%) | Gençlerbirliği 44% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Trabzonspor F. Tekke
F. Tekke
VS
Gençlerbirliği V. Demirel
V. Demirel
2.1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Beşiktaş Rank: 78 W
Göztepe Rank: 73 D
Konyaspor Rank: 70 L
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 76 D
Alanyaspor Rank: 69 D
Galatasaray Rank: 87 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kasımpaşa Rank: 66 W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 62 L
Kocaelispor Rank: 65 W
Galatasaray Rank: 87 L
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 76 L
Göztepe Rank: 74 L
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 9 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Trabzonspor
29.58%
Draw
26.45%
Away Gençlerbirliği
43.97%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
80.2
57.75
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Trabzonspor
Gençlerbirliği
Power Score
80.2
57.75
League Position
3
15
Global Rank
57
307

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Trabzonspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Gençlerbirliği — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Trabzonspor Gençlerbirliği

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Trabzonspor TRA Home
31 matches
Gençlerbirliği GSK Away
Match Record
15
Wins
7
9
Draws
9
7
Losses
15
Goals
53
Goals Scored
35
35
Goals Conceded
53
+18
Goal Difference
-18

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:10:48+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Yıldırım
88 A. Yıldırım
O. Tufan
11 O. Tufan
C. Nwaiwu
27 C. Nwaiwu
S. Malkoçoğlu
74 S. Malkoçoğlu
M. Lövik
14 M. Lövik
B. Bouchouari
8 B. Bouchouari
C. Inao Oulaï
42 C. Inao Oulaï
O. Zubkov
22 O. Zubkov
E. Onuachu
30 E. Onuachu
A. Nwakaeme
9 A. Nwakaeme
M. Nayir
18 M. Nayir
Pitch
M. Silva Velho
24 M. Silva Velho
A. Dursun
77 A. Dursun
Ž. Žužek
4 Ž. Žužek
D. Goutas
6 D. Goutas
P. Almeida Lopes Pereira
13 P. Almeida Lopes Pereira
A. Dele-Bashiru
15 A. Dele-Bashiru
O. Ülgün
35 O. Ülgün
M. Mimaroğlu
10 M. Mimaroğlu
F. Tongya Heubang
70 F. Tongya Heubang
A. Malouda Traoré
20 A. Malouda Traoré
C. Çanak
99 C. Çanak

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Medical Park Stadyumu
Capacity :
40782
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

88
Ahmet Yıldırım
Ahmet Yıldırım Goalkeeper
6.27
18
Umut Nayir
Umut Nayir Centre Forward
6.71
22
Oleksandr Zubkov
Oleksandr Zubkov Right Wing
7.26
9
Anthony Nwakaeme
Anthony Nwakaeme Left Wing
6.78
27
Chibuike Nwaiwu
Chibuike Nwaiwu Right Back
7.33
14
Mathias Løvik
Mathias Løvik Left Back
6.6
11
Ozan Tufan
Ozan Tufan Right Back
6.95
30
Paul Onuachu
Paul Onuachu Attacking Midfield
7.26
42
Christ Inao Oulaï
Christ Inao Oulaï Defensive Midfield
7.18
8
Benjamin Bouchouari
Benjamin Bouchouari Defensive Midfield
6.53
74
Salih Malkoçoğlu
Salih Malkoçoğlu Left Back
6.82

Starting XI ▼

24
Ricardo Velho
Ricardo Velho Goalkeeper
6.98
99
Cihan Çanak
Cihan Çanak Centre Forward
6.65
4
Zan Zuzek
Zan Zuzek Left Back
6.84
6
Dimitrios Goutas
Dimitrios Goutas Right Back
6.95
10
Metehan Mimaroğlu
Metehan Mimaroğlu Left Wing
6.8
13
Pedro Pereira
Pedro Pereira Right Back
6.6
20
Adama Traoré
Adama Traoré Right Wing
6.65
35
Oğulcan Ülgün
Oğulcan Ülgün Defensive Midfield
6.85
15
Tom Dele-Bashiru
Tom Dele-Bashiru Defensive Midfield
6.78
70
Franco Tongya
Franco Tongya Attacking Midfield
6.75
77
Abdurrahim Dursun
Abdurrahim Dursun Left Back
6.59

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Trabzonspor holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Trabzonspor a 22.5-point edge. External projection is Trabzonspor 30.7%, draw 26.3%, and Gençlerbirliği 43%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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