Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Medical Park Stadyumu Sun, 17 May - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Trabzonspor TRA
0 Winner 3
Gençlerbirliği GSK
Full Time Sun, 17 May 5:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season
|
Goal
Metehan Mimaroğlu - 90+3'
Franco Tongya - 88'
Adama Traoré - 45'

CONTEXT

Trabzonspor hosted Gençlerbirliği in a match that concluded with a 0-3 final score after a 0-1 halftime. Trabzonspor held 63 percent possession compared to 37 percent for the visitors yet failed to convert territorial advantage into goals. Gençlerbirliği scored once before the interval and added two more in the second half to secure the win. The stronger team on paper was Trabzonspor but the outcome favored the away side. No red cards were shown to either team and expected goals figures were unavailable. A significant deviation from anticipated patterns was recorded with the result favoring Gençlerbirliği. The performance metrics indicated an efficiency shift that remained in line with observed play. The match highlighted how possession dominance does not always translate directly into scoring opportunities or positive results.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A significant deviation occurred as the away side achieved the 0-3 victory.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with the recorded possession and scoring patterns.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved consistent with pre-match indicators despite noted deviation.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals values were provided to compare against actual outcomes.
  • Event impact: The away team scored once before halftime and twice after to reach 0-3.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued so no distortion from dismissals took place.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Karaoğlan

Türkiye 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. Sesigüzel

1st Assistant

Türkiye

?. Gültekin

4th Official

Türkiye

S. Güz

2nd Assistant

Türkiye

League averages

Super Lig Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 25.07
Yellow cards / match 4.49
Red cards / match 0.21
Penalties / match 0.39
Trabzonspor F. Tekke
F. Tekke
VS
Gençlerbirliği M. Diyadin
M. Diyadin
2.1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Beşiktaş Rank: 78 W
Göztepe Rank: 73 D
Konyaspor Rank: 70 L
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 77 D
Alanyaspor Rank: 68 D
Galatasaray Rank: 86 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kasımpaşa Rank: 66 W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 62 L
Kocaelispor Rank: 65 W
Galatasaray Rank: 86 L
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 77 L
Göztepe Rank: 73 L
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 9 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Trabzonspor
36.32%
Draw
26.85%
Away Gençlerbirliği
36.83%

Movement

Changes since opening
Trabzonspor
+36.12%
Draw
+24.93%
Gençlerbirliği
-61.06%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
80.01
57.6
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Trabzonspor
Gençlerbirliği
Power Score
80.01
57.6
League Position
3
15
Global Rank
58
309

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Trabzonspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Gençlerbirliği — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Trabzonspor Gençlerbirliği

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Trabzonspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Gençlerbirliği

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Trabzonspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Gençlerbirliği
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Trabzonspor Gençlerbirliği
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Trabzonspor Gençlerbirliği
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Trabzonspor
Gençlerbirliği
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Trabzonspor
vs
Gençlerbirliği
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Trabzonspor Gençlerbirliği
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Trabzonspor 0.00
Gençlerbirliği 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Trabzonspor Gençlerbirliği
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Trabzonspor 0.00
Gençlerbirliği 0.00
Trabzonspor
Gençlerbirliği
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • TRA had peak pressure around 20'.
  • TRA started the game with stronger pressure.
TRA Pressure GSK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: TRA reached the top pressure at 20' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Trabzonspor TRA Home
31 matches
Gençlerbirliği GSK Away
Match Record
15
Wins
7
9
Draws
9
7
Losses
15
Goals
53
Goals Scored
35
35
Goals Conceded
53
+18
Goal Difference
-18

Data last updated: 2026-05-17T16:46:14+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
O. Çevikkan
Türkiye
25 O. Çevikkan
W. Cardoso Pina
Substitution
Portugal
20 W. Cardoso Pina
S. Malkoçoğlu
Türkiye
74 S. Malkoçoğlu
B. Başkan
Türkiye
80 B. Başkan
O. Tufan
Türkiye
11 O. Tufan
C. Inao Oulaï
Substitution
42 C. Inao Oulaï
B. Bouchouari
Morocco
8 B. Bouchouari
E. Onuachu
Nigeria
30 E. Onuachu
F. da Silva
Substitution
Brazil
99 F. da Silva
A. Nwakaeme
Substitution
Nigeria
9 A. Nwakaeme
M. Nayir
Türkiye
18 M. Nayir
Pitch
M. Silva Velho
Portugal
24 M. Silva Velho
M. Hanousek
Substitution
Czech Republic
23 M. Hanousek
Ž. Žužek
Slovenia
4 Ž. Žužek
D. Goutas
Greece
6 D. Goutas
P. Almeida Lopes Pereira
Portugal
13 P. Almeida Lopes Pereira
A. Dele-Bashiru
Nigeria
15 A. Dele-Bashiru
M. Mimaroğlu
Türkiye
10 M. Mimaroğlu
F. Tongya Heubang
Italy
70 F. Tongya Heubang
O. Ülgün
Türkiye
35 O. Ülgün
A. Malouda Traoré
Substitution
Mali
20 A. Malouda Traoré
C. Çanak
Substitution
Belgium
99 C. Çanak

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Medical Park Stadyumu
Capacity :
40782
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Atilla Karaoğlan
Ceyhun Sesigüzel
Ömer Faruk Gültekin
Suat Güz

Statistics

Possession
TRA
59%
GSK
41%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3
0 Big Chances Created 2
2 Shots 6
42 Dangerous attacks 41
63 Possession 37
5 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67
6 Successful Dribbles 8
7 Goal Kicks 9
19 Throwins 17
15 Dribble Attempts 12
8 Goal Attempts 7
62 Ball Safe 60
11 Successful Headers 5
1 Hit Woodwork 1
0 Assists 3
4 Substitutions 4

Attacking

105 Attacks 67
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

40 Long Passes 50
89 Successful Passes Percentage 81
28 Successful Long Passes 22
70 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44
537 Passes 313
479 Successful Passes 252
11 Key Passes 10

Defensive

6 Interceptions 15
17 Tackles 18
48 Duels Won 42
3 Saves 4

Build-up

23 Total Crosses 13
10 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

13 Fouls 14
5 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Atilla Karaoğlan

Starting XI ▼

25
Onuralp Çevikkan
Onuralp Çevikkan Goalkeeper
11
Ozan Tufan
Ozan Tufan Defender
6.95
20
Wagner Pina
Wagner Pina Defender
6.86
82
Y. Çubukcu
Y. Çubukcu
Midfielder80'
74
Salih Malkoçoğlu
Salih Malkoçoğlu Defender
6.82
80
Boran Başkan
Boran Başkan Defender
6.62
8
Benjamin Bouchouari
Benjamin Bouchouari Midfielder
6.53
9
Anthony Nwakaeme
Anthony Nwakaeme Midfielder
6.78
17
O. Çakıroğlu
O. Çakıroğlu
Attacker66'
30
Paul Onuachu
Paul Onuachu Midfielder
7.26
42
Christ Inao Oulaï
Christ Inao Oulaï Midfielder
7.18
92
Taha Emre İnce
Taha Emre İnce
Defender80'
6.46
99
Felipe Augusto
Felipe Augusto Midfielder
6.96
90
O. Ertem
O. Ertem
Midfielder66'
18
Umut Nayir
Umut Nayir Attacker
6.71
Referee : Atilla Karaoğlan

Starting XI ▼

24
Ricardo Velho
Ricardo Velho Goalkeeper
6.98
4
Zan Zuzek
Zan Zuzek Defender
6.84
6
Dimitrios Goutas
Dimitrios Goutas Defender
6.95
13
Pedro Pereira
Pedro Pereira Defender
6.6
23
Matej Hanousek
Matej Hanousek Defender
6.47
77
Abdurrahim Dursun
Abdurrahim Dursun
Defender81'
6.59
10
Metehan Mimaroğlu
Metehan Mimaroğlu Midfielder
6.8
15
Tom Dele-Bashiru
Tom Dele-Bashiru Midfielder
6.78
20
Adama Traoré
Adama Traoré Midfielder
6.65
88
Fıratcan Üzüm
Fıratcan Üzüm
Defender81'
6.58
35
Oğulcan Ülgün
Oğulcan Ülgün Midfielder
6.85
70
Franco Tongya
Franco Tongya Midfielder
6.75
99
Cihan Çanak
Cihan Çanak Attacker
6.65
42
Ousmane Diabate
Ousmane Diabate
Defender66'
6.94

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Metehan Mimaroğlu
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
Event
Ozan Tufan
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
89'
88'
Event
Franco Tongya
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
81'
Event
Abdurrahim Dursun → Matej Hanousek
6th Substitution
81'
Event
Fıratcan Üzüm → Adama Traoré
7th Substitution
Event
Y. Çubukcu → Wagner Pina
4th Substitution
80'
Event
Taha Emre İnce → Christ Inao Oulaï
5th Substitution
80'
Event
O. Ertem → Felipe Augusto
3rd Substitution
66'
Event
O. Çakıroğlu → Anthony Nwakaeme
1st Substitution
66'
66'
Event
Ousmane Diabate → Cihan Çanak
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Adama Traoré
Header / 1st Goal
32'
Event
Adama Traoré
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Var
18'

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Metehan Mimaroglu scores, making it 3-0.
88
Attempt Attempt
Franco Tongya takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
87
Attempt Attempt
Paul Onuachu has a left-footed shot, but it gets blocked.
87
Attempt Attempt
Benjamin Bouchouari takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
84
Attempt Attempt
Metehan Mimaroglu takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
84
Attempt Attempt
Mehmet Umut Nayir attempts a header but misses the shot.
81
Update Update
Firatcan Uzum comes on for Adama Traore.
81
Update Update
Abdurrahim Dursun comes on for Matej Hanousek.
80
Update Update
Yigithan Cubukcu comes on for Wagner Pina.
80
Update Update
Taha Ince is on, and Christ Inao Oulai is off.
76
Attempt Attempt
Adama Traore's header is saved.
68
Update Update
Ogulcan Ulgun's header is blocked.
66
Substitution Substitution
Ousmane Diabaté is substituted for Cihan Canak.
66
Update Update
Oguzhan Ertem comes on for Felipe Augusto.
66
Update Update
Onuralp Cakiroglu replaces Anthony Nwakaeme.
66
Update Update
Onuralp Cakiroglu replaces Anthony Nwakaeme.
66
Update Update
Oguzhan Ertem comes on for Felipe Augusto.
65
Attempt Attempt
Boran Baskan attempts a header but misses the shot.
59
Attempt Attempt
Paul Onuachu's header is saved.
50
Attempt Attempt
Metehan Mimaroglu takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Adama Traore takes a shot with his head and scores a goal.
43
Attempt Attempt
Metehan Mimaroglu takes a shot with his head, but it hits the post.
42
Attempt Attempt
Zan Zuzek takes a right-footed shot but misses.
39
Attempt Attempt
Ayotomiwa Dele Bashiru takes a right-footed shot but misses.
36
Attempt Attempt
Ogulcan Ulgun takes a left-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Franco Tongya's right-footed shot is blocked.
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Adama Traore receives a yellow card.
30
Attempt Attempt
Wagner Pina takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
20
Attempt Attempt
Paul Onuachu takes a shot with his head, but it hits the post.
18
Attempt Attempt
Benjamin Bouchouari takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
16
Attempt Attempt
Paul Onuachu attempts a header but misses the shot.
8
Attempt Attempt
Ogulcan Ulgun takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
7
Attempt Attempt
Mehmet Umut Nayir's header is saved.
6
Attempt Attempt
Paul Onuachu takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.

CONCLUSION

The 0-3 result demonstrated that Gençlerbirliği capitalized effectively on limited possession while Trabzonspor could not translate 63 percent ball control into meaningful chances. Halftime at 0-1 set the tone for a second half where the visitors extended their lead without reply. Absence of red cards kept the contest at eleven versus eleven throughout. With expected goals unavailable the analysis relies on possession splits and the clear scoring sequence. The significant deviation from expected patterns was realized by the away side yet overall efficiency stayed aligned with the flow of play. This outcome underscores how clinical finishing can outweigh territorial dominance in determining the final scoreline.

Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.