Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey

Medical Park Stadyumu Sat, 4 Apr - 5:00 PM

Super Lig

Trabzonspor TRA

Galatasaray GAL

Full Time Sat, 4 Apr 5:00 PM

Round 28 Regular Season

Chibuike Nwaiwu - 62'

Paul Onuachu - 4'

Wilfried Singo - 48'

CONTEXT

The match between Trabzonspor and Galatasaray has finished with a full-time score of 2-1 in favor of the home side. Trabzonspor established an early advantage, leading 1-0 at half-time before ultimately securing the victory. This outcome was not aligned with the pre-match market, which favored Galatasaray as the stronger team with a 44.1% probability of winning. Meanwhile, Trabzonspor entered with just a 29.3% chance of victory (and a 26.6% chance of a draw), resulting in a significant deviation toward the hosts. Despite the defeat, Galatasaray dominated the ball, finishing with 64% possession compared to Trabzonspor's 36%. Because expected goals (xG) data is unavailable for both sides, it cannot be determined whether the final scoreline was consistent with the underlying chance creation. However, the overall efficiency shift was noted to be in line with the match's flow. The fixture concluded without any red cards being issued, meaning major disciplinary events did not alter the numerical balance on the pitch. Ultimately, Trabzonspor effectively maximized their limited time on the ball to overcome the odds and defy the pre-match market.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Trabzonspor showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

C. Aydın

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Akarsu

4th Official

B. Duran

1st Assistant

S. Özay

2nd Assistant

F. Tekke

O. Buruk

2.26

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.26

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

12 - 10 - 21

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Trabzonspor

29.29%

Draw

26.59%

Galatasaray

44.11%

Team Power Ranking

80.46

89.27

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Trabzonspor

Galatasaray

Power Score

80.46

89.27

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Trabzonspor — Opponent-weighted form score

Galatasaray — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Trabzonspor Galatasaray

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Trabzonspor

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Galatasaray

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Trabzonspor ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Galatasaray

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

39.03

33.91

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

33.91

39.03

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Trabzonspor +0.52 Efficiency Index

Galatasaray -0.52 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Trabzonspor

Galatasaray

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Trabzonspor ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Galatasaray

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Trabzonspor Galatasaray

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Trabzonspor Galatasaray

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Trabzonspor

Galatasaray

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Trabzonspor

Galatasaray

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Trabzonspor Galatasaray

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Trabzonspor Galatasaray

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Trabzonspor

Galatasaray

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 43 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Trabzonspor TRA Home

43 matches

Galatasaray GAL Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-17

Goal Difference

+17

Data last updated: 2026-04-05T00:06:22+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

24 A. Onana

20 W. Cardoso Pina

15 S. Savić

27 C. Nwaiwu

19 M. Eskihellaç

11 O. Tufan

26 T. Jabol Folcarelli

22 O. Zubkov

99 F. da Silva

9 A. Nwakaeme

30 E. Onuachu

1 U. Çakır

4 I. Jakobs

42 A. Bardakcı

6 D. Sánchez Mina

90 W. Singo

99 M. Lemina

34 L. Torreira Di Pascua

77 N. Lang

11 Y. Akgün

53 B. Yılmaz

9 M. Icardi Rivero

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 04, 2026, 05:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey · Round 28 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Medical Park Stadyumu

Capacity :

40782

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Alper Akarsu

Bersan Duran

C. Aydın

Süleyman Özay

Statistics

Possession

TRA

40%

GAL

60%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1

2 Big Chances Created 2

7 Shots 11

21 Dangerous attacks 54

36 Possession 64

3 Corners 10

15 Free kicks 12

3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5

4 Injuries 1

10 Successful Headers 14

14 Goal Kicks 11

17 Dribble Attempts 19

11 Goal Attempts 10

72 Ball Safe 68

15 Throwins 22

47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53

2 Assists 1

8 Successful Dribbles 10

Attacking

60 Attacks 104

1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

77 Successful Passes Percentage 87

10 Key Passes 16

262 Passes 443

53 Long Passes 42

202 Successful Passes 387

26 Successful Long Passes 28

49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 67

Defensive

9 Interceptions 5

17 Tackles 16

49 Duels Won 51

2 Saves 1

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 37

5 Accurate Crosses 13

Discipline

3 Offsides 0

12 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : C. Aydın

Manager ▼

F. Tekke Coach

Starting XI ▼

André Onana Goalkeeper

Stefan Savic Defender

Mustafa Eskihellaç Defender

Salih Malkoçoğlu

Midfielder90+2'

Wagner Pina Defender

Chibuike Nwaiwu Defender

Anthony Nwakaeme Midfielder

Mathias Løvik

Defender79'

Ozan Tufan Midfielder

Umut Nayir

Attacker88'

Oleksandr Zubkov Midfielder

Okay Yokuşlu

Midfielder88'

Tim Jabol-Folcarelli Midfielder

Felipe Augusto Midfielder

Benjamin Bouchouari

Midfielder79'

Paul Onuachu Attacker

Substitutes ▼

Benjamin Bouchouari

Midfielder79'

Mathias Løvik

Defender79'

Umut Nayir

Attacker88'

Okay Yokuşlu

Midfielder88'

Salih Malkoçoğlu

Midfielder90+2'

Bench ▼

Onuralp Çevikkan Goalkeeper

Ahmet Yıldırım Goalkeeper

Taha Emre İnce Defender

O. Çakıroğlu Attacker

Referee : C. Aydın