Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Premier League, England
Premier League
Nottingham Forest NFOSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match has finished with a full-time score of Tottenham Hotspur 0, Nottingham Forest 2. This away victory represents a significant deviation from pre-match expectations. Entering the contest as the stronger team, Tottenham held a 40.4% market probability to win, compared to a 28.1% chance of a draw and a 31.5% chance for a Forest victory. Consequently, the final outcome did not align with the pre-match market, as the visitors defied the odds to secure the win. Despite the defeat, Tottenham controlled the match with 59% possession, leaving Nottingham Forest with just 41% of the ball. The final result was not consistent with expected goals (xG), as the hosts generated a slightly superior 1.41 xG compared to the visitors' 1.24 xG. Even though Spurs edged the underlying offensive metrics, they trailed 1-0 at halftime and ultimately failed to convert their chances. The match featured an efficiency shift that was completely in line with standard expectations, highlighting Forest’s clinical finishing on the day. Additionally, the game proceeded without any severe disciplinary impacts, as zero red cards were shown to either team.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Nottingham Forest showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
- Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
- xG alignment: The final outcome was contrary to expected goal differential.
- Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
- xG expectations: Diverging from xG expectations (Classify).
- Event impact: No major event distortion.
- Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Tottenham Hotspur
Nottingham ForestTeam Power Ranking
i
84.17
70.11
Tottenham Hotspur
Nottingham ForestForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Tottenham Hotspur
Nottingham Forest

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Tottenham Hotspur ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur Nottingham Forest
Tottenham Hotspur Nottingham Forest
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:24:37+00:00
STARTING XI
Tottenham Hotspur
Nottingham Forest























































General Information
Next Match

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Venue: Away

Nottingham Forest
vs

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League: Europa League
Kickoff: Thu, 9 Apr - 7:00 PM
Venue: Away
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Tottenham HotspurManager ▼

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Nottingham ForestManager ▼

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Bench ▼




Events
CONCLUSION
Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Match Commentary