Tondela vs Nacional Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio João Cardoso Sat, 25 Apr - 2:30 PM
Liga Portugal
Tondela CDT
0 Winner 2
Nacional CDN
Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 2:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season
|
Goal
Brayan Medina - 31' (Own Goal)
Jesús Ramírez - 22'

CONTEXT

Tondela hosted Nacional in a Liga Portugal 2 encounter, ending in a 0-2 defeat for the home side. Nacional, identified as the stronger team, scored both goals in the first half to establish a 0-2 halftime lead, which they preserved until full time. Tondela controlled possession at 62% compared to Nacional's 38%, yet failed to find the net. No red cards disrupted play, allowing a straightforward second half where Nacional focused on defensive solidity. The result exhibited minimal structural deviation of 2.1% in Nacional's favor, aligning with efficiency expectations. Market assessments proved accurate, reflecting Nacional's underlying strength despite Tondela's territorial advantage. This outcome underscores Nacional's clinical finishing against a possession-heavy but ineffective opponent.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Structural deviation measured minimal at 2.1% favoring Nacional.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed true with the final outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable due to absent metrics.
  • Event impact: No significant events or second-half adjustments impacted the match.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating any distortion effects.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

H. Azevedo Malheiro

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

H. Pires Ribeiro

2nd Assistant

F. Dinis Lima

4th Official

G. Soares Vaz Freire

1st Assistant

Tondela G. Feio
G. Feio
VS
Nacional T. Carvalho Margarido
T. Carvalho Margarido
0.76
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.82
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Porto Rank: L
Gil Vicente Rank: D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: L
AVS Rank: D
Rio Ave Rank: L
Santa Clara Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Alverca Rank: W
Benfica Rank: L
Estrela Amadora Rank: W
Famalicão Rank: L
Estoril Rank: L
Moreirense Rank: D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 1 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Tondela
0.2%
Draw
1.92%
Away Nacional
97.89%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
14.62
17.14
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Tondela
Nacional
Power Score
14.62
17.14
League Position
17
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Tondela — Opponent-weighted form score
Nacional — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Tondela Nacional

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Tondela

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Nacional

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Tondela ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nacional
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
42.18
49.74
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
49.74
42.18
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Tondela -0.73 Efficiency Index
vs
Nacional +0.73 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Tondela
Nacional
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Tondela ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nacional
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Tondela Nacional
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Tondela Nacional
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Tondela
Nacional
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Tondela
vs
Nacional
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Tondela Nacional
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Tondela 0.27
Nacional 0.45
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Tondela Nacional
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Tondela 0.05
Nacional 0.00
Tondela
Nacional
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CDT had peak pressure around 31'.
  • CDN started the game with stronger pressure.
CDT Pressure CDN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CDT reached the top pressure at 31' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Tondela CDT Home
9 matches
Nacional CDN Away
Match Record
3
Wins
5
1
Draws
1
5
Losses
3
Goals
12
Goals Scored
16
16
Goals Conceded
12
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:05:39+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
B. Parise Fontes
Brazil
31 B. Parise Fontes
R. Machado
Brazil
2 R. Machado
J. Antunes da Silva
Portugal
44 J. Antunes da Silva
B. Medina
Colombia
20 B. Medina
R. Fernandes Conceição
Substitution
Portugal
27 R. Fernandes Conceição
J. Hodge
Substitution
Republic of Ireland
10 J. Hodge
J. Rodríguez López
Ecuador
32 J. Rodríguez López
A. van der Heide
Substitution
Netherlands
26 A. van der Heide
H. Sequeira
Substitution
Portugal
79 H. Sequeira
M. Sie Ouattara
France
70 M. Sie Ouattara
M. Mesquita Lopes
Portugal
16 M. Mesquita Lopes
Pitch
K. Pereira Azarias
Brazil
1 K. Pereira Azarias
J. Mendes Gomes
Substitution
Portugal
5 J. Mendes Gomes
J. Lima Cardoso
Brazil
38 J. Lima Cardoso
L. Rodrigues dos Santos
Brazil
34 L. Rodrigues dos Santos
A. Núñez Duarte
Paraguay
16 A. Núñez Duarte
F. Barros Soares
Substitution
Portugal
22 F. Barros Soares
Matheus Dias
Brazil
6 Matheus Dias
P. Pereira da Silva
Brazil
11 P. Pereira da Silva
D. de Melo Araujo Junior
Substitution
Brazil
10 D. de Melo Araujo Junior
G. Fonseca de Souza
Substitution
Brazil
27 G. Fonseca de Souza
J. Ramírez Díaz
Venezuela
9 J. Ramírez Díaz

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 25, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estádio João Cardoso
Capacity :
30127
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Hugo André Pires Ribeiro
Hélder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro
Flávio Dinis Lima
Gonçalo Nuno Soares Vaz Freire

Statistics

Possession
CDT
58%
CDN
42%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 3
8 Shots 7
83 Dangerous attacks 38
62 Possession 38
8 Corners 7
15 Free kicks 16
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

12 Successful Dribbles 6
46 Successful Dribbles Percentage 46
4 Substitutions 4
31 Throwins 15
9 Goal Kicks 17
75 Ball Safe 64
12 Goal Attempts 10
26 Dribble Attempts 13
19 Successful Headers 16
0 Assists 1
2 Injuries 5

Attacking

94 Attacks 86
1 Big Chances Missed 3
0 Counter Attacks 2

Possession

449 Passes 275
24 Successful Long Passes 27
83 Successful Passes Percentage 67
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38
45 Long Passes 71
18 Key Passes 11
371 Successful Passes 184

Defensive

63 Duels Won 57
17 Tackles 20
5 Saves 5
12 Interceptions 12

Build-up

24 Total Crosses 19
4 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

16 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Hélder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro

Starting XI ▼

31
Bernardo
Bernardo Goalkeeper
6.93
2
Bebeto
Bebeto Defender
6.75
20
Brayan Medina
Brayan Medina Defender
6.75
27
Rodrigo Conceição
Rodrigo Conceição Defender
6.63
48
Tiago Manso
Tiago Manso
Defender38'
6.6
44
João Silva
João Silva Defender
6.8
10
Joe Hodge
Joe Hodge Midfielder
6.69
23
B. Kimpioka
B. Kimpioka
Attacker76'
6.59
26
Arjen van der Heide
Arjen van der Heide Midfielder
6.52
15
Yaya Sithole
Yaya Sithole
Midfielder61'
6.55
32
Juanse
Juanse Midfielder
6.68
70
Moudjatovic
Moudjatovic Midfielder
6.53
79
Hugo Félix
Hugo Félix Midfielder
6.73
90
Makan Aïko
Makan Aïko
Attacker61'
6.84
16
Rony Lopes
Rony Lopes Attacker
6.9
Referee : Hélder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro

Starting XI ▼

1
Kaique
Kaique Goalkeeper
6.97
5
José Gomes
José Gomes Defender
6.81
2
João Aurélio
João Aurélio
Defender90+1'
6.72
16
Alan Nuñez
Alan Nuñez Defender
6.73
34
Léo Santos
Léo Santos Defender
6.87
38
Ze Vitor
Ze Vitor Defender
7.01
6
Matheus Dias
Matheus Dias Midfielder
6.77
10
Daniel Jr
Daniel Jr Midfielder
6.7
18
André Sousa
André Sousa
Midfielder78'
6.73
11
Paulinho Bóia
Paulinho Bóia Midfielder
6.94
22
Filipe Soares
Filipe Soares Midfielder
6.49
26
Joel Silva
Joel Silva
Midfielder90+1'
6.54
27
Gabriel Veron
Gabriel Veron Midfielder
6.72
99
Pablo Ruan
Pablo Ruan
Attacker14'
6.65
9
Jesús Ramírez
Jesús Ramírez Attacker
7.2

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
João Aurélio → José Gomes
7th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Joel Silva → Filipe Soares
8th Substitution
Event
Makan Aïko
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
90'
78'
Event
André Sousa → Daniel Jr
6th Substitution
Event
B. Kimpioka → Joe Hodge
5th Substitution
76'
64'
Event
Jesús Ramírez
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Yaya Sithole → Arjen van der Heide
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Makan Aïko → Hugo Félix
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Tiago Manso
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
58'
1ST-HALF
Event
Tiago Manso → Rodrigo Conceição
2nd Substitution
38'
31'
Event
Brayan Medina
Header / 1st Own Goal
22'
Event
Jesús Ramírez
Header / 1st Goal
14'
Event
Pablo Ruan → Gabriel Veron
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Foul committed by Sphephelo Sithole of Tondela.
90
Attempt Attempt
Chuchu Ramírez from CD Nacional misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from the left side of the six-yard box, sending it too high after a fast break.
90
Corner Corner
Makan Aiko's header from the center of the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Kaique. The attempt was assisted by Rony Lopes with a cross.
90
Update Update
Filipe Soares from CD Nacional wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Zé Vítor from CD Nacional takes a left-footed shot from over 35 yards.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Makan Aiko of Tondela.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Makan Aiko from Tondela receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 8 minutes of added time.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for CD Nacional: Joel Silva comes on for Filipe Soares.
90
Update Update
Rony Lopes from Tondela wins a free kick on the right wing.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tondela after a concession by Alan Núñez.
90
Corner Corner
Tondela wins a corner after Zé Vítor concedes.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 8 minutes of added time.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for CD Nacional: João Aurélio comes on for José Gomes.
90
Update Update
Foul by João Aurélio of CD Nacional.
90
Update Update
Moudjatovic Ouattara from Tondela wins a free kick in the attacking half.
90
Attempt Attempt
Rony Lopes from Tondela misses the attempt with a left-footed shot from outside the box, sending it too high from a direct free kick.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Tondela losing 0-2 to CD Nacional.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tondela after a concession by Pablo Ruan.
90
Update Update
Foul by Joel Silva of CD Nacional.
90
Update Update
João Aurélio of CD Nacional is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
89
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. Rony Lopes from Tondela has a right-footed shot from outside the box that is blocked.
85
Update Update
Matheus Dias from CD Nacional wins a free kick in the defensive half.
85
Update Update
Foul committed by Rony Lopes of Tondela.
82
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Kaique from CD Nacional.
81
Update Update
Moudjatovic Ouattara from Tondela wins a free kick on the right wing.
81
Update Update
Foul committed by José Gomes of CD Nacional.
80
Update Update
Foul by José Gomes of CD Nacional.
80
Update Update
Moudjatovic Ouattara from Tondela wins a free kick in the defensive half.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for CD Nacional: André Sousa comes on for Daniel Júnior.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tondela: Benjamin Kimpioka comes on for Joe Hodge.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tondela after Léo Santos concedes.
75
Corner Corner
Tondela wins a corner after Pablo Ruan concedes.
75
Update Update
José Gomes from CD Nacional wins a free kick in the defensive half.
75
Update Update
Foul committed by João Silva of Tondela.
74
Update Update
Foul committed by José Gomes of CD Nacional.
74
Update Update
Moudjatovic Ouattara from Tondela wins a free kick on the right wing.
74
Update Update
José Gomes' header from the center of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Filipe Soares' cross.
73
Corner Corner
CD Nacional wins a corner after Joe Hodge concedes.
72
Update Update
Léo Santos from CD Nacional wins a free kick in the defensive half.
72
Update Update
Foul by Matheus Dias of CD Nacional.
72
Update Update
João Silva from Tondela wins a free kick in the defensive half.
72
Update Update
Foul committed by Tiago Manso of Tondela.
71
Update Update
Foul committed by Juanse of Tondela.
71
Update Update
Daniel Júnior from CD Nacional wins a free kick in the attacking half.
71
Update Update
Foul committed by João Silva of Tondela.
71
Update Update
Paulinho Bóia from CD Nacional wins a free kick on the left wing.
70
Attempt Attempt
Tiago Manso from Tondela misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box.
68
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to José Gomes of CD Nacional.
66
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Chuchu Ramírez of CD Nacional.
66
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Brayan Medina of Tondela.
64
Update Update
Foul committed by Chuchu Ramírez of CD Nacional.
64
Update Update
Rony Lopes wins a free kick for Tondela in the attacking half.
64
Corner Corner
Tondela wins a corner after Zé Vítor concedes.
64
Corner Corner
Tondela wins a corner after Zé Vítor concedes.
64
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Chuchu Ramírez of CD Nacional receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
63
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Júnior's left-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the center of the goal by Bernardo Fontes. The attempt was assisted by Pablo Ruan.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tondela: Makan Aiko comes on for Hugo Félix.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tondela: Sphephelo Sithole comes on for Arjen van der Heide.
60
Update Update
Foul committed by Léo Santos of CD Nacional.
60
Update Update
Bebeto from Tondela wins a free kick in the defensive half.
58
Update Update
Foul committed by Tiago Manso of Tondela.
58
Update Update
Alan Núñez from CD Nacional wins a free kick on the right wing.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tiago Manso from Tondela receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
56
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Ruan's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
55
Update Update
Foul committed by João Silva of Tondela.
55
Update Update
Foul committed by Juanse of Tondela.
55
Update Update
Paulinho Bóia from CD Nacional wins a free kick in the defensive half.
55
Update Update
Filipe Soares from CD Nacional wins a free kick in the defensive half.
52
Attempt Attempt
Filipe Soares from CD Nacional misses a left-footed shot from outside the box, sending it just to the right. Daniel Júnior provided the assist.
51
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Paulinho Bóia from CD Nacional has a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved in the top center of the goal by Bernardo Fontes from Tondela, with an assist from Matheus Dias.
51
Attempt Attempt
Rony Lopes from Tondela misses the attempt with a left-footed shot from outside the box, sending it high and wide to the left. He was assisted by Arjen van der Heide.
49
Update Update
Offside called against CD Nacional. Paulinho Bóia is the player caught offside.
49
Attempt Attempt
Rony Lopes from Tondela has a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it is blocked.
48
Attempt Attempt
Rony Lopes from Tondela has a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it is blocked.
48
Attempt Attempt
Joe Hodge's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the top center of the goal by Kaique.
47
Attempt Attempt
Tiago Manso's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked.
47
Attempt Attempt
Rony Lopes from Tondela has his right-footed shot from outside the box saved in the center of the goal by Kaique from CD Nacional.
46
Update Update
Foul committed by João Silva of Tondela.
46
Update Update
Chuchu Ramírez of CD Nacional wins a free kick in the attacking half.
46
Corner Corner
Matheus Dias from CD Nacional has his left-footed shot from outside the box saved in the bottom right corner by Bernardo Fontes from Tondela.
46
Attempt Attempt
Chuchu Ramírez of CD Nacional has a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it is blocked. Daniel Júnior provided the assist.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Paulinho Bóia of CD Nacional.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Juanse of Tondela.
45
Update Update
First half ends with Tondela 0, CD Nacional 2.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Rony Lopes of Tondela.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Joe Hodge of Tondela.
45
Update Update
Chuchu Ramírez of CD Nacional wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
Filipe Soares from CD Nacional wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
Pablo Ruan from CD Nacional wins a free kick on the right wing.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 5 minutes of added time.
45
Update Update
Rony Lopes from Tondela wins a free kick on the right wing.
45
Update Update
First half ends with Tondela trailing CD Nacional 0-2.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the match at Tondela 0, CD Nacional 2.
40
Update Update
Arjen van der Heide of Tondela is caught offside.
39
Update Update
Bernardo Fontes from Tondela wins a free kick in the defensive half.
39
Update Update
Foul committed by Léo Santos of CD Nacional.
39
Update Update
Foul committed by Daniel Júnior of CD Nacional.
39
Update Update
Tiago Manso from Tondela wins a free kick in the defensive half.
39
Attempt Attempt
Léo Santos of CD Nacional had a header from the left side of the box, but it was saved in the top center of the goal by Bernardo Fontes of Tondela. The assist was provided by Alan Núñez with a cross.
38
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Rodrigo Conceição from Tondela.
38
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tondela: Tiago Manso comes on for Rodrigo Conceição due to an injury.
37
Corner Corner
CD Nacional wins a corner after Rodrigo Conceição concedes.
36
Update Update
Juanse from Tondela wins a free kick in the defensive half.
36
Update Update
Foul by Chuchu Ramírez of CD Nacional.
35
Update Update
Rodrigo Conceição from Tondela is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
35
Update Update
Foul committed by Pablo Ruan of CD Nacional.
34
Attempt Attempt
Juanse from Tondela misses a right-footed shot from outside the box, going close but just to the right. Rodrigo Conceição provided the assist.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to CD Nacional after Joe Hodge concedes.
31
Update Update
Brayan Medina scores an own goal for Tondela. The score is now Tondela 0, CD Nacional 2.
31
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Ruan's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Daniel Júnior.
30
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Kaique of CD Nacional.
28
Attempt Attempt
Arjen van der Heide from Tondela misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, sending it high and wide to the right. Moudjatovic Ouattara provided the assist.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tondela after a concession by José Gomes.
26
Attempt Attempt
Hugo Félix's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Rony Lopes from Tondela has a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it is blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Brayan Medina's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved by Kaique in the center of the goal. The attempt was assisted by Hugo Félix with a cross.
25
Attempt Attempt
Bebeto's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Moudjatovic Ouattara.
24
Corner Corner
CD Nacional wins a corner after Bebeto concedes.
24
Attempt Attempt
Joe Hodge's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
24
Attempt Attempt
Rony Lopes from Tondela has a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Juanse.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to CD Nacional after a foul by Brayan Medina.
22
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Ruan's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! CD Nacional takes the lead 1-0 against Tondela. Chuchu Ramírez scores with a header from the center of the box, assisted by Daniel Júnior's cross after a corner.
21
Attempt Attempt
Rony Lopes from Tondela misses a left-footed shot from the center of the box, just to the left. He was assisted by Arjen van der Heide.
17
Update Update
Rodrigo Conceição from Tondela wins a free kick in the defensive half.
17
Update Update
Foul by Pablo Ruan of CD Nacional.
17
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Paulinho Bóia from CD Nacional has a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it's saved in the top left corner by Bernardo Fontes from Tondela. The assist comes from Matheus Dias.
14
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for CD Nacional: Pablo Ruan comes on for Gabriel Veron due to an injury.
14
Update Update
Foul committed by Matheus Dias of CD Nacional.
14
Update Update
Hugo Félix from Tondela wins a free kick on the left wing.
11
Attempt Attempt
Chuchu Ramírez from CD Nacional has a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it is blocked.
10
Attempt Attempt
Paulinho Bóia's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
10
Corner Corner
José Gomes of CD Nacional misses a header from the center of the box, sending it to the right. Zé Vítor provided the assist with a headed pass after a corner.
9
Update Update
Paulinho Bóia from CD Nacional wins a free kick on the left wing.
9
Update Update
Foul committed by Brayan Medina of Tondela.
9
Corner Corner
CD Nacional wins a corner after Bernardo Fontes concedes.
9
Corner Corner
Matheus Dias from CD Nacional had a header from close range, but it was saved in the top right corner by Bernardo Fontes from Tondela. The assist came from Daniel Júnior with a cross.
4
Update Update
Foul committed by João Silva of Tondela.
4
Update Update
Paulinho Bóia from CD Nacional wins a free kick in the attacking half.
3
Attempt Attempt
Arjen van der Heide from Tondela misses the attempt with a left-footed shot from outside the box that goes too high. Joe Hodge provided the assist.
3
Attempt Attempt
Chuchu Ramírez's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Paulinho Bóia's cross.
2
Corner Corner
CD Nacional wins a corner after Rodrigo Conceição concedes.

CONCLUSION

Nacional secured a composed 0-2 victory away at Tondela, converting first-half opportunities into a lead they defended astutely. Tondela's superior possession failed to translate into scoring threat, highlighting Nacional's superior efficiency. The minimal 2.1% structural deviation and market alignment validate the result's predictability based on team strengths. Absence of red cards ensured the scoreline reflected pure performance dynamics. This win bolsters Nacional's standing, while Tondela must address conversion issues from dominance. Overall, the match exemplified control over chaos in lower-tier Portuguese football.

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