Tondela vs Gil Vicente Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente GVFCSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
The match between Tondela and Gil Vicente is finished with a full-time score of 2-2. The teams were level at 1-1 at half-time, and both sides traded goals in an open contest without any red cards to alter the balance. Pre-match expectations positioned Gil Vicente as the stronger team and clear favorites for victory. The draw therefore counts as a significant deviation, particularly for Gil Vicente, who were unable to convert their expected superiority into a win. Possession stayed remarkably balanced, with Tondela holding 52 percent and Gil Vicente 48 percent, yet this even share did not translate into a decisive edge for either side. The efficiency shift stayed in line with broader patterns, but the final result did not align with the pre-match projection that anticipated an away win. Tondela defended resolutely to earn a point against their stronger opponents, while Gil Vicente will reflect on a missed opportunity to dominate proceedings.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Gil Vicente showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
- Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
- xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
- Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
- xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
- Event impact: No major event distortion.
- Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
M. Monteiro Fonseca
Other match officials
J. Ferreira Martins
1st Assistant
H. Tavares dos Santos
2nd Assistant
J. Costa Teixeira Afonso
4th Official


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Tondela
Gil VicenteMovement
Changes since opening
Tondela
Gil VicenteTeam Power Ranking
i
17.86
18.18
Tondela
Gil VicenteForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Tondela
Gil Vicente

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Tondela ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Tondela ⚠ Proxy
Tondela Gil Vicente
Tondela Gil Vicente
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Tondela
Tondela Gil Vicente


Tondela Gil Vicente


PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- GVFC had peak pressure around 30'.
- CDT started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-04-14T00:01:58+00:00
STARTING XI
Tondela
Gil Vicente





















































General Information
Next Match

Tondela
vs

Porto
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Sun, 19 Apr - 7:30 PM
Venue: Estádio Do Dragão

Gil Vicente
vs

Vitória Guimarães
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Sat, 18 Apr - 7:30 PM
Venue: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
TondelaManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼




Gil VicenteManager ▼

Starting XI ▼














Substitutes ▼



Bench ▼






Events
CONCLUSION
Tondela vs Gil Vicente preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Match Commentary