Telstar vs PSV Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
BUKO Stadion Sun, 22 Mar - 3:45 PM
Eredivisie
Telstar TEL
3 Winner 1
PSV PSV
Full Time Sun, 22 Mar 3:45 PM
Round 28 Regular Season
Kay Tejan - 74'
Sem van Duijn - 66'
Patrick Brouwer - 45+3'
Goal
|
Goal
Kiliann Sildillia - 47'
|
Red Card Anass Salah-Eddine 39'

CONTEXT

The match is now finished, with Telstar securing a surprising 2-1 full-time victory over PSV after holding a 1-0 lead at half-time. This unexpected result represents a significant deviation in favor of Telstar compared to pre-match expectations. Heading into the fixture, the market heavily backed the stronger PSV side with a 63.7% win probability, giving Telstar just an 18.4% chance to win, alongside a 17.9% chance of a draw. Ultimately, the final outcome was not aligned with the pre-match market, nor was it consistent with the expected goals (xG). PSV narrowly edged the offensive metrics, generating 1.70 xG compared to Telstar's 1.66 xG. The visitors also controlled a slight majority of the play, holding 52% possession to the hosts' 48%. Despite these narrow statistical advantages for the losing side, the match's efficiency shift was recorded as being in line with standard expectations. A defining factor in the contest was the red card issued to PSV. Playing with ten men created a noticeable red card distortion that severely hampered the visitors' second-half efforts, allowing Telstar to maintain their advantage and claim a massive upset.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Telstar showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was contrary to expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Diverging from xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Telstar A. Correia
A. Correia
VS
PSV P. Bosz
P. Bosz
0.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.72
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
SC Heerenveen Rank: 68 L
Fortuna Sittard Rank: 63 W
NAC Breda Rank: 55 W
Feyenoord Rank: 75 L
FC Twente Rank: 75 D
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 65 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
SC Heerenveen Rank: 70 W
FC Volendam Rank: 59 L
FC Groningen Rank: 66 W
Feyenoord Rank: 75 W
NAC Breda Rank: 55 D
Fortuna Sittard Rank: 63 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Telstar
18.35%
Draw
17.93%
Away PSV
63.72%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
52.56
85.46
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Telstar
PSV
Power Score
52.56
85.46
League Position
14
1
Global Rank
423
32

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Telstar — Opponent-weighted form score
PSV — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Telstar PSV

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Telstar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

PSV

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Telstar ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy PSV
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
30.73
40.67
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
40.67
30.73
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Telstar -1.05 Efficiency Index
vs
PSV +1.05 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Telstar
PSV
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Telstar
vs
PSV
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Telstar PSV
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Telstar PSV
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Telstar
PSV
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Telstar TEL Home
1 matches
PSV PSV Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
2
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:24:57+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
R. Koeman Jr.
Netherlands
1 R. Koeman Jr.
N. Ogidi Nwankwo
Netherlands
14 N. Ogidi Nwankwo
D. Koswal
Substitution
Netherlands
21 D. Koswal
D. Bakker
Netherlands
6 (C) D. Bakker
G. Alders
Substitution
Netherlands
3 G. Alders
T. Owusu
Substitution
Netherlands
8 T. Owusu
C. Hatenboer
23 C. Hatenboer
P. Brouwer
Substitution
Netherlands
27 P. Brouwer
J. Hardeveld
Netherlands
2 J. Hardeveld
S. van Duijn
Netherlands
37 S. van Duijn
S. Hetli
Substitution
Netherlands
7 S. Hetli
Pitch
M. Kovář
Czech Republic
32 M. Kovář
A. Salah-Eddine
Netherlands
2 A. Salah-Eddine
A. Obispo
Netherlands
4 A. Obispo
R. Flamingo
Netherlands
6 R. Flamingo
K. Sildillia
France
25 K. Sildillia
I. Saibari Ben El Basra
Morocco
34 I. Saibari Ben El Basra
G. Til
Substitution
Netherlands
20 G. Til
J. Schouten
Substitution
Netherlands
22 (C) J. Schouten
I. Perišić
Substitution
Croatia
5 I. Perišić
R. Pepi
Substitution
9 R. Pepi
D. Man
Substitution
Romania
27 D. Man

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 22, 2026, 03:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 28 · Regular Season
Stadium :
BUKO Stadion
Capacity :
3200
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Marco Ribbink
Halis Murat Kucukerbir
Marc Nagtegaal
Richard Martens

Statistics

Possession
TEL
46%
PSV
54%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 3
8 Shots 12
35 Dangerous attacks 63
48 Possession 52
1 Corners 12
4 Free kicks 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 58
19 Dribble Attempts 19
10 Goal Kicks 11
20 Throwins 13
9 Successful Dribbles 11
7 Successful Headers 16
84 Ball Safe 91
11 Goal Attempts 12
2 Assists 1
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

92 Attacks 96
1 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

41 Long Passes 47
388 Passes 402
11 Key Passes 14
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 55
78 Successful Passes Percentage 85
302 Successful Passes 340
15 Successful Long Passes 26

Defensive

4 Interceptions 7
15 Tackles 16
7 Saves 5

Build-up

9 Total Crosses 30
2 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
5 Fouls 4

Lineup

Referee : Marc Nagtegaal

Starting XI ▼

1
Ronald Koeman Jr.
Ronald Koeman Jr. Goalkeeper
8.01
6
Danny Bakker
Danny Bakker (C) Defender
7.06
14
Neville Ogidi Nwankwo
Neville Ogidi Nwankwo Defender
6.42
21
Devon Koswal
Devon Koswal Defender
6.17
30
Kay Tejan
Kay Tejan
Attacker73'
7.02
2
Jeff Hardeveld
Jeff Hardeveld Midfielder
7.01
3
Gerald Alders
Gerald Alders Midfielder
6.52
11
Tyrese Noslin
Tyrese Noslin
Defender46'
6.95
8
Tyrone Owusu
Tyrone Owusu Midfielder
6.45
29
Dion Malone
Dion Malone
Defender84'
6.46
23
Cedric Hatenboer
Cedric Hatenboer Midfielder
6.75
27
Patrick Brouwer
Patrick Brouwer Midfielder
8.33
28
Rojendro Oudsten
Rojendro Oudsten
Attacker88'
7
Soufiane Hetli
Soufiane Hetli Attacker
6.81
9
Jelani Seedorf
Jelani Seedorf
Attacker73'
6.54
37
Sem van Duijn
Sem van Duijn Attacker
8.2
Referee : Marc Nagtegaal

Starting XI ▼

32
Matej Kovar
Matej Kovar Goalkeeper
7.13
2
Anass Salah-Eddine
Anass Salah-Eddine Defender
5.94
4
Armando Obispo
Armando Obispo Defender
6.88
6
Ryan Flamingo
Ryan Flamingo Defender
6.65
25
Kiliann Sildillia
Kiliann Sildillia Defender
7.29
20
Guus Til
Guus Til Midfielder
6.48
17
Mauro Júnior
Mauro Júnior
Defender46'
6.58
22
Jerdy Schouten
Jerdy Schouten (C) Midfielder
6.79
23
Joey Veerman
Joey Veerman
Midfielder75'
6.63
34
Ismael Saibari
Ismael Saibari Midfielder
7
5
Ivan Perišić
Ivan Perišić Attacker
7.08
19
Esmir Bajraktarevic
Esmir Bajraktarevic
Attacker75'
6.75
9
Ricardo Pepi
Ricardo Pepi Attacker
6.96
21
Myron Boadu
Myron Boadu
Attacker66'
6.86
27
Dennis Man
Dennis Man Attacker
6.45
11
Couhaib Driouech
Couhaib Driouech
Attacker46'
6.63

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Rojendro Oudsten → Patrick Brouwer
10th Substitution
88'
Event
Dion Malone → Tyrone Owusu
9th Substitution
84'
82'
Event
Ismael Saibari
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
75'
Event
Esmir Bajraktarevic → Ivan Perišić
7th Substitution
75'
Event
Joey Veerman → Jerdy Schouten
8th Substitution
Event
Kay Tejan
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
74'
Event
Jelani Seedorf → Soufiane Hetli
5th Substitution
73'
Event
Kay Tejan → Devon Koswal
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Sem van Duijn
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
66'
66'
Event
Myron Boadu → Ricardo Pepi
4th Substitution
Event
Devon Koswal
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
53'
47'
Event
Kiliann Sildillia
Header / 2nd Goal
Event
Tyrese Noslin → Gerald Alders
3rd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Couhaib Driouech → Dennis Man
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Mauro Júnior → Guus Til
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Patrick Brouwer
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
45+3'
39'
Event
Anass Salah-Eddine
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to PSV Eindhoven after Tyrese Noslin allowed the ball to go out.
90
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to PSV Eindhoven, following a defensive play by Jeff Hardeveld.
90
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to PSV Eindhoven after Tyrese Noslin allowed the ball to go out of play.
90
Update Update
Offside call against PSV Eindhoven. Ismael Saibari has been flagged for being in an offside position.
90
Attempt Attempt
The attempt was thwarted. Sem van Duijn from Telstar took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it was blocked. The play was set up by Cedric Hatenboer.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded, with the final score being Telstar 3, PSV Eindhoven 1.
90
Attempt Attempt
A shot was thwarted. Armando Obispo from PSV Eindhoven had a header from the middle of the penalty area that was blocked, with assistance from Ryan Flamingo.
90
Update Update
PSV Eindhoven is flagged for offside. Ismael Saibari has been caught in an offside position.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 4 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to PSV Eindhoven after Sem van Duijn allowed the ball to go out of play.
90
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Ismael Saibari from PSV Eindhoven takes a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The attempt was set up by Esmir Bajraktarevic.
90
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity. Ryan Flamingo of PSV Eindhoven took a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it went wide to the right after a corner kick.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Telstar: Rojendro Oudsten comes on to take the place of Patrick Brouwer.
87
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Couhaib Driouech of PSV Eindhoven tries a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The attempt was set up by Mauro Júnior, who provided a header.
86
Attempt Attempt
Shot on goal denied. Myron Boadu of PSV Eindhoven takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the box, but Ronald Koeman from Telstar makes a save right in the center of the goal. The attempt was set up by Kiliann Sildillia, who provided a headed assist.
85
Update Update
Myron Boadu of PSV Eindhoven earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
85
Update Update
Myron Boadu from PSV Eindhoven earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Telstar: Dion Malone comes on to take the place of Tyrone Owusu.
84
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Danny Bakker from Telstar heads the ball over the bar from the center of the box. The chance was set up by a cross from Jeff Hardeveld after a corner kick.
83
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Telstar, following a concession by Matej Kovár.
83
Corner Corner
Shot on goal denied. Tyrese Noslin from Telstar took a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but Matej Kovár of PSV Eindhoven made a great save in the top right corner, with an assist from Sem van Duijn.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ismael Saibari from PSV Eindhoven receives a yellow card.
81
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Tyrese Noslin from Telstar takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it sails high and wide to the left.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to PSV Eindhoven after Cedric Hatenboer allowed the ball to go out.
77
Update Update
Cedric Hatenboer from Telstar commits a foul.
77
Update Update
Ismael Saibari from PSV Eindhoven earns a free kick in the offensive half of the field.
76
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to PSV Eindhoven after Danny Bakker allowed the ball to go out of play.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to PSV Eindhoven after Danny Bakker allowed the ball to go out.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for PSV Eindhoven: Esmir Bajraktarevic comes on to take the place of Ivan Perisic.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Telstar leads 3-1 against PSV Eindhoven. Kay Tejan scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, placing it perfectly into the bottom right corner.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Telstar: Kay Tejan comes on to take the place of Devon Koswal.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Telstar: Jelani Seedorf comes on to take the place of Soufiane Hetli.
71
Attempt Attempt
A shot on goal was thwarted. Cedric Hatenboer from Telstar took a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but Matej Kovár of PSV Eindhoven made a save right in the middle of the goal, with assistance from Sem van Duijn.
71
Attempt Attempt
The shot is blocked. Soufiane Hetli from Telstar takes a left-footed strike from the middle of the penalty area, but Matej Kovár from PSV Eindhoven makes a save right in the center of the goal, with assistance from Patrick Brouwer.
69
Update Update
Kiliann Sildillia from PSV Eindhoven commits a foul.
69
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Mauro Júnior from PSV Eindhoven took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide to the right.
69
Update Update
Patrick Brouwer from Telstar earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
66
Update Update
The pause has ended. They’re set to resume play now.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Telstar takes the lead with a score of 2-1 against PSV Eindhoven. Sem van Duijn scores with a powerful right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, placing the ball into the bottom left corner of the net. The assist comes from Patrick Brouwer.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for PSV Eindhoven: Myron Boadu comes on to take the place of Ricardo Pepi.
64
Update Update
The game is currently paused due to an injury to Matej Kovár from PSV Eindhoven.
63
Attempt Attempt
Shot on goal denied. Ismael Saibari from PSV Eindhoven takes a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but the goalkeeper makes the save.
63
Update Update
Ryan Flamingo from PSV Eindhoven commits a foul.
63
Update Update
Soufiane Hetli from Telstar earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
62
Corner Corner
A shot on goal is blocked. Sem van Duijn from Telstar takes a right-footed attempt from the center of the penalty area, but Matej Kovár of PSV Eindhoven makes a save in the bottom left corner, with assistance from Patrick Brouwer.
61
Attempt Attempt
A shot on goal has been blocked. Tyrese Noslin from Telstar took a left-footed attempt from the middle of the box, but Matej Kovár of PSV Eindhoven managed to save it in the upper center of the net, with assistance from Soufiane Hetli.
55
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Couhaib Driouech from PSV Eindhoven took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide.
55
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Couhaib Driouech from PSV Eindhoven takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it goes over the bar and to the right.
54
Update Update
Foul committed by Tyrese Noslin of Telstar.
54
Update Update
Couhaib Driouech from PSV Eindhoven earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
53
Update Update
Ricardo Pepi from PSV Eindhoven earns a free kick on the right flank.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Devon Koswal from Telstar receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
53
Update Update
Foul committed by Devon Koswal of Telstar.
52
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Cedric Hatenboer from Telstar took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the goal and to the right. The assist came from Sem van Duijn.
50
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to PSV Eindhoven after Jeff Hardeveld allowed the ball to go out of play.
50
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity. Ryan Flamingo of PSV Eindhoven heads the ball from the left side of the six-yard box, but it goes just wide to the left. The chance was set up by a cross from Ivan Perisic after a corner kick.
50
Attempt Attempt
Shot on goal denied. Couhaib Driouech from PSV Eindhoven takes a right-footed attempt from the left side of the penalty area, but Ronald Koeman from Telstar makes a save right in the middle of the goal, with assistance from Mauro Júnior.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! It's now 1-1 between Telstar and PSV Eindhoven. Kiliann Sildillia scores with a close-range header into the bottom right corner, thanks to a cross from Ivan Perisic after a corner kick.
46
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to PSV Eindhoven after Danny Bakker allowed the ball to go out.
45
Update Update
Dennis Man from PSV Eindhoven commits a foul.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Neville Ogidi Nwankwo of Telstar.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score at Telstar 1, PSV Eindhoven 0.
45
Update Update
The first half concludes with Telstar leading PSV Eindhoven 1-0.
45
Update Update
Jeff Hardeveld from Telstar earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
45
Update Update
Ricardo Pepi from PSV Eindhoven earns a free kick on the left side of the field.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Telstar takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against PSV Eindhoven. Patrick Brouwer scored with a left-footed shot from the left side of the six-yard box, sending the ball into the top center of the net. The goal was set up by Sem van Duijn, who provided a headed assist after a set piece.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for PSV Eindhoven: Mauro Júnior comes on to take the place of Guus Til.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Telstar: Tyrese Noslin comes on to take the place of Gerald Alders.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for PSV Eindhoven: Couhaib Driouech comes on to take the place of Dennis Man.
39
Update Update
Gerald Alders from Telstar has been awarded a free kick in the opponent's half.
39
Red Card Red Card Important
Anass Salah-Eddine from PSV Eindhoven receives a red card for unsportsmanlike behavior.
39
Update Update
Anass Salah-Eddine from PSV Eindhoven commits a foul.
38
Update Update
The match is currently paused due to an injury to Kiliann Sildillia from PSV Eindhoven.
38
Update Update
The pause has ended. They’re set to resume play now.
37
Corner Corner
A shot was stopped. Armando Obispo from PSV Eindhoven directed a header from the right side of the six-yard area, but Ronald Koeman from Telstar made a save in the top right corner. The chance was set up by a cross from Ivan Perisic.
37
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to PSV Eindhoven after a play that resulted in a deflection off Gerald Alders.
28
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
28
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
27
Update Update
The game is currently paused due to an injury to Armando Obispo from PSV Eindhoven.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to PSV Eindhoven after Danny Bakker allowed the ball to go out.
23
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to PSV Eindhoven after a deflection off Gerald Alders.
22
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
22
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Ismael Saibari from PSV Eindhoven.
20
Update Update
Offside call against PSV Eindhoven. Guus Til has been flagged for being in an offside position.
20
Attempt Attempt
Blocked attempt! Ricardo Pepi of PSV Eindhoven had a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it was intercepted. The assist came from Ismael Saibari.
15
Corner Corner
A shot on goal was blocked. Ismael Saibari from PSV Eindhoven took a left-footed strike from the left side of the penalty area, but Ronald Koeman from Telstar managed to save it, diving to the bottom right corner. The attempt was set up by Matej Kovár.
13
Update Update
Offside call against Telstar. Patrick Brouwer has been flagged for being offside.
8
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Ismael Saibari from PSV Eindhoven took a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it went just wide to the right. He was set up by Jerdy Schouten.
6
Attempt Attempt
A shot on goal has been blocked. Kiliann Sildillia from PSV Eindhoven directed a header from the right side of the six-yard box, but Ronald Koeman from Telstar made a save in the top center of the net. The assist came from Jerdy Schouten, who provided a headed pass.
5
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to PSV Eindhoven after Gerald Alders allowed the ball to go out of play.
4
Update Update
Offside call against Telstar. Sem van Duijn has been flagged for offside.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Telstar exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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