Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Stadium of Light Fri, 24 Apr - 7:00 PM
Premier League
Sunderland SUN
0 Winner 5
Nottingham Forest NFO
Full Time Fri, 24 Apr 7:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season
|
Goal
Elliot Anderson - 90+5'
Igor Jesus - 37'
Morgan Gibbs-White - 34'
Chris Wood  - 31'
Trai Hume - 17' (Own Goal)

CONTEXT

Nottingham Forest produced a clinical performance to defeat Sunderland 0-5 at the Stadium of Light, scoring four goals by halftime for a 0-4 lead. Despite Sunderland controlling 61% possession against Forest's 39%, the visitors demonstrated superior finishing and defensive organization, preventing any response from the hosts. No red cards were issued, ensuring an uninterrupted flow to the match with no second-half adjustments noted. Pre-match evaluations viewed both teams as evenly matched, but Forest's execution led to a 65% structural deviation classified as significant in their favor. Designated as the stronger team beforehand, Forest capitalized fully on their opportunities, resulting in a comprehensive victory that highlighted tactical discipline and ruthlessness.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Nottingham Forest's 0-5 win marked a 65% structural deviation from pre-match expectations, rated as significant.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with pre-match assessments throughout the contest.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevented assessment of outcome alignment with expected goals.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with pre-match market evaluations.
  • xG expectations: Lack of xG data made it impossible to evaluate performance against expected goals.
  • Event impact: No major events occurred to alter match dynamics significantly.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion to the scoreline from disciplinary actions.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

D. England

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

P. Tierney

4th Official

A. Howson

2nd Assistant

S. Ledger

1st Assistant

Sunderland R. Le Bris
R. Le Bris
VS
Nottingham Forest V. de Oliveira Lopes Pereira
V. de Oliveira Lopes Pereira
1.28
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.24
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aston Villa Rank: L
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: W
Newcastle United Rank: W
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: L
Leeds United Rank: W
AFC Bournemouth Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Burnley Rank: W
Aston Villa Rank: D
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: W
Fulham Rank: D
Manchester City Rank: D
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sunderland
35.04%
Draw
29.93%
Away Nottingham Forest
35.04%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sunderland
+33.61%
Draw
+26.24%
Nottingham Forest
-59.84%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.68
35.25
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
Power Score
22.68
35.25
League Position
11
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sunderland — Opponent-weighted form score
Nottingham Forest — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sunderland Nottingham Forest

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sunderland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Nottingham Forest

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sunderland ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nottingham Forest
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.84
29.74
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.74
29.84
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sunderland +0.01 Efficiency Index
vs
Nottingham Forest -0.01 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sunderland ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nottingham Forest
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sunderland Nottingham Forest
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sunderland Nottingham Forest
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sunderland
vs
Nottingham Forest
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sunderland Nottingham Forest
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sunderland 0.17
Nottingham Forest 0.31
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sunderland Nottingham Forest
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sunderland 0.16
Nottingham Forest 0.00
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SUN had peak pressure around 91'.
  • SUN started the game with stronger pressure.
SUN Pressure NFO Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SUN reached the top pressure at 91' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sunderland SUN Home
4 matches
Nottingham Forest NFO Away
Match Record
3
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
3
Goals
4
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
4
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:02:05+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
R. Roefs
Netherlands
22 R. Roefs
N. Mukiele Mulere
France
20 N. Mukiele Mulere
D. Ballard
Northern Ireland
5 D. Ballard
O. Alderete Fernández
Paraguay
15 O. Alderete Fernández
T. Hume
Northern Ireland
32 T. Hume
G. Xhaka
Switzerland
34 G. Xhaka
N. Sadiki
Belgium
27 N. Sadiki
C. Rigg
Substitution
England
11 C. Rigg
M. Diarra
Substitution
France
19 M. Diarra
E. Le Fée
France
28 E. Le Fée
B. Brobbey
Netherlands
9 B. Brobbey
Pitch
M. Sels
Belgium
26 M. Sels
N. Williams
Wales
3 N. Williams
J. da Cunha Filho
Substitution
Brazil
23 J. da Cunha Filho
N. Milenković
Serbia
31 N. Milenković
T. Olaoluwa Aina
Nigeria
34 T. Olaoluwa Aina
M. Gibbs-White
England
10 M. Gibbs-White
E. Anderson
England
8 E. Anderson
I. Sangaré
Substitution
Ivory Coast
6 I. Sangaré
O. Giraud-Hutchinson
Substitution
Jamaica
21 O. Giraud-Hutchinson
C. Wood
Substitution
New Zealand
11 C. Wood
I. da Cruz
Substitution
Brazil
19 I. da Cruz

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 24, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadium of Light
Capacity :
48707
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Paul Tierney
Darren England
Akil Howson
Scott Ledger

Statistics

Possession
SUN
59%
NFO
41%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 5
1 Big Chances Created 3
7 Shots 6
84 Dangerous attacks 32
61 Possession 39
3 Corners 6
16 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

21 Throwins 16
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 43
20 Dribble Attempts 7
3 Goal Kicks 7
9 Successful Dribbles 3
15 Successful Headers 19
0 Assists 3
2 Substitutions 5
79 Ball Safe 71
1 Injuries 2
7 Goal Attempts 7

Attacking

109 Attacks 71

Possession

81 Successful Passes Percentage 71
354 Successful Passes 194
22 Successful Long Passes 20
435 Passes 272
42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41
53 Long Passes 49
8 Key Passes 6

Defensive

10 Interceptions 9
2 Saves 4
49 Duels Won 48
9 Tackles 14

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 16
4 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

13 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Darren England

Starting XI ▼

22
Robin Roefs
Robin Roefs Goalkeeper
7.01
5
Dan Ballard
Dan Ballard Defender
7
15
Omar Alderete
Omar Alderete Defender
6.87
20
Nordi Mukiele
Nordi Mukiele Defender
7.01
32
Trai Hume
Trai Hume Defender
6.79
11
Chris Rigg
Chris Rigg Midfielder
6.74
17
Reinildo Mandava
Reinildo Mandava
Defender46'
6.73
19
Habib Diarra
Habib Diarra Midfielder
6.73
18
Wilson Isidor
Wilson Isidor
Attacker65'
6.64
27
Noah Sadiki
Noah Sadiki Midfielder
6.73
28
Enzo Le Fée
Enzo Le Fée Midfielder
6.95
34
Granit Xhaka
Granit Xhaka Midfielder
7.11
9
Brian Brobbey
Brian Brobbey Attacker
6.7
Referee : Darren England

Starting XI ▼

26
Matz Sels
Matz Sels Goalkeeper
6.74
3
Neco Williams
Neco Williams Defender
6.96
23
Jair Cunha
Jair Cunha Defender
6.61
4
Morato
Morato
Defender50'
6.78
31
Nikola Milenković
Nikola Milenković Defender
6.73
34
Ola Aina
Ola Aina Defender
6.8
6
Ibrahim Sangaré
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder
6.86
16
Nicolás Domínguez
Nicolás Domínguez
Midfielder46'
6.77
8
Elliot Anderson
Elliot Anderson Midfielder
7.23
10
Morgan Gibbs-White
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder
7.01
21
Omari Hutchinson
Omari Hutchinson Midfielder
6.83
25
Luca Netz
Luca Netz
Defender67'
6.55
11
Chris Wood
Chris Wood Attacker
6.81
9
Taiwo Awoniyi
Taiwo Awoniyi
Attacker88'
6.64
19
Igor Jesus
Igor Jesus Attacker
6.75
22
Ryan Yates
Ryan Yates
Midfielder67'
6.63

Events

2ND-HALF
90+5'
Event
Elliot Anderson
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
88'
Event
Taiwo Awoniyi  → Chris Wood 
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Ryan Yates 
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
Event
Granit Xhaka
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
75'
69'
Event
Neco Williams
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
67'
Event
Luca Netz → Omari Hutchinson 
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Ryan Yates  → Igor Jesus
6th Substitution
Event
Wilson Isidor → Habib Diarra
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Dan Ballard
Goal disallowed
63'
60'
Event
Igor Jesus
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
58'
Event
Elliot Anderson
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Habib Diarra
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
51'
51'
Event
Nicolás Domínguez
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
50'
Event
Morato → Jair Cunha 
3rd Substitution
Event
Reinildo Mandava → Chris Rigg
2nd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Nicolás Domínguez → Ibrahim Sangaré
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
37'
Event
Igor Jesus
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
34'
Event
Morgan Gibbs-White
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
31'
Event
Chris Wood 
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
17'
Event
Trai Hume
Header / 1st Own Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Foul committed by Enzo Le Fée of Sunderland.
90
Update Update
Wilson Isidor from Sunderland wins a free kick on the left wing.
90
Update Update
Ola Aina from Nottingham Forest wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 7 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Ola Aina from Nottingham Forest wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Ryan Yates of Nottingham Forest.
90
Update Update
Nikola Milenkovic wins a free kick for Nottingham Forest in the defensive half.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nottingham Forest scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box by Elliot Anderson. The score is now Sunderland 0, Nottingham Forest 5.
90
Update Update
Nicolás Domínguez from Nottingham Forest wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Sunderland losing 0-5 to Nottingham Forest.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Taiwo Awoniyi comes on for Chris Wood.
87
Corner Corner
Enzo Le Fée's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the top left corner by Matz Sels.
87
Corner Corner
Sunderland win a corner after Matz Sels concedes.
87
Corner Corner
Attempt missed. Brian Brobbey of Sunderland heads the ball from the center of the box, but it goes high and wide to the right. Enzo Le Fée provided the assist with a cross following a corner.
87
Attempt Attempt
Omar Alderete's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Brian Brobbey.
85
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Wilson Isidor from Sunderland has his right-footed shot from outside the box saved.
83
Update Update
Foul by Luca Netz for Nottingham Forest.
83
Update Update
Nordi Mukiele from Sunderland wins a free kick in the defensive half.
82
Attempt Attempt
Trai Hume's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Noah Sadiki.
81
Update Update
Foul committed by Nicolás Domínguez of Nottingham Forest.
81
Update Update
Granit Xhaka wins a free kick for Sunderland on the right wing.
80
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Omar Alderete from Sunderland.
78
Corner Corner
Sunderland is awarded a corner after Nikola Milenkovic concedes.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ryan Yates from Nottingham Forest receives a yellow card for a foul.
76
Attempt Attempt
Omar Alderete from Sunderland misses the attempt with a left-footed shot from outside the box that goes too high after a set piece situation.
75
Update Update
Foul committed by Ryan Yates of Nottingham Forest.
75
Attempt Attempt
Granit Xhaka from Sunderland attempts a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes close and misses to the right.
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Granit Xhaka from Sunderland receives a yellow card.
75
Update Update
Nordi Mukiele wins a free kick for Sunderland in the attacking half.
70
Update Update
Foul committed by Dan Ballard of Sunderland.
70
Attempt Attempt
Enzo Le Fée's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
70
Update Update
Ryan Yates of Nottingham Forest wins a free kick in the defensive half.
70
Update Update
Ryan Yates from Nottingham Forest wins a free kick in the defensive half.
69
Update Update
Reinildo Mandava wins a free kick for Sunderland in the defensive half.
69
Update Update
Foul committed by Neco Williams of Nottingham Forest.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Neco Williams of Nottingham Forest receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Ryan Yates comes on for Igor Jesus.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Luca Netz comes on for Omari Hutchinson.
65
Update Update
Matz Sels from Nottingham Forest wins a free kick in the defensive half.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: Wilson Isidor comes on for Habib Diarra.
63
Update Update
VAR is checking a goal by Dan Ballard for Sunderland.
63
Update Update
VAR decision: No goal. The match remains Sunderland 0, Nottingham Forest 4.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Sunderland 1, Nottingham Forest 4. Dan Ballard scores for Sunderland with a header from very close range into the top right corner, assisted by Nordi Mukiele after a set piece.
60
Update Update
Reinildo Mandava wins a free kick for Sunderland in the attacking half.
60
Update Update
Foul committed by Igor Jesus of Nottingham Forest.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Igor Jesus of Nottingham Forest receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
59
Update Update
Nordi Mukiele of Sunderland is caught offside.
59
Update Update
Brian Brobbey of Sunderland wins a free kick in the attacking half.
59
Update Update
Foul by Nikola Milenkovic for Nottingham Forest.
58
Update Update
Enzo Le Fée wins a free kick for Sunderland on the right wing.
58
Update Update
Foul committed by Elliot Anderson of Nottingham Forest.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Elliot Anderson of Nottingham Forest receives a yellow card for a foul.
57
Attempt Attempt
Omar Alderete's right-footed shot from over 40 yards on the right wing is saved.
56
Update Update
Chris Wood is caught offside for Nottingham Forest.
54
Update Update
Enzo Le Fée wins a free kick for Sunderland in the defensive half.
54
Update Update
Foul committed by Igor Jesus of Nottingham Forest.
53
Update Update
Elliot Anderson from Nottingham Forest wins a free kick in the defensive half.
53
Update Update
Foul committed by Habib Diarra of Sunderland.
52
Update Update
Trai Hume from Sunderland wins a free kick in the defensive half.
52
Update Update
Foul committed by Morgan Gibbs-White of Nottingham Forest.
51
Update Update
Foul by Nicolás Domínguez for Nottingham Forest.
51
Update Update
Habib Diarra from Sunderland wins a free kick in the defensive half.
51
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Habib Diarra from Sunderland receives a yellow card.
51
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nicolás Domínguez of Nottingham Forest receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
49
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Jair Cunha of Nottingham Forest.
48
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Jair Cunha of Nottingham Forest.
47
Update Update
Jair Cunha from Nottingham Forest is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
47
Update Update
Foul committed by Brian Brobbey of Sunderland.
46
Update Update
Omari Hutchinson from Nottingham Forest wins a free kick in the defensive half.
46
Update Update
Foul by Noah Sadiki of Sunderland.
45
Update Update
First half ends with Sunderland trailing Nottingham Forest 0-4.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Sunderland 0, Nottingham Forest 4.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 3 minutes of added time.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: Reinildo Mandava comes on for Chris Rigg.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Sunderland 0, Nottingham Forest 4.
44
Update Update
Noah Sadiki wins a free kick for Sunderland on the left wing.
44
Update Update
Noah Sadiki from Sunderland wins a free kick in the attacking half.
43
Update Update
Ola Aina from Nottingham Forest wins a free kick in the defensive half.
43
Update Update
Foul committed by Enzo Le Fée of Sunderland.
43
Update Update
Foul committed by Chris Rigg of Sunderland.
43
Update Update
Jair Cunha of Nottingham Forest wins a free kick in the defensive half.
41
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Omari Hutchinson from Nottingham Forest.
40
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Habib Diarra of Sunderland.
40
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Omari Hutchinson of Nottingham Forest.
40
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Habib Diarra of Sunderland.
40
Attempt Attempt
Granit Xhaka's right-footed shot from outside the box misses the target.
39
Update Update
Elliot Anderson commits a foul for Nottingham Forest.
39
Update Update
Habib Diarra wins a free kick for Sunderland in the attacking half.
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nottingham Forest leads Sunderland 4-0 as Igor Jesus scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the bottom right corner after a set piece.
37
Attempt Attempt
Ola Aina's left-footed shot from outside the box for Nottingham Forest is blocked.
36
Update Update
Omari Hutchinson from Nottingham Forest wins a free kick on the right wing.
36
Update Update
Foul committed by Noah Sadiki of Sunderland.
34
Corner Corner
Nottingham Forest wins a corner after Nordi Mukiele concedes.
34
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nottingham Forest leads 3-0 with Morgan Gibbs-White scoring a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the bottom left corner, assisted by Igor Jesus with a headed pass after a corner.
31
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nottingham Forest leads 2-0 with Chris Wood scoring from the center of the box with a left-footed shot, assisted by Morgan Gibbs-White.
30
Corner Corner
Nottingham Forest wins a corner after Nordi Mukiele concedes.
28
Corner Corner
Nottingham Forest wins a corner after Trai Hume concedes.
28
Attempt Attempt
Morgan Gibbs-White's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Neco Williams provided the assist.
27
Update Update
Foul by Noah Sadiki of Sunderland.
27
Update Update
Ibrahim Sangaré from Nottingham Forest wins a free kick in the attacking half.
26
Attempt Attempt
Enzo Le Fée's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
26
Update Update
Omar Alderete from Sunderland misses the attempt with a header from the center of the box, sending it too high after a set piece situation.
25
Update Update
Enzo Le Fée wins a free kick for Sunderland in the attacking half.
25
Update Update
Enzo Le Fée wins a free kick for Sunderland in the attacking half.
22
Attempt Attempt
Chris Wood's left-footed shot from outside the box is saved.
20
Update Update
Foul committed by Omar Alderete for Sunderland.
20
Update Update
Omari Hutchinson from Nottingham Forest wins a free kick on the right wing.
19
Attempt Attempt
Noah Sadiki's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Nordi Mukiele.
17
Update Update
Own goal by Trai Hume for Sunderland. The score is Sunderland 0, Nottingham Forest 1.
16
Corner Corner
Nottingham Forest wins a corner after Trai Hume concedes.
14
Corner Corner
Sunderland wins a corner after Elliot Anderson concedes.
13
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Omari Hutchinson from Nottingham Forest has a left-footed shot from the right side of the box, but it's saved in the bottom left corner by Robin Roefs from Sunderland, assisted by Igor Jesus.
11
Corner Corner
Nottingham Forest wins a corner after Trai Hume concedes.
8
Attempt Attempt
Chris Rigg's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is saved.
6
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Noah Sadiki from Sunderland.
5
Update Update
Foul committed by Omari Hutchinson of Nottingham Forest.
5
Update Update
Noah Sadiki wins a free kick for Sunderland in the defensive half.
3
Corner Corner
Nottingham Forest wins a corner after Omar Alderete concedes.
3
Corner Corner
Nottingham Forest win a corner after Omar Alderete concedes.
3
Corner Corner
Neco Williams of Nottingham Forest misses a right-footed shot from the left side of the box after a corner.

CONCLUSION

Nottingham Forest's 0-5 triumph over Sunderland, including a 0-4 halftime lead, exposed the hosts' inability to convert 61% possession into scoring chances. Forest's lower possession did not hinder their output, reflecting strong conversion efficiency in line with expectations. The absence of red cards or other disruptions allowed pure tactical execution, with the result showing a significant 65% deviation favoring the visitors despite even pre-match views. Market alignment held true, reinforcing Forest's stronger team status. Without xG metrics, deeper chance quality insights are limited, but the scoreline underscores Forest's dominance and Sunderland's defensive collapse.

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