Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Premier League, England
Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion BHASTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Sunderland and Brighton & Hove Albion has officially finished, with Brighton securing a 1-0 away victory following a scoreless first half. Going into the fixture, Brighton & Hove Albion were favored by the pre-match market with a 44.9% win probability, compared to Sunderland's 27.5%. The final result successfully aligned with these market expectations. Despite Sunderland being classified as the generally stronger team, the away victory represented a significant deviation level (55.1%) driven by Brighton's winning performance. Play on the pitch was tightly contested. Brighton controlled a narrow possession advantage of 52% against Sunderland's 48%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for both teams in this fixture, meaning no concrete conclusion could be drawn regarding whether the 1-0 outcome was consistent with underlying chance creation. The match's overall efficiency shift remained strictly in line with projections. Furthermore, it was a disciplined affair; with zero red cards issued to either side, Brighton & Hove Albion were able to execute their game plan and claim the victory without any major disciplinary events impacting the final result.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Brighton & Hove Albion showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
- Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
- xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
- Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
- xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
- Event impact: No major event distortion.
- Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
T. Kirk
Other match officials
E. Smart
1st Assistant
B. Antrobus
2nd Assistant
S. Barrott
4th Official


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Sunderland
Brighton & Hove AlbionTeam Power Ranking
i
80.29
72.5
Sunderland
Brighton & Hove AlbionForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Sunderland
Brighton & Hove Albion

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Sunderland ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Sunderland
Sunderland Brighton & Hove Albion
Sunderland Brighton & Hove Albion
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:01:17+00:00
STARTING XI
Sunderland
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General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
SunderlandManager ▼

Starting XI ▼














Substitutes ▼



Bench ▼






Brighton & Hove AlbionManager ▼

Starting XI ▼















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Bench ▼





Events
CONCLUSION
Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Match Commentary