Stoke City vs Portsmouth Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Championship, England
Championship
Portsmouth PTMSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
Stoke City fell to a 1-3 defeat against Portsmouth at home, with the visitors taking control after a 0-1 halftime lead. Portsmouth, deemed the stronger side pre-match, capitalized on their slight 52% possession edge to secure a comfortable victory. Stoke managed 48% of the ball but struggled to convert chances, trailing from the first half and unable to mount a significant comeback. No red cards disrupted play, allowing the game to flow naturally without major interruptions. The final score reflected Portsmouth's dominance, as they extended their lead in the second half through clinical finishing. This result underscores Portsmouth's tactical superiority on the day, maintaining pressure throughout while Stoke's defense faltered under sustained attacks. The minimal adjustments needed highlight a straightforward execution of game plans by the winners.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Portsmouth's win featured minimal structural deviation of 2.1%.
- Efficiency shift: Teams performed in line with efficiency expectations.
- xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
- Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market positioning.
- xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
- Event impact: No key events significantly influenced the match outcome.
- Red card distortion: Zero red cards resulted in no scoreline distortion.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
D. Webb
Other match officials
D. Williams
1st Assistant
D. Leach
2nd Assistant
M. Woods
4th Official


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Stoke City
PortsmouthTeam Power Ranking
i
12.81
27.69
Stoke City
PortsmouthForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Stoke City
Portsmouth

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Stoke City ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Stoke City ⚠ Proxy
Stoke City Portsmouth
Stoke City Portsmouth
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Stoke City
Stoke City Portsmouth


Stoke City Portsmouth


PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- STK had peak pressure around 50'.
- STK started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:04:38+00:00
STARTING XI
Stoke City
Portsmouth






















































General Information
Next Match

Stoke City
vs

Bristol City
League: Championship
Kickoff: Sat, 2 May - 11:30 AM
Venue: Ashton Gate Stadium

Portsmouth
vs

Birmingham City
League: Championship
Kickoff: Sat, 2 May - 11:30 AM
Venue: Fratton Park
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Stoke CityManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼




PortsmouthManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼




Events
CONCLUSION
Stoke City vs Portsmouth preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
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Match Commentary