Stjarnan vs Víkingur Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Samsung völlurinn Today - 7:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Stjarnan Stjarnan
3 Winner 1
Víkingur Víkingur
Full Time Today 7:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2
Emil Atlason - 78' (P), 66', 42' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Aron Benjaminsen - 12'

CONTEXT

Stjarnan hosted Vikingur in the second leg of a two-legged knockout tie and secured a 3-1 victory to claim the tie. The sides were level at 1-1 after the first half. Stjarnan controlled 63 percent of possession while Vikingur held 37 percent. No red cards were shown to either side. Pre-match indicators had assigned Stjarnan a 53.8 percent probability of winning, yet the observed outcome produced a 46.2 percent deviation that was classified as significant and attributed to the home side. Efficiency metrics remained in line with the broader performance pattern. The absence of expected goals figures prevented direct assessment of underlying chance creation. The final scoreline of 3-1 reflected Stjarnan completing the comeback in the second half.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Stjarnan 3-1 Víkingur. Stjarnan showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with observed match dynamics.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be evaluated because expected goals data were unavailable.
  • Market alignment: The final result stayed aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be formed due to missing underlying metrics.
  • Event impact: The contest as leg two of two shaped the second-half adjustments observed.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were recorded and therefore produced no disciplinary distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Aslam

Norway 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

A. Rossland

1st Assistant

Norway

O. Skogsrud Haukåsen

2nd Assistant

Norway

M. Lien

4th Official

Norway

League averages

Europa Conference League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 13.04
Yellow cards / match 2.62
Red cards / match 0.09
Penalties / match 0.15
Stjarnan J. Elísabetarson
J. Elísabetarson
VS
Víkingur J. Poulsen
J. Poulsen
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Stjarnan
53.82%
Draw
20.76%
Away Víkingur
25.43%

Movement

Changes since opening
Stjarnan
-43.5%
Draw
+18.85%
Víkingur
+24.66%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Stjarnan
Víkingur
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Stjarnan — Opponent-weighted form score
Víkingur — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Stjarnan Víkingur

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Stjarnan

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Víkingur

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Stjarnan ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Víkingur
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Stjarnan Víkingur
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
2.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Stjarnan Víkingur
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 2.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Stjarnan
Víkingur
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Stjarnan
vs
Víkingur
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Stjarnan Víkingur
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Stjarnan 0.00
Víkingur 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Stjarnan Víkingur
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Stjarnan 0.00
Víkingur 0.00
Stjarnan
Víkingur
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Stjarnan had peak pressure around 79'.
  • Víkingur started the game with stronger pressure.
Stjarnan Pressure Víkingur Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Stjarnan reached the top pressure at 79' (68.23).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Stjarnan Stjarnan Home
0 matches
Víkingur Víkingur Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-06T00:06:25+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Jul 09, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2
Stadium :
Samsung völlurinn
Capacity :
1440
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Mohammad Usman Aslam
Alf Olav Rossland
Ole Andreas Skogsrud Haukåsen
Marius Lien

Statistics

Possession
Stjarnan
59%
Víkingur
41%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
10 Shots 3
108 Dangerous attacks 57
63 Possession 37
9 Corners 4
12 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

85 Ball Safe 74
2 Penalties 0
14 Goal Attempts 5
3 Substitutions 3
15 Throwins 20
1 Assists 1

Attacking

135 Attacks 96

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 15

Squad

Referee : Mohammad Usman Aslam

Squad ▼

12
Árni Snær Ólafsson
Árni Snær Ólafsson Goalkeeper
95
Sveinn Sigurður Jóhannesson
Sveinn Sigurður Jóhannesson Goalkeeper
1
Darri Bergmann Gylfason
Darri Bergmann Gylfason Goalkeeper
31
Damil Dankerlui
Damil Dankerlui Defender
5
Guðmundur Kristjánsson
Guðmundur Kristjánsson Defender
2
Heiðar Ægisson
Heiðar Ægisson Defender
6
Sindri Thor Ingimarsson
Sindri Thor Ingimarsson Defender
3
Gustav Kjeldsen
Gustav Kjeldsen Defender
4
Thorri Mar Thórisson
Thorri Mar Thórisson Defender
32
Örvar Logi Örvarsson
Örvar Logi Örvarsson Defender
78
Bjarki Hauksson
Bjarki Hauksson Defender
29
Alex Þór Hauksson
Alex Þór Hauksson Midfielder
19
Daníel Finns Matthíasson
Daníel Finns Matthíasson Midfielder
8
Jóhann Árni Gunnarsson
Jóhann Árni Gunnarsson Midfielder
23
Benedikt Waren
Benedikt Waren Midfielder
18
Guðmundur Baldvin Nökkvason
Guðmundur Baldvin Nökkvason Midfielder
21
Ibrahim Turay
Ibrahim Turay Midfielder
22
Emil Atlason
Emil Atlason Attacker
3
14
Birnir Snær Ingason
Birnir Snær Ingason Attacker
99
Andri Rúnar Bjarnason
Andri Rúnar Bjarnason Attacker
7
Örvar Eggertsson
Örvar Eggertsson Attacker
37
Haukur Brink
Haukur Brink Attacker
Referee : Mohammad Usman Aslam

Squad ▼

23
Niklas Thomsen
Niklas Thomsen Goalkeeper
1
Bárður Á Reynatrøð
Bárður Á Reynatrøð Goalkeeper
—
Bergur Gregersen
Bergur Gregersen Defender
18
Arnbjørn Svensson
Arnbjørn Svensson Defender
14
Ingi Jonhardsson
Ingi Jonhardsson Defender
—
Signar á Brúnni
Signar á Brúnni Defender
29
Ingi Arngrímsson
Ingi Arngrímsson Defender
—
Áki Magnussen
Áki Magnussen Defender
24
Jósef Ólavsson Gleðisheygg
Jósef Ólavsson Gleðisheygg Defender
—
Jónatan Lervig
Jónatan Lervig Defender
10
Sølvi Vatnhamar
Sølvi Vatnhamar Midfielder
7
Jákup Johansen
Jákup Johansen Midfielder
8
Aron Jarnskor Ellingsgaard
Aron Jarnskor Ellingsgaard Midfielder
6
Arnór Brandsson
Arnór Brandsson Midfielder
77
Kaj Leo í Bartalsstovu
Kaj Leo í Bartalsstovu Attacker
9
Jörgin Nielsen
Jörgin Nielsen Attacker
27
Rani Hansen
Rani Hansen Attacker
11
Mikkel Hyllegaard
Mikkel Hyllegaard Attacker
17
Aron Benjaminsen
Aron Benjaminsen Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
J. Jarnskor
6th Yellowcard
Event
Alex Þór Hauksson → Benedikt Warén
6th Substitution
88'
Event
Sindri Þór Ingimarsson → Guðmundur Kristjánsson
7th Substitution
88'
88'
Event
→ Aron Benjaminsen
5th Substitution
Event
Þorri Mar Þórisson
5th Yellowcard
84'
83'
Event
K. í Bartalsstovu → Jákup Johansen
4th Substitution
Event
Daníel Finns Matthíasson → Örvar Eggertsson
3rd Substitution
81'
79'
Event
Jákup Martin Jarnskor → Arnór Brandsson
2nd Substitution
Event
Emil Atlason
Penalty / 2nd Penalty
78'
Event
G. Kjeldsen
4th Yellowcard
72'
67'
Event
Aron Benjaminsen
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Emil Atlason
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
66'
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Sölvi Vatnhamar
2nd Yellowcard
Event
Emil Atlason
Penalty / 1st Penalty
42'
37'
Event
Jákup Johansen
1st Yellowcard
Event
Þorri Mar Þórisson → Heidar Aegisson
1st Substitution
24'
12'
Event
Aron Benjaminsen
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Jakup Jarnskor.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Update Update
Filip Djordjevic comes on for Aron Benjaminsen.
88
Update Update
Andri Runar Bjarnason is on, and Benedikt Waren is off.
88
Update Update
Sindri Thor Ingimarsson is on, and Gudmundur Kristjansson is off.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Update Update
Kaj Leo Bartalsstovu is on, and Jakup Johansen is off.
81
Update Update
On comes Daniel Finns Matthiasson, off goes Orvar Eggertsson.
79
Update Update
Jákup Martin Jarnskor is on, and Arnor Brandsson is off.
78
Update Update
Goal! The score is now 3-1.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Emil Atlason scores, making it 3-1.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Gustav Kjeldsen receives a yellow card.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Aron Benjaminsen.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Emil Atlason scores to make it 2-1, assisted by Benedikt Waren.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
42
Update Update
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
42
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Emil Atlason scores, making it 1-1.
37
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
24
Update Update
On Thorri Thorisson, off Heidar Aegisson.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

Stjarnan completed a 3-1 home win over Vikingur after trailing at the interval. Possession dominance at 63 percent supported their ability to turn the scoreline around without the complication of dismissals. The significant deviation from pre-match positioning highlighted an underestimation of the home side's capacity to impose control after the break. With no expected goals available, performance evaluation relied on observable metrics such as territory and the clean disciplinary record. The outcome remained consistent with market alignment while efficiency stayed steady throughout. As the second leg, the fixture rewarded the side that better managed the tie's aggregate demands once the initial parity was broken.

Stjarnan vs Víkingur preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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