Standard Liège vs Antwerp Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium

Stade Maurice Dufrasne Tue, 21 Apr - 6:30 PM

Pro League

Standard Liège STL

Antwerp ANT

Full Time Tue, 21 Apr 6:30 PM

Round 4 Conference League Play-off Group

Casper Nielsen - 78' (P)

Christopher Scott - 66', 47'

CONTEXT

Standard Liège faced Antwerp at home in a closely contested match that concluded 1-2 in favor of the visitors. The first half ended 0-0, with possession slightly favoring Antwerp at 53% to Standard Liège's 47%. Despite being labeled the stronger team, Standard Liège could not convert their opportunities, while Antwerp struck twice in the second half to claim victory. No red cards were issued, maintaining full squad participation throughout. The outcome exhibited minimal structural deviation of 4.4%, tilted toward Antwerp. Market expectations aligned with the result, and efficiency metrics stayed in line with pre-match assessments. Lacking xG data, deeper chance quality analysis remains unavailable, but the possession balance and goal timing underscore Antwerp's clinical second-half execution against a resilient home side.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Result showed minimal structural deviation of 4.4% favoring Antwerp.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market views.
xG expectations: xG expectations unmeasurable without data.
Event impact: No notable events altered match dynamics.
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

N. Verboomen

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Hillaert

1st Assistant

L. Visser

4th Official

M. Toeback

2nd Assistant

V. Euvrard

J. Oosting

1.45

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.23

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

5 - 8 - 7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Standard Liège

0.19%

Draw

4.2%

Antwerp

95.61%

Movement

Changes since opening

Standard Liège

Draw

-0.89%

Antwerp

+0.89%

Team Power Ranking

24.75

23.57

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Standard Liège

Antwerp

Power Score

24.75

23.57

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Standard Liège — Opponent-weighted form score

Antwerp — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Standard Liège Antwerp

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Standard Liège

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Antwerp

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Standard Liège ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Antwerp

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

37.13

35.09

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

35.09

37.13

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Standard Liège +0.19 Efficiency Index

Antwerp -0.19 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Standard Liège

Antwerp

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Standard Liège ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Antwerp

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Standard Liège Antwerp

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Standard Liège Antwerp

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Standard Liège

Antwerp

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Standard Liège

Antwerp

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Standard Liège Antwerp

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Standard Liège Antwerp

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Standard Liège

Antwerp

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

STL had peak pressure around 75'.
STL started the game with stronger pressure.

STL Pressure ANT Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: STL reached the top pressure at 75' (87.52).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Standard Liège STL Home

20 matches

Antwerp ANT Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-11

Goal Difference

+11

Data last updated: 2026-04-22T00:02:53+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1

Match Formation 3-4-1-2

1 L. Epolo Matthieu

29 D. Dierckx

25 I. Hautekiet

24 J. Homawoo

18 H. Lawrence

94 C. Nielsen

20 I. Karamoko

3 G. Mortensen

26 B. Nguene

11 A. Adnane

59 T. NKada

41 T. Nozawa

5 D. Foulon

4 Y. Tsunashima

33 Z. Van Den Bosch

22 F. Adekami

78 Xander Dierckx

8 D. Praet

14 A. Valencia

30 C. Scott

7 G. Kerk

18 V. Janssen

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 21, 2026, 06:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 4 · Conference League Play-off Group

Stadium :

Stade Maurice Dufrasne

Capacity :

27670

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Nathan Verboomen

Mathias Hillaert

Lawrence Visser

Maarten Toeback

Statistics

Possession

STL

47%

ANT

53%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2

3 Big Chances Created 3

15 Shots 17

49 Dangerous attacks 32

47 Possession 53

6 Corners 4

11 Free kicks 13

1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

16 Dribble Attempts 11

44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 64

18 Throwins 14

6 Goal Kicks 6

7 Successful Dribbles 7

9 Goal Attempts 8

76 Ball Safe 90

0 Assists 2

4 Substitutions 3

1 Penalties 0

Attacking

89 Attacks 97

2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

254 Successful Passes 328

74 Successful Passes Percentage 78

20 Successful Long Passes 26

62 Long Passes 69

345 Passes 418

32 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38

10 Key Passes 13

Defensive

10 Interceptions 15

8 Tackles 14

43 Duels Won 47

1 Saves 3

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 6

26 Total Crosses 11

Discipline

13 Fouls 12

2 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Nathan Verboomen

Manager ▼

V. Euvrard Coach

Starting XI ▼

Matthieu Epolo Goalkeeper

7.06

Josué Homawoo Defender

6.88

Ibe Hautekiet Defender

6.89

Daan Dierckx Defender

6.91

Tobias Mohr

Midfielder67'

6.94

Gustav Julius Mortensen Midfielder

6.7

Henry Lawrence Midfielder

6.69

Steeven Assengue

Midfielder87'

6.62

Ibrahim Karamoko Midfielder

6.71

Casper Nielsen Midfielder

6.78

Adnane Abid Attacker

6.83

Bernard Nguene Attacker

6.69

Rafiki Saïd

Attacker62'

6.84

Timothé Nkada Attacker

6.47

René Mitongo

Attacker68'

6.52

Substitutes ▼

Rafiki Saïd

Attacker62'

6.84

Tobias Mohr

Midfielder67'

6.94

René Mitongo

Attacker68'

6.52

Steeven Assengue

Midfielder87'

6.62

Bench ▼

Lucas Pirard Goalkeeper

7.19

David Bates Defender

6.9

Nayel Mehssatou Defender

6.5

Charli Spoden Midfielder

6.37

Noa Sy Midfielder

Referee : Nathan Verboomen