St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Millerntor-Stadion Tomorrow - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg WOBSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
St. Pauli host VfL Wolfsburg at Millerntor-Stadion in the Bundesliga's 2025/2026 regular season, a match brimming with relegation stakes. Both clubs hover near the drop zone, with St. Pauli in 17th and Wolfsburg one place higher at 16th. Wolfsburg carry a structural edge, boasting a power score of 74.91 against St. Pauli's 71.78, equating to a 3.1-point advantage that underscores their slight superiority. Form metrics amplify this gap, as Wolfsburg's 15.06 dwarfs the hosts' 7.33, signaling better recent momentum. Projections reflect a competitive split: St. Pauli at 43.4%, draw 27.4%, and Wolfsburg 29.2%, hinting at home advantage balancing the scales. Set piece and efficiency data prove elusive, with low-confidence proxies limiting tactical depth. St. Pauli's fervent support could ignite their attack, yet Wolfsburg's underlying strengths position them to exploit transitions effectively. This encounter shapes as a gritty battle for survival points.
TL;DR
- Structural: VfL Wolfsburg holds a 3.1-point power advantage with a score of 74.91 over St. Pauli's 71.78.
- Form: Wolfsburg's form score stands at 15.06, well ahead of St. Pauli's 7.33.
- Squad: St. Pauli occupy 17th in the Bundesliga, directly below Wolfsburg in 16th.
- Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
- Transition: Transition metrics unavailable due to absent detailed tracking.
- Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies with no xG data for either side.
- xVariable: xG-based variables not available, restricting advanced analysis.
- Market: Projection split: St. Pauli 43.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.4% (Δ+0%) | VfL Wolfsburg 29.2% (Δ+0%).
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) St. Pauli VfL WolfsburgTeam Power Ranking
i 71.78 74.91 St. Pauli VfL WolfsburgForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record Goals Data last updated: 2026-05-09T01:10:33+00:00
TEAM FORMATION
General Information
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Squad
St. PauliManager ▼
Squad ▼
22
30
1
47
5
21
2
3
25
8
11
4
23
14
15
34
7
20
10
6
24
16
42
441928
18
27
26
9
VfL WolfsburgManager ▼
Squad ▼
29
12
1
30
21
3
13
15
2
4
14
25
6
26
33
18
4124
27
31
10
32
5
40
8
3723
19
39
9
17
11
7
CONCLUSION
St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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