St. Gallen vs Zürich Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Kybunpark Mon, 6 Apr - 2:30 PM
Super League
St. Gallen St. Gallen
2 Winner 1
Zürich ZUR
Full Time Mon, 6 Apr 2:30 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
Alessandro Vogt - 76'
Lukas Görtler - 33' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Ivan Cavaleiro - 36'

CONTEXT

The match has officially finished, with St. Gallen securing a 2-0 full-time victory over Zürich. After the teams were considered even at halftime, the hosts eventually broke away in the second period to claim the win. St. Gallen controlled a slight majority of the ball, finishing the game with 52% possession compared to Zürich's 48%. Expected goals (xG) data was not available for this fixture. The final result aligned perfectly with pre-match market expectations, which heavily favored the home side. Going into the match, St. Gallen held a 63.6% implied win probability, while a draw sat at 19.7% and a Zürich upset was priced at just 16.7%. Because the stronger team won, the outcome was market-aligned, though the underlying data noted a significant deviation level of 36.4% regarding St. Gallen's performance trajectory. Both teams completed the match with all eleven players on the pitch, as no red cards were issued to impact the tactical balance. Without xG figures, alignment with expected goals could not be analyzed, but St. Gallen's overall finishing efficiency was categorized as being perfectly in line with standard expectations, capping off a predictable victory.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: St. Gallen showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

U. Schnyder

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

B. Zürcher

1st Assistant

H. Sanli

4th Official

M. Zürcher

2nd Assistant

St. Gallen E. Maaßen
E. Maaßen
VS
Zürich D. Hediger
D. Hediger
1.78
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.91
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sion Rank: 59 D
Lugano Rank: 62 D
Basel Rank: 64 W
Thun Rank: 65 D
Winterthur Rank: 45 W
Servette Rank: 61 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Thun Rank: 67 W
Sion Rank: 58 L
Servette Rank: 61 L
Lausanne Sport Rank: 57 L
Young Boys Rank: 63 L
Grasshopper Rank: 48 W
21
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
21 - 15 - 34
34

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home St. Gallen
63.57%
Draw
19.7%
Away Zürich
16.73%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.1
51.44
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
St. Gallen
Zürich
Power Score
64.1
51.44
League Position
2
10
Global Rank
337
706

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
St. Gallen — Opponent-weighted form score
Zürich — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) St. Gallen Zürich

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

St. Gallen

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Zürich

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

St. Gallen ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Zürich
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.98
20.21
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.21
37.98
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
St. Gallen +1.59 Efficiency Index
vs
Zürich -1.59 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
St. Gallen
Zürich
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

St. Gallen ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Zürich
Created Set-piece attacking threat
St. Gallen Zürich
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
St. Gallen Zürich
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
St. Gallen
Zürich
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
St. Gallen
vs
Zürich
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
St. Gallen Zürich
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
St. Gallen 0.31
Zürich 0.24
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
St. Gallen Zürich
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
St. Gallen 0.03
Zürich 0.04
St. Gallen
Zürich
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 70 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

St. Gallen St. Gallen Home
70 matches
Zürich ZUR Away
Match Record
21
Wins
34
15
Draws
15
34
Losses
21
Goals
93
Goals Scored
121
121
Goals Conceded
93
-28
Goal Difference
+28

Data last updated: 2026-04-07T00:03:36+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-1-4-2
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
L. Ati-Zigi
Ghana
1 L. Ati-Zigi
T. Gaal
Germany
26 T. Gaal
J. Stanic
Croatia
4 J. Stanic
C. Okoroji
Germany
36 C. Okoroji
L. Daschner
Substitution
Germany
10 L. Daschner
H. Vandermersch
France
28 H. Vandermersch
L. Görtler
Germany
16 L. Görtler
C. Boukhalfa
Germany
11 C. Boukhalfa
C. Witzig
Substitution
Switzerland
7 C. Witzig
D. Besio
Substitution
Switzerland
69 D. Besio
A. Balde
Substitution
Senegal
14 A. Balde
Pitch
S. Huber
Switzerland
1 S. Huber
I. Sauter
Switzerland
27 I. Sauter
A. Hack
Germany
42 A. Hack
L. Kamberi
Switzerland
2 L. Kamberi
S. Walker
Substitution
Switzerland
44 S. Walker
N. Palacio
Colombia
15 N. Palacio
V. Berisha
Substitution
Kosovo
23 V. Berisha
C. Tsawa
Switzerland
6 C. Tsawa
I. Neves Abreu Cavaleiro
Substitution
Angola
8 I. Neves Abreu Cavaleiro
D. Reverson
Substitution
Netherlands
29 D. Reverson
P. Keny
Senegal
19 P. Keny

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 06, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Kybunpark
Capacity :
19456
Attendance :
20036
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Benjamin Zürcher
Hüseyin Sanli
Urs Schnyder
Marco Zürcher

Statistics

Possession
St. Gallen
50%
ZUR
50%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
6 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 2
55 Dangerous attacks 34
52 Possession 48
12 Corners 2
14 Free kicks 19
3 Yellow Cards 6

Match Overview

97 Ball Safe 108
14 Goal Attempts 6
32 Successful Dribbles Percentage 60
28 Throwins 19
6 Goal Kicks 14
1 Penalties 0
5 Substitutions 5
22 Dribble Attempts 10
7 Successful Dribbles 6
1 Assists 1
1 Injuries 1

Attacking

4 Big Chances Missed 0
86 Attacks 85

Possession

22 Successful Long Passes 39
30 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45
241 Successful Passes 230
73 Long Passes 87
13 Key Passes 8
71 Successful Passes Percentage 69
341 Passes 331

Defensive

1 Saves 1
13 Tackles 26
49 Duels Won 76
12 Interceptions 13

Build-up

7 Accurate Crosses 6
28 Total Crosses 13

Discipline

19 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Urs Schnyder

Starting XI ▼

1
Lawrence Ati Zigi
Lawrence Ati Zigi Goalkeeper
4
Jozo Stanic
Jozo Stanic Defender
26
Tom Gaal
Tom Gaal Defender
36
Chima Okoroji
Chima Okoroji Defender
7
Christian Witzig
Christian Witzig Midfielder
66
Nino Weibel
Nino Weibel
Midfielder46'
10
Lukas Daschner
Lukas Daschner Midfielder
64
Mihailo Stevanovic
Mihailo Stevanovic
Midfielder90'
11
Carlo Boukhalfa
Carlo Boukhalfa Midfielder
16
Lukas Görtler
Lukas Görtler Midfielder
28
Hugo Vandermersch
Hugo Vandermersch Midfielder
14
Aliou Baldé
Aliou Baldé Attacker
21
Malamine Efekele
Malamine Efekele
Attacker67'
69
Diego Besio
Diego Besio Attacker
18
Alessandro Vogt
Alessandro Vogt
Attacker67'
Referee : Urs Schnyder

Starting XI ▼

1
Silas Huber
Silas Huber Goalkeeper
2
Lindrit Kamberi
Lindrit Kamberi Defender
27
Ilan Sauter
Ilan Sauter Defender
42
Alexander Hack
Alexander Hack Defender
6
Cheveyo Tsawa
Cheveyo Tsawa Midfielder
15
Nelson Palacio
Nelson Palacio Midfielder
23
Valon Berisha
Valon Berisha Midfielder
38
Miguel Reichmuth
Miguel Reichmuth
Midfielder59'
44
Sebastian Walker
Sebastian Walker Midfielder
22
Chris Kablan
Chris Kablan
Defender46'
8
Ivan Cavaleiro
Ivan Cavaleiro Attacker
11
Umeh Emmanuel
Umeh Emmanuel
Attacker82'
19
Philippe Paulin Keny
Philippe Paulin Keny Attacker
29
Damienus Reverson
Damienus Reverson Attacker
9
Juan José Perea
Juan José Perea
Attacker82'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Mihailo Stevanovic → Lukas Daschner
10th Substitution
90'
Event
Corsin Konietzke → Malamine Efekele
9th Substitution
87'
83'
Event
Miguel Reichmuth
Foul / 9th Yellowcard
82'
Event
Juan José Perea → Damienus Reverson
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Umeh Emmanuel → Ivan Cavaleiro
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Ivan Cavaleiro
Argument / 8th Yellowcard
Event
Alessandro Vogt
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
76'
75'
Event
Selmin Hodza → Chris Kablan
6th Substitution
Event
Lukas Daschner
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
68'
68'
Event
Damienus Reverson
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
Event
Malamine Efekele → Aliou Baldé
4th Substitution
67'
Event
Alessandro Vogt → Diego Besio
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Aliou Baldé
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
63'
Event
Lukas Görtler
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
59'
59'
Event
Miguel Reichmuth → Valon Berisha
3rd Substitution
56'
Event
Valon Berisha
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Nino Weibel → Christian Witzig
2nd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Chris Kablan → Sebastian Walker
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
38'
Event
Cheveyo Tsawa
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
36'
Event
Ivan Cavaleiro
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Lukas Görtler
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
33'
32'
Event
Sebastian Walker
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Diego Besio
Penalty awarded
31'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: St. Gallen exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

St. Gallen vs Zürich preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.