Sporting Gijón vs Real Sociedad II Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Estadio Municipal El Molinón Mon, 6 Apr - 6:30 PM

La Liga 2

Sporting Gijón SPO

Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II

Full Time Mon, 6 Apr 6:30 PM

Round 34 Regular Season

Gaspar Campos - 45'

CONTEXT

The match between Sporting Gijón and Real Sociedad II has officially finished, with the home side securing a 1-0 full-time victory. Sporting Gijón established their lead early, heading into halftime with a 1-0 advantage that they successfully maintained until the final whistle. The hosts controlled the overall flow of the game, holding 56% of the possession compared to Real Sociedad II's 44%. Pre-match expectations favored the hosts, with Sporting Gijón given a commanding 59.5% implied probability of winning. Real Sociedad II stood at just a 17.3% chance, while a draw was priced at 23.2%. The final outcome fully aligned with this pre-match market. Ultimately, Sporting Gijón's win represented a significant deviation in their favor compared to the baseline odds. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, making it impossible to determine if the result aligned with the underlying shot quality. Despite this lack of data, the overall efficiency shift was in line with expectations. The contest was also settled evenly on the pitch without any major disciplinary impacts, as neither team received a red card during the game.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Sporting Gijón showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

G. Cid Camacho

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. López Freixa

1st Assistant

D. Pescador Hernández

2nd Assistant

J. Aranda Delgado

4th Official

B. Jiménez Sáez

J. Ansotegi Gorostola

1.48

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.36

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 0 - 2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Sporting Gijón

59.53%

Draw

23.15%

Real Sociedad II

17.32%

Team Power Ranking

64.66

56.17

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Sporting Gijón

Real Sociedad II

Power Score

64.66

56.17

League Position

Global Rank

326

452

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Sporting Gijón — Opponent-weighted form score

Real Sociedad II — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Gijón Real Sociedad II

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Sporting Gijón

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Real Sociedad II

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sporting Gijón ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Real Sociedad II

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

43.48

28.07

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

28.07

43.48

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Sporting Gijón +1.57 Efficiency Index

Real Sociedad II -1.57 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Sporting Gijón

Real Sociedad II

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sporting Gijón ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Real Sociedad II

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Sporting Gijón Real Sociedad II

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Sporting Gijón Real Sociedad II

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Sporting Gijón

Real Sociedad II

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Sporting Gijón

Real Sociedad II

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Sporting Gijón Real Sociedad II

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Sporting Gijón Real Sociedad II

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Sporting Gijón

Real Sociedad II

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting Gijón SPO Home

3 matches

Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-1

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-07T00:05:33+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

Match Formation 4-4-2

1 O. Yáñez Alabart

2 G. Rosas Alonso

15 P. Vázquez Pérez

5 D. Sánchez Pérez

12 B. Oliván Herrero

24 J. Smith

14 A. Corredera Alardi

17 J. Dubasin

10 C. Gelabert Pina

7 G. Campos Ansó Fernández

19 J. Otero Tovar

13 E. Arana Aizpurua

3 J. Balda Zubiri

15 K. Kita

39 U. Ayo Larrañaga

22 A. Dadie Izagirre

19 A. Marchal Garcia

21 J. Eceizabarrena Rezola

14 T. Carbonell Del Rio

17 L. Astiazarán Escabias

10 A. Mariezkurrena Etxezarreta

18 G. Carrera Zarranz

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 06, 2026, 06:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 34 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Estadio Municipal El Molinón

Capacity :

30000

Attendance :

16778

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Germán Cid Camacho

Sergi López Freixa

Daniel Pescador Hernández

José María Aranda Delgado

Statistics

Possession

SPO

55%

Real Sociedad II

45%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0

2 Big Chances Created 0

5 Shots 5

67 Dangerous attacks 27

56 Possession 44

8 Corners 3

11 Free kicks 7

1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

9 Goal Kicks 6

17 Dribble Attempts 13

12 Successful Dribbles 10

21 Throwins 24

71 Successful Dribbles Percentage 77

78 Ball Safe 85

15 Goal Attempts 10

1 Assists 0

4 Substitutions 5

Attacking

108 Attacks 102

1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

82 Successful Passes Percentage 78

16 Key Passes 7

407 Successful Passes 305

497 Passes 391

76 Long Passes 61

39 Successful Long Passes 29

51 Successful Long Passes Percentage 48

Defensive

8 Tackles 12

2 Saves 6

51 Duels Won 49

7 Interceptions 5

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 18

10 Accurate Crosses 8

Discipline

1 Offsides 3

7 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Germán Cid Camacho

Manager ▼

B. Jiménez Sáez Coach

Starting XI ▼

Rubén Yáñez Goalkeeper

Guille Rosas Defender

Diego Sánchez Defender

Brian Oliván Defender

Pablo García

Defender73'

Pablo Vázquez Defender

Gaspar Campos Midfielder

Eric Curbelo

Defender82'

César Gelabert Midfielder

Àlex Corredera Midfielder

Jonathan Dubasin Midfielder

Justin Smith Midfielder

Jesús Bernal

Midfielder82'

Juan Otero Attacker

Miguel Conde

Attacker90+5'

Substitutes ▼

Pablo García

Defender73'

Jesús Bernal

Midfielder82'

Eric Curbelo

Defender82'

Miguel Conde

Attacker90+5'

Bench ▼

Christian Joel Goalkeeper

Iker Venteo Goalkeeper

Lucas Perrin Defender

Dani Queipo Attacker

Amadou Coundoul Attacker

Álex Oyón Attacker

Referee : Germán Cid Camacho