Sporting Gijón vs Deportivo La Coruña Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal El Molinón Sat, 28 Mar - 8:00 PM
La Liga 2
Sporting Gijón SPO
1 – 1
Deportivo La Coruña COR
Full Time Sat, 28 Mar 8:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
Juan Otero - 17'
Goal
|
Goal
Dani Barcia - 81'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Sporting Gijón 1–1 Deportivo La Coruña. The match ended in a draw. Deportivo La Coruña showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 34%–66%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Deportivo La Coruña showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Sporting Gijón B. Jiménez Sáez
B. Jiménez Sáez
VS
Deportivo La Coruña A. Hidalgo Morilla
A. Hidalgo Morilla
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.62
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leganés Rank: 67 D
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 D
Albacete Rank: 66 D
Huesca Rank: 58 W
SD Eibar Rank: 68 L
Mirandés Rank: 58 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Sociedad II Rank: 62 W
SD Eibar Rank: 68 W
Castellón Rank: 66 L
Albacete Rank: 66 W
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 58 W
Racing Santander Rank: 71 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 8 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting Gijón
42.33%
Draw
29.62%
Away Deportivo La Coruña
28.05%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.33
67.4
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting Gijón
Deportivo La Coruña
Power Score
65.33
67.4
League Position
9
3
Global Rank
313
241

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting Gijón — Opponent-weighted form score
Deportivo La Coruña — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Gijón Deportivo La Coruña

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sporting Gijón

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Deportivo La Coruña

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sporting Gijón ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Deportivo La Coruña
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.65
30.38
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.38
27.65
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sporting Gijón -0.28 Efficiency Index
vs
Deportivo La Coruña +0.28 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sporting Gijón
Deportivo La Coruña
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sporting Gijón ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Deportivo La Coruña
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sporting Gijón Deportivo La Coruña
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sporting Gijón Deportivo La Coruña
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sporting Gijón
Deportivo La Coruña
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting Gijón SPO Home
19 matches
Deportivo La Coruña COR Away
Match Record
6
Wins
5
8
Draws
8
5
Losses
6
Goals
25
Goals Scored
21
21
Goals Conceded
25
+4
Goal Difference
-4

Data last updated: 2026-03-29T00:00:41+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
O. Yáñez Alabart
Spain
1 O. Yáñez Alabart
G. Rosas Alonso
Spain
2 G. Rosas Alonso
P. Vázquez Pérez
Spain
15 P. Vázquez Pérez
D. Sánchez Pérez
Spain
5 D. Sánchez Pérez
B. Oliván Herrero
Spain
12 B. Oliván Herrero
M. Rodríguez Paz
Substitution
Spain
36 M. Rodríguez Paz
A. Corredera Alardi
Spain
14 A. Corredera Alardi
J. Dubasin
Substitution
Belgium
17 J. Dubasin
C. Gelabert Pina
Spain
10 C. Gelabert Pina
G. Campos Ansó Fernández
Substitution
Spain
7 G. Campos Ansó Fernández
J. Otero Tovar
Colombia
19 J. Otero Tovar
Pitch
Á. Fernández Llorente
Spain
25 Á. Fernández Llorente
S. Escudero Palomo
Substitution
Spain
18 S. Escudero Palomo
D. Barcia Rama
Spain
5 D. Barcia Rama
A. Comas Freixas
Spain
3 A. Comas Freixas
J. Navarro Jiménez
Substitution
Spain
23 J. Navarro Jiménez
R. Rodríguez Gil Carcedo
Substitution
Spain
14 R. Rodríguez Gil Carcedo
D. Villares Yáñez
Substitution
Spain
8 D. Villares Yáñez
L. Cruz Hernández
Spain
19 L. Cruz Hernández
M. Soriano Carreño
Spain
21 M. Soriano Carreño
A. Altimira Reynaldos
Spain
2 A. Altimira Reynaldos
B. Nsongo Tonfack
Substitution
32 B. Nsongo Tonfack

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 28, 2026, 08:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Municipal El Molinón
Capacity :
30000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ , Clear
Referees :
José Hernández García
Rafael Sánchez López
Jesús Manuel Mira García
D. Miranda Bolaño

Statistics

Possession
SPO
38%
COR
62%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 4
2 Shots 8
28 Dangerous attacks 61
34 Possession 66
7 Corners 12
6 Free kicks 6
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

3 Substitutions 5
69 Ball Safe 59
6 Goal Attempts 10
0 Assists 1
58 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36
14 Goal Kicks 4
12 Dribble Attempts 14
12 Throwins 12
7 Successful Dribbles 5

Attacking

0 Big Chances Missed 3
77 Attacks 122

Possession

321 Passes 631
43 Long Passes 35
84 Successful Passes Percentage 91
270 Successful Passes 574
5 Key Passes 9
49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 57
21 Successful Long Passes 20

Defensive

2 Saves 1
10 Interceptions 8
14 Tackles 13

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 32
5 Accurate Crosses 8

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
6 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Rafael Sánchez López

Starting XI ▼

1
Rubén Yáñez
Rubén Yáñez Goalkeeper
2
Guille Rosas
Guille Rosas Defender
5
Diego Sánchez
Diego Sánchez Defender
12
Brian Oliván
Brian Oliván Defender
15
Pablo Vázquez
Pablo Vázquez Defender
7
Gaspar Campos
Gaspar Campos Midfielder
3
Pablo García
Pablo García
Defender68'
10
César Gelabert
César Gelabert Midfielder
14
Àlex Corredera
Àlex Corredera Midfielder
17
Jonathan Dubasin
Jonathan Dubasin Midfielder
24
Justin Smith
Justin Smith
Midfielder79'
36
Manu Rodríguez
Manu Rodríguez Midfielder
23
Eric Curbelo
Eric Curbelo
Defender90+2'
19
Juan Otero
Juan Otero Attacker
Referee : Rafael Sánchez López

Starting XI ▼

25
Álvaro Fernández
Álvaro Fernández Goalkeeper
3
Arnau Comas
Arnau Comas Defender
5
Dani Barcia
Dani Barcia Defender
18
Sergio Escudero
Sergio Escudero Defender
12
Giacomo Quagliata
Giacomo Quagliata
Defender61'
23
Ximo Navarro
Ximo Navarro Defender
10
Yeremay Hernández
Yeremay Hernández
Attacker61'
2
Adrià Altimira
Adrià Altimira Midfielder
8
Diego Villares
Diego Villares Midfielder
7
Samuele Mulattieri
Samuele Mulattieri
Attacker46'
14
Riki Rodríguez
Riki Rodríguez Midfielder
6
Charlie Patiño
Charlie Patiño
Midfielder78'
19
Luismi Cruz
Luismi Cruz Midfielder
21
Mario Soriano
Mario Soriano Midfielder
32
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack Attacker
9
Zakaria Eddahchouri
Zakaria Eddahchouri
Attacker78'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Eric Curbelo → Manu Rodríguez
8th Substitution
90+2'
81'
Event
Dani Barcia
Header / 2nd Goal
Event
Justin Smith → Jonathan Dubasin
7th Substitution
79'
78'
Event
Zakaria Eddahchouri → Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack
5th Substitution
78'
Event
Charlie Patiño → Riki Rodríguez
6th Substitution
70'
Event
Arnau Comas
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Pablo García → Gaspar Campos
4th Substitution
68'
61'
Event
Giacomo Quagliata → Sergio Escudero
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Yeremay Hernández → Ximo Navarro
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Samuele Mulattieri → Diego Villares
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
43'
Event
Luismi Cruz
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Juan Otero
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
17'
16'
Event
Dani Barcia
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Brian Oliván
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
10'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Deportivo La Coruña exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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