Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio José Alvalade Sat, 16 May - 7:30 PM
Liga Portugal
Sporting CP SCP
3 Winner 0
Gil Vicente GVFC
Full Time Sat, 16 May 7:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season
Morten Hjulmand - 90+3'
Eduardo Quaresma - 15'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Sporting CP defeated Gil Vicente 3-0 in a dominant home performance that saw the stronger side establish a 2-0 lead by halftime. The hosts controlled proceedings with 62 percent possession against the visitors 38 percent share and added a third goal after the break to complete a straightforward victory. No red cards were issued to either team throughout the contest leaving the match free of disciplinary interruptions. The outcome reflected the expected hierarchy between the sides with Sporting CP delivering a result consistent with their superior standing. A significant structural deviation of 22.4 percent was recorded in favor of the winners while efficiency metrics remained in line with anticipated patterns. The clean sheet and measured approach ensured the home side secured maximum points without unnecessary complications.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sporting CP recorded a significant 22.4 percent deviation from expected performance levels.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match patterns for the stronger team.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with market expectations as Sporting CP won convincingly.
  • xG expectations: No xG expectations were available due to missing underlying metrics.
  • Event impact: Key events produced a 3-0 scoreline with Sporting CP leading 2-0 at halftime.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so the match proceeded without disciplinary distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

L. Branco Godinho

Portugal 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Martins Teixeira

1st Assistant

Portugal

P. Mota

2nd Assistant

Portugal

B. Vieira

4th Official

Brazil

League averages

Liga Portugal Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 25.36
Yellow cards / match 4.57
Red cards / match 0.16
Penalties / match 0.38
Sporting CP R. Gomes Borges
R. Gomes Borges
VS
Gil Vicente P. da Silva Peixoto
P. da Silva Peixoto
2.32
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.23
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rio Ave Rank: 64 W
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 72 W
Tondela Rank: 59 D
AVS Rank: 55 D
Benfica Rank: 87 L
Estrela Amadora Rank: 59 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Arouca Rank: 65 L
Rio Ave Rank: 64 D
Casa Pia Rank: 62 W
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 71 L
Tondela Rank: 62 D
AVS Rank: 60 W
17
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
17 - 4 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting CP
77.63%
Draw
12.44%
Away Gil Vicente
9.93%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sporting CP
-20.23%
Draw
+10.52%
Gil Vicente
+9.71%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
88.35
68.66
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting CP
Gil Vicente
Power Score
88.35
68.66
League Position
2
6
Global Rank
18
238

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting CP — Opponent-weighted form score
Gil Vicente — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting CP Gil Vicente

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sporting CP

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Gil Vicente

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sporting CP ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Gil Vicente
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sporting CP Gil Vicente
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sporting CP Gil Vicente
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sporting CP
Gil Vicente
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sporting CP
vs
Gil Vicente
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sporting CP Gil Vicente
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sporting CP 0.00
Gil Vicente 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sporting CP Gil Vicente
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sporting CP 0.00
Gil Vicente 0.00
Sporting CP
Gil Vicente
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SCP had peak pressure around 32'.
  • SCP started the game with stronger pressure.
SCP Pressure GVFC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SCP reached the top pressure at 32' (93.55).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 23 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting CP SCP Home
23 matches
Gil Vicente GVFC Away
Match Record
17
Wins
2
4
Draws
4
2
Losses
17
Goals
53
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
53
+34
Goal Difference
-34

Data last updated: 2026-05-16T19:15:24+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
R. Dantas da Silva
Portugal
1 R. Dantas da Silva
G. Vagiannidis
Substitution
Greece
13 G. Vagiannidis
E. Quaresma Coimbra Simões
Portugal
72 E. Quaresma Coimbra Simões
G. Inácio
Portugal
25 G. Inácio
M. Araújo Vilches
Uruguay
20 M. Araújo Vilches
M. Hjulmand
Denmark
42 M. Hjulmand
H. Morita
Substitution
Japan
5 H. Morita
G. Cipriano Catamo
Mozambique
10 G. Cipriano Catamo
F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
Substitution
Portugal
17 F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
P. Pereira Gonçalves
Substitution
Portugal
8 P. Pereira Gonçalves
L. Suárez Charris
Colombia
97 L. Suárez Charris
Pitch
D. Leite Figueira
Portugal
99 D. Leite Figueira
G. Konan
Ivory Coast
3 G. Konan
J. Buatu Mananga
Angola
39 J. Buatu Mananga
M. Elimbi Gilbert
France
4 M. Elimbi Gilbert
J. Teixeira Lopes Reis Gonçalves
Portugal
2 J. Teixeira Lopes Reis Gonçalves
S. Garcia Gonzalez
Spain
95 S. Garcia Gonzalez
F. Cáseres
Substitution
Argentina
5 F. Cáseres
J. Mango Fernandes
Substitution
Portugal
11 J. Mango Fernandes
L. Leite Esteves
Portugal
10 L. Leite Esteves
M. De Souza Costa
Substitution
Brazil
77 M. De Souza Costa
G. Pereira De Sousa
Substitution
Portugal
89 G. Pereira De Sousa

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 07:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estádio José Alvalade
Capacity :
52095
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Luis Miguel Branco Godinho
Rui Miguel Martins Teixeira
Pedro Mota
Bruno Vieira

Statistics

Possession
SCP
60%
GVFC
40%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 1
15 Shots 10
46 Dangerous attacks 30
62 Possession 38
6 Corners 1
14 Free kicks 13
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

8 Throwins 15
20 Dribble Attempts 9
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
8 Goal Kicks 11
8 Successful Dribbles 3
10 Successful Headers 9
1 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

105 Attacks 72
4 Counter Attacks 3
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

90 Successful Passes Percentage 82
63 Successful Long Passes Percentage 59
32 Long Passes 44
578 Passes 353
20 Successful Long Passes 26
523 Successful Passes 291
13 Key Passes 6

Defensive

17 Tackles 22
7 Interceptions 5
1 Saves 2
49 Duels Won 45

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 7
4 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Starting XI ▼

1
Rui Silva
Rui Silva Goalkeeper
6.95
13
Georgios Vagiannidis
Georgios Vagiannidis Defender
6.85
91
Ricardo Mangas
Ricardo Mangas
Defender90'
7.06
20
Maxi Araújo
Maxi Araújo Defender
7.11
25
Gonçalo Inácio
Gonçalo Inácio Defender
7.22
72
Eduardo Quaresma
Eduardo Quaresma Defender
7.09
5
Hidemasa Morita
Hidemasa Morita Midfielder
6.89
23
Daniel Bragança
Daniel Bragança
Midfielder73'
7.17
8
Pedro Gonçalves
Pedro Gonçalves Midfielder
7.55
31
Luís Guilherme
Luís Guilherme
Attacker73'
6.85
10
Geny Catamo
Geny Catamo Midfielder
7.07
17
Francisco Trincão
Francisco Trincão Midfielder
7.33
70
Salvador Blopa
Salvador Blopa
Defender90'
6.39
42
Morten Hjulmand
Morten Hjulmand Midfielder
7.21
97
Luis Suárez
Luis Suárez Attacker
7.5
Referee : Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Starting XI ▼

99
Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira
Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira Goalkeeper
6.83
2
José Carlos Teixeira Lopes dos Reis Gonçalves
José Carlos Teixeira Lopes dos Reis Gonçalves Defender
6.75
3
Ghislain Konan
Ghislain Konan Defender
6.72
4
Marvin Adolphe Fabrice Elimbi Gilbert
Marvin Adolphe Fabrice Elimbi Gilbert Defender
6.73
39
Buatu
Buatu Defender
6.79
5
Facundo Agustín Cáseres
Facundo Agustín Cáseres Midfielder
6.78
6
Zé Carlos
Zé Carlos
Midfielder82'
6.65
10
Luís André Leite Esteves
Luís André Leite Esteves Midfielder
7.22
11
Joelson Fernandes
Joelson Fernandes Midfielder
6.75
27
Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales
Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales
Attacker46'
6.71
77
Murilo de Souza Costa
Murilo de Souza Costa Midfielder
7.07
17
Sergio Bermejo
Sergio Bermejo
Attacker82'
6.54
95
Santiago García González
Santiago García González Midfielder
7.09
89
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela Attacker
6.75
23
Héctor Hernández
Héctor Hernández
Attacker73'
6.82

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Morten Hjulmand
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+3'
Event
Salvador Blopa → Francisco Trincão
9th Substitution
90'
Event
Ricardo Mangas → Georgios Vagiannidis
10th Substitution
90'
82'
Event
Sergio Bermejo → Murilo de Souza Costa
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Zé Carlos → Facundo Agustín Cáseres
8th Substitution
Event
Luís Guilherme → Pedro Gonçalves
3rd Substitution
73'
Event
Daniel Bragança → Hidemasa Morita
2nd Substitution
73'
Event
5th Substitution
73'
73'
Event
Héctor Hernández → Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela
4th Substitution
73'
Event
6th Substitution
63'
Event
José Carlos Teixeira Lopes dos Reis Gonçalves
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
46'
Event
Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales → Joelson Fernandes
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Luis Suárez
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
34'
Event
Eduardo Quaresma
Header / 1st Goal
15'

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Morten Hjulmand scores, making it 3-0.
90
Update Update
Salvador Blopa is on, and Francisco Trincao is off.
90
Substitution Substitution
Ricardo Mangas is substituted for Georgios Vagiannidis.
89
Attempt Attempt
Luis Esteves takes a right-footed shot but misses.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Ze Ferreira comes on for Facundo Agustin Caseres.
82
Update Update
Sergio Bermejo Lillo replaces Murilo de Souza Costa.
79
Attempt Attempt
Facundo Agustin Caseres takes a right-footed shot but misses.
79
Attempt Attempt
Murilo de Souza Costa takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
74
Update Update
Geovany Quenda is on, and Geny Catamo is off.
74
Update Update
Hector Hernandez Marrero comes on for Gustavo Varela.
74
Update Update
Hevertton is on, and Zé Carlos is off.
73
Update Update
Daniel Braganca replaces Hidemasa Morita.
73
Update Update
Luis Guilherme Lira dos Santos is on, and Pedro Goncalves is off.
67
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Varela takes a right-footed shot but misses.
64
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Trincao takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
63
Attempt Attempt
Murilo de Souza Costa takes a left-footed shot but misses.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Zé Carlos receives a yellow card.
61
Attempt Attempt
Murilo de Souza Costa attempts a header but misses the shot.
54
Attempt Attempt
Marvin Gilbert Elimbi takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
50
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Trincao takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
49
Attempt Attempt
Agustin Moreira takes a right-footed shot but misses.
47
Attempt Attempt
Luis Esteves takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
46
Update Update
Agustin Moreira comes on for Joelson Augusto Mendes Mango Fernandes.
45
Attempt Attempt
Maximiliano Araujo takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Luis Javier Suarez Charris takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Trincao takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
42
Attempt Attempt
Luis Esteves takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
34
Attempt Attempt
Luis Javier Suarez Charris takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
33
Attempt Attempt
Luis Javier Suarez Charris takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
30
Attempt Attempt
Pedro Goncalves takes a left-footed shot but misses.
29
Attempt Attempt
Geny Catamo's left-footed shot is blocked.
28
Attempt Attempt
Geny Catamo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
27
Attempt Attempt
Luis Javier Suarez Charris takes a right-footed shot but misses.
23
Attempt Attempt
Morten Hjulmand takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
15
Update Update
Eduardo Quaresma scores with a header.
3
Attempt Attempt
Morten Hjulmand takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Luis Godinho.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Sporting CP 3-0 Gil Vicente. Structural assessment: Sporting CP exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.