Sporting CP vs Benfica Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Liga Portugal
Benfica SLBSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
In the fiercely contested Lisbon derby at Estádio José Alvalade, Sporting CP faced Benfica, resulting in a 2-1 away victory for the Eagles. Sporting CP commanded 61% possession but struggled to convert chances, trailing 0-1 at halftime after Benfica's early strike. The visitors extended their lead in the second half before the hosts pulled one back, yet it proved insufficient. Benfica, identified as the stronger team pre-match, triumphed with clinical efficiency despite lower ball control. No red cards marred the game, allowing uninterrupted flow. The outcome displayed minimal structural deviation of 4.8% favoring Benfica, remaining in line with efficiency expectations and market alignments, though xG data was unavailable for deeper analysis.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Match showed minimal structural deviation of 4.8% favoring Benfica.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
- xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevented assessment of outcome alignment.
- Market alignment: Result fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
- xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable due to lack of data.
- Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout tie impacted proceedings.
- Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, causing zero distortion to dynamics.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
Joao Pedro Pinheiro
Other match officials
B. Alves Jesus
1st Assistant
L. Gomes Maia
2nd Assistant
M. Monteiro Fonseca
4th Official


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Sporting CP
BenficaMovement
Changes since opening
Sporting CP
BenficaTeam Power Ranking
i
40.51
41.09
Sporting CP
BenficaForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Sporting CP
Benfica

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Sporting CP ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Sporting CP ⚠ Proxy
Sporting CP Benfica
Sporting CP Benfica
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Sporting CP
Sporting CP Benfica


Sporting CP Benfica


PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- SLB had peak pressure around 28'.
- SCP started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 41 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:06:06+00:00
STARTING XI
Sporting CP
Benfica























































General Information
Next Match

Sporting CP
vs

AVS
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 AM
Venue: Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Benfica
vs

Moreirense
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 AM
Venue: Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Sporting CPManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼




BenficaManager ▼

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Bench ▼




Events
CONCLUSION
Sporting CP vs Benfica preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
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Match Commentary