Sporting Charleroi vs Westerlo Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stade du Pays de Charleroi Sat, 16 May - 2:00 PM
Pro League
Sporting Charleroi SPC
Versus
Westerlo KVC
KICKOFF : Sat, 16 May - 2:00 PM
Round 8 Conference League Play-off Group

CONTEXT

Sporting Charleroi host Westerlo in Pro League (Conference League Play-off Group) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi. Power ranking favours Sporting Charleroi by 2.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sporting Charleroi claims a 2.1-point power advantage with 72.4 over Westerlo's 70.29.
  • Form: Charleroi's form score reaches 29.67, dwarfing Westerlo's 15.78.
  • Squad: No squad details available for either team in this preview.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for the matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data absent from provided statistics.
  • Set pieces: Set pieces rely on low-confidence proxies without xG for both squads.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable as data not enabled.
  • Market: Baseline split: Sporting Charleroi 46.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.8% (Δ+0%) | Westerlo 27.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sporting Charleroi M. Kohnen
M. Kohnen
VS
Westerlo I. Charai
I. Charai
1.26
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.48
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Antwerp Rank: 70 W
Genk Rank: 77 W
OH Leuven Rank: 65 W
Genk Rank: 77 D
Standard Liège Rank: 72 L
Antwerp Rank: 70 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Genk Rank: 76 L
OH Leuven Rank: 64 D
Antwerp Rank: 70 L
OH Leuven Rank: 66 W
Genk Rank: 77 L
Standard Liège Rank: 72 W
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 7 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting Charleroi
46.36%
Draw
25.83%
Away Westerlo
27.81%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.4
70.29
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting Charleroi
Westerlo
Power Score
72.4
70.29
League Position
11
9
Global Rank
155
206

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting Charleroi — Opponent-weighted form score
Westerlo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Charleroi Westerlo

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting Charleroi SPC Home
31 matches
Westerlo KVC Away
Match Record
13
Wins
11
7
Draws
7
11
Losses
13
Goals
44
Goals Scored
42
42
Goals Conceded
44
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T00:07:34+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Kone
30 M. Kone
L. Blum
27 L. Blum
A. Ousou
4 A. Ousou
C. keita
95 C. keita
M. Nzita
24 M. Nzita
Y. Titraoui
22 Y. Titraoui
E. Camara
5 E. Camara
K. Van Den Kerkhof
3 K. Van Den Kerkhof
P. Guiagon
10 P. Guiagon
A. Bernier
17 A. Bernier
A. Scheidler
21 A. Scheidler
Pitch
A. Jungdal
99 A. Jungdal
L. Mbamba-Muanda
23 L. Mbamba-Muanda
S. Kimura
5 S. Kimura
E. Bayram
40 E. Bayram
B. Reynolds
22 B. Reynolds
A. Piedfort
46 A. Piedfort
D. Haspolat
34 D. Haspolat
J. Alcócer
77 J. Alcócer
I. Sakamoto
13 I. Sakamoto
A. Sayyadmanesh
7 A. Sayyadmanesh
I. Ferri Julià
90 I. Ferri Julià

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 8 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium :
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Capacity :
15000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

30
Mohamed Koné
Mohamed Koné Goalkeeper
6.99
21
Aurélien Scheidler
Aurélien Scheidler Centre Forward
6.5
5
Étienne Camara
Étienne Camara Defensive Midfield
6.89
3
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof Right Wing
6.85
4
Aiham Ousou
Aiham Ousou Right Back
6.89
10
Parfait Guiagon
Parfait Guiagon Attacking Midfield
7.2
22
Yassine Titraoui
Yassine Titraoui Defensive Midfield
7.12
95
Check Keita
Check Keita Left Back
6.72
17
Antoine Bernier
Antoine Bernier Left Wing
6.81
24
Mardochée Nzita
Mardochée Nzita Left Back
6.73
27
Lewin Blum
Lewin Blum Right Back
6.67

Starting XI ▼

99
Andreas Jungdal
Andreas Jungdal Goalkeeper
6.83
90
Nacho Ferri
Nacho Ferri Centre Forward
7.07
23
Lucas Mbamba
Lucas Mbamba Left Back
6.6
40
Emin Bayram
Emin Bayram Right Back
7.08
5
Seiji Kimura
Seiji Kimura Left Back
6.72
7
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh Right Wing
6.98
13
Isa Sakamoto
Isa Sakamoto Attacking Midfield
6.8
22
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds Right Back
6.73
34
Doğucan Haspolat
Doğucan Haspolat Defensive Midfield
7.24
46
Arthur Piedfort
Arthur Piedfort Defensive Midfield
7.02
77
Josimar Alcócer
Josimar Alcócer Left Wing
6.67

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Sporting Charleroi holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Sporting Charleroi a 2.1-point edge. External projection is Sporting Charleroi 46.4%, draw 25.8%, and Westerlo 27.8%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Sporting Charleroi vs Westerlo preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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