Sporting Charleroi vs Antwerp Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium

Stade du Pays de Charleroi Fri, 10 Apr - 6:45 PM

Pro League

Sporting Charleroi SPC

Antwerp ANT

Full Time Fri, 10 Apr 6:45 PM

Round 2 Conference League Play-off Group

Patrick Pflücke - 63'

Antoine Bernier - 30'

Vincent Janssen - 90+4' (P)

CONTEXT

The match between Sporting Charleroi and Antwerp is now finished, with the full-time score 2-1 to the home side. Sporting Charleroi led 1-0 at half-time and added a second goal after the interval, securing all three points despite Antwerp enjoying the greater share of possession at 55 percent to 45 percent. No red cards were shown and the contest proceeded without significant disciplinary interruptions. The result showed only minimal deviation from pre-match expectations, driven by Sporting Charleroi. Although Antwerp were viewed as the stronger team heading into the fixture, the home side converted their opportunities efficiently and claimed the victory in line with the overwhelming pre-match projection favoring them. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations, and the outcome aligned fully with the pre-match projection. Without reliable expected-goals data available, the result could not be measured directly against underlying chance quality, yet the final scoreline reflected a performance that matched the anticipated outcome. Sporting Charleroi demonstrated enough quality in both halves to overcome their slight territorial disadvantage and emerge deserving winners.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Sporting Charleroi showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

J. Boterberg

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

N. Senecaut

1st Assistant

K. Debeuckelaere

2nd Assistant

A. Jacoby

4th Official

H. Cornelis

J. Oosting

1.05

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.14

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

9 - 4 - 6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Sporting Charleroi

96.07%

Draw

3.73%

Antwerp

0.19%

Team Power Ranking

13.71

20.69

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Sporting Charleroi

Antwerp

Power Score

13.71

20.69

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Sporting Charleroi — Opponent-weighted form score

Antwerp — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Charleroi Antwerp

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Sporting Charleroi

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Antwerp

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sporting Charleroi ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Antwerp

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

32.56

27.18

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

27.18

32.56

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Sporting Charleroi +0.51 Efficiency Index

Antwerp -0.51 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Sporting Charleroi

Antwerp

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sporting Charleroi ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Antwerp

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Sporting Charleroi Antwerp

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Sporting Charleroi Antwerp

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Sporting Charleroi

Antwerp

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Sporting Charleroi

Antwerp

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Sporting Charleroi Antwerp

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Sporting Charleroi Antwerp

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Sporting Charleroi

Antwerp

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

SPC had peak pressure around 71'.
ANT started the game with stronger pressure.

SPC Pressure ANT Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: SPC reached the top pressure at 71' (97.63).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting Charleroi SPC Home

19 matches

Antwerp ANT Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-3

Data last updated: 2026-04-11T00:03:08+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

Match Formation 3-1-4-2

30 M. Kone

3 K. Van Den Kerkhof

4 A. Ousou

95 C. keita

24 M. Nzita

22 Y. Titraoui

56 A. Boukamir

17 A. Bernier

14 P. Pflücke

10 P. Guiagon

21 A. Scheidler

41 T. Nozawa

4 Y. Tsunashima

16 M. Benítez

33 Z. Van Den Bosch

8 D. Praet

22 F. Adekami

30 C. Scott

14 A. Valencia

24 T. Somers

9 M. Al Sahafi

18 V. Janssen

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 10, 2026, 06:45 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 2 · Conference League Play-off Group

Stadium :

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Capacity :

15000

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

N. Senecaut

K. Debeuckelaere

Anaik Jacoby

Jan Boterberg

Statistics

Possession

SPC

47%

ANT

53%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1

2 Big Chances Created 1

7 Shots 9

33 Dangerous attacks 59

45 Possession 55

2 Corners 9

14 Free kicks 11

3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

84 Ball Safe 83

11 Goal Kicks 8

2 Assists 0

56 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33

10 Successful Dribbles 7

18 Dribble Attempts 21

24 Throwins 16

5 Substitutions 5

1 Hit Woodwork 0

0 Penalties 1

3 Injuries 1

10 Goal Attempts 7

Attacking

79 Attacks 96

1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

10 Key Passes 10

79 Successful Passes Percentage 83

250 Successful Passes 317

51 Long Passes 68

55 Successful Long Passes Percentage 59

28 Successful Long Passes 40

315 Passes 384

Defensive

8 Interceptions 8

25 Tackles 17

2 Saves 3

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 7

13 Total Crosses 23

Discipline

12 Fouls 14

2 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Jan Boterberg

Manager ▼

H. Cornelis Coach

Starting XI ▼

Mohamed Koné Goalkeeper

Kevin Van Den Kerkhof Defender

Aiham Ousou Defender

Mardochée Nzita Defender

Check Keita Defender

Parfait Guiagon Midfielder

Mehdi Boukamir

Defender83'

Patrick Pflücke Midfielder

Jakob Napoleon Romsaas

Midfielder72'

Antoine Bernier Midfielder

Lewin Blum

Defender83'

Yassine Titraoui Midfielder

—

Yassine Titraoui

88'

Amine Boukamir Midfielder

Yassine Khalifi

Midfielder68'

Aurélien Scheidler Attacker

Antoine Colassin

Attacker71'

Substitutes ▼

Yassine Khalifi

Midfielder68'

Antoine Colassin

Attacker71'

Jakob Napoleon Romsaas

Midfielder72'

Mehdi Boukamir

Defender83'

Lewin Blum

Defender83'

—

Yassine Titraoui

88'

Bench ▼

Martin Delavallée Goalkeeper

Jules Gaudin Defender

Y. Cisse Midfielder

Filip Szymczak Attacker

Referee : Jan Boterberg