Sparta Rotterdam vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel Sun, 3 May - 2:45 PM
Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam SPR
2 – 2
Go Ahead Eagles GAE
Full Time Sun, 3 May 2:45 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
Tobias Lauritsen - 57'
Shunsuke Mito - 45+2'
Goal
|
Goal
Julius Dirksen - 77'
Victor Edvardsen - 51'
|
Second yellow card Oskar Sivertsen 90+3'

CONTEXT

In a pulsating Eredivisie clash at Het Kasteel, Sparta Rotterdam and Go Ahead Eagles finished 2-2 after a match full of drama. Sparta Rotterdam struck first and led 1-0 at halftime, showcasing clinical finishing early on. Go Ahead Eagles, deemed the stronger team, controlled possession at 53% to 47% but suffered a critical blow with a second-half red card, leaving them with 10 men. Undeterred, Eagles rallied back, scoring twice to earn a share of the spoils in a resilient display. Sparta's defense held firm under pressure, turning the numerical disadvantage into an opportunity for counterattacks. The draw reflected a balanced contest disrupted by the sending-off, with both sides showing character. Possession stats highlighted Eagles' dominance, yet the red card shifted momentum decisively. This result keeps both teams in the hunt, underscoring football's unpredictability.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match exhibited moderate 8.5% structural deviation for Go Ahead Eagles.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be determined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data availability.
  • Event impact: Red card event triggered second-half adjustments.
  • Red card distortion: Go Ahead Eagles' red card distorted second-half dynamics significantly.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Vos

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Brondijk

2nd Assistant

J. Ordelmans

4th Official

M. Diks

1st Assistant

Sparta Rotterdam M. Steijn
M. Steijn
VS
Go Ahead Eagles M. Boel
M. Boel
1.3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.2
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Telstar Rank: 60 L
PSV Rank: 85 L
NAC Breda Rank: 54 D
FC Volendam Rank: 60 W
Ajax Rank: 77 L
PEC Zwolle Rank: 64 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
AZ Rank: 75 D
FC Groningen Rank: 67 D
PEC Zwolle Rank: 64 W
FC Utrecht Rank: 71 L
NAC Breda Rank: 54 W
FC Twente Rank: 76 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 1 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sparta Rotterdam
4.91%
Draw
91.5%
Away Go Ahead Eagles
3.59%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sparta Rotterdam
-0.62%
Draw
+1.12%
Go Ahead Eagles
-0.5%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.45
66.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sparta Rotterdam
Go Ahead Eagles
Power Score
65.45
66.67
League Position
9
11
Global Rank
314
277

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sparta Rotterdam — Opponent-weighted form score
Go Ahead Eagles — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sparta Rotterdam Go Ahead Eagles

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sparta Rotterdam

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Go Ahead Eagles

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sparta Rotterdam ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Go Ahead Eagles
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
58.83
36.13
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
36.13
58.83
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sparta Rotterdam +2.19 Efficiency Index
vs
Go Ahead Eagles -2.19 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sparta Rotterdam
Go Ahead Eagles
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sparta Rotterdam ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Go Ahead Eagles
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sparta Rotterdam Go Ahead Eagles
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sparta Rotterdam Go Ahead Eagles
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sparta Rotterdam
Go Ahead Eagles
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sparta Rotterdam
vs
Go Ahead Eagles
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sparta Rotterdam Go Ahead Eagles
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sparta Rotterdam 0.47
Go Ahead Eagles 0.25
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sparta Rotterdam Go Ahead Eagles
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sparta Rotterdam 0.03
Go Ahead Eagles 0.04
Sparta Rotterdam
Go Ahead Eagles
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SPR had peak pressure around 93'.
  • SPR started the game with stronger pressure.
SPR Pressure GAE Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SPR reached the top pressure at 93' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sparta Rotterdam SPR Home
11 matches
Go Ahead Eagles GAE Away
Match Record
6
Wins
4
1
Draws
1
4
Losses
6
Goals
12
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
12
+3
Goal Difference
-3

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:05:02+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Drommel
Netherlands
1 J. Drommel
L. Martes
2 L. Martes
M. Young
Netherlands
3 M. Young
T. Quintero León
Venezuela
4 T. Quintero León
G. Vianello
Substitution
5 G. Vianello
A. Santos
Substitution
Netherlands
8 A. Santos
J. Kitolano
Norway
6 J. Kitolano
V. van Crooij
Netherlands
10 V. van Crooij
M. van Bergen
Netherlands
7 M. van Bergen
T. Lauritsen
Substitution
Norway
9 T. Lauritsen
S. Mito
Japan
11 S. Mito
Pitch
J. De Busser
Belgium
22 J. De Busser
A. Adelgaard
Substitution
Denmark
29 A. Adelgaard
J. Kramer
Netherlands
4 J. Kramer
J. Dirksen
Netherlands
26 J. Dirksen
A. Sampsted
Substitution
Iceland
2 A. Sampsted
J. Breum
Denmark
7 J. Breum
M. Meulensteen
Netherlands
21 M. Meulensteen
M. Suray
Substitution
Belgium
17 M. Suray
V. Edvardsen
Sweden
16 V. Edvardsen
S. Tengstedt
Substitution
Denmark
10 S. Tengstedt
S. Sigurdarson
Substitution
Iceland
9 S. Sigurdarson

General Information

Date & Time :
May 03, 2026, 02:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Capacity :
11026
Attendance :
10174
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Martijn Vos
Richard Brondijk
J. Ordelmans
Mario Diks

Statistics

Possession
SPR
50%
GAE
50%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 3
6 Shots 4
53 Dangerous attacks 63
47 Possession 53
6 Corners 8
10 Free kicks 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

14 Dribble Attempts 7
72 Ball Safe 77
9 Throwins 14
23 Successful Headers 11
7 Successful Dribbles 4
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 57
8 Goal Kicks 17
16 Goal Attempts 9
2 Injuries 0
2 Assists 1
3 Substitutions 5

Attacking

83 Attacks 87
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

83 Successful Passes Percentage 84
382 Passes 434
318 Successful Passes 364
58 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39
57 Long Passes 51
33 Successful Long Passes 20
20 Key Passes 13

Defensive

16 Tackles 10
12 Interceptions 8
56 Duels Won 37
3 Saves 1

Build-up

9 Accurate Crosses 11
27 Total Crosses 29

Discipline

11 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Martijn Vos

Starting XI ▼

1
Joël Drommel
Joël Drommel Goalkeeper
7.21
2
Lushendry Edward Martes
Lushendry Edward Martes Defender
6.69
3
Marvin Young
Marvin Young Defender
6.91
4
Teo Quintero
Teo Quintero Defender
7
5
Giannino Vianello
Giannino Vianello Defender
6.59
14
Bruno Martins Indi
Bruno Martins Indi
Defender81'
6.87
6
Joshua Kitolano
Joshua Kitolano Midfielder
6.84
8
Ayoni Santos
Ayoni Santos Midfielder
6.77
17
Pelle Clement
Pelle Clement
Midfielder81'
6.72
10
Vito van Crooij
Vito van Crooij Midfielder
6.71
7
Mitchell van Bergen
Mitchell van Bergen Attacker
6.75
9
Tobias Lauritsen
Tobias Lauritsen Attacker
7.27
19
Milan Zonneveld
Milan Zonneveld
Attacker88'
6.62
11
Shunsuke Mito
Shunsuke Mito Attacker
6.99
Referee : Martijn Vos

Starting XI ▼

22
Jari De Busser
Jari De Busser Goalkeeper
7.13
2
Alfons Sampsted
Alfons Sampsted Defender
6.81
11
Oskar Sivertsen
Oskar Sivertsen
Attacker74'
6.67
4
Joris Kramer
Joris Kramer Defender
7.1
26
Julius Dirksen
Julius Dirksen Defender
6.99
29
Aske Adelgaard
Aske Adelgaard Defender
6.71
5
Dean James
Dean James
Defender88'
6.71
7
Jakob Breum
Jakob Breum Midfielder
7.32
10
Søren Tengstedt
Søren Tengstedt Midfielder
6.74
8
Evert Linthorst
Evert Linthorst
Midfielder88'
6.68
16
Victor Edvardsen
Victor Edvardsen Midfielder
6.83
17
Mathis Suray
Mathis Suray Midfielder
6.91
18
Richonell Margaret
Richonell Margaret
Attacker74'
6.45
21
Melle Meulensteen
Melle Meulensteen Midfielder
7.08
9
Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson
Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson Attacker
6.83
27
Finn Stokkers
Finn Stokkers
Attacker67'
6.59

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Oskar Sivertsen
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Oskar Sivertsen
Time wasting / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Milan Zonneveld → Tobias Lauritsen
8th Substitution
88'
88'
Event
Evert Linthorst → Søren Tengstedt
7th Substitution
88'
Event
Dean James → Aske Adelgaard
6th Substitution
85'
Event
Richonell Margaret
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Pelle Clement → Ayoni Santos
4th Substitution
81'
Event
Bruno Martins Indi → Giannino Vianello
5th Substitution
81'
77'
Event
Julius Dirksen
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
74'
Event
Richonell Margaret → Mathis Suray
2nd Substitution
74'
Event
Oskar Sivertsen → Alfons Sampsted
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Victor Edvardsen
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Teo Quintero
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
69'
67'
Event
Finn Stokkers → Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson
1st Substitution
Event
Tobias Lauritsen
Header / 3rd Goal
57'
51'
Event
Victor Edvardsen
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
1ST-HALF
Event
Shunsuke Mito
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
45+2'
35'
Event
Joris Kramer
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Oskar Siira Sivertsen receives a yellow card.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second yellow card shown to Oskar Siira Sivertsen.
90
Attempt Attempt
Mitchell Van Bergen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
89
Attempt Attempt
Milan Zonneveld attempts a header but misses the shot.
88
Substitution Substitution
Evert Linthorst is substituted off for Soren Tengstedt.
88
Update Update
Dean Ruben James is on, and Victor Edvardsen is off.
88
Update Update
Milan Zonneveld replaces Tobias Lauritsen.
87
Attempt Attempt
Shunsuke Mito attempts a header but misses the shot.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Richonell Margaret receives a yellow card.
85
Attempt Attempt
Vito van Crooij attempts a header but misses the shot.
84
Attempt Attempt
Joshua Kitolano takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
83
Attempt Attempt
Shunsuke Mito takes a left-footed shot but misses.
83
Attempt Attempt
Shunsuke Mito takes a left-footed shot but misses.
82
Update Update
Pelle Clement is on, and Ayoni Santos is off.
81
Update Update
Bruno Martins Indi replaces Teo Quintero.
80
Attempt Attempt
Giannino Vianello takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
80
Attempt Attempt
Joshua Kitolano takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
77
Attempt Attempt
Julius Dirksen scores with a left-footed shot.
77
Attempt Attempt
Julius Dirksen scores with a left-footed shot.
76
Attempt Attempt
Finn Stokkers takes a header but misses the shot.
75
Attempt Attempt
Jakob Breum Martinsen takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
74
Update Update
Richonell Margaret comes on for Mathis Suray.
74
Update Update
Oskar Siira Sivertsen comes on for Alfons Sampsted.
72
Attempt Attempt
Vito van Crooij takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Victor Edvardsen receives a yellow card.
70
Attempt Attempt
Mathis Suray's left-footed shot is saved.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Teo Quintero receives a yellow card.
67
Update Update
Finn Stokkers is on, and Stefan Ingi Sigurdarson is off.
67
Attempt Attempt
Shunsuke Mito takes a right-footed shot but misses.
60
Attempt Attempt
Soren Tengstedt takes a left-footed shot but misses.
57
Update Update
Tobias Lauritsen scores with a header.
57
Update Update
Goal! Tobias Lauritsen scores, making it 2-1.
54
Attempt Attempt
Mitchell Van Bergen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
53
Attempt Attempt
Joshua Kitolano takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
51
Attempt Attempt
Stefan Ingi Sigurdarson's header is saved.
51
Attempt Attempt
Victor Edvardsen takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
49
Attempt Attempt
Jakob Breum Martinsen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
48
Attempt Attempt
Teo Quintero takes a left-footed shot but misses.
47
Attempt Attempt
Stefan Ingi Sigurdarson takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Stefan Ingi Sigurdarson takes a shot with his head but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Teo Quintero takes a header shot but misses.
45
Update Update
Goal! Shunsuke Mito scores to make it 1-0.
45
Attempt Attempt
Shunsuke Mito scores with a left-footed shot.
45
Attempt Attempt
Mitchell Van Bergen takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Stefan Ingi Sigurdarson takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
37
Attempt Attempt
Vito van Crooij takes a right-footed shot but misses.
35
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Joris Kramer receives a yellow card.
35
Attempt Attempt
Mathis Suray's right-footed shot is saved.
33
Attempt Attempt
Lushendry Martes takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
31
Attempt Attempt
Shunsuke Mito takes a right-footed shot but misses.
22
Attempt Attempt
Soren Tengstedt takes a left-footed shot but misses.
12
Attempt Attempt
Tobias Lauritsen attempts a header but misses the shot.
11
Attempt Attempt
Stefan Ingi Sigurdarson attempts a header but misses the shot.
9
Attempt Attempt
Mitchell Van Bergen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
8
Attempt Attempt
Soren Tengstedt's left-footed shot is blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Tobias Lauritsen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
3
Attempt Attempt
Shunsuke Mito takes a left-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

The 2-2 draw between Sparta Rotterdam and Go Ahead Eagles encapsulated a match of highs and lows, with Sparta leading 1-0 at halftime before Eagles' comeback. Despite 53% possession and stronger billing, Eagles overcame a red card to equalize, demonstrating grit. Market alignment held true amid moderate structural deviation, while efficiency stayed consistent. The red card distortion defined the second half, allowing Sparta to compete evenly. This outcome rewards resilience over dominance, leaving Eagles with a point from superiority and Sparta satisfied with parity. Both teams displayed quality, setting up intriguing future fixtures in the Eredivisie.

Sparta Rotterdam vs Go Ahead Eagles preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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