Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel Sun, 17 May - 12:30 PM
Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam SPR
Versus
Excelsior EXC
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 12:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sparta Rotterdam host Excelsior in Eredivisie (Regular Season) at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel. Domestically, Sparta Rotterdam sit 10th in the table while Excelsior are 14th. Power ranking favours Sparta Rotterdam by 12.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sparta Rotterdam possesses a power score of 64.88, surpassing Excelsior's 52.44 by 12.4 points.
  • Form: Excelsior arrives with a superior form score of 20.89 compared to Sparta Rotterdam's 9.06.
  • Squad: Sparta Rotterdam occupies 10th in the Eredivisie, ahead of Excelsior in 14th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data remains unspecified in current analyses.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece performance lacks xG data, showing low confidence with proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG variables are unavailable, limiting advanced metric insights.
  • Market: Sparta Rotterdam 44.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.6% (Δ+0%) | Excelsior 30.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sparta Rotterdam M. Steijn
M. Steijn
VS
Excelsior R. den Uil
R. den Uil
1.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Twente Rank: 76 L
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 67 D
Telstar Rank: 60 L
PSV Rank: 86 L
NAC Breda Rank: 56 D
FC Volendam Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Volendam Rank: 60 D
FC Groningen Rank: 66 W
FC Utrecht Rank: 72 W
PEC Zwolle Rank: 63 D
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 73 L
Heracles Almelo Rank: 55 D
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 1 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sparta Rotterdam
44.73%
Draw
24.62%
Away Excelsior
30.66%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.88
52.44
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior
Power Score
64.88
52.44
League Position
10
14
Global Rank
336
428

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sparta Rotterdam — Opponent-weighted form score
Excelsior — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sparta Rotterdam Excelsior

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sparta Rotterdam SPR Home
13 matches
Excelsior EXC Away
Match Record
5
Wins
7
1
Draws
1
7
Losses
5
Goals
24
Goals Scored
24
24
Goals Conceded
24
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:04:02+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
J. Drommel
1 J. Drommel
S. Sambo
12 S. Sambo
M. Young
3 M. Young
L. Martes
2 L. Martes
T. Quintero León
4 T. Quintero León
A. Santos
18 A. Santos
J. Kitolano
8 J. Kitolano
M. van Bergen
7 M. van Bergen
V. van Crooij
10 V. van Crooij
S. Mito
11 S. Mito
T. Lauritsen
9 T. Lauritsen
Pitch
S. van Gassel
1 S. van Gassel
A. Zagre
12 A. Zagre
L. Schouten
14 L. Schouten
C. Widell
4 C. Widell
R. Meissen
3 R. Meissen
I. Yegoian
23 I. Yegoian
L. Hartjes
20 L. Hartjes
N. Naujoks
10 N. Naujoks
E. Hansson
7 E. Hansson
G. de Regt
11 G. de Regt
D. Sanches Fernandes
30 D. Sanches Fernandes

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Capacity :
11026
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Roy de Nas
Rick Sturm
Allard Lindhout
Johan Balder

Expected Lineup

Referee : Allard Lindhout

Starting XI ▼

1
Joël Drommel
Joël Drommel Goalkeeper
7.24
9
Tobias Lauritsen
Tobias Lauritsen Centre Forward
7.27
2
Lushendry Edward Martes
Lushendry Edward Martes Left Back
6.65
3
Marvin Young
Marvin Young Right Back
6.91
4
Teo Quintero
Teo Quintero Left Back
6.97
7
Mitchell van Bergen
Mitchell van Bergen Right Wing
6.75
8
Joshua Kitolano
Joshua Kitolano Defensive Midfield
6.83
10
Vito van Crooij
Vito van Crooij Attacking Midfield
6.86
11
Shunsuke Mito
Shunsuke Mito Left Wing
7.03
12
Shurandy Sambo
Shurandy Sambo Right Back
6.62
18
Ayoni Santos
Ayoni Santos Defensive Midfield
6.77
Referee : Allard Lindhout

Starting XI ▼

1
Stijn van Gassel
Stijn van Gassel Goalkeeper
7.12
7
Emil Hansson
Emil Hansson Attacker
6.72
11
Gyan de Regt
Gyan de Regt Centre Forward
6.83
30
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
Derensili Sanches Fernandes Attacker
6.86
3
Rick Meissen
Rick Meissen Right Back
6.77
4
Casper Widell
Casper Widell Right Back
6.91
10
Noah Naujoks
Noah Naujoks Central Midfield
6.85
12
Arthur Zagré
Arthur Zagré Left Back
6.79
14
Lewis Schouten
Lewis Schouten Left Back
6.68
20
Lennard Hartjes
Lennard Hartjes Central Midfield
6.75
23
Irakli Yegoian
Irakli Yegoian Central Midfield
6.98

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Sparta Rotterdam holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Sparta Rotterdam a 12.4-point edge. External projection is Sparta Rotterdam 45.7%, draw 24.6%, and Excelsior 29.7%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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