Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
St. Mary's Stadium Tue, 12 May - 7:00 PM
Championship
Southampton SOU
2 Winner 1
Middlesbrough MID
Full Time: After Extra Time Tue, 12 May 7:00 PM
Semi Finals Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 2 - 1
Shea Emmanuel Charles - 116'
Ross Stewart - 45+1'
Goal
|
Goal
Riley McGree - 5'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Southampton 2–1 Middlesbrough. The result saw Southampton take the points. Southampton showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 60%–40%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Southampton's win showed a 62% deviation, rated as significant.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable for alignment evaluation.
  • Market alignment: Result aligned with pre-match market probabilities.
  • xG expectations: No xG data provided to measure expectations.
  • Event impact: No key events or second-half adjustments impacted the flow.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion from dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Madley

Japan 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

N. Hopton

1st Assistant

England

C. Taylor

2nd Assistant

England

T. Nield

4th Official

England

League averages

Championship Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.44
Yellow cards / match 3.92
Red cards / match 0.07
Penalties / match 0.24
Southampton Tonda Eckert
Tonda Eckert
VS
Middlesbrough K. Hellberg
K. Hellberg
1.97
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.63
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Middlesbrough Rank: 74 D
Preston North End Rank: 66 W
Ipswich Town Rank: 76 D
Bristol City Rank: 68 D
Swansea City Rank: 70 W
Blackburn Rovers Rank: 69 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Southampton Rank: 79 D
Wrexham Rank: 72 D
Watford Rank: 64 W
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: 54 W
Ipswich Town Rank: 76 D
Portsmouth Rank: 69 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 7 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Southampton
37.95%
Draw
28.34%
Away Middlesbrough
33.71%

Movement

Changes since opening
Southampton
+33.53%
Draw
-63.66%
Middlesbrough
+30.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.83
73.96
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Power Score
69.83
73.96
League Position
4
5
Global Rank
75
135

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Southampton — Opponent-weighted form score
Middlesbrough — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Southampton Middlesbrough

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Southampton

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Middlesbrough

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Southampton ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Middlesbrough
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.00
53.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
53.00
39.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Southampton -1.42 Efficiency Index
vs
Middlesbrough +1.42 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Southampton
Middlesbrough
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Southampton ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Middlesbrough
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Southampton Middlesbrough
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Southampton Middlesbrough
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Southampton
Middlesbrough
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Southampton
vs
Middlesbrough
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Southampton Middlesbrough
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Southampton 0.29
Middlesbrough 0.43
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Southampton Middlesbrough
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Southampton 0.02
Middlesbrough 0.03
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SOU had peak pressure around 116'.
  • MID started the game with stronger pressure.
SOU Pressure MID Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SOU reached the top pressure at 116' (95.99).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Southampton SOU Home
19 matches
Middlesbrough MID Away
Match Record
6
Wins
6
7
Draws
7
6
Losses
6
Goals
24
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
24
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T00:03:14+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-2-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
D. Peretz
Israel
41 D. Peretz
J. Bree
England
14 J. Bree
T. Harwood-Bellis
England
6 T. Harwood-Bellis
N. Wood-Gordon
England
15 N. Wood-Gordon
R. Manning
Republic of Ireland
3 R. Manning
S. Charles
England
24 S. Charles
C. Jander
Substitution
Germany
20 C. Jander
F. Azaz
England
10 F. Azaz
K. Matsuki
Substitution
Japan
27 K. Matsuki
R. Stewart
Substitution
Scotland
11 R. Stewart
L. Weschenfelder-Scienza
Substitution
Brazil
13 L. Weschenfelder-Scienza
Pitch
S. Brynn
England
31 S. Brynn
A. Malanda
France
29 A. Malanda
D. Fry
England
6 D. Fry
L. Ayling
Substitution
England
12 L. Ayling
M. Targett
England
3 M. Targett
R. McGree
Substitution
Australia
8 R. McGree
A. Morris
United States
18 A. Morris
C. Brittain
England
2 C. Brittain
T. Conway
Substitution
Scotland
9 T. Conway
M. Whittaker
England
11 M. Whittaker
D. Strelec
Substitution
Slovakia
13 D. Strelec

General Information

Date & Time :
May 12, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Championship, England · Semi Finals · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 2 - 1
Stadium :
St. Mary's Stadium
Capacity :
32384
Attendance :
30277
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Nicholas Hopton
Craig Taylor
Tom Nield
Andrew Madley

Statistics

Possession
SOU
57%
MID
43%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 0
6 Shots 7
68 Dangerous attacks 44
60 Possession 40
11 Corners 5
19 Free kicks 15
4 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

16 Dribble Attempts 18
19 Successful Headers 23
1 Assists 1
25 Successful Dribbles Percentage 39
27 Throwins 28
5 Goal Kicks 9
4 Successful Dribbles 7
2 Injuries 2
102 Ball Safe 76
10 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

122 Attacks 97
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

489 Successful Passes 316
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36
59 Long Passes 61
14 Key Passes 14
83 Successful Passes Percentage 78
589 Passes 405
24 Successful Long Passes 22

Defensive

65 Duels Won 64
9 Interceptions 6
23 Tackles 20
2 Saves 4

Build-up

40 Total Crosses 25
9 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

15 Fouls 19
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Andrew Madley

Starting XI ▼

41
Daniel Peretz
Daniel Peretz Goalkeeper
3
Ryan Manning
Ryan Manning Defender
6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
Taylor Harwood-Bellis Defender
14
James Bree
James Bree Defender
15
Nathan Wood
Nathan Wood Defender
10
Finn Azaz
Finn Azaz Midfielder
20
Caspar Jander
Caspar Jander Midfielder
48
Cameron Bragg
Cameron Bragg
Midfielder119'
24
Shea Emmanuel Charles
Shea Emmanuel Charles Midfielder
27
Kuryu Matsuki
Kuryu Matsuki Midfielder
4
Flynn Downes
Flynn Downes
Midfielder66'
11
Ross Stewart
Ross Stewart Attacker
9
Cyle Larin
Cyle Larin
Attacker84'
13
Leo Scienza
Leo Scienza Attacker
23
Samuel Edozie
Samuel Edozie
Midfielder85'
Referee : Andrew Madley

Starting XI ▼

31
Sol Brynn
Sol Brynn Goalkeeper
6
Dael Fry
Dael Fry Defender
12
Luke Ayling
Luke Ayling Defender
27
Sontje Hansen
Sontje Hansen
Attacker119'
29
Adilson Malanda
Adilson Malanda Defender
2
Callum Brittain
Callum Brittain Midfielder
3
Matt Targett
Matt Targett Midfielder
8
Riley McGree
Riley McGree Midfielder
45
Jeremy Sarmiento
Jeremy Sarmiento
Midfielder106'
18
Aidan Morris
Aidan Morris Midfielder
9
Tommy Conway
Tommy Conway Attacker
16
Alan Browne
Alan Browne
Midfielder73'
11
Morgan Whittaker
Morgan Whittaker Attacker
13
David Strelec
David Strelec Attacker
23
Leo Castledine
Leo Castledine
Midfielder83'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Cyle Larin
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
120+6'
Event
Daniel Peretz
Time wasting / 7th Yellowcard
120+3'
Event
Welington → Samuel Edozie
9th Substitution
119'
Event
Cameron Bragg → Caspar Jander
7th Substitution
119'
119'
Event
Sontje Hansen → Luke Ayling
8th Substitution
Event
Shea Emmanuel Charles
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
116'
106'
Event
Jeremy Sarmiento → Riley McGree
6th Substitution
92'
Event
Callum Brittain
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Samuel Edozie → Leo Scienza
5th Substitution
85'
Event
Cyle Larin → Ross Stewart
4th Substitution
84'
83'
Event
Leo Castledine → David Strelec
3rd Substitution
78'
Event
Adilson Malanda
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
73'
Event
Alan Browne → Tommy Conway
2nd Substitution
Event
Flynn Downes → Kuryu Matsuki
1st Substitution
66'
Event
Finn Azaz
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
56'
1ST-HALF
Event
Ross Stewart
Header / 2nd Goal
45+1'
38'
Event
Luke Ayling
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Nathan Wood
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
37'
13'
Event
Riley McGree
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
5'
Event
Riley McGree
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

120
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Leo Castledine of Middlesbrough headed the ball from the center of the box but missed to the left. Callum Brittain provided the assist with a cross.
120
Update Update
Cyle Larin fouled a Southampton player.
120
Attempt Attempt
Morgan Whittaker's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
120
Update Update
Second half extra time ends with Southampton winning 2-1 against Middlesbrough.
120
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Cyle Larin of Southampton receives a yellow card for a foul.
120
Update Update
Cyle Larin from Southampton won a free kick on the left wing.
120
Update Update
Foul committed by Callum Brittain of Middlesbrough.
120
Corner Corner
Middlesbrough win a corner after Finn Azaz concedes.
120
Attempt Attempt
Jeremy Sarmiento's shot from the center of the box is blocked. He was assisted by Matt Targett.
120
Update Update
Aidan Morris from Middlesbrough won a free kick on the right wing.
120
Attempt Attempt
Alan Browne's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Matt Targett.
120
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 5 minutes of added time.
120
Update Update
Second half extra time ends with Southampton winning 2-1.
120
Update Update
Matt Targett from Middlesbrough won a free kick on the left wing.
120
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Sontje Hansen from Middlesbrough shoots with his right foot from outside the box, but it's high and wide to the right. The assist came from Adilson Malanda, who headed the ball.
120
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Callum Brittain from Middlesbrough took a right-footed shot from outside the box but missed.
120
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Daniel Peretz from Southampton receives a yellow card.
120
Update Update
Fouled by Welington of Southampton.
119
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Middlesbrough: Sontje Hansen replaces Luke Ayling.
119
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: Cameron Bragg replaces Caspar Jander.
119
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: Welington replaces Samuel Edozie.
116
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Southampton leads 2-1 against Middlesbrough. Shea Charles scores for Southampton with a left-footed shot from long distance into the bottom left corner, assisted by Taylor Harwood-Bellis.
116
Attempt Attempt
James Bree's shot for Southampton is blocked. He attempted it with his right foot from outside the box.
113
Attempt Attempt
Alan Browne of Middlesbrough missed a chance, heading the ball from the center of the box high and wide to the right. The assist came from Matt Targett's cross.
112
Update Update
Luke Ayling from Middlesbrough won a free kick on the left wing.
112
Update Update
Cyle Larin fouled a Southampton player.
111
Corner Corner
Samuel Edozie from Southampton had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the left side of the box. The shot was close but missed. Cyle Larin provided the assist after a corner.
110
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Southampton after a foul by Luke Ayling.
108
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Samuel Edozie from Southampton.
106
Update Update
Shea Charles from Southampton won a free kick in an attacking position.
106
Update Update
Foul committed by Leo Castledine of Middlesbrough.
105
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be no added time.
105
Update Update
First half of extra time ends with the score at Southampton 1, Middlesbrough 1.
105
Attempt Attempt
Nathan Wood from Southampton had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box high and wide to the left. Ryan Manning provided the assist.
105
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Middlesbrough: Jeremy Sarmiento replaces Riley McGree.
105
Update Update
Extra time in the second half begins after the match finishes 1-1.
104
Update Update
Ryan Manning from Southampton won a free kick on the left wing.
104
Update Update
Foul committed by Aidan Morris of Middlesbrough.
103
Attempt Attempt
Finn Azaz's shot from outside the box is blocked. Samuel Edozie provided the assist.
100
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Edozie of Southampton attempted an attack with a right-footed shot from the right side of the box, but it was saved by Middlesbrough's goalkeeper Sol Brynn, who was positioned in the center of the goal. The assist came from Ryan Manning.
100
Update Update
Nathan Wood's header from the right side of the box is blocked. The assist came from Ryan Manning's cross.
100
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Southampton after Callum Brittain concedes.
98
Corner Corner
Southampton wins a corner after Dael Fry concedes.
96
Update Update
Foul committed by Matt Targett - Middlesbrough.
96
Update Update
Finn Azaz from Southampton won a free kick in the defensive area.
92
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Callum Brittain of Middlesbrough receives a yellow card for a foul.
92
Update Update
Samuel Edozie of Southampton won a free kick on the left wing.
92
Update Update
Callum Brittain of Middlesbrough committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Callum Brittain of Middlesbrough.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with the match finishing 1-1 between Southampton and Middlesbrough.
90
Attempt Attempt
Cyle Larin of Southampton attempts a shot with his right foot from the center of the box, but it's saved by Sol Brynn of Middlesbrough in the top center of the goal. The assist comes from Caspar Jander.
90
Update Update
Samuel Edozie from Southampton won a free kick on the left wing.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Dael Fry of Middlesbrough.
90
Update Update
First half of extra time begins after the match finishes 1-1.
89
Update Update
Aidan Morris from Middlesbrough won a free kick in defense.
89
Update Update
Foul by Caspar Jander for Southampton.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Southampton after Adilson Malanda concedes.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: Samuel Edozie replaces Léo Scienza.
85
Update Update
Foul committed by Riley McGree of Middlesbrough.
85
Update Update
Finn Azaz from Southampton won a free kick on the right wing.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: Cyle Larin replaces Ross Stewart.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Middlesbrough: Leo Castledine replaces David Strelec.
82
Update Update
Caspar Jander from Southampton won a free kick in defense.
82
Update Update
Foul committed by Morgan Whittaker of Middlesbrough.
79
Attempt Attempt
Ross Stewart from Southampton had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box but missing to the left. The assist came from James Bree's cross.
78
Update Update
Foul committed by Adilson Malanda of Middlesbrough.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Adilson Malanda of Middlesbrough receives a yellow card for a foul.
78
Update Update
Finn Azaz from Southampton won a free kick in an attacking position.
76
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Taylor Harwood-Bellis of Southampton heads the ball from close range but it goes high and wide to the right after the corner.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Southampton after Callum Brittain concedes.
74
Update Update
Foul committed by Dael Fry of Middlesbrough.
74
Update Update
Ross Stewart from Southampton won a free kick in defense.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Middlesbrough: Alan Browne replaces Tommy Conway due to injury.
71
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Tommy Conway from Middlesbrough.
71
Attempt Attempt
Finn Azaz's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist came from Caspar Jander.
68
Attempt Attempt
Morgan Whittaker's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. The assist came from Riley McGree.
68
Corner Corner
Middlesbrough win a corner after Nathan Wood concedes.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: Flynn Downes replaces Kuryu Matsuki.
65
Corner Corner
Middlesbrough win a corner after Kuryu Matsuki concedes.
64
Update Update
Foul committed by James Bree - Southampton.
64
Update Update
Tommy Conway from Middlesbrough was awarded a free kick in the attacking area.
63
Attempt Attempt
Luke Ayling's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
60
Attempt Attempt
Shea Charles of Southampton has his right-footed shot from outside the box blocked. The assist came from Finn Azaz, who provided a header.
59
Attempt Attempt
Ryan Manning's shot for Southampton from the right side of the six-yard box is blocked.
59
Attempt Attempt
Ryan Manning's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Southampton after Adilson Malanda concedes.
59
Corner Corner
Southampton wins a corner after Luke Ayling concedes.
58
Corner Corner
Southampton win a corner after Dael Fry concedes.
57
Attempt Attempt
Luke Ayling from Middlesbrough had a missed chance, heading the ball from the right side of the box, but it went high and wide to the right. The assist was provided by Callum Brittain.
56
Update Update
Matt Targett from Middlesbrough won a free kick on the left wing.
56
Update Update
Foul committed by Finn Azaz of Southampton.
56
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Finn Azaz of Southampton receives a yellow card for a foul.
54
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Ross Stewart of Southampton headed the ball from the center of the box but missed. The assist came from Léo Scienza, who delivered a cross after a corner.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Southampton after Callum Brittain concedes.
51
Update Update
Riley McGree from Middlesbrough won a free kick in the attacking area.
51
Update Update
Shea Charles commits a foul for Southampton.
48
Update Update
Foul committed by Taylor Harwood-Bellis of Southampton.
48
Update Update
Tommy Conway of Middlesbrough won a free kick in an attacking position.
47
Update Update
Foul committed by David Strelec of Middlesbrough.
47
Update Update
Ryan Manning of Southampton won a free kick in defense.
45
Update Update
Léo Scienza from Southampton won a free kick on the left wing.
45
Corner Corner
Southampton wins a corner after Luke Ayling concedes.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Tommy Conway of Middlesbrough.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Callum Brittain of Middlesbrough.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Southampton and Middlesbrough tied at 1-1.
45
Attempt Attempt
Ryan Manning from Southampton attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box, but Sol Brynn from Middlesbrough saves it in the top center of the goal. The assist comes from James Bree, who provided the cross.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 6 minutes of added time.
45
Update Update
James Bree of Southampton won a free kick in defense.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ross Stewart scores for Southampton with a header from a few meters into the high center of the goal. The match is now 1-1.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the match tied at 1-1 between Southampton and Middlesbrough.
45
Attempt Attempt
Shea Charles of Southampton has a shot from outside the box with his right foot, but it is blocked. Finn Azaz provided the assist.
43
Update Update
Morgan Whittaker from Middlesbrough won a free kick in defense.
43
Update Update
Léo Scienza fouled by Southampton.
42
Attempt Attempt
Finn Azaz from Southampton attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved by Middlesbrough's goalkeeper Sol Brynn, who is positioned in the center of the goal.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Southampton after Luke Ayling concedes.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Luke Ayling from Middlesbrough receives a yellow card for a foul.
38
Update Update
Léo Scienza from Southampton won a free kick in the attacking area.
38
Update Update
Foul committed by Luke Ayling - Middlesbrough.
37
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nathan Wood from Southampton receives a yellow card.
33
Update Update
Léo Scienza fouled by Southampton.
33
Update Update
Dael Fry from Middlesbrough won a free kick in defense.
32
Update Update
Léo Scienza from Southampton won a free kick in defense.
32
Update Update
Foul committed by Callum Brittain of Middlesbrough.
32
Attempt Attempt
Dael Fry from Middlesbrough makes an attacking attempt, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box, but his shot is saved by Southampton's goalkeeper Daniel Peretz, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Callum Brittain.
31
Corner Corner
Middlesbrough win a corner after Shea Charles concedes.
31
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Callum Brittain from Middlesbrough shoots with his right foot from outside the box, but it's high and wide to the left after the corner.
28
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Léo Scienza from Southampton.
27
Update Update
Léo Scienza from Southampton won a free kick on the left wing.
27
Update Update
Foul committed by Luke Ayling of Middlesbrough.
27
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Callum Brittain of Middlesbrough takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the left corner by Daniel Peretz of Southampton, with an assist from Matt Targett.
26
Corner Corner
Middlesbrough win a corner after Nathan Wood concedes.
26
Attempt Attempt
Tommy Conway's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Callum Brittain provided the assist.
24
Update Update
Foul committed by Caspar Jander - Southampton.
24
Update Update
Aidan Morris from Middlesbrough was awarded a free kick on the right wing.
23
Update Update
Kuryu Matsuki fouled a Southampton player.
23
Update Update
Morgan Whittaker of Middlesbrough won a free kick in the defensive area.
22
Update Update
Foul by David Strelec of Middlesbrough.
22
Update Update
Nathan Wood from Southampton won a free kick in defense.
16
Update Update
Offside called against Middlesbrough. Riley McGree is offside.
13
Update Update
Foul committed by Riley McGree of Middlesbrough.
13
Update Update
Shea Charles from Southampton won a free kick in defense.
13
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Riley McGree of Middlesbrough receives a yellow card for a foul.
12
Attempt Attempt
Ross Stewart from Southampton had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from a few meters out but missing to the left. Ryan Manning provided the assist.
11
Update Update
Léo Scienza from Southampton won a free kick in defense.
11
Update Update
Foul committed by Callum Brittain of Middlesbrough.
10
Update Update
Tommy Conway from Middlesbrough won a free kick on the left wing.
10
Update Update
Foul committed by James Bree - Southampton.
10
Attempt Attempt
Morgan Whittaker from Middlesbrough had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from the right side of the box, but it went close and missed. The assist was provided by Adilson Malanda.
7
Attempt Attempt
Morgan Whittaker's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Aidan Morris provided the assist.
5
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Middlesbrough takes the lead 1-0 with Riley McGree scoring from the center of the box into the left corner, assisted by Callum Brittain's cross.
4
Update Update
Foul by Caspar Jander for Southampton.
4
Update Update
Aidan Morris from Middlesbrough won a free kick on the right wing.
3
Update Update
Foul committed by Ross Stewart against Southampton.
3
Update Update
Luke Ayling from Middlesbrough won a free kick in the attacking position.
3
Attempt Attempt
Morgan Whittaker's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. David Strelec provided the assist.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Southampton exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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