Southampton vs Ipswich Town Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Championship, England
Championship
Ipswich Town
IPS
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Match is finished. Southampton 2–2 Ipswich Town. The match ended in a draw. Southampton showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 51%–49%.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Significant structural deviation of 73.3% occurred, attributed to Southampton.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match expectations.
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xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable data.
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Market alignment: The draw outcome did not align with pre-match market positioning.
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xG expectations: xG expectations were unavailable for evaluation.
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Event impact: No major events like red cards influenced the match dynamics.
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Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant zero distortion to the scoreline.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
T. Kirk
Other match officials
C. Brown
1st Assistant
R. Woodward
2nd Assistant
R. Ricardo
4th Official
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Southampton
Ipswich Town
Movement
Changes since opening
Southampton
Ipswich Town
Team Power Ranking
i
38.69
32.96
Southampton
Ipswich Town
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Southampton
Ipswich Town
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Southampton
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency









Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)








Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
















Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.




























PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- IPS had peak pressure around 92'.
- IPS started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
















Data last updated: 2026-04-29T00:01:19+00:00
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General Information
Next Match


Southampton
vs
Preston North End
League: Championship
Kickoff: Sat, 2 May - 11:30 AM
Venue: Deepdale


Ipswich Town
vs
Queens Park Rangers
League: Championship
Kickoff: Sat, 2 May - 11:30 AM
Venue: Portman Road Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


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Manager ▼


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Events
CONCLUSION
Southampton vs Ipswich Town preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
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Match Commentary