Southampton vs Ipswich Town Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
St. Mary's Stadium Tue, 28 Apr - 6:45 PM
Championship
Southampton SOU
2 – 2
Ipswich Town IPS
Full Time Tue, 28 Apr 6:45 PM
Round 40 Regular Season
Cyle Larin - 80'
Ryan Manning - 58'
Goal
|
Goal
Jack Clarke - 87'
Wes Burns - 48'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Southampton 2–2 Ipswich Town. The match ended in a draw. Southampton showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 51%–49%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Significant structural deviation of 73.3% occurred, attributed to Southampton.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The draw outcome did not align with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were unavailable for evaluation.
  • Event impact: No major events like red cards influenced the match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant zero distortion to the scoreline.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

T. Kirk

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. Brown

1st Assistant

R. Woodward

2nd Assistant

R. Ricardo

4th Official

Southampton Tonda Eckert
Tonda Eckert
VS
Ipswich Town K. McKenna
K. McKenna
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.94
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bristol City Rank: D
Swansea City Rank: W
Blackburn Rovers Rank: W
Derby County Rank: W
Wrexham Rank: W
Oxford United Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
West Bromwich Albion Rank: D
Charlton Athletic Rank: W
Middlesbrough Rank: D
Portsmouth Rank: L
Norwich City Rank: W
Birmingham City Rank: W
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 8 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Southampton
43.57%
Draw
26.71%
Away Ipswich Town
29.72%

Movement

Changes since opening
Southampton
+39.11%
Draw
-62.58%
Ipswich Town
+23.47%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
38.69
32.96
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Southampton
Ipswich Town
Power Score
38.69
32.96
League Position
5
2
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Southampton — Opponent-weighted form score
Ipswich Town — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Southampton Ipswich Town

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Southampton

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Ipswich Town

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Southampton ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Ipswich Town
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
38.33
42.45
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
42.45
38.33
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Southampton -0.42 Efficiency Index
vs
Ipswich Town +0.42 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Southampton
Ipswich Town
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Southampton ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Ipswich Town
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Southampton Ipswich Town
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Southampton Ipswich Town
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Southampton
Ipswich Town
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Southampton
vs
Ipswich Town
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Southampton Ipswich Town
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Southampton 0.58
Ipswich Town 0.53
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Southampton Ipswich Town
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Southampton 0.06
Ipswich Town 0.06
Southampton
Ipswich Town
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • IPS had peak pressure around 92'.
  • IPS started the game with stronger pressure.
SOU Pressure IPS Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: IPS reached the top pressure at 92' (85.97).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Southampton SOU Home
22 matches
Ipswich Town IPS Away
Match Record
7
Wins
7
8
Draws
8
7
Losses
7
Goals
33
Goals Scored
33
33
Goals Conceded
33
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-29T00:01:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Peretz
Israel
41 D. Peretz
J. Bree
England
14 J. Bree
T. Harwood-Bellis
England
6 T. Harwood-Bellis
N. Wood-Gordon
England
15 N. Wood-Gordon
R. Manning
Republic of Ireland
3 R. Manning
S. Charles
England
24 S. Charles
C. Jander
Germany
20 C. Jander
T. Fellows
Substitution
England
18 T. Fellows
F. Azaz
England
10 F. Azaz
L. Weschenfelder-Scienza
Brazil
13 L. Weschenfelder-Scienza
C. Larin
Substitution
Canada
9 C. Larin
Pitch
C. Walton
England
28 C. Walton
L. Davis
England
3 L. Davis
J. Greaves
England
24 J. Greaves
D. O'Shea
Republic of Ireland
26 D. O'Shea
D. Furlong
England
19 D. Furlong
D. Neil
England
6 D. Neil
A. Matusiwa
Substitution
Netherlands
5 A. Matusiwa
J. Philogene-Bidace
Substitution
England
11 J. Philogene-Bidace
M. Nuñez
Substitution
Chile
32 M. Nuñez
W. Burns
Substitution
Wales
7 W. Burns
I. Monzón
Substitution
Spain
31 I. Monzón

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 28, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 40 · Regular Season
Stadium :
St. Mary's Stadium
Capacity :
32384
Attendance :
31180
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Thomas Kirk
Connor Brown
Richard Woodward
Ruebyn Ricardo

Statistics

Possession
SOU
51%
IPS
49%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 0
18 Shots 19
31 Dangerous attacks 36
51 Possession 49
5 Corners 9
19 Free kicks 10
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

9 Goal Kicks 9
80 Successful Dribbles Percentage 56
8 Goal Attempts 17
18 Throwins 11
15 Dribble Attempts 16
12 Successful Dribbles 9
17 Successful Headers 17
81 Ball Safe 80
1 Assists 1
2 Substitutions 5
0 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

45 Attacks 50
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

354 Passes 349
60 Long Passes 49
22 Successful Long Passes 21
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43
77 Successful Passes Percentage 76
11 Key Passes 16
272 Successful Passes 266

Defensive

12 Interceptions 11
7 Saves 2
60 Duels Won 51
13 Tackles 15

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 20
4 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 19

Lineup

Referee : Thomas Kirk

Starting XI ▼

41
Daniel Peretz
Daniel Peretz Goalkeeper
6.92
3
Ryan Manning
Ryan Manning Defender
7.2
6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
Taylor Harwood-Bellis Defender
7.24
14
James Bree
James Bree Defender
6.95
15
Nathan Wood
Nathan Wood Defender
6.78
10
Finn Azaz
Finn Azaz Midfielder
7.11
13
Leo Scienza
Leo Scienza Midfielder
7.28
18
Tom Fellows
Tom Fellows Midfielder
6.75
23
Samuel Edozie
Samuel Edozie
Midfielder69'
6.6
20
Caspar Jander
Caspar Jander Midfielder
6.9
24
Shea Emmanuel Charles
Shea Emmanuel Charles Midfielder
6.98
9
Cyle Larin
Cyle Larin Attacker
6.74
11
Ross Stewart
Ross Stewart
Attacker81'
6.87
Referee : Thomas Kirk

Starting XI ▼

28
Christian Walton
Christian Walton Goalkeeper
6.94
3
Leif Davis
Leif Davis Defender
7.01
19
Darnell Furlong
Darnell Furlong Defender
6.86
24
Jacob Greaves
Jacob Greaves Defender
7.04
26
Dara O'Shea
Dara O'Shea Defender
7.07
5
Azor Matusiwa
Azor Matusiwa Midfielder
6.98
29
Chuba Akpom
Chuba Akpom
Attacker82'
6.65
6
Dan Neil
Dan Neil Midfielder
6.71
7
Wes Burns
Wes Burns Midfielder
6.66
20
Kasey McAteer
Kasey McAteer
Midfielder67'
6.46
11
Jaden Philogene
Jaden Philogene Midfielder
7.05
47
Jack Clarke
Jack Clarke
Attacker67'
6.98
32
Marcelino Núñez
Marcelino Núñez Midfielder
6.9
12
Jens Cajuste
Jens Cajuste
Midfielder75'
6.71
31
Iván Azón
Iván Azón Attacker
6.62
9
George Hirst
George Hirst
Attacker75'
6.75

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Jack Clarke
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
82'
Event
Chuba Akpom → Azor Matusiwa
7th Substitution
Event
Ross Stewart → Cyle Larin
6th Substitution
81'
Event
Cyle Larin
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
80'
75'
Event
Jens Cajuste → Marcelino Núñez
4th Substitution
75'
Event
George Hirst → Iván Azón
5th Substitution
75'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Samuel Edozie → Tom Fellows
3rd Substitution
69'
67'
Event
Jack Clarke → Jaden Philogene
1st Substitution
67'
Event
Kasey McAteer → Wes Burns
2nd Substitution
Event
Ryan Manning
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
58'
57'
Event
Jacob Greaves
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
48'
Event
Wes Burns
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Ipswich Town wins a corner after Taylor Harwood-Bellis concedes it.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 5 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Foul by George Hirst of Ipswich Town.
90
Update Update
Dan Neil of Ipswich Town is caught offside.
90
Update Update
Léo Scienza of Southampton won a free kick in defense.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jack Clarke from Ipswich Town missed a chance with a left-footed shot from the center of the box.
90
Update Update
Offside called against Southampton. Ross Stewart is offside.
90
Corner Corner
Ipswich Town win a corner after Daniel Peretz concedes.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with the match finishing 2-2 between Southampton and Ipswich Town.
90
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Jack Clarke from Ipswich Town takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it's saved in the top right corner by Daniel Peretz from Southampton. The assist came from Chuba Akpom.
90
Update Update
Dan Neil from Ipswich Town commits a foul.
90
Update Update
Ryan Manning of Southampton won a free kick in defense.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Ipswich Town after a concession by Daniel Peretz.
89
Attempt Attempt
Jack Clarke from Ipswich Town hits the right post with a right-footed shot from the right side of the box, assisted by Dara O'Shea after a fast break.
88
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Darnell Furlong from Ipswich Town headed the ball from the center of the box.
87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jack Clarke scores for Ipswich Town with a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the right corner. The match is now 2-2.
85
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Kasey McAteer of Ipswich Town has a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved in the left corner by Daniel Peretz of Southampton, with an assist from George Hirst.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Southampton after Jacob Greaves concedes.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ipswich Town: Chuba Akpom replaces Azor Matusiwa.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: Ross Stewart replaces Cyle Larin.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Cyle Larin scores for Southampton with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the left corner, assisted by Ryan Manning. The score is now Southampton 2, Ipswich Town 1.
79
Attempt Attempt
Kasey McAteer from Ipswich Town attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved by Southampton's goalkeeper Daniel Peretz, positioned in the center of the goal. The assist came from Azor Matusiwa.
79
Update Update
Darnell Furlong fouled an Ipswich Town player.
79
Update Update
Finn Azaz from Southampton won a free kick in defense.
78
Attempt Attempt
Finn Azaz from Southampton had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from outside the box, but it went just to the left.
77
Update Update
Dan Neil from Ipswich Town commits a foul.
77
Update Update
James Bree of Southampton won a free kick on the right wing.
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Iván Azón from Ipswich Town receives a yellow card for a foul.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ipswich Town: George Hirst replaces Iván Azón.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ipswich Town: Jens Cajuste replaces Marcelino Núñez.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Ipswich Town after a concession by Taylor Harwood-Bellis.
74
Update Update
Finn Azaz from Southampton won a free kick in defense.
74
Update Update
Jacob Greaves' header from inside the six-yard box on the left side is blocked. The assist came from Leif Davis, who delivered the cross.
74
Update Update
Iván Azón from Ipswich Town committed a foul.
74
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Darnell Furlong of Ipswich Town heads the ball from close range, but it's saved in the top left corner by Daniel Peretz of Southampton. The assist came from Kasey McAteer.
73
Corner Corner
Ipswich Town wins a corner after James Bree concedes.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Ipswich Town after Ryan Manning concedes.
69
Update Update
Foul committed by James Bree - Southampton.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: Samuel Edozie replaces Tom Fellows.
69
Update Update
Jack Clarke from Ipswich Town won a free kick in defense.
67
Update Update
Foul committed by Iván Azón of Ipswich Town.
67
Update Update
Taylor Harwood-Bellis of Southampton won a free kick in an attacking position.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ipswich Town: Kasey McAteer replaces Wes Burns.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ipswich Town: Jack Clarke replaces Jaden Philogene.
66
Update Update
Shea Charles from Southampton misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, sending the ball high and wide to the left. Léo Scienza provided the assist.
63
Corner Corner
Jaden Philogene from Ipswich Town had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from the left side of the box, just missing the top right corner. Wes Burns provided the assist after a fast break.
63
Corner Corner
Léo Scienza from Southampton had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, just missing the top right corner. The assist was by Caspar Jander.
60
Attempt Attempt
Wes Burns from Ipswich Town had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box but missing to the left. Dan Neil provided the assist.
60
Attempt Attempt
Caspar Jander's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
59
Update Update
Taylor Harwood-Bellis from Southampton won a free kick in defense.
59
Update Update
Foul committed by Jaden Philogene of Ipswich Town.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ryan Manning scores for Southampton with a left-footed shot from a free kick into the high center of the goal. The match is now 1-1.
57
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jacob Greaves from Ipswich Town receives a yellow card for a foul.
57
Update Update
Finn Azaz from Southampton won a free kick in the attacking area.
57
Update Update
Jacob Greaves from Ipswich Town committed a foul.
55
Corner Corner
Southampton wins a corner after Jacob Greaves concedes.
55
Attempt Attempt
Finn Azaz's left-footed shot from a difficult position on the left is blocked. Léo Scienza provided the assist.
53
Attempt Attempt
Léo Scienza's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
53
Attempt Attempt
Dan Neil's shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Iván Azón.
52
Update Update
Léo Scienza of Southampton won a free kick in an attacking position.
52
Update Update
Marcelino Núñez fouled an Ipswich Town player.
51
Update Update
Foul committed by Caspar Jander of Southampton.
51
Update Update
Azor Matusiwa of Ipswich Town won a free kick in defense.
50
Update Update
Offside called against Ipswich Town. Jaden Philogene is offside.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ipswich Town leads 1-0 against Southampton. Wes Burns scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the right corner, assisted by Iván Azón.
47
Update Update
Darnell Furlong of Ipswich Town was awarded a free kick in defense.
47
Update Update
Foul committed by Nathan Wood against Southampton.
46
Corner Corner
Southampton wins a corner after Christian Walton concedes.
46
Attempt Attempt
Cyle Larin from Southampton attempts an attack, shooting with his left foot from the center of the box. The shot is saved in the top center of the goal by Christian Walton from Ipswich Town, with the assist coming from Ryan Manning's cross.
46
Attempt Attempt
Léo Scienza's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Tom Fellows provided the assist.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the match score at 0-0 between Southampton and Ipswich Town.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
45
Attempt Attempt
Finn Azaz's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Southampton and Ipswich Town tied at 0-0.
43
Update Update
Foul committed by Finn Azaz of Southampton.
43
Update Update
Azor Matusiwa from Ipswich Town won a free kick in an attacking position.
42
Update Update
Foul committed by Wes Burns of Ipswich Town.
42
Update Update
Ryan Manning from Southampton won a free kick on the left wing.
40
Corner Corner
Southampton win a corner after Darnell Furlong concedes.
40
Attempt Attempt
Finn Azaz's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked.
39
Update Update
Léo Scienza from Southampton won a free kick on the left wing.
39
Update Update
Wes Burns from Ipswich Town committed a foul.
38
Update Update
Léo Scienza from Southampton won a free kick in defense.
38
Update Update
Darnell Furlong fouled a player from Ipswich Town.
36
Update Update
Handball by Caspar Jander of Southampton.
36
Corner Corner
Ipswich Town win a corner after James Bree concedes.
35
Corner Corner
Southampton wins a corner after Dan Neil concedes.
34
Attempt Attempt
Finn Azaz's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
Finn Azaz's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. The assist came from James Bree's header.
32
Update Update
Foul committed by Jaden Philogene of Ipswich Town.
32
Update Update
James Bree of Southampton won a free kick in defense.
31
Update Update
Jacob Greaves from Ipswich Town committed a foul.
31
Update Update
Cyle Larin of Southampton won a free kick in defense.
30
Attempt Attempt
Cyle Larin's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. The assist came from Finn Azaz.
26
Attempt Attempt
Wes Burns from Ipswich Town had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, coming very close to the goal. Iván Azón provided the assist.
25
Update Update
Foul committed by Azor Matusiwa of Ipswich Town.
25
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Jaden Philogene from Ipswich Town takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the right corner by Daniel Peretz from Southampton. The assist came from Iván Azón with a header.
25
Update Update
Léo Scienza from Southampton won a free kick in defense.
24
Update Update
Wes Burns from Ipswich Town won a free kick in defense.
24
Update Update
Foul committed by Caspar Jander for Southampton.
22
Update Update
Foul committed by Caspar Jander - Southampton.
22
Attempt Attempt
Wes Burns from Ipswich Town had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, but it went just to the left. Azor Matusiwa provided the assist.
22
Update Update
Azor Matusiwa of Ipswich Town won a free kick in defense.
21
Corner Corner
Cyle Larin of Southampton attempts a header from the center of the box, but it's saved in the left corner by Christian Walton of Ipswich Town. The assist came from Ryan Manning's cross.
20
Update Update
Foul committed by Azor Matusiwa of Ipswich Town.
20
Update Update
Léo Scienza from Southampton won a free kick on the left wing.
16
Attempt Attempt
Ryan Manning from Southampton had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from outside the box, which was very close to the goal. Léo Scienza provided the assist.
15
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Iván Azón from Ipswich Town takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, which is saved by Southampton's goalkeeper Daniel Peretz in the center of the goal.
14
Corner Corner
Ipswich Town win a corner after James Bree concedes.
13
Attempt Attempt
Cyle Larin from Southampton had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, coming very close to the goal. The assist was provided by Finn Azaz.
11
Update Update
Wes Burns from Ipswich Town won a free kick in the attacking area.
11
Update Update
Foul committed by Ryan Manning of Southampton.
8
Update Update
Foul committed by Caspar Jander - Southampton.
8
Update Update
Azor Matusiwa from Ipswich Town won a free kick in defense.
7
Update Update
Tom Fellows from Southampton committed a foul.
7
Update Update
Leif Davis from Ipswich Town won a free kick in defense.
6
Update Update
Cyle Larin is flagged for offside for Southampton.
6
Update Update
Wes Burns of Ipswich Town commits a handball.
5
Update Update
Dara O'Shea fouled an Ipswich Town player.
5
Corner Corner
Missed chance for Ipswich Town. Iván Azón heads the ball from inside the six-yard box, but it goes high over the left side. The assist came from Leif Davis, who delivered a cross after a corner.
5
Update Update
Cyle Larin of Southampton won a free kick in defense.
4
Corner Corner
Ipswich Town win a corner after Taylor Harwood-Bellis concedes.
4
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Jaden Philogene from Ipswich Town takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the left corner by Daniel Peretz from Southampton. The assist comes from Dan Neil.
2
Update Update
Cyle Larin of Southampton won a free kick in defense.
2
Update Update
Foul committed by Dan Neil of Ipswich Town.

CONCLUSION

This 2-2 draw underscores Southampton's inability to convert their status as the stronger side into victory, highlighted by the significant 73.3% structural deviation. With halftime locked at 0-0 and possession balanced, the second half's goal flurry masked underlying inefficiencies that aligned with expectations but fell short of converting dominance into points. The lack of xG data limits precision on chance quality, yet the result deviates markedly from anticipated hierarchies. Ipswich Town's resilience earned a valuable point, exposing Southampton's vulnerabilities in tight contests. Overall, the match exemplifies how fine margins define Premier League outcomes without external disruptions like red cards.

Southampton vs Ipswich Town preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Championship, England View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ