Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Brøndby IF Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Sydbank Park Sun, 26 Apr - 2:00 PM
Superliga
Sønderjyske Fodbold SON
3 Winner 0
Brøndby IF BIF
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 2:00 PM
Round 7 Championship Round
S. Emini - 65'
O. Hyseni - 11'
M. Hoppe - 3'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Sønderjyske Fodbold 3–0 Brøndby IF. The result saw Sønderjyske Fodbold take the points. Sønderjyske Fodbold showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 45%–55%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sønderjyske Fodbold recorded a significant 74.3% structural deviation as the decisive winners.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with performance metrics for both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable xG data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment failed as Sønderjyske Fodbold defied pre-match favoritism toward Brøndby IF.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without xG statistics.
  • Event impact: No events or second-half adjustments altered the match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion nonexistent with zero red cards issued.
  • Market: Sønderjyske Fodbold 25.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.2% (Δ+0%) | Brøndby IF 50.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

L. Graagaard

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Rasmussen

4th Official

A. Petersen

2nd Assistant

M. Markus

1st Assistant

Sønderjyske Fodbold T. Nørgaard
T. Nørgaard
VS
Brøndby IF S. Cooper
S. Cooper
1.44
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Midtjylland Rank: L
Brøndby IF Rank: L
Viborg FF Rank: L
FC Midtjylland Rank: D
Nordsjælland Rank: L
AGF Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Viborg FF Rank: W
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: W
FC Midtjylland Rank: L
Nordsjælland Rank: L
AGF Rank: D
Viborg FF Rank: L
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 9 - 25
25

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sønderjyske Fodbold
25.73%
Draw
24.22%
Away Brøndby IF
50.06%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.28
26.38
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Brøndby IF
Power Score
20.28
26.38
League Position
6
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sønderjyske Fodbold — Opponent-weighted form score
Brøndby IF — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sønderjyske Fodbold Brøndby IF

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sønderjyske Fodbold

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Brøndby IF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sønderjyske Fodbold ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brøndby IF
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.89
40.64
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
40.64
34.89
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sønderjyske Fodbold -0.57 Efficiency Index
vs
Brøndby IF +0.57 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Brøndby IF
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sønderjyske Fodbold ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brøndby IF
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sønderjyske Fodbold Brøndby IF
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sønderjyske Fodbold Brøndby IF
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Brøndby IF
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sønderjyske Fodbold
vs
Brøndby IF
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sønderjyske Fodbold Brøndby IF
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.41
Brøndby IF 0.28
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sønderjyske Fodbold Brøndby IF
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.00
Brøndby IF 0.09
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Brøndby IF
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BIF had peak pressure around 48'.
  • SON started the game with stronger pressure.
SON Pressure BIF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BIF reached the top pressure at 48' (93.91).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 46 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sønderjyske Fodbold SON Home
46 matches
Brøndby IF BIF Away
Match Record
12
Wins
25
9
Draws
9
25
Losses
12
Goals
50
Goals Scored
86
86
Goals Conceded
50
-36
Goal Difference
+36

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:05:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
N. Flø
Denmark
1 N. Flø
A. Oggesen
Substitution
Denmark
22 A. Oggesen
M. Soulas
France
12 M. Soulas
D. Grétarsson
Iceland
4 D. Grétarsson
C. Duru
Substitution
Nigeria
23 C. Duru
R. Vinderslev
Denmark
6 R. Vinderslev
T. Sommer
Denmark
26 T. Sommer
S. Emini
Substitution
Macedonia
7 S. Emini
S. Haidara
31 S. Haidara
O. Hyseni
Substitution
Denmark
24 O. Hyseni
M. Hoppe
Substitution
United States
9 M. Hoppe
Pitch
P. Pentz
Austria
1 P. Pentz
L. Binks
England
4 L. Binks
B. Godfrey
Substitution
England
14 B. Godfrey
J. Vanlerberghe
Substitution
Belgium
30 J. Vanlerberghe
M. Köhlert
Substitution
Germany
27 M. Köhlert
D. Wass
Substitution
Denmark
10 D. Wass
M. Jensen
42 M. Jensen
S. Fukuda
Substitution
Japan
19 S. Fukuda
N. Vallys
Denmark
7 N. Vallys
J. Brøchner Ambæk
38 J. Brøchner Ambæk
M. Frøkjær-Jensen
Denmark
29 M. Frøkjær-Jensen

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 26, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 7 · Championship Round
Stadium :
Sydbank Park
Capacity :
10000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Lasse Læbel Graagaard
Jacob Rasmussen
Alex Petersen
Martin Markus

Statistics

Possession
SON
46%
BIF
54%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 3
8 Shots 11
34 Dangerous attacks 67
45 Possession 55
4 Corners 6
12 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

14 Goal Kicks 7
12 Dribble Attempts 20
16 Throwins 24
67 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45
8 Successful Dribbles 9
13 Goal Attempts 9
2 Injuries 1
68 Ball Safe 69
5 Substitutions 5
1 Assists 0

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 3
3 Counter Attacks 2
62 Attacks 93

Possession

82 Successful Passes Percentage 88
19 Successful Long Passes 17
384 Passes 456
38 Long Passes 30
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 57
316 Successful Passes 401
10 Key Passes 10

Defensive

55 Duels Won 41
9 Interceptions 9
25 Tackles 14
3 Saves 5

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 30
2 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

14 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Lasse Læbel Graagaard

Starting XI ▼

1
N. Flø
N. Flø Goalkeeper
6.37
4
Daníel Leó Grétarsson
Daníel Leó Grétarsson Defender
6.97
12
M. Soulas
M. Soulas Defender
7.02
22
A. Oggesen
A. Oggesen Defender
6.81
17
Anders Hoeg
Anders Hoeg
Midfielder82'
6.34
23
E. Duru
E. Duru Defender
6.47
3
S. Wæver
S. Wæver
Defender66'
6.59
6
R. Vinderslev
R. Vinderslev Midfielder
6.69
7
S. Emini
S. Emini Midfielder
6.63
15
Lirim Qamili
Lirim Qamili
Attacker70'
6.69
24
O. Hyseni
O. Hyseni Midfielder
6.69
28
A. Pedersen
A. Pedersen
Midfielder82'
6.45
26
T. Sommer
T. Sommer Midfielder
7.03
31
M. Haidara
M. Haidara Midfielder
6.68
9
M. Hoppe
M. Hoppe Attacker
6.73
20
T. Klysner
T. Klysner
Attacker70'
6.58
Referee : Lasse Læbel Graagaard

Starting XI ▼

1
Patrick Pentz
Patrick Pentz Goalkeeper
7.14
4
Luis Binks
Luis Binks Defender
7.02
14
Ben Godfrey
Ben Godfrey Defender
6.97
2
Oliver Villadsen
Oliver Villadsen
Defender18'
6.84
30
Jordi Vanlerberghe
Jordi Vanlerberghe Defender
6.78
37
Raphael Canut Pedersen
Raphael Canut Pedersen
Defender46'
6.76
10
Daniel Wass
Daniel Wass Midfielder
6.9
17
Emmanuel Dennis
Emmanuel Dennis
Attacker55'
6.77
19
Sho Fukuda
Sho Fukuda Midfielder
6.94
22
Ousmane Sow
Ousmane Sow
Midfielder63'
6.49
27
Mats Köhlert
Mats Köhlert Midfielder
7.04
24
Marko Divkovic
Marko Divkovic
Defender55'
6.92
42
Mathias Jensen
Mathias Jensen Midfielder
6.8
7
Nicolai Vallys
Nicolai Vallys Attacker
7.16
29
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen Attacker
6.79
38
Jacob Ambaek
Jacob Ambaek Attacker
6.87

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Anders Hoeg
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
83'
Event
A. Pedersen → O. Hyseni
9th Substitution
82'
Event
Anders Hoeg → A. Oggesen
10th Substitution
82'
Event
Daníel Leó Grétarsson
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
77'
76'
Event
Luis Binks
Off the ball foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Lirim Qamili → S. Emini
8th Substitution
70'
Event
T. Klysner → M. Hoppe
7th Substitution
70'
Event
S. Wæver → E. Duru
6th Substitution
66'
Event
S. Emini
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
65'
63'
Event
Ousmane Sow → Sho Fukuda
5th Substitution
55'
Event
Emmanuel Dennis → Daniel Wass
3rd Substitution
55'
Event
Marko Divkovic → Mats Köhlert
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Raphael Canut Pedersen → Jordi Vanlerberghe
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
18'
Event
Oliver Villadsen → Ben Godfrey
1st Substitution
Event
O. Hyseni
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
11'
Event
M. Hoppe
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
3'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Sønderjyske Fodbold exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Brøndby IF preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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