Sochi vs Akhmat Grozny Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht Sun, 17 May - 3:00 PM
Premier League
Sochi Sochi
Versus
Akhmat Grozny AKH
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 3:00 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sochi welcomes Akhmat Grozny to Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht in the Russian Premier League's 2025/2026 regular season. Akhmat arrives as the superior force, holding a power score of 59.88 compared to Sochi's 46.6, which grants them a clear 13.3-point edge in underlying strength. League positions underscore this gap, with Akhmat comfortably at 9th and Sochi struggling in 16th place. However, recent performances tell a different story: Sochi's form score stands at 26.67, outpacing Akhmat's modest 10.61. Home support could fuel Sochi's fightback against a higher-powered visitor. Advanced analytics remain sparse, as set piece metrics rely on low-confidence proxies without true xG data. Akhmat's structural dominance clashes with Sochi's momentum, setting up an intriguing battle where efficiency in open play and transitions will prove decisive. Expect a contest defined by contrasting trajectories.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Akhmat Grozny possesses a structural edge with a 59.88 power score versus Sochi's 46.6, yielding a 13.3-point advantage.
  • Form: Sochi leads in form with a 26.67 score, surpassing Akhmat Grozny's 10.61.
  • Squad: Akhmat Grozny ranks 9th in the league, ahead of Sochi in 16th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in the available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies without xG availability for either side.
  • xVariable: xG data remains unavailable, as indicated by set pieces metadata.
  • Market: Baseline split: Sochi 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Akhmat Grozny 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sochi I. Osinkin
I. Osinkin
VS
Akhmat Grozny S. Cherchesov
S. Cherchesov
0.93
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.43
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zenit Rank: 81 L
Orenburg Rank: 54 W
Dinamo Moskva Rank: 69 L
Krylya Sovetov Rank: 56 W
Rostov Rank: 61 W
CSKA Moskva Rank: 70 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: 57 D
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 52 W
Zenit Rank: 79 L
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: 66 D
Spartak Moskva Rank: 73 L
Krylya Sovetov Rank: 57 D
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 1 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sochi
0%
Draw
0%
Away Akhmat Grozny
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
46.6
59.88
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sochi
Akhmat Grozny
Power Score
46.6
59.88
League Position
16
9
Global Rank
716
490

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sochi — Opponent-weighted form score
Akhmat Grozny — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sochi Akhmat Grozny

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sochi Sochi Home
11 matches
Akhmat Grozny AKH Away
Match Record
7
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
7
Goals
18
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
18
+7
Goal Difference
-7

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:06:24+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Degtev
35 A. Degtev
A. Soldatenkov
3 A. Soldatenkov
M. Alves Santos
33 M. Alves Santos
V. Litvinov
4 V. Litvinov
K. Zaika
27 K. Zaika
K. Kravtsov
14 K. Kravtsov
M. Mukhin
16 M. Mukhin
A. Makarchuk
17 A. Makarchuk
A. Kovalenko
19 A. Kovalenko
Z. Fedorov
9 Z. Fedorov
D. Vasilev
20 D. Vasilev
Pitch
G. Sheliya
88 G. Sheliya
M. Bogosavac
8 M. Bogosavac
K. Cake
5 K. Cake
O. Ndong
90 O. Ndong
M. Sidorov
81 M. Sidorov
I. Silva Lima
11 I. Silva Lima
M. Keliano
42 M. Keliano
L. Sadulaev
7 L. Sadulaev
E. dos Santos Cacintura
17 E. dos Santos Cacintura
M. Samorodov
20 M. Samorodov
M. Konaté
13 M. Konaté

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht
Capacity :
47659
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

35
Aleksandr Degtev
Aleksandr Degtev Goalkeeper
6.88
17
Artem Makarchuk
Artem Makarchuk Midfielder
6.67
27
Kirill Zaika
Kirill Zaika Midfielder
6.51
9
Zakhar Fedorov
Zakhar Fedorov Centre Forward
6.55
19
A. Kovalenko
A. Kovalenko Attacker
6.54
20
Dmitriy Vasiljev
Dmitriy Vasiljev Attacker
6.74
3
A. Soldatenkov
A. Soldatenkov Right Back
6.7
4
Vyacheslav Litvinov
Vyacheslav Litvinov Left Back
6.7
14
Kirill Kravtsov
Kirill Kravtsov Central Midfield
6.72
16
Maksim Mukhin
Maksim Mukhin Central Midfield
6.63
33
Marcelo Alves
Marcelo Alves Centre Back
6.66

Starting XI ▼

88
Giorgiy Shelia
Giorgiy Shelia Goalkeeper
6.75
13
Mohamed Konaté
Mohamed Konaté Centre Forward
6.66
5
Klisman Cake
Klisman Cake Left Back
6.72
7
Lechi Sadulaev
Lechi Sadulaev Left Wing
6.81
8
Miroslav Bogosavac
Miroslav Bogosavac Left Back
6.7
11
Ismael Silva
Ismael Silva Defensive Midfield
6.92
17
Egas Cacintura
Egas Cacintura Attacking Midfield
6.94
20
Maksim Samorodov
Maksim Samorodov Right Wing
6.96
81
Maksim Sidorov
Maksim Sidorov Right Back
6.69
42
Kelliano
Kelliano Defensive Midfield
6.79
90
Ousmane N’Dong
Ousmane N’Dong Right Back
6.86

CONCLUSION

Akhmat Grozny's power advantage positions them favorably, yet Sochi's stronger form introduces uncertainty at home. Mid-table Akhmat should leverage squad quality to control possession and exploit transitions, while bottom-dwelling Sochi must maximize set opportunities despite data limitations. The 13.3-point structural gap favors visitors, but recent momentum could spark an upset. Key battles in efficiency and defensive solidity will shape the outcome in this regular season clash. Akhmat's higher ranking suggests resilience, though Sochi's venue edge adds intrigue to a matchup blending superiority with defiance.

Sochi vs Akhmat Grozny preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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