Slaven Koprivnica vs Vukovar Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Gradski Stadion Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
1. HNL Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica 
2 – 2
Vukovar Vukovar Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 2:00 PM
Round 32 · Regular Season
Marko Dabro - 49'
Josip Mitrovic - 43'
|
Robin González - 90+1'
Jakov Puljic - 10'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation
Data last checked: May 15
CONTEXT
In a captivating Croatian top-flight encounter, Slaven Koprivnica welcomed Vukovar to a stadium buzzing with anticipation, culminating in a hard-fought 2-2 draw. The halftime score sat at 1-1, mirroring the evenly poised first 45 minutes where both teams traded blows effectively. Slaven Koprivnica commanded 57% possession overall, generating pressure but struggling to break the deadlock decisively in the second half. Vukovar, labeled the stronger team pre-match, showcased resilience and timely strikes to salvage a point away from home. Free of red cards or major interruptions, the game flowed with intensity, highlighting defensive frailties on both ends. This outcome delivered a significant 73.4% structural deviation aligned with Vukovar's defiant performance, underscoring their ability to punch above weight despite lower ball control. The result leaves both clubs with momentum in a tightly contested league phase.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Match registered a 73.4% structural deviation, deemed significant for Vukovar.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match expectations.
- xG alignment: xG alignment remains undetermined due to lack of available data.
- Market alignment: Market alignment failed to materialize in the 2-2 draw.
- xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated without data.
- Event impact: No key events altered the course of the evenly matched contest.
- Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion to the final 2-2 scoreline.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
P. Pavlešić
• 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 
0.12
0.12 Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0
Other match officials
B. Zobenica
1st Assistant
F. Krznarić
2nd Assistant
F. Dragasevic
4th Official
M. Gregurina
VS
T. Stipić
1.14
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.86
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: L
Hajduk Split Rank: D
Varaždin Rank: L
Rijeka Rank: L
Osijek Rank: D
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gorica Rank: L
Istra 1961 Rank: W
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: L
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: D
Hajduk Split Rank: L
Varaždin Rank: L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 0
0
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) Slaven Koprivnica50.5%
Draw
26.6%
Vukovar22.9%
Movement
Changes since opening Slaven Koprivnica+44.25%
Draw
-62.69%
Vukovar+18.44%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
15.29 16.02 0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Slaven Koprivnica VukovarPower Score
15.29
16.02
League Position
6
10
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Slaven Koprivnica — Opponent-weighted form score
Vukovar — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Slaven Koprivnica Vukovar
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Slaven Koprivnica
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Vukovar
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Slaven Koprivnica ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Vukovar
Attacking Efficiency Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.89
29.30
Defensive Efficiency Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.30
27.89
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Slaven Koprivnica -0.14 Efficiency Index
vs
Vukovar +0.14 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Slaven Koprivnica
Vukovar
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Slaven Koprivnica ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Vukovar
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Slaven Koprivnica Vukovar Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Slaven Koprivnica Vukovar Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Slaven Koprivnica
Vukovar
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Slaven Koprivnicavs
Vukovar
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Slaven Koprivnica Vukovar Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Slaven Koprivnica 0.37
Vukovar 0.34
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Slaven Koprivnica Vukovar Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Slaven Koprivnica 0.06
Vukovar 0.05
Slaven Koprivnica
Vukovar
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- Vukovar had peak pressure around 95'.
- Slaven Koprivnica started the game with stronger pressure.
Slaven Koprivnica Pressure Vukovar Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Vukovar reached the top pressure at 95' (85.09).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica Home
3 matches
Vukovar Vukovar Away
Match Record 2
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
2
Goals 8
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
8
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:03:47+00:00
STARTING XI
Slaven Koprivnica Vukovar Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
31 O. Hadzikic
4 D. Kovačić
M. Petrovic
#2033'
22 F. Jović
5 Z. Katalinić
18 F. Krušelj
21 L. Crepulja
V. Međimorec
#282'
17 F. Mažar
L. Bošnjak
#2459'
26 G. Sivalec
15 I. Ćubelić
11 J. Mitrović
I. Lepinjica
#2382'
7 M. Dabro
42 A. Đaković
M. Tadić
#3489'
20 K. Cabrajic
J. Špoljarić
#5079'
8 A. Bosec
L. Klanac
#3346'
35 J. Gurlica
14 M. Živković
77 E. Shabani
13 V. Čaić
28 L. Banovec
10 R. Gonzales
A. Jurilj
#1968'
27 ?. Butić
21 J. Puljić
General Information
📅 Date & Time :
Apr 25, 2026, 02:00 PM
🏆 Competition :
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 32 · Regular Season
🏟️ Stadium :
Gradski Stadion
👥 Capacity :
3205
🌱 Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️ Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️ Referees :
Patrik Pavlešić
Bojan Zobenica
Filip Krznarić
Filip Dragasevic
Next Match
Slaven Koprivnica
vs
Istra 1961
League: 1. HNL
Kickoff: Mon, 4 May - 4:00 PM
Venue: Stadion Aldo Drosina
Vukovar
vs
Osijek
League: 1. HNL
Kickoff: Sat, 2 May - 4:45 PM
Venue: Stadion Gradski vrt
Statistics
Possession
Slaven Koprivnica
55%
Vukovar
45%
Top Statistics
2 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 2
8 Shots 4
38 Dangerous attacks 32
57 Possession 43
1 Corners 3
10 Free kicks 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
Match Overview
8 Goal Kicks 9
1 Hit Woodwork 0
67 Successful Dribbles Percentage 48
26 Throwins 24
2 Assists 2
12 Successful Dribbles 13
18 Dribble Attempts 27
4 Substitutions 4
Attacking
84 Attacks 65
1 Big Chances Missed 1
Possession
427 Passes 312
81 Successful Passes Percentage 75
19 Successful Long Passes 19
54 Long Passes 51
35 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37
347 Successful Passes 235
11 Key Passes 7
Defensive
49 Duels Won 56
23 Tackles 18
2 Saves 5
5 Interceptions 11
Build-up
19 Total Crosses 16
8 Accurate Crosses 5
Discipline
13 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2
Lineup
Slaven Koprivnica Referee : Patrik Pavlešić
Manager ▼
M. Gregurina Coach
Starting XI ▼
31 Osman Hadzikic Goalkeeper
6.674 Dominik Kovacic Defender
6.76
5 Zvonimir Katalinic Defender
6.4618 Filip Kruselj Defender
6.7822 Filip Jovic Defender
6.3120Marko Petrovic
33'
6.5
26 Gabrijel Sivalec Defender
6.4624Leon Bošnjak
59'
6.17
11 Josip Mitrovic Midfielder
15 Ivan Cubelic Midfielder
6.72
17 Filip Mažar Midfielder
6.712Vinko Medjimorec
6.5782'
21 Ljuban Crepulja Midfielder
6.947 Marko Dabro Attacker
23Igor Lepinjica
6.582'
Substitutes ▼
20Marko Petrovic
33'
6.5
24Leon Bošnjak
59'
6.17
2Vinko Medjimorec
6.5782'
23Igor Lepinjica
6.582'
Bench ▼
1
Matija Jesenovic
9 Ivan Bozic
6.7614 Losika Ratshukudu
16 Luka Curkovic
19 Ernis Qestaj
6.4432 Mateusz Stolarski
6.7999 Filip Kutleša
Vukovar Referee : Patrik Pavlešić
Manager ▼
T. Stipić Coach
Starting XI ▼
42 Antonio Đaković Goalkeeper
7.478 Antonio Bosec Defender
6.26
50Josip Špoljarić
6.4479'
14 Moreno Zivkovic Defender
6.5620 Kristijan Cabrajic Defender
6.534Mario Tadic
6.6789'
35 Jakov Gurlica Defender
6.933Luka Klanac
46'
6.48
10 Robin González Midfielder
13 Vito Caic Midfielder
6.5377 Eniss Shabani Midfielder
6.7421 Jakov Puljic Attacker
27 Simun Butic Attacker
6.5719Alen Jurilj
68'
6.64
28 Lovro Banovec Attacker
6.76
Substitutes ▼
33Luka Klanac
46'
6.48
19Alen Jurilj
68'
6.64
50Josip Špoljarić
6.4479'
34Mario Tadic
6.6789'
Bench ▼
1
Marino Bulat
6.775 Nikita Vlasenko
6.516
Jakov Biljan
6.557
Kerim Çalhanoğlu
6.7111 Lovre Kulusic
6.3526 Josip Elez
6.4339 Pocholo Bugas
6.49Events
2ND-HALF
90+1'
Robin González
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Marko Petrovic
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
90'
89'
Mario Tadic → Kristijan Cabrajic
8th Substitution
Vinko Medjimorec → Filip Mažar
7th Substitution
82'
Igor Lepinjica → Marko Dabro
6th Substitution
82'
79'
Josip Špoljarić → Antonio Bosec
5th Substitution
72'
Alen Jurilj
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
68'
Alen Jurilj → Simun Butic
4th Substitution
Dominik Kovacic
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
64'
64'
Luka Klanac
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Leon Bošnjak
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
61'
Leon Bošnjak → Gabrijel Sivalec
3rd Substitution
59'
57'
Antonio Bosec
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Marko Dabro
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
49'
46'
Luka Klanac → Jakov Gurlica
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Josip Mitrovic
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
43'
41'
Lovro Banovec
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Marko Petrovic → Filip Jovic
1st Substitution
33'
Ivan Cubelic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
28'
18'
Var
10'
Jakov Puljic
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
CONCLUSION
The 2-2 stalemate between Slaven Koprivnica and Vukovar epitomizes a clash of styles, where possession supremacy met opportunistic finishing. Slaven Koprivnica's 57% control yielded parity but no edge, as Vukovar capitalized efficiently to match them goal-for-goal from a 1-1 halftime position. Devoid of red cards or tactical overhauls, the draw authentically captures both teams' capabilities, with Vukovar's performance amplifying their status as the stronger side. This significant structural deviation redefines narratives around the away team's potential, fostering belief in their campaign trajectory. Points shared propel both forward, yet Vukovar extracts greater validation from defying expectations on the road.
Slaven Koprivnica vs Vukovar preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
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