Slaven Koprivnica vs Hajduk Split Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Gradski Stadion Fri, 17 Apr - 3:45 PM
1. HNL Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica 
2 – 2
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split Full Time Fri, 17 Apr 3:45 PM
Round 30 · Regular Season
Ivan Cubelic - 51'
Marko Dabro - 4'
|
Tomislav Bozic - 63' (Own Goal)
Ante Rebić - 38'
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
Sorry, standings could not be loaded right now.
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation
Data last checked: May 15
CONTEXT
In an exhilarating Croatian HNL clash, Slaven Koprivnica and Hajduk Split played out a 2-2 draw at Gradski Stadion. The home side Slaven Koprivnica, underdogs against the stronger Hajduk Split, matched their opponents blow for blow. The first half ended 1-1, with both teams finding the net once, keeping the score even at halftime. Hajduk controlled possession at 56% to Slaven's 44%, but Slaven's resilience shone through in a gritty performance. No red cards marred the contest, allowing continuous flow. The match featured a moderate structural deviation of 9.9% favoring Hajduk Split, yet the outcome reflected balanced competition. Efficiency stayed in line with expectations, and pre-match market views aligned with the draw. Without xG data, deeper chance analysis remains elusive, but the result underscores Slaven's fighting spirit against a superior foe.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Moderate 9.9% deviation favored Hajduk Split.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations.
- xG alignment: xG data unavailable for outcome alignment.
- Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market.
- xG expectations: xG expectations not assessable due to missing data.
- Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout tie affected play.
- Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, avoiding any distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
P. Kolarić
• 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 
0.12
0.12 Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0
Other match officials
I. Starčević
1st Assistant
D. Kolarević
2nd Assistant
F. Dragasevic
4th Official
M. Gregurina
VS
G. García García
1.2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Varaždin Rank: L
Rijeka Rank: L
Osijek Rank: D
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: L
Gorica Rank: D
Istra 1961 Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gorica Rank: W
Istra 1961 Rank: W
Vukovar Rank: W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: W
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: L
Varaždin Rank: D
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 21 - 42
42
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) Slaven Koprivnica5.46%
Draw
90.12%
Hajduk Split4.42%
Movement
Changes since opening Slaven Koprivnica+1.06%
Draw
+7.7%
Hajduk Split-8.77%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
18.24 33.25 0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Slaven Koprivnica Hajduk SplitPower Score
18.24
33.25
League Position
5
2
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Slaven Koprivnica — Opponent-weighted form score
Hajduk Split — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Slaven Koprivnica Hajduk Split
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Slaven Koprivnica
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Hajduk Split
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Slaven Koprivnica ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Hajduk Split
Attacking Efficiency Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
38.18
20.98
Defensive Efficiency Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.98
38.18
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Slaven Koprivnica +1.75 Efficiency Index
vs
Hajduk Split -1.75 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Slaven Koprivnica
Hajduk Split
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Slaven Koprivnica ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Hajduk Split
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Slaven Koprivnica Hajduk Split Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Slaven Koprivnica Hajduk Split Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Slaven Koprivnica
Hajduk Split
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Slaven Koprivnicavs
Hajduk Split
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Slaven Koprivnica Hajduk Split Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Slaven Koprivnica 0.25
Hajduk Split 0.16
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Slaven Koprivnica Hajduk Split Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Slaven Koprivnica 0.04
Hajduk Split 0.04
Slaven Koprivnica
Hajduk Split
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- Slaven Koprivnica had peak pressure around 56'.
- Slaven Koprivnica started the game with stronger pressure.
Slaven Koprivnica Pressure Hajduk Split Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Slaven Koprivnica reached the top pressure at 56' (88.32).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 70 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica Home
70 matches
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split Away
Match Record 7
Wins
42
21
Draws
21
42
Losses
7
Goals 49
Goals Scored
118
118
Goals Conceded
49
-69
Goal Difference
+69
Data last updated: 2026-04-18T00:01:33+00:00
STARTING XI
Slaven Koprivnica Hajduk Split Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
31 O. Hadzikic
18 F. Krušelj
6 T. Božić
4 D. Kovačić
22 F. Jović
15 I. Ćubelić
21 L. Crepulja
17 F. Mažar
G. Sivalec
#2636'
33 K. Išasegi
I. Božić
#989'
7 M. Dabro
11 J. Mitrović
33 T. Silić
17 D. Melnjak
15 D. Maresic
31 Z. Šarlija
M. Skelin
#3671'
32 ?. Hrgović
H. Guillamón Sanmartín
#628'
23 F. Krovinović
4 A. Pajaziti
I. Almena Horcajo
#3083'
9 A. Rebić
A. Kalik
#783'
21 R. Pukstas
28 R. Brajković
10 M. Livaja
General Information
📅 Date & Time :
Apr 17, 2026, 03:45 PM
🏆 Competition :
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 30 · Regular Season
🏟️ Stadium :
Gradski Stadion
👥 Capacity :
3205
🎟️ Attendance :
2713
🌱 Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️ Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️ Referees :
Patrik Kolarić
Ivan Starčević
Dario Kolarević
Filip Dragasevic
Next Match
Slaven Koprivnica
vs
Lokomotiva Zagreb
League: 1. HNL
Kickoff: Tue, 21 Apr - 2:00 PM
Venue: Stadion Kranjčevićeva
Hajduk Split
vs
Osijek
League: 1. HNL
Kickoff: Tue, 21 Apr - 4:45 PM
Venue: Stadion Poljud
Statistics
Possession
Slaven Koprivnica
46%
Hajduk Split
54%
Top Statistics
2 Goals 2
4 Big Chances Created 4
8 Shots 4
56 Dangerous attacks 55
44 Possession 56
6 Corners 1
13 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
Match Overview
2 Assists 1
26 Dribble Attempts 13
20 Throwins 18
16 Successful Dribbles 8
62 Successful Dribbles Percentage 62
6 Goal Kicks 8
3 Substitutions 4
1 Hit Woodwork 0
Attacking
2 Big Chances Missed 3
102 Attacks 125
Possession
351 Passes 457
59 Long Passes 41
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49
1 Key Passes 1
76 Successful Passes Percentage 84
23 Successful Long Passes 20
268 Successful Passes 382
Defensive
54 Duels Won 52
11 Interceptions 9
18 Tackles 18
3 Saves 3
Build-up
18 Total Crosses 19
2 Accurate Crosses 5
Discipline
13 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 0
Lineup
Slaven Koprivnica Referee : Patrik Kolarić
Manager ▼
M. Gregurina Coach
Starting XI ▼
31 Osman Hadzikic Goalkeeper
6.664 Dominik Kovacic Defender
6.756 Tomislav Bozic Defender
18 Filip Kruselj Defender
6.7922 Filip Jovic Defender
6.3711 Josip Mitrovic Midfielder
6.96
15 Ivan Cubelic Midfielder
17 Filip Mažar Midfielder
6.7921 Ljuban Crepulja Midfielder
6.8733 Karlo Isasegi Midfielder
6.6626Gabrijel Sivalec
6.46Attacker36'
7 Marko Dabro Attacker
9Ivan Bozic
6.8Attacker89'
Substitutes ▼
26Gabrijel Sivalec
6.46Attacker36'
2Vinko Medjimorec
6.53Defender77'
9Ivan Bozic
6.8Attacker89'
Bench ▼
1 Teo Kolar Goalkeeper
32 Mateusz Stolarski Goalkeeper
6.795 Zvonimir Katalinic Defender
6.3916 Luka Curkovic Defender
20
Marko Petrovic Defender
23 Igor Lepinjica Midfielder
6.5124 Leon Bošnjak Midfielder
6.1519 Ernis Qestaj Attacker
6.4429 Marko Aščić Attacker
6.87 Hajduk Split Referee : Patrik Kolarić
Manager ▼
G. García García Coach
Starting XI ▼
33 Toni Silic Goalkeeper
6.8815 Dario Maresic Defender
6.9917 Dario Melnjak Defender
6.7831 Zvonimir Sarlija Defender
6.9432 Simun Hrgovic Defender
6.836Marino Skelin
6.71Defender71'
4 Adrion Pajaziti Midfielder
6.88
9 Ante Rebić Midfielder
30Iker Almena
7Attacker83'
21 Rokas Pukstas Midfielder
7.377Anthony Kalik
6.65Midfielder83'
23 Filip Krovinovic Midfielder
7.116Hugo Guillamón
6.95Midfielder28'
28 Roko Brajkovic Midfielder
6.9810 Marko Livaja Attacker
7.18
Substitutes ▼
6Hugo Guillamón
6.95Midfielder28'
36Marino Skelin
6.71Defender71'
30Iker Almena
7Attacker83'
7Anthony Kalik
6.65Midfielder83'
Bench ▼
41 Ivan Pocrnjić Goalkeeper
44
Dante Stipica Goalkeeper
14 Ron Raci Defender
6.8826 Adam Guram Midfielder
37
Noa Skoko Midfielder
6.624 Abdoulie Sanyang Attacker
6.7634 Bruno Durdov Attacker
6.63Events
2ND-HALF
Ivan Bozic → Marko Dabro
7th Substitution
89'
83'
Iker Almena → Ante Rebić
5th Substitution
83'
Anthony Kalik → Rokas Pukstas
6th Substitution
80'
Adrion Pajaziti
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Vinko Medjimorec → Gabrijel Sivalec
4th Substitution
77'
Josip Mitrovic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
72'
71'
Marino Skelin → Simun Hrgovic
3rd Substitution
63'
Tomislav Bozic
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal
Ivan Cubelic
Goal awarded
53'
Ivan Cubelic
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
51'
Marko Dabro
Goal disallowed
50'
46'
Marko Livaja
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
38'
Ante Rebić
Header / 2nd Goal
Gabrijel Sivalec → Karlo Isasegi
2nd Substitution
36'
28'
Hugo Guillamón → Filip Krovinovic
1st Substitution
Marko Dabro
Header / 1st Goal
4'
CONCLUSION
This 2-2 draw highlights Slaven Koprivnica's tenacity in holding Hajduk Split, the stronger team, to a stalemate despite lower possession. Level at halftime and no disruptions from red cards, the game showcased even contest. Moderate deviation towards Hajduk did not sway the result, with efficiency on track and market alignment confirmed. Lacking xG, the focus stays on tangible efforts yielding parity. A creditable point for Slaven, while Hajduk rue missed dominance. Expect this to influence league standings subtly.
Slaven Koprivnica vs Hajduk Split preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.