Slaven Koprivnica vs Gorica Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Gradski Stadion Sun, 10 May - 4:15 PM
1. HNL
Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica
1 Winner 0
Gorica Gorica
Full Time Sun, 10 May 4:15 PM
Round 34 Regular Season
Filip Kruselj - 70'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Slaven Koprivnica defeated Gorica 1-0 in a low-scoring affair that saw the home side prevail despite being out-possessed. The match was goalless at halftime with both teams level at 0-0, reflecting a cautious first half where neither could find a breakthrough. Slaven Koprivnica held 45% possession compared to Gorica's 55%, yet made the most of their limited control to score the decisive goal in the second half. Gorica, viewed as the stronger team entering the contest, dominated the ball but lacked cutting edge in attack. No red cards were issued, and the game proceeded without major disciplinary disruptions. This outcome marked a significant structural deviation favoring Slaven Koprivnica, with efficiency patterns aligning with standard levels for both squads. The result underscores how fine margins decided a evenly poised encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Slaven Koprivnica recorded a significant 68.9% structural deviation in securing the 1-0 win.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with established patterns for both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment not achieved as Slaven Koprivnica defied pre-match structural favoritism toward Gorica.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without recorded expected goals metrics.
  • Event impact: No notable events such as second-half adjustments influenced the match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion from player dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

Oliver Romić

Croatia 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Reljan

2nd Assistant

Croatia

K. Novosel

1st Assistant

Croatia

Antonio Melnjak

4th Official

Croatia

League averages

1. HNL Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.5
Yellow cards / match 3.31
Red cards / match 0.07
Penalties / match 0.33
Slaven Koprivnica M. Gregurina
M. Gregurina
VS
Gorica M. Carević
M. Carević
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.15
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Istra 1961 Rank: 62 L
Vukovar Rank: 55 D
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 63 L
Hajduk Split Rank: 72 D
Varaždin Rank: 66 L
Rijeka Rank: 72 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 81 L
Istra 1961 Rank: 62 W
Vukovar Rank: 56 W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 61 L
Hajduk Split Rank: 72 L
Varaždin Rank: 66 D
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 9 - 10
10

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Slaven Koprivnica
31.05%
Draw
27.65%
Away Gorica
41.3%

Movement

Changes since opening
Slaven Koprivnica
-63.67%
Draw
+22.56%
Gorica
+41.11%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.48
62.43
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Slaven Koprivnica
Gorica
Power Score
61.48
62.43
League Position
8
7
Global Rank
440
416

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Slaven Koprivnica — Opponent-weighted form score
Gorica — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Slaven Koprivnica Gorica

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Slaven Koprivnica

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Gorica

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Slaven Koprivnica ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Gorica
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Slaven Koprivnica Gorica
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Slaven Koprivnica Gorica
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Slaven Koprivnica
Gorica
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Slaven Koprivnica
vs
Gorica
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Slaven Koprivnica Gorica
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Slaven Koprivnica 0.00
Gorica 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Slaven Koprivnica Gorica
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Slaven Koprivnica 0.00
Gorica 0.00
Slaven Koprivnica
Gorica
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Gorica had peak pressure around 69'.
  • Slaven Koprivnica started the game with stronger pressure.
Slaven Koprivnica Pressure Gorica Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Gorica reached the top pressure at 69' (84.21).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica Home
31 matches
Gorica Gorica Away
Match Record
12
Wins
10
9
Draws
9
10
Losses
12
Goals
44
Goals Scored
32
32
Goals Conceded
44
+12
Goal Difference
-12

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T16:00:55+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
O. Hadzikic
Austria
31 O. Hadzikic
Z. Katalinić
Substitution
Croatia
5 Z. Katalinić
V. Međimorec
Croatia
2 V. Međimorec
D. Kovačić
Croatia
4 D. Kovačić
F. Krušelj
Croatia
18 F. Krušelj
L. Crepulja
Croatia
21 L. Crepulja
M. Lešković
Substitution
Croatia
13 M. Lešković
L. Bošnjak
Substitution
Croatia
24 L. Bošnjak
I. Lepinjica
Substitution
Croatia
23 I. Lepinjica
I. Ćubelić
Croatia
15 I. Ćubelić
L. Ratshukudu
Substitution
Botswana
14 L. Ratshukudu
Pitch
D. Matijaš
Croatia
71 D. Matijaš
M. Čabraja
Substitution
Croatia
19 M. Čabraja
J. Filipović
Croatia
4 J. Filipović
S. Peric
Substitution
Austria
45 S. Peric
B. Bogojević
Substitution
Croatia
25 B. Bogojević
A. Kavelj
Croatia
36 A. Kavelj
I. Pozo La Rosa
Spain
8 I. Pozo La Rosa
Ž. Trontelj
Slovenia
22 Ž. Trontelj
T. Epailly
Substitution
France
64 T. Epailly
J. Pršir
Substitution
Croatia
10 J. Pršir
A. Erceg
Croatia
50 A. Erceg

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 04:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Gradski Stadion
Capacity :
3205
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Oliver Romić
Marko Reljan
Kristijan Novosel
Antonio Melnjak

Statistics

Possession
Slaven Koprivnica
48%
Gorica
52%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 0
4 Shots 1
42 Dangerous attacks 32
45 Possession 55
2 Corners 2
9 Free kicks 17
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Assists 0
17 Throwins 29
63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 20
24 Dribble Attempts 20
15 Successful Dribbles 4
9 Goal Kicks 6
2 Hit Woodwork 0
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

109 Attacks 124
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

19 Successful Long Passes 27
78 Successful Passes Percentage 80
49 Long Passes 68
287 Successful Passes 370
369 Passes 461
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40
12 Key Passes 5

Defensive

2 Saves 1
78 Duels Won 52
28 Tackles 20
6 Interceptions 5

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 12
3 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

5 Offsides 1
17 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Oliver Romić

Starting XI ▼

31
Osman Hadzikic
Osman Hadzikic Goalkeeper
6.62
2
Vinko Medjimorec
Vinko Medjimorec Defender
6.61
4
Dominik Kovacic
Dominik Kovacic Defender
6.77
5
Zvonimir Katalinic
Zvonimir Katalinic Defender
6.5
33
Karlo Isasegi
Karlo Isasegi
Defender65'
6.64
13
Marko Leskovic
Marko Leskovic Midfielder
6.41
99
Filip Kutleša
Filip Kutleša
Defender76'
15
Ivan Cubelic
Ivan Cubelic Midfielder
6.76
18
Filip Kruselj
Filip Kruselj Midfielder
6.78
21
Ljuban Crepulja
Ljuban Crepulja Midfielder
7
24
Leon Bošnjak
Leon Bošnjak Midfielder
6.28
8
Leon Geci
Leon Geci
Midfielder88'
14
Losika Ratshukudu
Losika Ratshukudu Attacker
90
Ilija Nestorovski
Ilija Nestorovski
Attacker77'
7.11
23
Igor Lepinjica
Igor Lepinjica Attacker
6.49
29
Marko Aščić
Marko Aščić
Attacker77'
6.68
Referee : Oliver Romić

Starting XI ▼

71
Davor Matijas
Davor Matijas Goalkeeper
6.77
4
Jakov Filipovic
Jakov Filipovic Defender
6.8
19
Marijan Cabraja
Marijan Cabraja Defender
7.07
11
Sule Wisdom Aondowase
Sule Wisdom Aondowase
Attacker78'
6.54
45
Stefan Peric
Stefan Peric Defender
6.7
5
Mateo Les
Mateo Les
Defender45+2'
6.54
8
Iker Pozo
Iker Pozo Midfielder
7.15
22
Zan Trontelj
Zan Trontelj Midfielder
6.95
25
Bruno Bogojevic
Bruno Bogojevic Midfielder
6.68
14
Stjepan Kucis
Stjepan Kucis
Midfielder78'
6.61
36
Ante Kavelj
Ante Kavelj Midfielder
6.87
10
Jurica Prsir
Jurica Prsir Attacker
6.98
20
Luka Vrzic
Luka Vrzic
Attacker62'
6.69
50
Ante Erceg
Ante Erceg Attacker
6.85
64
Théo Epailly
Théo Epailly Attacker
6.58
24
Domagoj Pavicic
Domagoj Pavicic
Midfielder46'
6.77

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Mario Carević
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Leon Geci → Leon Bošnjak
10th Substitution
88'
Event
Leon Bošnjak
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
87'
78'
Event
Stjepan Kucis → Bruno Bogojevic
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Sule Wisdom Aondowase → Marijan Cabraja
9th Substitution
Event
Marko Aščić → Igor Lepinjica
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Ilija Nestorovski → Losika Ratshukudu
7th Substitution
77'
Event
Filip Kutleša → Marko Leskovic
5th Substitution
76'
Event
Filip Kruselj
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
70'
68'
Event
Mateo Les
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Karlo Isasegi → Zvonimir Katalinic
4th Substitution
65'
62'
Event
Luka Vrzic → Jurica Prsir
3rd Substitution
Event
Marko Leskovic
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
50'
Event
Zvonimir Katalinic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
46'
46'
Event
Domagoj Pavicic → Théo Epailly
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Event
Mateo Les → Stefan Peric
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

88
Update Update
Leon Geci comes on for Leon Bosnjak.
87
Attempt Attempt
Domagoj Pavicic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
86
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Cubelic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
85
Attempt Attempt
Sule Wisdom Aondowase takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
79
Update Update
Stjepan Kucis replaces Bruno Bogojevic.
78
Update Update
Sule Wisdom Aondowase replaces Marijan Cabraja.
77
Attempt Attempt
Marko Ascic's header is saved.
77
Update Update
Marko Ascic replaces Igor Lepinjica.
77
Update Update
Ilja Nestorovski comes on for Losika Ratshukudu.
76
Update Update
Filip Kutlesa comes on for Marko Leskovic.
73
Attempt Attempt
Ljuban Crepulja takes a left-footed shot but misses.
70
Attempt Attempt
Filip Kruselj scores with a left-footed shot.
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Mateo Les.
65
Update Update
Karlo Isasegi comes on for Zvonimir Katalinic.
62
Update Update
Luka Vrzic comes on for Jurica Prsir.
61
Attempt Attempt
Ante Kavelj's header is saved.
61
Attempt Attempt
Filip Kruselj takes a left-footed shot and scores.
56
Attempt Attempt
Jurica Prsir takes a left-footed shot but misses.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Zvonimir Katalinic receives a yellow card.
46
Update Update
Domagoj Pavicic is on, and Theo Epailly is off.
45
Update Update
Mateo Les replaces Stefan Peric.
42
Attempt Attempt
Igor Lepinjica's left-footed shot is blocked.
40
Attempt Attempt
Dominik Kovacic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
39
Attempt Attempt
Losika Ratshukudu's right-footed shot is blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
Leon Bosnjak takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
34
Update Update
Marko Leskovic's header hits the post.
27
Attempt Attempt
Losika Ratshukudu takes a right-footed shot but misses.
26
Attempt Attempt
Igor Lepinjica's left-footed shot is blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Ante Erceg takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Oliver Romic.

CONCLUSION

Slaven Koprivnica's 1-0 triumph over Gorica exemplifies the value of opportunism in possession-light scenarios, converting limited chances while Gorica squandered their territorial advantage. The halftime deadlock gave way to a solitary second-half strike that proved match-defining, highlighting defensive solidity from the winners. As the understrength side per structural assessments, this result amplifies their resilience against a possession-dominant opponent. With no reds or pivotal events, the game stayed true to its tactical shape, rewarding clinical execution over control. Such outcomes in tight contests often pivot on singular moments of quality.

Slaven Koprivnica vs Gorica preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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