SK Rapid vs Hartberg Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria

Allianz Stadion Wed, 22 Apr - 4:30 PM

Admiral Bundesliga

SK Rapid SCR

Hartberg HTB

Full Time Wed, 22 Apr 4:30 PM

Round 6 Championship Round

Elias Havel - 82'

Jürgen Heil - 34'

CONTEXT

SK Rapid suffered a 0-2 defeat to Hartberg at home, marking an unexpected outcome given their status as the stronger team. The match saw Rapid dominate possession with 61% compared to Hartberg's 39%, yet they failed to convert opportunities into goals. Hartberg struck first at halftime, leading 1-0, and added a second in the second half to secure the win. No red cards were issued, and there were no significant second-half adjustments noted. The result showed minimal structural deviation of 2.1% favoring Hartberg, with efficiency remaining in line with expectations. Market alignment held true, though xG data was unavailable for deeper analysis. Rapid's inability to capitalize on their territorial advantage highlighted defensive solidity from Hartberg and a lack of clinical finishing from the hosts.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Minimal 2.1% deviation favored Hartberg.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG data unavailable for alignment assessment.
Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market indications.
xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing data.
Event impact: No significant events or adjustments impacted the match.
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, so no distortion present.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

S. Ebner

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Höfler

1st Assistant

A. Gutschi

2nd Assistant

D. Divkovic

4th Official

J. Hoff Thorup

M. Schmid

1.41

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.41

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

9 - 6 - 8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

SK Rapid

0.2%

Draw

1.92%

Hartberg

97.89%

Team Power Ranking

29.32

19.73

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

SK Rapid

Hartberg

Power Score

29.32

19.73

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

SK Rapid — Opponent-weighted form score

Hartberg — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SK Rapid Hartberg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

SK Rapid

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Hartberg

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

SK Rapid ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Hartberg

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

28.69

12.82

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

12.82

28.69

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

SK Rapid +1.33 Efficiency Index

Hartberg -1.33 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

SK Rapid

Hartberg

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

SK Rapid ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Hartberg

Created Set-piece attacking threat

SK Rapid Hartberg

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

SK Rapid Hartberg

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

SK Rapid

Hartberg

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

SK Rapid

Hartberg

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

SK Rapid Hartberg

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

SK Rapid Hartberg

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

SK Rapid

Hartberg

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

SCR had peak pressure around 41'.
SCR started the game with stronger pressure.

SCR Pressure HTB Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: SCR reached the top pressure at 41' (82.69).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 23 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SK Rapid SCR Home

23 matches

Hartberg HTB Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-6

Data last updated: 2026-04-23T00:02:15+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2

Match Formation 4-1-4-1

1 N. Hedl

55 N. Cvetković

6 S. Raux Yao

20 K. Ahoussou

77 B. Bolla

29 A. Romeo

18 M. Seidl

15 N. Wurmbrand

9 E. Kara

10 P. Dahl

26 A. Weimann

40 T. Hülsmann

6 H. Coulibaly

19 L. Spendlhofer

18 F. Wilfinger

28 J. Heil

4 B. Markuš

2 L. Pazourek

30 L. Fridrikas

23 T. Kainz

95 D. Kovacevic

22 C. Hoffmann

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 22, 2026, 04:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 6 · Championship Round

Stadium :

Allianz Stadion

Capacity :

28345

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Stefan Ebner

Martin Höfler

Amina Gutschi

Davor Divkovic

Statistics

Possession

SCR

61%

HTB

39%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2

3 Big Chances Created 1

3 Shots 3

70 Dangerous attacks 20

61 Possession 39

11 Corners 1

19 Free kicks 11

4 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 4

6 Successful Dribbles 4

11 Dribble Attempts 8

15 Throwins 10

55 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

2 Goal Kicks 15

1 Penalties 0

70 Ball Safe 75

0 Injuries 4

12 Goal Attempts 6

0 Assists 2

1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

139 Attacks 54

3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

28 Successful Long Passes 29

89 Successful Passes Percentage 80

39 Long Passes 63

72 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46

496 Passes 330

439 Successful Passes 263

10 Key Passes 3

Defensive

7 Interceptions 6

17 Tackles 7

59 Duels Won 33

1 Saves 2

Build-up

45 Total Crosses 6

9 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

3 Offsides 2

11 Fouls 20

Lineup

Referee : Stefan Ebner

Manager ▼

J. Hoff Thorup Coach

Starting XI ▼

Niklas Hedl Goalkeeper

6.84

Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao Defender

6.88

Ange Ahoussou Defender

6.72

Yusuf Demir

Attacker70'

6.56

Nenad Cvetkovic Defender

7.12

Nikolaus Wurmbrand Midfielder

6.79

Tobias Gulliksen

Midfielder70'

6.53

Matthias Seidl Midfielder

7.17

Romeo Amane Midfielder

6.95

Janis Antiste

Attacker81'

6.71

Bendegúz Bolla Midfielder

7.08

Ercan Kara Attacker

6.79

Petter Nosa Dahl Attacker

6.76

Jonas Auer

Defender81'

6.78

Andreas Weimann Attacker

6.66

Substitutes ▼

Tobias Gulliksen

Midfielder70'

6.53

Yusuf Demir

Attacker70'

6.56

Janis Antiste

Attacker81'

6.71

Jonas Auer

Defender81'

6.78

Bench ▼

Paul Gartler Goalkeeper

6.83

Jakob Schöller Defender

6.24

Furkan Demir Defender

6.66

Lukas Grgic Midfielder

6.52

Marco Tilio Attacker

6.58

Referee : Stefan Ebner