SK Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Arena L'viv Sun, 10 May - 12:30 PM
Premier League
SK Poltava SK Poltava
0 Winner 4
Shakhtar Donetsk SHK
Full Time Sun, 10 May 12:30 PM
Round 27 Regular Season
|
Goal
Lassina Traoré - 67'
Isaque - 61', 55'
Dmytro Kryskiv - 45+3'

CONTEXT

Shakhtar Donetsk delivered a masterclass in dominance, thrashing SK Poltava 4-0 in an away fixture that showcased their superiority. Taking a 1-0 lead into halftime, Shakhtar exploded in the second half with three unanswered goals, capitalizing on their staggering 76% possession. Poltava, pinned back with just 24% of the ball, offered little resistance, failing to test the Shakhtar goalkeeper meaningfully. The visitors' fluid attacking play and solid defense overwhelmed the hosts from the opening whistle, turning expected pressure into a procession of chances converted ruthlessly. No red cards marred the contest, allowing Shakhtar's game plan to unfold seamlessly without interruption. This victory affirms Shakhtar as the stronger outfit, their control evident in every metric from territorial advantage to shot quality. Poltava's defensive frailties were exposed, unable to cope with Shakhtar's relentless tempo and precision.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Shakhtar Donetsk recorded moderate structural deviation of 9.8%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true for the outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable from missing data.
  • Event impact: No notable events impacted match flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards present, resulting in zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

D. Yevtukhov

Ukraine 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

T. Klymenko

1st Assistant

Ukraine

D. Hovhannesyan

2nd Assistant

Ukraine

E. Tsybulko

4th Official

Ukraine

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 15.18
Yellow cards / match 2.85
Red cards / match 0.15
Penalties / match 0.21
SK Poltava P. Matviychenko
P. Matviychenko
VS
Shakhtar Donetsk A. Turan
A. Turan
0.43
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.57
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 56 D
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 53 L
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 41 D
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 63 L
Oleksandria Rank: 43 D
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 66 W
Kudrivka Rank: 41 W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 52 W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 61 W
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 59 D
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 43 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SK Poltava
2.13%
Draw
7.68%
Away Shakhtar Donetsk
90.19%

Movement

Changes since opening
SK Poltava
+0.7%
Draw
+4.86%
Shakhtar Donetsk
-5.56%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
35.87
75.04
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SK Poltava
Shakhtar Donetsk
Power Score
35.87
75.04
League Position
16
1
Global Rank
1182
114

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SK Poltava — Opponent-weighted form score
Shakhtar Donetsk — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SK Poltava Shakhtar Donetsk

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

SK Poltava

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Shakhtar Donetsk

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

SK Poltava ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Shakhtar Donetsk
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
30.42
29.47
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.47
30.42
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
SK Poltava +0.10 Efficiency Index
vs
Shakhtar Donetsk -0.10 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
SK Poltava
Shakhtar Donetsk
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

SK Poltava ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Shakhtar Donetsk
Created Set-piece attacking threat
SK Poltava Shakhtar Donetsk
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
SK Poltava Shakhtar Donetsk
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
SK Poltava
Shakhtar Donetsk
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
SK Poltava
vs
Shakhtar Donetsk
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
SK Poltava Shakhtar Donetsk
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
SK Poltava 0.23
Shakhtar Donetsk 0.28
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
SK Poltava Shakhtar Donetsk
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
SK Poltava 0.06
Shakhtar Donetsk 0.00
SK Poltava
Shakhtar Donetsk
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SHK had peak pressure around 48'.
  • SK Poltava started the game with stronger pressure.
SK Poltava Pressure SHK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SHK reached the top pressure at 48' (65.73).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SK Poltava SK Poltava Home
1 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk SHK Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
1
-6
Goal Difference
+6

Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:02:46+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
M. Minchev
Ukraine
1 M. Minchev
I. Ukhan
Ukraine
24 I. Ukhan
O. Veremiienko
Substitution
Ukraine
33 O. Veremiienko
V. Pidlepych
Ukraine
5 V. Pidlepych
A. Savenkov
Ukraine
12 A. Savenkov
A. Doroshenko
Substitution
Ukraine
21 A. Doroshenko
V. Danilenko
Substitution
Ukraine
15 V. Danilenko
V. Odariuk
Substitution
Ukraine
8 V. Odariuk
V. Sad
Substitution
Ukraine
10 V. Sad
O. Vivdych
Ukraine
88 O. Vivdych
D. Sukhoruchko
Ukraine
38 D. Sukhoruchko
Pitch
D. Riznyk
Ukraine
31 D. Riznyk
P. Azevedo Pereira
Substitution
Brazil
13 P. Azevedo Pereira
M. Matviyenko
Ukraine
22 M. Matviyenko
V. Bondar
Ukraine
5 V. Bondar
I. Azarovi
Georgia
16 I. Azarovi
D. Kryskiv
Substitution
Ukraine
8 D. Kryskiv
P. Obah
Substitution
Nigeria
68 P. Obah
I. Severino Silva
14 I. Severino Silva
A. Bondarenko
Substitution
Ukraine
21 A. Bondarenko
L. dos Santos Ferreira
37 L. dos Santos Ferreira
L. Traore
Substitution
Burkina Faso
2 L. Traore

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 27 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Arena L'viv
Capacity :
34915
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Dmytro Yuriyovych Yevtukhov
Taras Klymenko
Dmytro Hovhannesyan
Evgen Tsybulko

Statistics

Possession
SK Poltava
32%
SHK
68%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 4
5 Shots 11
26 Dangerous attacks 68
24 Possession 76
1 Corners 9
5 Free kicks 8
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
0 Assists 2

Attacking

57 Attacks 83

Defensive

4 Saves 1

Discipline

8 Fouls 5
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Dmytro Yuriyovych Yevtukhov

Starting XI ▼

1
Mykyta Minchev
Mykyta Minchev Goalkeeper
5
Vadim Pidlepych
Vadim Pidlepych Defender
12
Andriy Savenkov
Andriy Savenkov Defender
24
Ilya Ukhan
Ilya Ukhan Defender
33
Oleg Veremiyenko
Oleg Veremiyenko Defender
95
Igor Kotsyumaka
Igor Kotsyumaka
Defender44'
8
Volodymyr Odaryuk
Volodymyr Odaryuk Midfielder
7
Denys Galenkov
Denys Galenkov
Midfielder64'
15
Vladyslav Danylenko
Vladyslav Danylenko Midfielder
11
O. Piatov
O. Piatov
Midfielder81'
21
A. Doroshenko
A. Doroshenko Midfielder
44
Dmytro Plakhtyr
Dmytro Plakhtyr
Midfielder65'
10
V. Sad
V. Sad Attacker
14
Maksym Marusych
Maksym Marusych
Attacker65'
38
Danyil Sukhoruchko
Danyil Sukhoruchko Attacker
88
Oleksandr Vivdych
Oleksandr Vivdych Attacker
Referee : Dmytro Yuriyovych Yevtukhov

Starting XI ▼

31
Dmytro Riznyk
Dmytro Riznyk Goalkeeper
5
Valeriy Bondar
Valeriy Bondar Defender
13
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique Defender
18
Alaa Ghram
Alaa Ghram
Defender69'
16
Irakli Azarovi
Irakli Azarovi Defender
22
Mykola Matvienko
Mykola Matvienko Defender
8
Dmytro Kryskiv
Dmytro Kryskiv Midfielder
29
Yegor Nazaryna
Yegor Nazaryna
Midfielder76'
14
Isaque
Isaque Midfielder
2
21
Artem Bondarenko
Artem Bondarenko Midfielder
10
Pedrinho
Pedrinho
Midfielder76'
37
Lucas Ferreira
Lucas Ferreira Midfielder
2
Lassina Traoré
Lassina Traoré Attacker
27
Oleg Ocheretko
Oleg Ocheretko
Midfielder83'
68
Prosper Obah
Prosper Obah Attacker
49
Luca Meirelles
Luca Meirelles
Attacker69'

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Isaque
2nd Yellowcard
83'
Event
Oleg Ocheretko → Lassina Traoré
10th Substitution
Event
O. Piatov → Vladyslav Danylenko
9th Substitution
81'
76'
Event
Yegor Nazaryna → Dmytro Kryskiv
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Pedrinho → Artem Bondarenko
8th Substitution
69'
Event
Luca Meirelles → Prosper Obah
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Alaa Ghram → Pedro Henrique
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Lassina Traoré
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Maksym Marusych → V. Sad
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Dmytro Plakhtyr → A. Doroshenko
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Denys Galenkov → Volodymyr Odaryuk
2nd Substitution
64'
61'
Event
Isaque
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
55'
Event
Isaque
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
53'
Event
Video review / Goal Disallowed
1ST-HALF
45+3'
Event
Dmytro Kryskiv
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Igor Kotsyumaka → Oleg Veremiyenko
1st Substitution
44'
Event
Danyil Sukhoruchko
1st Yellowcard
19'

Match Commentary

83
Update Update
Oleh Ocheretko is on, and Lassina Traore is off.
81
Update Update
Oleksandr Pyatov is on, and Vladyslav Danylenko is off.
76
Update Update
Yegor Nazaryna comes on for Dmytro Kryskiv.
76
Update Update
Pedrinho comes on for Artem Bondarenko.
69
Update Update
Alaa Ghram replaces Pedrinho.
69
Update Update
Alaa Ghram replaces Pedrinho.
69
Update Update
Luca Meirelles comes on for Prosper Obah.
65
Update Update
Maksym Marusych replaces Valeriy Sad.
65
Update Update
Dmytro Plakhtyr comes on for Arsentiy Doroshenko.
53
Update Update
The VAR decision results in the goal being disallowed.
44
Update Update
Igor Kotsyumaka comes on for Oleg Veremiyenko.

CONCLUSION

Shakhtar Donetsk's 4-0 rout of SK Poltava stands as a testament to their class, dominating possession at 76% and converting opportunities with clinical efficiency after a 1-0 halftime lead. Poltava's inability to gain traction highlighted the gulf in quality, as Shakhtar's second-half surge buried any hopes of a comeback. Without red cards or disruptive events, the scoreline reflected pure superiority, with no structural anomalies beyond moderate deviation in Shakhtar's favor. Efficiency aligned as expected, underscoring a performance true to their stronger status. This result propels Shakhtar forward confidently, while Poltava must address defensive lapses urgently.

SK Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.