SK Poltava vs Polissya Zhytomyr Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine

Stadion Zirka Fri, 10 Apr - 10:00 AM

Premier League

SK Poltava SK Poltava

Polissya Zhytomyr Polissya Zhytomyr

Full Time Fri, 10 Apr 10:00 AM

Round 23 Regular Season

Giorgi Maisuradze - 71'

Eduard Sarapiy - 34'

Oleksandr Andriyevskyi - 14'

Oleksiy Gutsulyak - 10' (P)

Yevgen Misyura 33'

CONTEXT

The match between SK Poltava and Polissya Zhytomyr is now finished, ending 0-4 to the visitors. Polissya Zhytomyr took a commanding 3-0 lead by halftime and added one more goal after the break, producing a comprehensive victory that matched their status as the stronger side. Pre-match expectations gave Polissya Zhytomyr an 81.4 percent implied probability of winning, with the hosts rated at just 5 percent. The result represented a significant deviation in favor of Polissya Zhytomyr, who converted their dominance into a four-goal margin. Possession was relatively balanced at 53 percent for SK Poltava and 47 percent for the away team, yet the visitors proved far more effective in attack. No xG data is available to measure underlying performance. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations, and the outcome aligned with the pre-match projection. A red card to the home side created second-half distortion, reducing Polissya Zhytomyr’s need to take risks while allowing them to control the remainder of the contest without reply.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Polissya Zhytomyr showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

V. Novokhatny

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Ohanesian

1st Assistant

A. Bakhmetyev

2nd Assistant

I. Stashuk

4th Official

P. Matviychenko

R. Rotan

0.43

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

0 - 0 - 1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

SK Poltava

4.99%

Draw

13.58%

Polissya Zhytomyr

81.43%

Movement

Changes since opening

SK Poltava

+2.23%

Draw

+10.34%

Polissya Zhytomyr

-12.56%

Team Power Ranking

10.97

38.44

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

SK Poltava

Polissya Zhytomyr

Power Score

10.97

38.44

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

SK Poltava — Opponent-weighted form score

Polissya Zhytomyr — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SK Poltava Polissya Zhytomyr

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

SK Poltava

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Polissya Zhytomyr

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

SK Poltava ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Polissya Zhytomyr

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

4.34

54.89

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

54.89

4.34

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

SK Poltava -5.17 Efficiency Index

Polissya Zhytomyr +5.17 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

SK Poltava

Polissya Zhytomyr

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

SK Poltava ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Polissya Zhytomyr

Created Set-piece attacking threat

SK Poltava Polissya Zhytomyr

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

SK Poltava Polissya Zhytomyr

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

SK Poltava

Polissya Zhytomyr

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

SK Poltava

Polissya Zhytomyr

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

SK Poltava Polissya Zhytomyr

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

SK Poltava Polissya Zhytomyr

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

SK Poltava

Polissya Zhytomyr

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

Polissya Zhytomyr had peak pressure around 9'.
Polissya Zhytomyr started the game with stronger pressure.

SK Poltava Pressure Polissya Zhytomyr Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: Polissya Zhytomyr reached the top pressure at 9' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SK Poltava SK Poltava Home

1 matches

Polissya Zhytomyr Polissya Zhytomyr Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-4

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-11T00:00:58+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2

Match Formation 4-3-3

1 M. Minchev

19 M. Buzhyn

12 A. Savenkov

20 E. Misyura

24 I. Ukhan

8 V. Odariuk

21 A. Doroshenko

15 (C) V. Danilenko

2 M. Kononov

93 B. Kobzar

38 D. Sukhoruchko

23 E. Volynets

15 B. Mykhaylichenko

5 (C) E. Sarapiy

44 S. Chobotenko

31 G. Maisuradze

27 O. Fedor

16 I. Krasniqi

18 O. Andrievsky

45 M. Bragaru

89 M. Gayduchyk

11 O. Hutsuliak

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 10, 2026, 10:00 AM

Competition :

2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 23 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Stadion Zirka

Capacity :

13667

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Dmytro Ohanesian

Andrii Bakhmetyev

Igor Stashuk

Volodymyr Novokhatny

Statistics

Possession

SK Poltava

32%

Polissya Zhytomyr

68%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 4

2 Shots 22

6 Dangerous attacks 76

53 Possession 47

0 Corners 13

1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

15 Goal Kicks 3

0 Penalties 1

0 Assists 2

4 Substitutions 5

Attacking

44 Attacks 92

Defensive

7 Saves 1

Discipline

5 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Volodymyr Novokhatny

Manager ▼

P. Matviychenko Coach

Starting XI ▼

Mykyta Minchev Goalkeeper

5.38

Mykyta Kononov Defender

5.7

Andriy Savenkov Defender

5.7

Mykola Buzhyn Defender

5.7

Yevgen Misyura Defender

5.48

Ilya Ukhan Defender

5.7

Igor Kotsyumaka

Defender78'

6.5

Volodymyr Odaryuk Midfielder

6.09

Vladyslav Danylenko (C) Midfielder

6.09

Dmytro Plakhtyr

Midfielder78'

6.5

A. Doroshenko Midfielder

6.09

V. Sad

Attacker78'

6.5

Danyil Sukhoruchko Attacker

6.35

Bogdan Kobzar Attacker

6.38

Vadim Pidlepych

Defender35'

6.26

Substitutes ▼

Vadim Pidlepych

Defender35'

6.26

Dmytro Plakhtyr

Midfielder78'

6.5

V. Sad

Attacker78'

6.5

Igor Kotsyumaka

Defender78'

6.5

Bench ▼

Daniil Yermolov Goalkeeper

Oleg Veremiyenko Defender

Denys Galenkov Midfielder

O. Piatov Midfielder

Referee : Volodymyr Novokhatny