Sirius vs Västerås SK Expert Preview & Team Analysis

2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden

Studenternas IP Sat, 18 Apr - 1:00 PM

Allsvenskan

Sirius SIR

Västerås SK Västerås SK

Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 1:00 PM

Round 3 Regular Season

Henrik Castegren - 62'

Tobias Anker - 45+2'

Isak Bjerkebo - 31' (P), 8' (P)

Frédéric Nsabiyumva - 53'

CONTEXT

Sirius delivered a commanding performance, thrashing Västerås SK 4-1 at home in a match that showcased their superiority. The hosts exploded into a 3-0 lead by halftime, overwhelming the visitors with relentless pressure and sharp finishing. Possession hovered evenly at 51% for Sirius against 49%, yet they converted opportunities far more effectively. The second half saw Västerås pull one back, but Sirius responded with a fourth goal to secure the points. As the pre-identified stronger team, Sirius faced minimal structural deviation of just 2.4%, staying true to expectations. No red cards marred the contest, allowing natural flow, while efficiency metrics aligned seamlessly with projections. This result reinforces Sirius's form in a balanced affair without dramatic shifts.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Sirius recorded minimal structural deviation of 2.4% from pre-match benchmarks.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with established pre-match evaluations.
xG alignment: xG alignment assessment unavailable due to missing underlying data.
Market alignment: Final outcome perfectly aligned with pre-match market positioning.
xG expectations: xG expectations unmeasurable without available performance metrics.
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events significantly influenced proceedings.
Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from player dismissals.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

E. Mattsson

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Hallin

1st Assistant

F. Rahimi

4th Official

J. Dahl

2nd Assistant

A. Engelmark

A. Rubin

2.67

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 1 - 0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Sirius

97.6%

Draw

1.91%

Västerås SK

0.49%

Team Power Ranking

40.25

18.37

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Sirius

Västerås SK

Power Score

40.25

18.37

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Sirius — Opponent-weighted form score

Västerås SK — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sirius Västerås SK

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Sirius

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Västerås SK

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sirius ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Västerås SK

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

34.12

22.35

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

22.35

34.12

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Sirius +1.22 Efficiency Index

Västerås SK -1.22 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Sirius

Västerås SK

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sirius ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Västerås SK

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Sirius Västerås SK

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

2.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Sirius Västerås SK

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 2.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Sirius

Västerås SK

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Sirius

Västerås SK

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Sirius Västerås SK

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Sirius Västerås SK

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Sirius

Västerås SK

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

SIR had peak pressure around 49'.
SIR started the game with stronger pressure.

SIR Pressure Västerås SK Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: SIR reached the top pressure at 49' (80.65).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sirius SIR Home

2 matches

Västerås SK Västerås SK Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-1

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:03:18+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3

Match Formation 3-4-3

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 18, 2026, 01:00 PM

Competition :

2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 3 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Studenternas IP

Capacity :

10000

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Mikael Hallin

Fawad Rahimi

Jonas Dahl

Erik Mattsson

Statistics

Possession

SIR

52%

Västerås SK

48%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1

3 Big Chances Created 0

4 Shots 3

48 Dangerous attacks 39

51 Possession 49

4 Corners 8

12 Free kicks 13

1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

11 Goal Kicks 6

17 Dribble Attempts 13

5 Successful Dribbles 6

22 Throwins 22

2 Penalties 0

8 Goal Attempts 6

81 Ball Safe 72

29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 46

1 Hit Woodwork 1

2 Assists 1

5 Substitutions 6

0 Injuries 1

Attacking

102 Attacks 97

Possession

80 Successful Passes Percentage 79

46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31

346 Successful Passes 325

12 Key Passes 7

54 Long Passes 42

25 Successful Long Passes 13

432 Passes 412

Defensive

11 Interceptions 18

59 Duels Won 57

21 Tackles 22

1 Saves 1

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 20

4 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

13 Fouls 13

0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Erik Mattsson

Manager ▼

A. Engelmark Coach

Starting XI ▼

David Celic Goalkeeper

7.15

Mohamed Soumah Defender

7.65

Tobias Anker Defender

7.15

Henrik Castegren Defender

7.11

Oscar Krusnell Defender

6.63

Marcus Lindberg Midfielder

7.04

Matthias Nartey Midfielder

6.86

Charlie Nildén

Midfielder70'

6.66

Melker Heier Midfielder

6.8

Victor Svensson

Midfielder86'

6.79

Robbie Ure Attacker

7.47

Odera Samuel Adindu

Attacker86'

Isak Bjerkebo Attacker

7.35

Hugo Mella

Midfielder86'

Neo Jönsson Attacker

6.77

Joakim Persson

Attacker57'

6.41

Substitutes ▼

Joakim Persson

Attacker57'

6.41

Charlie Nildén

Midfielder70'

6.66

Odera Samuel Adindu

Attacker86'

Hugo Mella

Midfielder86'

Victor Svensson

Midfielder86'

6.79

Bench ▼

Ismael Diawara Goalkeeper

Isaac Höök Yawe Defender

Victor Ekstrom Defender

7.16

Ben Magnusson Defender

Referee : Erik Mattsson

Manager ▼

A. Rubin Coach

Starting XI ▼

Elis Jäger Goalkeeper

6.82

Herman Magnusson Defender

6.82

I. Lushaku

Midfielder71'

6.8

Frédéric Nsabiyumva Defender

6.94

Victor Wernersson Defender

6.74

Jack Tagesson

Defender90+1'

Marcus Baggesen Midfielder

7.12

Jonathan Karlsson

Defender78'

6.2

Mamadou Diagne Midfielder

7.12

Jonathan Ring Midfielder

7.12

Philip Bonde

Defender71'

6.36

Simon Gefvert Midfielder

6.73

Abdelrahman Boudah Attacker

6.76

Mikkel Ladefoged Attacker

7.71

Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist

Defender78'

6.49

Axel Sountonoma Taonsa Attacker

6.96

Karl Gunnarsson

Midfielder78'

6.62

Substitutes ▼

Philip Bonde

Defender71'

6.36

I. Lushaku

Midfielder71'

6.8

Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist

Defender78'

6.49

Jonathan Karlsson

Defender78'

6.2

Karl Gunnarsson

Midfielder78'

6.62

Jack Tagesson

Defender90+1'

Bench ▼

Anton Fagerström Goalkeeper

Jens Magnusson Midfielder

Moussa Diallo Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF

90+1'

Jack Tagesson →

11th Substitution

Marcus Lindberg

Foul / 1st Yellowcard

88'

Odera Samuel Adindu →

8th Substitution

86'

Hugo Mella →

9th Substitution

86'

Victor Svensson →

10th Substitution

86'

78'

Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist →

7th Substitution

78'

Jonathan Karlsson →

6th Substitution

78'

Karl Gunnarsson →

5th Substitution

71'

Philip Bonde →

3rd Substitution

71'

I. Lushaku →

4th Substitution

Charlie Nildén →

2nd Substitution

70'

Henrik Castegren

Right foot shot / 3rd Goal

62'

Joakim Persson →

1st Substitution

57'

53'

Frédéric Nsabiyumva

Right foot shot / 2nd Goal

1ST-HALF

Tobias Anker

Left foot shot / 1st Goal

45+2'

Isak Bjerkebo

Right foot shot / 2nd Penalty

31'

Isak Bjerkebo

Right foot shot / 1st Penalty

CONCLUSION

Sirius's 4-1 triumph over Västerås SK underscores their dominance as the stronger outfit, with a blistering first-half hat-trick setting the tone. Even possession belied their superior chance conversion, minimal deviations, and market-aligned result. Without red cards or tactical upheavals, the match unfolded predictably, efficiency holding steady. This victory bolsters Sirius's momentum, highlighting clinical execution in a competitive yet controlled encounter that met all pre-match indicators precisely.

Sirius vs Västerås SK preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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Author

Published Sat, 11 Apr 2026 at 12:18 AM

Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.

Sirius vs Västerås SK Prediction, Preview and Stats

STANDINGS

CONTEXT

TL;DR

Quality vs Volume

Open Play vs Set Play

Expected Points

E. Mattsson

Other match officials

M. Hallin

F. Rahimi

J. Dahl

Win Probabilities

Team Power Ranking

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Sirius

Västerås SK

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

PRESSURE INDEX

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

STARTING XI

General Information

Next Match

Statistics

Top Statistics

Match Overview

Attacking

Possession

Defensive

Build-up

Discipline

Lineup

Manager ▼

Starting XI ▼

Substitutes ▼

Bench ▼

Manager ▼

Starting XI ▼

Substitutes ▼

Bench ▼

Events

CONCLUSION

How We Build This Analysis

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