Sion vs Winterthur Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stade de Tourbillon Sat, 7 Mar - 5:00 PM
Super League
Sion SIO
1 – 1
Winterthur Winterthur
Full Time Sat, 7 Mar 5:00 PM
Winsley Boteli - 66'
Goal
|
Goal
Andrin Hunziker - 5'
Jan Kronig 89' Second yellow card
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Sion 1–1 Winterthur. The match ended in a draw. Sion showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 68%–32%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sion showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Dudic

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

L. Hartmann

2nd Assistant

C. dos Santos

1st Assistant

L. Schelbli

4th Official

Sion D. Tholot
D. Tholot
VS
Winterthur P. Rahmen
P. Rahmen
1.42
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.57
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lugano Rank: L
Servette Rank: D
Young Boys Rank: W
Thun Rank: L
Basel Rank: W
Luzern Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Servette Rank: D
St. Gallen Rank: L
Thun Rank: L
St. Gallen Rank: L
Young Boys Rank: L
Zürich Rank: L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 1 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sion
73.47%
Draw
17.46%
Away Winterthur
9.07%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
48.28
18.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sion
Winterthur
Power Score
48.28
18.39
League Position
5
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sion — Opponent-weighted form score
Winterthur — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sion Winterthur

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sion

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Winterthur

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sion ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Winterthur
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.49
43.91
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
43.91
39.49
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sion -0.40 Efficiency Index
vs
Winterthur +0.40 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sion
Winterthur
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sion ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Winterthur
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sion Winterthur
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sion Winterthur
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sion
Winterthur
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sion SIO Home
10 matches
Winterthur Winterthur Away
Match Record
4
Wins
5
1
Draws
1
5
Losses
4
Goals
13
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
13
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-08T00:11:38+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 07, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stadium :
Stade de Tourbillon
Capacity :
16263
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Leroy Hartmann
Alessandro Dudic
Claudio dos Santos
Luca Schelbli

Statistics

Possession
SIO
63%
Winterthur
37%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 1
8 Shots 4
57 Dangerous attacks 61
68 Possession 32
9 Corners 4
18 Free kicks 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 58
9 Successful Dribbles 7
3 Goal Attempts 2
16 Ball Safe 13
3 Goal Kicks 15
1 Assists 1
20 Throwins 9
17 Dribble Attempts 12
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

125 Attacks 72
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

21 Successful Long Passes 30
454 Successful Passes 171
40 Long Passes 61
515 Passes 247
88 Successful Passes Percentage 69
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49
14 Key Passes 8

Defensive

6 Interceptions 7
13 Tackles 18
3 Saves 5

Build-up

39 Total Crosses 11
10 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

14 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 0

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Francis Momoh
6th Yellowcard
Event
Baltazar
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+3'
90'
Event
Francis Momoh → Nishan Burkart
10th Substitution
Event
Jan Kronig
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
89'
87'
Event
Randy Schneider
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Josias Lukembila → Ilyas Chouaref
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Marquinhos Cipriano → Nias Hefti
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Jan Kronig
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
81'
78'
Event
Tibault Citherlet → Loïc Lüthi
6th Substitution
78'
Event
Bafode Dansoko → Fabian Rohner
7th Substitution
Event
Var
77'
71'
Event
Stéphane Cueni
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
70'
Event
Randy Schneider → Alexandre Jankewitz
5th Substitution
Event
Winsley Boteli
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
66'
Event
Winsley Boteli → Rilind Nivokazi
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Benjamin Kololli → Liam Chipperfield
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Franck Surdez → Théo Berdayes
2nd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Théo Golliard → Roman Buess
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
15'
Event
Roman Buess
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
5'
Event
Andrin Hunziker
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Sion exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

Sion vs Winterthur preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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