Sion vs Thun Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stade de Tourbillon Sun, 10 May - 2:30 PM
Super League
Sion SIO
2 Winner 0
Thun THU
Full Time Sun, 10 May 2:30 PM
Round 36 Championship Round
Ilyas Chouaref - 23'
Winsley Boteli - 22'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Sion defeated Thun 2-0 in a match where they established a commanding 2-0 lead by halftime, maintaining control through to full time. Home side Sion dominated possession with 61% compared to Thun's 39%, reflecting their status as the stronger team. The victory showed minimal structural deviation of 2.2%, aligning closely with expectations. No red cards were issued, ensuring uninterrupted play without distortion from dismissals. Efficiency metrics remained in line with norms, though xG data was unavailable for deeper analysis of chance quality. The second half featured no notable tactical adjustments, as Sion preserved their advantage without concession. This result underscores Sion's structural superiority and effective game management against a resilient but outpossessed opponent.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Structural deviation was minimal at 2.2% favoring Sion.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable without data.
  • Event impact: No events or adjustments significantly impacted the match.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, causing zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

L. Piccolo

Switzerland 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

L. Aschwanden

2nd Assistant

Switzerland

Z. Prskalo

4th Official

Switzerland

V. Antony

1st Assistant

Switzerland

League averages

Super League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 19.91
Yellow cards / match 3.69
Red cards / match 0.17
Penalties / match 0.4
Sion D. Tholot
D. Tholot
VS
Thun M. Lustrinelli
M. Lustrinelli
1.77
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.95
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
St. Gallen Rank: 65 W
Basel Rank: 63 W
Lausanne Sport Rank: 55 W
Grasshopper Rank: 48 W
St. Gallen Rank: 65 D
Zürich Rank: 51 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Basel Rank: 62 L
Lugano Rank: 64 L
Basel Rank: 63 W
Lugano Rank: 65 L
Zürich Rank: 51 L
Grasshopper Rank: 48 W
26
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
26 - 8 - 17
17

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sion
97.84%
Draw
1.92%
Away Thun
0.24%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.06
55.01
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sion
Thun
Power Score
65.06
55.01
League Position
5
1
Global Rank
334
383

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sion — Opponent-weighted form score
Thun — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sion Thun

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sion

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Thun

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sion ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Thun
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.25
45.90
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
45.90
40.25
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sion -0.51 Efficiency Index
vs
Thun +0.51 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sion
Thun
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sion ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Thun
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sion Thun
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sion Thun
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sion
Thun
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sion
vs
Thun
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sion Thun
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sion 0.43
Thun 0.42
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sion Thun
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sion 0.00
Thun 0.04
Sion
Thun
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SIO had peak pressure around 25'.
  • SIO started the game with stronger pressure.
SIO Pressure THU Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SIO reached the top pressure at 25' (85.18).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 51 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sion SIO Home
51 matches
Thun THU Away
Match Record
26
Wins
17
8
Draws
8
17
Losses
26
Goals
79
Goals Scored
57
57
Goals Conceded
79
+22
Goal Difference
-22

Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:04:08+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-2-2
Pitch
A. Racioppi
Switzerland
1 A. Racioppi
N. Lavanchy
Switzerland
14 N. Lavanchy
N. Sow
France
5 N. Sow
J. Kronig
Switzerland
17 J. Kronig
N. Hefti
Switzerland
20 N. Hefti
A. Kabacalman
Switzerland
88 A. Kabacalman
B. Costa Rodrigues de Oliveira
Brazil
8 B. Costa Rodrigues de Oliveira
I. Chouaref
Substitution
France
7 I. Chouaref
T. Berdayes
Substitution
Switzerland
29 T. Berdayes
B. Kololli
Substitution
Kosovo
70 B. Kololli
W. Boteli
Substitution
Switzerland
13 W. Boteli
Pitch
T. Spycher
Switzerland
25 T. Spycher
D. Franke
Germany
5 D. Franke
M. Bürki
Substitution
Switzerland
23 M. Bürki
J. Bamert
Switzerland
19 J. Bamert
L. Dähler
Switzerland
37 L. Dähler
N. Rupp
Switzerland
20 N. Rupp
V. Janjičić
Substitution
Switzerland
8 V. Janjičić
F. Meichtry
Substitution
77 F. Meichtry
N. Reichmuth
Substitution
Switzerland
70 N. Reichmuth
F. Dursun
Substitution
Austria
9 F. Dursun
B. Labeau Melchior
Martinique
96 B. Labeau Melchior

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Round 36 · Championship Round
Stadium :
Stade de Tourbillon
Capacity :
16263
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Luca Piccolo
Livio Aschwanden
Zrinko Prskalo
Venancius Antony

Statistics

Possession
SIO
58%
THU
42%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 0
22 Shots 16
51 Dangerous attacks 38
61 Possession 39
9 Corners 3
15 Free kicks 8
2 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

24 Throwins 20
4 Substitutions 5
11 Goal Kicks 5
1 Hit Woodwork 0
14 Dribble Attempts 15
8 Successful Dribbles 6
57 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
2 Assists 0
80 Ball Safe 59
13 Goal Attempts 10
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

96 Attacks 84
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47
376 Successful Passes 238
55 Long Passes 32
27 Successful Long Passes 15
451 Passes 303
83 Successful Passes Percentage 79
15 Key Passes 13

Defensive

6 Interceptions 11
15 Tackles 15
2 Saves 5

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 5
27 Total Crosses 8

Discipline

8 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Luca Piccolo

Starting XI ▼

1
Anthony Racioppi
Anthony Racioppi Goalkeeper
5
Noé Sow
Noé Sow Defender
14
Numa Lavanchy
Numa Lavanchy Defender
17
Jan Kronig
Jan Kronig Defender
20
Nias Hefti
Nias Hefti Defender
7
Ilyas Chouaref
Ilyas Chouaref Midfielder
38
Ryan Kessler
Ryan Kessler
Defender82'
8
Baltazar
Baltazar Midfielder
29
Théo Berdayes
Théo Berdayes Midfielder
77
Donat Rrudhani
Donat Rrudhani
Midfielder82'
70
Benjamin Kololli
Benjamin Kololli Midfielder
19
Franck Surdez
Franck Surdez
Attacker11'
88
Ali Kabacalman
Ali Kabacalman Midfielder
13
Winsley Boteli
Winsley Boteli Attacker
21
Liam Chipperfield
Liam Chipperfield
Midfielder66'
Referee : Luca Piccolo

Starting XI ▼

25
Tim Spycher
Tim Spycher Goalkeeper
5
Dominik Franke
Dominik Franke Defender
19
Jan Bamert
Jan Bamert Defender
23
Marco Bürki
Marco Bürki Defender
17
Ashvin Balaruban
Ashvin Balaruban
Defender63'
37
Lucien Dähler
Lucien Dähler Defender
8
Vasilije Janjicic
Vasilije Janjicic Midfielder
16
Justin Roth
Justin Roth
Midfielder71'
20
Noah Rupp
Noah Rupp Midfielder
70
Nils Reichmuth
Nils Reichmuth Midfielder
78
Valmir Matoshi
Valmir Matoshi
Midfielder76'
77
Franz-Ethan Meichtry
Franz-Ethan Meichtry Midfielder
14
Mattias Käit
Mattias Käit
Midfielder76'
9
Furkan Dursun
Furkan Dursun Attacker
33
Marc Gutbub
Marc Gutbub
Attacker63'
96
Brighton Labeau
Brighton Labeau Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Noah Rupp
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Mattias Käit
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Ryan Kessler → Ilyas Chouaref
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Donat Rrudhani → Théo Berdayes
9th Substitution
82'
76'
Event
Mattias Käit → Franz-Ethan Meichtry
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Valmir Matoshi → Nils Reichmuth
7th Substitution
73'
Event
Franz-Ethan Meichtry
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
71'
Event
Justin Roth → Vasilije Janjicic
5th Substitution
Event
Franck Surdez
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
66'
Event
Liam Chipperfield → Winsley Boteli
4th Substitution
66'
63'
Event
Ashvin Balaruban → Marco Bürki
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
Marc Gutbub → Furkan Dursun
3rd Substitution
55'
Event
Dominik Franke
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Jan Kronig
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
38'
26'
Event
Marco Bürki
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Ilyas Chouaref
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
23'
Event
Winsley Boteli
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
22'
Event
Franck Surdez → Benjamin Kololli
1st Substitution
11'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Ryan Kessler's left-footed shot is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Ali Kabacalman takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Noah Rupp receives a yellow card.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mattias Kait receives a yellow card.
86
Attempt Attempt
Valmir Matoshi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
82
Substitution Substitution
Donat Rrudhani is substituted for Theo Berdayes.
82
Update Update
Ryan Kessler is on, and Ylyas Chouaref is off.
79
Attempt Attempt
Jan Bamert takes a shot with his head, but it is blocked.
77
Attempt Attempt
Théo Berdayes takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
76
Update Update
Valmir Matoshi replaces Nils Reichmuth.
76
Update Update
Mattias Kait is on, and Franz-Ethan Meichtry is off.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Franz-Ethan Meichtry receives a yellow card.
71
Substitution Substitution
Justin Roth is substituted off for Vasilije Janjicic.
70
Attempt Attempt
Noah Rupp's right-footed shot is blocked.
70
Attempt Attempt
Franck Surdez takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
68
Attempt Attempt
Nias Hefti takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
66
Update Update
Liam Chipperfield is on, and Winsley Boteli is off.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Franck Surdez receives a yellow card.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Ashvin Balaruban comes on for Marco Burki.
63
Update Update
Marc Gutbub is on, and Furkan Dursun is off.
62
Attempt Attempt
Nias Hefti takes a right-footed shot but misses.
62
Attempt Attempt
Nias Hefti takes a right-footed shot but misses.
60
Attempt Attempt
Nils Reichmuth takes a left-footed shot but misses.
59
Attempt Attempt
Théo Berdayes takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
58
Attempt Attempt
Franz-Ethan Meichtry takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
58
Attempt Attempt
Furkan Dursun takes a right-footed shot but misses.
56
Attempt Attempt
Baltazar takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
55
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dominik Franke receives a yellow card.
54
Attempt Attempt
Winsley Boteli takes a shot with his head but misses.
53
Attempt Attempt
Marco Burki takes a left-footed shot but misses.
47
Attempt Attempt
Franck Surdez has a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
47
Attempt Attempt
Ylyas Chouaref takes a right-footed shot but misses.
47
Attempt Attempt
Franck Surdez takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
46
Attempt Attempt
Furkan Dursun takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Vasilije Janjicic's left-footed shot is blocked.
45
Update Update
Nils Reichmuth attempts a header but misses the target.
39
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jan Kronig receives a yellow card.
37
Attempt Attempt
Ali Kabacalman takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Winsley Boteli takes a right-footed shot but misses.
29
Attempt Attempt
Brighton Labeau takes a right-footed shot but misses.
25
Attempt Attempt
Nils Reichmuth's left-footed shot is saved.
25
Attempt Attempt
Furkan Dursun attempts a header but misses the shot.
23
Attempt Attempt
Furkan Dursun attempts a header but misses the shot.
23
Attempt Attempt
Ylyas Chouaref takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
23
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ylyas Chouaref scores, making it 2-0.
22
Attempt Attempt
Winsley Boteli scores with a left-footed shot.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Winsley Boteli scores, making it 1-0.
22
Attempt Attempt
Nils Reichmuth's left-footed shot is saved.
19
Attempt Attempt
Ylyas Chouaref's right-footed shot is saved.
19
Attempt Attempt
Ylyas Chouaref takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
18
Attempt Attempt
Winsley Boteli takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
16
Attempt Attempt
Numa Lavanchy's left-footed shot is blocked.
15
Attempt Attempt
Franz-Ethan Meichtry takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
11
Update Update
Franck Surdez comes on for Benjamin Kololli.
5
Attempt Attempt
Franz-Ethan Meichtry takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Sion's 2-0 win over Thun validated their pre-match favoritism, with a perfect halftime replication and sustained possession dominance at 61%. The minimal 2.2% deviation highlights structural consistency, while market alignment confirms predictive accuracy. Absent xG, efficiency in line provides reassurance of balanced performance. No red cards or events altered dynamics, allowing Sion's superiority to prevail cleanly. This outcome reinforces Sion's control and Thun's containment, setting a factual benchmark for future assessments in similar fixtures.

Sion vs Thun preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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