Silkeborg IF vs Fredericia Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark

JYSK park Sun, 19 Apr - 12:00 PM

Superliga

Silkeborg IF SIL

2 – 2

Fredericia Fredericia

Full Time Sun, 19 Apr 12:00 PM

Round 5 Relegation Round

Tonni Adamsen - 29'

Callum McCowatt - 23'

Jonatan Holm Lindekilde - 90+3', 78'

CONTEXT

Silkeborg IF surged to a 2-0 halftime lead over Fredericia, capitalizing on early dominance with 51% possession in a match that promised a home victory. However, the second half unfolded dramatically as Fredericia mounted a comeback, equalizing at 2-2 to snatch a point. No red cards marred the contest, keeping the focus on tactical battles and individual quality. Possession remained tightly contested at 51-49 in favor of the hosts, underscoring the even nature of play despite the scoreline swing. Pre-match assessments viewed Fredericia as the stronger team, yet the draw marked a significant 75.1% structural deviation in their favor. Efficiency held in line with norms, though absent xG data limits precise chance conversion analysis. This outcome defied market alignments, highlighting Fredericia's second-half resilience and Silkeborg's inability to hold their advantage.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Match resulted in a significant 75.1% deviation favoring Fredericia.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match expectations.
xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevents alignment assessment.
Market alignment: Outcome did not align with pre-match market probabilities.
xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable due to missing metrics.
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered dynamics.
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, avoiding any dismissal-related distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

J. Maae

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

O. Kronlykke

1st Assistant

D. Rasmussen

2nd Assistant

N. Andersen

4th Official

K. Nielsen

M. Hansen

0.86

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.13

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

0 - 0 - 2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Silkeborg IF

45.5%

Draw

24.88%

Fredericia

29.62%

Movement

Changes since opening

Silkeborg IF

-46.84%

Draw

+17.49%

Fredericia

+29.35%

Team Power Ranking

17.67

22.71

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Silkeborg IF

Fredericia

Power Score

17.67

22.71

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Silkeborg IF — Opponent-weighted form score

Fredericia — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Silkeborg IF Fredericia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Silkeborg IF

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Fredericia

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Silkeborg IF ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Fredericia

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

27.35

36.84

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

36.84

27.35

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Silkeborg IF -0.93 Efficiency Index

Fredericia +0.93 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Silkeborg IF

Fredericia

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Silkeborg IF ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Fredericia

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Silkeborg IF Fredericia

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Silkeborg IF Fredericia

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Silkeborg IF

Fredericia

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Silkeborg IF

Fredericia

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Silkeborg IF Fredericia

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Silkeborg IF Fredericia

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Silkeborg IF

Fredericia

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

SIL had peak pressure around 16'.
Fredericia started the game with stronger pressure.

SIL Pressure Fredericia Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: SIL reached the top pressure at 16' (64.16).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Silkeborg IF SIL Home

2 matches

Fredericia Fredericia Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-3

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:02:29+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 N. Larsen

19 J. Gammelby

3 R. Østrøm

4 P. Machado Ganchas

2 A. Poulsen

27 W. Kirk

6 A. Vikman

17 C. McCowatt

11 O. Ross

23 T. Adamsen

10 Y. Bakiz

90 V. Thorsen

8 J. Jessen

5 F. Thykær Rieper

3 A. Nygaard Andersen

14 A. Dahl

6 F. Winther

17 D. Kristjánsson

7 G. Marcussen

29 E. Hansborg-Sørensen

16 S. Østergaard Grandjean Johannesen

25 F. Ubi Etim

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 19, 2026, 12:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 5 · Relegation Round

Stadium :

JYSK park

Capacity :

10000

Pitch Surface :

Artificial turf

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Jens Maae

Ole Kronlykke

Dennis Wollenberg Rasmussen

Nanna Løf Andersen

Statistics

Possession

SIL

50%

Fredericia

50%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2

3 Big Chances Created 3

5 Shots 6

39 Dangerous attacks 61

51 Possession 49

5 Corners 4

14 Free kicks 6

1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

3 Successful Dribbles 8

94 Ball Safe 69

2 Injuries 0

10 Goal Attempts 13

1 Hit Woodwork 0

14 Goal Kicks 6

33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

14 Throwins 20

9 Dribble Attempts 16

5 Substitutions 6

2 Assists 2

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 2

75 Attacks 132

5 Counter Attacks 1

Possession

528 Passes 503

12 Key Passes 14

67 Long Passes 40

86 Successful Passes Percentage 85

453 Successful Passes 430

49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 55

33 Successful Long Passes 22

Defensive

14 Tackles 15

40 Duels Won 39

10 Interceptions 4

4 Saves 3

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 23

6 Accurate Crosses 8

Discipline

6 Fouls 14

2 Offsides 5

Lineup

Referee : Jens Maae

Manager ▼

K. Nielsen Coach

Starting XI ▼

Nicolai Larsen Goalkeeper

7.18

Andreas Poulsen Defender

6.71

Robin Østrøm Defender

6.49

Pedro Ganchas Defender

6.86

Jens Martin Gammelby Defender

6.61

Adam Wikman Midfielder

6.54

Mads Freundlich

Midfielder57'

6.77

Callum McCowatt Midfielder

7.2

Rami Al Hajj

Midfielder73'

6.59

William Kirk Midfielder

6.6

Villads Westh

Midfielder72'

6.82

Younes Bakiz Attacker

6.8

Sofus Berger

Midfielder16'

6.66

Oliver Ross Attacker

6.72

Mads Larsen

Midfielder57'

6.68

Tonni Adamsen Attacker

7.21

Substitutes ▼

Sofus Berger

Midfielder16'

6.66

Mads Freundlich

Midfielder57'

6.77

Mads Larsen

Midfielder57'

6.68

Villads Westh

Midfielder72'

6.82

Rami Al Hajj

Midfielder73'

6.59

Bench ▼

Aske Andrésen Goalkeeper

8.1

Melker Jonsson Defender

6.01

Julius Lorents Midfielder

6.52

Alexander Simmelhack Attacker

6.55

Referee : Jens Maae