Sigma Olomouc vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Andrův stadion Thu, 12 Mar - 8:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc
0 – 0
FSV Mainz 05 M05
Full Time Thu, 12 Mar 8:00 PM

CONTEXT

The match has officially finished in a 0-0 draw between Sigma Olomouc and FSV Mainz 05. Following a goalless first half, neither side was able to find a breakthrough before the final whistle. This outcome represents a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, negatively impacting the heavily favored FSV Mainz 05. Before kickoff, Mainz held a 54% market probability of winning, compared to just a 26.8% chance for a draw and 19.1% for a Sigma Olomouc victory. As a result, the final scoreline did not align with the pre-match market projections. Sigma Olomouc managed to control the ball slightly more, finishing with 52

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FSV Mainz 05 showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Al Emara

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

T. Valjakka

1st Assistant

M. Lamppu

2nd Assistant

P. Simani

4th Official

Sigma Olomouc T. Janotka
T. Janotka
VS
FSV Mainz 05 U. Fischer
U. Fischer
1.38
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.17
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lausanne Sport Rank: 60 W
Lausanne Sport Rank: 60 D
Lech Poznań Rank: 69 L
Lincoln Red Imps Rank: L
Celje Rank: 71 W
Noah Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Samsunspor Rank: 70 W
Lech Poznań Rank: 69 D
Universitatea Craiova Rank: 71 L
Fiorentina Rank: 75 W
Zrinjski Rank: 58 W
Omonia Nicosia Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sigma Olomouc
19.13%
Draw
26.83%
Away FSV Mainz 05
54.04%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
49.58
55.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sigma Olomouc
FSV Mainz 05
Power Score
49.58
55.39
League Position
24
7
Global Rank
469
64

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sigma Olomouc — Opponent-weighted form score
FSV Mainz 05 — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sigma Olomouc FSV Mainz 05

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sigma Olomouc

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FSV Mainz 05

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sigma Olomouc ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FSV Mainz 05
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
18.27
15.10
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.10
18.27
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sigma Olomouc +0.26 Efficiency Index
vs
FSV Mainz 05 -0.26 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sigma Olomouc
FSV Mainz 05
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sigma Olomouc ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FSV Mainz 05
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sigma Olomouc FSV Mainz 05
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sigma Olomouc FSV Mainz 05
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sigma Olomouc
FSV Mainz 05
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc Home
0 matches
FSV Mainz 05 M05 Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-13T01:03:50+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
J. Koutný
91 J. Koutný
J. Spáčil
Czech Republic
8 J. Spáčil
M. Malý
Slovakia
33 M. Malý
J. Sláma
Czech Republic
13 J. Sláma
M. Hadas
Substitution
Czech Republic
22 M. Hadas
M. Beran
Czech Republic
47 M. Beran
P. Baráth
Hungary
88 P. Baráth
A. Ghali
Substitution
Nigeria
70 A. Ghali
D. Šturm
Slovenia
7 D. Šturm
A. Růsek
Substitution
Czech Republic
14 A. Růsek
J. Kliment
Substitution
Czech Republic
9 (C) J. Kliment
Pitch
D. Batz
Germany
33 D. Batz
K. Potulski
Poland
48 K. Potulski
S. Posch
Austria
4 S. Posch
D. Kohr
Germany
31 (C) D. Kohr
P. Mwene
Substitution
Austria
2 P. Mwene
W. Vick
Substitution
Denmark
14 W. Vick
K. Sano
Japan
6 K. Sano
P. Nebel
Substitution
Germany
8 P. Nebel
D. Vieira da Costa
Germany
21 D. Vieira da Costa
S. Wamangituka
Substitution
DR Congo
26 S. Wamangituka
P. Tietz
Substitution
Germany
20 P. Tietz

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 12, 2026, 08:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadium :
Andrův stadion
Capacity :
12566
Attendance :
8500
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Turkka Valjakka
Mika Lamppu
Peiman Simani
Mohammad Al Emara

Statistics

Possession
Sigma Olomouc
52%
M05
48%

Top Statistics

0 Big Chances Created 3
2 Shots 0
30 Dangerous attacks 45
52 Possession 48
1 Corners 2
13 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

4 Goal Kicks 8
22 Throwins 24
7 Successful Dribbles 3
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 21
16 Dribble Attempts 14
4 Substitutions 5
81 Ball Safe 77
0 Injuries 1
4 Goal Attempts 5

Attacking

101 Attacks 104
0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

83 Successful Passes Percentage 78
386 Successful Passes 333
466 Passes 425
61 Long Passes 67
27 Successful Long Passes 30
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45
6 Key Passes 5

Defensive

20 Tackles 19
3 Interceptions 6
2 Saves 1
56 Duels Won 50

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 15
3 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

9 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 6

Lineup

Referee : Mohammad Al Emara

Starting XI ▼

91
J. Koutný
J. Koutný Goalkeeper
7
8
Jiri Spacil
Jiri Spacil Defender
6.73
13
Jiri Slama
Jiri Slama Defender
7.39
33
Matus Maly
Matus Maly Defender
7.17
22
Matej Hadas
Matej Hadas Midfielder
6.88
6
Jachym Sip
Jachym Sip
Midfielder61'
6.44
47
Michal Beran
Michal Beran Midfielder
7.01
70
Ahmad Ghali
Ahmad Ghali Midfielder
6.85
16
Filip Slavicek
Filip Slavicek
Defender61'
6.73
88
Péter Baráth
Péter Baráth Midfielder
7.1
7
Danijel Sturm
Danijel Sturm Attacker
7.03
9
Jan Kliment
Jan Kliment (C) Attacker
6.55
35
Mohamed Yasser
Mohamed Yasser
Attacker75'
6.55
14
Antonin Rusek
Antonin Rusek Attacker
6.64
25
Matej Mikulenka
Matej Mikulenka
Attacker75'
6.66
Referee : Mohammad Al Emara

Starting XI ▼

33
Daniel Batz
Daniel Batz Goalkeeper
6.97
4
Stefan Posch
Stefan Posch Defender
6.98
31
Dominik Kohr
Dominik Kohr (C) Defender
6.96
48
Kacper Potulski
Kacper Potulski Defender
7.22
2
Phillipp Mwene
Phillipp Mwene Midfielder
7.07
30
Silvan Widmer
Silvan Widmer
Defender90+1'
6
Kaishu Sano
Kaishu Sano Midfielder
6.43
8
Paul Nebel
Paul Nebel Midfielder
6.54
24
Sota Kawasaki
Sota Kawasaki
Midfielder90+1'
14
William Bøving
William Bøving Midfielder
6.47
7
Jae-sung Lee
Jae-sung Lee
Midfielder64'
6.6
21
Danny da Costa
Danny da Costa Midfielder
7.35
20
Phillip Tietz
Phillip Tietz Attacker
6.55
11
Armindo Sieb
Armindo Sieb
Attacker82'
6.45
26
Silas
Silas Attacker
6.31
44
Nelson Weiper
Nelson Weiper
Attacker67'
6.38

Events

2ND-HALF
90+5'
Event
Armindo Sieb
Goal Disallowed
90+1'
Event
Sota Kawasaki → Paul Nebel
8th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Silvan Widmer → Phillipp Mwene
9th Substitution
83'
Event
Stefan Posch
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
82'
Event
Armindo Sieb → Phillip Tietz
7th Substitution
Event
Matej Mikulenka → Antonin Rusek
5th Substitution
75'
Event
Mohamed Yasser → Jan Kliment
6th Substitution
75'
67'
Event
Nelson Weiper → Silas
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Jae-sung Lee → William Bøving
3rd Substitution
Event
Jachym Sip → Matej Hadas
1st Substitution
61'
Event
Filip Slavicek → Ahmad Ghali
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Jan Kliment
Persistent fouling / 1st Yellowcard
53'
1ST-HALF
24'
Event
Silas
Offside / Goal Disallowed

Match Commentary

90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Sota Kawasaki comes on to take the place of Paul Nebel.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Silvan Widmer comes on to take the place of Phillipp Mwene.
90
Update Update
Matús Maly from Sigma Olomouc earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
90
Update Update
Stefan Posch commits a foul for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
90
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after Péter Baráth allowed the ball to go out.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 6 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Offside call against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Silvan Widmer has been flagged for being in an offside position.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded, and the score remains Sigma Olomouc 0, 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.
90
Update Update
Stefan Posch commits a foul for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded, and the match ends with Sigma Olomouc 0, 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.
90
Update Update
Offside call against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Silvan Widmer has been flagged for being in an offside position.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after Péter Baráth allowed the ball to go out.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Sota Kawasaki comes on to take the place of Paul Nebel.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 6 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Matús Maly from Sigma Olomouc earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Silvan Widmer comes on to take the place of Phillipp Mwene.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sigma Olomouc after Daniel Batz allowed the ball to go out.
88
Attempt Attempt
A shot on goal was thwarted. Péter Baráth from Sigma Olomouc unleashed a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but Daniel Batz of 1. FSV Mainz 05 made a save, stopping the ball in the upper center of the net. The attempt was set up by Danijel Sturm.
88
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Sigma Olomouc, following a save by Daniel Batz.
88
Attempt Attempt
A shot was blocked. Péter Baráth from Sigma Olomouc took a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but Daniel Batz of 1. FSV Mainz 05 managed to save it, diving to the top center of the goal. The attempt was set up by Danijel Sturm.
86
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Michal Beran from Sigma Olomouc took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it didn't hit the target.
86
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Michal Beran from Sigma Olomouc takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it narrowly misses the top left corner. The attempt was set up by Matej Mikulenka.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Stefan Posch of 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
83
Update Update
Stefan Posch commits a foul for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
83
Update Update
Mohamed Yasser from Sigma Olomouc earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
83
Update Update
Stefan Posch commits a foul for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Stefan Posch of 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
83
Update Update
Mohamed Yasser from Sigma Olomouc is awarded a free kick in their own half.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Armindo Sieb comes on to take the place of Phillip Tietz.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Armindo Sieb comes on to take the place of Phillip Tietz.
79
Update Update
Matej Mikulenka from Sigma Olomouc is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
79
Update Update
Dominik Kohr commits a foul for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
79
Update Update
Dominik Kohr commits a foul for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
79
Update Update
Matej Mikulenka from Sigma Olomouc earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
78
Attempt Attempt
Shot on goal denied. Nelson Weiper of 1. FSV Mainz 05 takes a right-footed attempt from the right side of the six-yard area, but the goalkeeper makes the save.
78
Corner Corner
A shot on goal has been thwarted. Nelson Weiper from 1. FSV Mainz 05 tried a right-footed effort from the right side of the six-yard box, but Jan Koutny from Sigma Olomouc made a great save, diving to the bottom right corner. The chance was set up by a cross from Paul Nebel.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sigma Olomouc: Mohamed Yasser comes on to take the place of Jan Kliment.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sigma Olomouc: Matej Mikulenka comes on to take the place of Antonín Rusek.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sigma Olomouc: Matej Mikulenka comes on to take the place of Antonín Rusek.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sigma Olomouc: Mohamed Yasser comes on to take the place of Jan Kliment.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sigma Olomouc: Mohamed Yasser comes on to take the place of Jan Kliment.
74
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Danijel Sturm from Sigma Olomouc took a right-footed shot from a challenging angle on the right side, but it narrowly missed the top right corner of the goal. The attempt was set up by Filip Slavícek.
73
Update Update
Jirí Sláma from Sigma Olomouc is awarded a free kick in their own half.
73
Update Update
Paul Nebel from 1. FSV Mainz 05 commits a foul.
73
Update Update
Paul Nebel from 1. FSV Mainz 05 commits a foul.
73
Update Update
Jirí Sláma from Sigma Olomouc earns a free kick in the defensive zone.
70
Update Update
Jan Kliment from Sigma Olomouc is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
70
Update Update
Offside call against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Nelson Weiper has been flagged for being in an offside position.
70
Update Update
Offside call against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Nelson Weiper has been flagged for being in an offside position.
70
Update Update
Stefan Posch commits a foul for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
70
Update Update
Jan Kliment from Sigma Olomouc earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Nelson Weiper comes on to replace Silas Katompa Mvumpa, who has been injured.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Nelson Weiper comes on to take the place of Silas Katompa Mvumpa, who has been forced off due to an injury.
67
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Nelson Weiper comes on to replace Silas Katompa Mvumpa, who has sustained an injury.
64
Update Update
The match is currently on hold due to an injury to Silas Katompa Mvumpa from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Lee Jae-Sung comes on to take the place of William Bøving.
64
Update Update
The game is currently paused due to an injury to Silas Katompa Mvumpa from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Lee Jae-Sung comes on to take the place of William Bøving.
63
Update Update
Matús Maly from Sigma Olomouc is awarded a free kick in their own half.
63
Update Update
Foul committed by Silas Katompa Mvumpa of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
63
Update Update
Offside call against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Phillip Tietz has been flagged for being in an offside position.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sigma Olomouc: Jáchym Síp comes on to take the place of Matej Hadas.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sigma Olomouc: Filip Slavícek comes on to take the place of Ahmad Ghali.
61
Update Update
Jirí Sláma from Sigma Olomouc earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sigma Olomouc: Jáchym Síp comes on to take the place of Matej Hadas.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sigma Olomouc: Filip Slavícek comes on to take the place of Ahmad Ghali.
60
Update Update
Jirí Sláma from Sigma Olomouc is awarded a free kick in their own half.
60
Update Update
Phillip Tietz commits a foul for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
60
Update Update
Jirí Sláma from Sigma Olomouc is awarded a free kick in their own half.
59
Corner Corner
Save made! Danny da Costa of 1. FSV Mainz 05 attempts a header from just a few yards out, but it's kept out in the bottom right corner. The chance was set up by a cross from Paul Nebel.
59
Corner Corner
A close-range header from Danny da Costa of 1. FSV Mainz 05 is denied by Jan Koutny of Sigma Olomouc, who makes a save in the bottom right corner. The chance was set up by a cross from Paul Nebel.
58
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05, following a defensive play by Matej Hadas.
58
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after a deflection off Matej Hadas.
55
Update Update
Jirí Sláma from Sigma Olomouc is awarded a free kick in their own half.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after a deflection off Matej Hadas.
55
Update Update
Danny da Costa of 1. FSV Mainz 05 committed a foul.
55
Update Update
Jirí Sláma from Sigma Olomouc is awarded a free kick in their own half of the field.
55
Update Update
Danny da Costa commits a foul for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
53
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Kacper Potulski of 1. FSV Mainz 05 attempted a header from the center of the box after a set piece.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jan Kliment from Sigma Olomouc receives a yellow card.
53
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Danny da Costa from 1. FSV Mainz 05 took a right-footed shot from the left side of the six-yard box, but it sailed high and wide to the left. The chance was created by Kacper Potulski after a set piece.
52
Update Update
Danny da Costa from 1. FSV Mainz 05 earns a free kick on the right flank.
52
Update Update
Jan Kliment commits a foul for Sigma Olomouc.
50
Update Update
Dominik Kohr from 1. FSV Mainz 05 earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
50
Update Update
Jan Kliment from Sigma Olomouc committed a foul.
47
Update Update
Matej Hadas from Sigma Olomouc is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
47
Update Update
Foul committed by William Bøving of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
46
Update Update
Dominik Kohr from 1. FSV Mainz 05 earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
46
Update Update
Jan Kliment commits a foul for Sigma Olomouc.
45
Update Update
The first half concludes with a score of Sigma Olomouc 0, 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
45
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Jan Kliment from Sigma Olomouc took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area after a quick counterattack.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score at Sigma Olomouc 0, 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.
44
Update Update
Ahmad Ghali from Sigma Olomouc commits a foul.
44
Update Update
Paul Nebel from 1. FSV Mainz 05 earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
41
Update Update
Danny da Costa commits a foul for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
40
Update Update
Matús Maly from Sigma Olomouc earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
40
Update Update
Ahmad Ghali from Sigma Olomouc earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
40
Update Update
Matús Maly from Sigma Olomouc is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
38
Update Update
Matús Maly from Sigma Olomouc commits a foul.
38
Update Update
Phillip Tietz from 1. FSV Mainz 05 earns a free kick in the offensive half of the field.
37
Update Update
Jan Kliment commits a foul for Sigma Olomouc.
37
Update Update
Offside call against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Silas Katompa Mvumpa has been flagged for being offside.
34
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Phillipp Mwene from 1. FSV Mainz 05 took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area after a swift counterattack.
31
Update Update
Offside call against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Phillip Tietz has been flagged for being in an offside position.
25
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Antonín Rusek from Sigma Olomouc attempted a header from the middle of the penalty area.
24
Update Update
Offside call against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Paul Nebel has been flagged for being in an offside position.
23
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Antonín Rusek from Sigma Olomouc took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it didn't find the target.
21
Update Update
Danijel Sturm from Sigma Olomouc earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
21
Update Update
Kacper Potulski from 1. FSV Mainz 05 commits a foul.
16
Update Update
Kacper Potulski from 1. FSV Mainz 05 commits a foul.
16
Update Update
Kacper Potulski from 1. FSV Mainz 05 committed a foul.
13
Update Update
Paul Nebel from 1. FSV Mainz 05 is awarded a free kick in the opponent's half.
13
Update Update
Jan Kliment from Sigma Olomouc commits a foul.
12
Update Update
Phillipp Mwene from 1. FSV Mainz 05 earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
12
Update Update
Phillipp Mwene of 1. FSV Mainz 05 is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
11
Update Update
Offside call against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Phillip Tietz has been flagged for being in an offside position.
11
Update Update
Matej Hadas from Sigma Olomouc commits a foul.
9
Update Update
Dominik Kohr from 1. FSV Mainz 05 is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
9
Update Update
Ahmad Ghali from Sigma Olomouc commits a foul.
2
Update Update
Péter Baráth from Sigma Olomouc is awarded a free kick in the opponent's half.
2
Update Update
Phillip Tietz commits a foul for 1. FSV Mainz 05.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: FSV Mainz 05 exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

Sigma Olomouc vs FSV Mainz 05 preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Europa Conference League, Europe View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ

Author

Dan A

Dan A creates clear football match previews built around team form, performance trends, and practical pre-match insights.