Sheffield United vs Preston North End Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
Bramall Lane Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Championship
Sheffield United SHU
2 Winner 3
Preston North End PNE
Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 2:00 PM
Round 45 Regular Season
Patrick Bamford - 82'
Gustavo Hamer - 71' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Lewis Dobbin - 76'
Liam Lindsay - 20', 5'

CONTEXT

Sheffield United hosted Preston North End, suffering a 2-3 defeat despite dominating possession at 69% to 31%. The visitors surged to a 2-0 halftime lead, leaving the home side chasing the game. Sheffield mounted a comeback with two second-half goals but conceded once more, sealing Preston's upset win. Identified pre-match as the stronger team, Sheffield failed to capitalize on their control, while Preston demonstrated superior clinical finishing. No red cards disrupted play, and no major second-half adjustments were noted. This result represents a significant structural deviation, underscoring football's unpredictability where efficiency trumps possession. The market viewed Sheffield favorably beforehand, amplifying the surprise element.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Preston North End's victory marked a significant 80% structural deviation from expectations favoring Sheffield United.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable xG data.
  • Market alignment: Market did not align with Preston North End's win.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without xG statistics.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or events notably impacted the outcome.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Kitchen

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. Fitch

2nd Assistant

J. Wilson

1st Assistant

A. Byrne

4th Official

Sheffield United C. Wilder
C. Wilder
VS
Preston North End P. Heckingbottom
P. Heckingbottom
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Blackburn Rovers Rank: L
Watford Rank: W
Hull City Rank: W
Bristol City Rank: L
Swansea City Rank: D
Wrexham Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Birmingham City Rank: L
West Bromwich Albion Rank: L
Charlton Athletic Rank: W
Queens Park Rangers Rank: D
Leicester City Rank: D
Stoke City Rank: W
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 7 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sheffield United
59.38%
Draw
20.66%
Away Preston North End
19.96%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sheffield United
+59.19%
Draw
+15.01%
Preston North End
-74.2%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.44
20.18
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sheffield United
Preston North End
Power Score
24.44
20.18
League Position
15
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Sheffield United Opponent-weighted form score
Preston North End Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sheffield United Preston North End

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Sheffield United

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Preston North End

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sheffield United ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Preston North End
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.71
45.48
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
45.48
29.71
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sheffield United -1.61 Efficiency Index
vs
Preston North End +1.61 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sheffield United
Preston North End
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sheffield United ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Preston North End
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sheffield United Preston North End
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sheffield United Preston North End
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sheffield United
Preston North End
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Sheffield United
vs
Preston North End
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sheffield United Preston North End
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sheffield United Preston North End
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Sheffield United
Preston North End
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SHU had peak pressure around 92'.
  • PNE started the game with stronger pressure.
SHU Pressure PNE Pressure
Pressure Index: SHU reached the top pressure at 92' (71.82).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 26 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sheffield United SHU Home
26 matches
Preston North End PNE Away
Match Record
12
Wins
7
7
Draws
7
7
Losses
12
Goals
33
Goals Scored
27
27
Goals Conceded
33
+6
Goal Difference
-6

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:04:34+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
A. Davies
Wales
17 A. Davies
F. Seriki
Substitution
England
38 F. Seriki
J. Tanganga
England
2 J. Tanganga
M. McGuinness
Republic of Ireland
25 M. McGuinness
L. Hjelde
Substitution
Norway
5 L. Hjelde
S. Peck
England
42 S. Peck
O. Arblaster
Substitution
England
4 O. Arblaster
T. Chong
Substitution
Netherlands
24 T. Chong
G. Hamer
Netherlands
8 G. Hamer
C. O'Hare
Substitution
England
10 C. O'Hare
P. Bamford
England
45 P. Bamford
Pitch
D. Iversen
Denmark
1 D. Iversen
A. Vukčević
Substitution
Montenegro
3 A. Vukčević
L. Lindsay
Scotland
6 L. Lindsay
J. Storey
England
14 J. Storey
P. Valentín Sancho
Substitution
Spain
2 P. Valentín Sancho
A. Moran
Republic of Ireland
23 A. Moran
A. Devine
England
21 A. Devine
J. Thompson
Northern Ireland
15 J. Thompson
T. Small
Substitution
England
26 T. Small
L. Dobbin
England
17 L. Dobbin
D. Jebbison
Substitution
Canada
9 D. Jebbison

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 25, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 45 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Bramall Lane
Capacity :
32702
Attendance :
27115
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Carl Fitch
Andrew Kitchen
James Wilson
Abigail Byrne

Statistics

Possession
SHU
62%
PNE
38%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 3
5 Big Chances Created 3
7 Shots 2
70 Dangerous attacks 42
69 Possession 31
10 Corners 5
10 Free kicks 12
0 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

34 Throwins 20
32 Successful Headers 23
21 Successful Dribbles Percentage 63
1 Assists 3
5 Goal Kicks 14
3 Successful Dribbles 5
14 Dribble Attempts 8
57 Ball Safe 70
9 Goal Attempts 7
5 Substitutions 4
1 Penalties 0

Attacking

128 Attacks 62
3 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

377 Successful Passes 106
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 27
459 Passes 205
82 Successful Passes Percentage 52
66 Long Passes 85
31 Successful Long Passes 23
13 Key Passes 11

Defensive

8 Interceptions 11
9 Tackles 19
55 Duels Won 58
3 Saves 1

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 4
30 Total Crosses 11

Discipline

12 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Andrew Kitchen

Starting XI

17
Adam Davies
Adam Davies Goalkeeper
6.55
2
Japhet Tanganga
Japhet Tanganga Defender
6.58
5
Leo Hjelde
Leo Hjelde Defender
6.62
14
Harrison Burrows
Harrison Burrows
Defender46'
6.86
25
Mark McGuinness
Mark McGuinness Defender
6.83
38
Femi Seriki
Femi Seriki Defender
6.73
12
Ki-Jana Hoever
Ki-Jana Hoever
Defender90+3'
6.71
4
Oliver Arblaster
Oliver Arblaster Midfielder
6.72
48
Joe Rothwell
Joe Rothwell
Midfielder81'
6.48
8
Gustavo Hamer
Gustavo Hamer Midfielder
7.14
10
Callum O'Hare
Callum O'Hare Midfielder
6.88
7
Tom Cannon
Tom Cannon
Attacker90+3'
6.6
24
Tahith Chong
Tahith Chong Midfielder
6.45
9
Danny Ings
Danny Ings
Attacker54'
6.58
42
Sydie Peck
Sydie Peck Midfielder
6.93
45
Patrick Bamford
Patrick Bamford Attacker
6.96
Referee : Andrew Kitchen

Starting XI

1
Daniel Iversen
Daniel Iversen Goalkeeper
6.92
2
Pol Valentín
Pol Valentín Defender
6.58
44
Brad Potts
Brad Potts
Midfielder63'
6.84
3
Andrija Vukcevic
Andrija Vukcevic Defender
6.53
19
Lewis Gibson
Lewis Gibson
Defender87'
6.81
6
Liam Lindsay
Liam Lindsay Defender
2
6.78
14
Jordan Storey
Jordan Storey Defender
6.93
15
Jordan Andrew Thompson
Jordan Andrew Thompson Midfielder
6.66
21
Alfie Devine
Alfie Devine Midfielder
6.99
23
Andrew Moran
Andrew Moran Midfielder
6.64
26
Thierry Small
Thierry Small Midfielder
6.57
11
Robbie Brady
Robbie Brady
Midfielder63'
6.6
9
Daniel Jebbison
Daniel Jebbison Attacker
6.63
24
Michael Smith
Michael Smith
Attacker90+3'
6.7
17
Lewis Dobbin
Lewis Dobbin Attacker
6.84

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Tom Cannon Callum O'Hare
7th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Ki-Jana Hoever Femi Seriki
8th Substitution
90+3'
90+3'
Event
Michael Smith Daniel Jebbison
9th Substitution
87'
Event
Lewis Gibson Andrija Vukcevic
6th Substitution
Event
Patrick Bamford
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
82'
82'
Event
Daniel Iversen
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Joe Rothwell Oliver Arblaster
5th Substitution
81'
76'
Event
Lewis Dobbin
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Gustavo Hamer
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
71'
63'
Event
Brad Potts Pol Valentín
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Robbie Brady Thierry Small
3rd Substitution
Event
Danny Ings Tahith Chong
2nd Substitution
54'
Event
Harrison Burrows Leo Hjelde
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
32'
Event
Andrija Vukcevic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
20'
Event
Liam Lindsay
Header / 2nd Goal
16'
Event
Jordan Andrew Thompson
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
5'
Event
Liam Lindsay
Header / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The second half ends with Sheffield United losing 2-3 to Preston North End.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 6 minutes of added time.
90
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Lewis Dobbin from Preston North End takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box after a fast break.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Mark McGuinness of Sheffield United.
90
Corner Corner
Sheffield United win a corner after Brad Potts concedes.
90
Corner Corner
Sheffield United win a corner after Michael Smith concedes.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Preston North End: Michael Smith comes on for Daniel Jebbison.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sheffield United: Ki-Jana Hoever comes on for Femi Seriki.
90
Attempt Attempt
Harrison Burrows from Sheffield United has a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Gustavo Hamer.
90
Corner Corner
Ki-Jana Hoever from Sheffield United misses an attempt with a header from the right side of the six-yard box, sending it high and wide to the right. Thomas Cannon assisted with a headed pass after a corner.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Mark McGuinness of Sheffield United.
90
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Hamer from Sheffield United attempts a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes just to the right and misses.
88
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Patrick Bamford from Sheffield United has a left-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box that goes wide to the right. Sydie Peck provided the assist with a cross.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Preston North End: Lewis Gibson comes on for Andrija Vukcevic.
87
Attempt Attempt
Sydie Peck's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Gustavo Hamer provided the assist.
86
Update Update
Sheffield United is called offside as Patrick Bamford is caught in an offside position.
82
Update Update
Foul committed by Jordan Thompson of Preston North End.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Daniel Iversen from Preston North End receives a yellow card.
82
Update Update
Patrick Bamford wins a free kick for Sheffield United in the defensive half.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sheffield United: Joe Rothwell comes on for Oliver Arblaster.
80
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Daniel Iversen of Preston North End.
79
Update Update
Sheffield United is called offside. Danny Ings is the player caught offside.
79
Update Update
Sheffield United is called offside. Danny Ings is the player caught offside.
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Preston North End lead 3-1 against Sheffield United. Lewis Dobbin scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, assisted by Alfie Devine's through ball during a fast break.
76
Attempt Attempt
Femi Seriki's left-footed shot from the right side of the box for Sheffield United is blocked. Oliver Arblaster provided the assist.
73
Update Update
Femi Seriki from Sheffield United wins a free kick on the right wing.
73
Update Update
Foul committed by Robert Brady of Preston North End.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Gustavo Hamer scores for Sheffield United with a right-footed penalty shot to the center of the goal. The match score is now Sheffield United 1, Preston North End 2.
70
Update Update
Sheffield United are awarded a penalty after Femi Seriki is fouled in the penalty area.
70
Update Update
Andrija Vukcevic of Preston North End concedes a penalty after committing a foul in the penalty area.
68
Update Update
Foul committed by Japhet Tanganga for Sheffield United.
68
Update Update
Lewis Dobbin from Preston North End wins a free kick in the defensive half.
64
Corner Corner
Sheffield United wins a corner after Andrija Vukcevic concedes.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Preston North End: Brad Potts comes on for Pol Valentín.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Preston North End: Robert Brady comes on for Thierry Small.
61
Update Update
Foul committed by Japhet Tanganga for Sheffield United.
61
Update Update
Liam Lindsay from Preston North End wins a free kick in the defensive half.
61
Corner Corner
Sheffield United win a corner after Liam Lindsay concedes.
60
Corner Corner
Sheffield United wins a corner after Pol Valentín concedes.
59
Corner Corner
Sheffield United win a corner after Andrija Vukcevic concedes.
58
Update Update
Foul by Andrija Vukcevic of Preston North End.
58
Update Update
Hare from Sheffield United wins a free kick in the defensive half.
56
Update Update
Danny Ings of Sheffield United misses an attempt with a header from the center of the box, sending it high and wide to the right. The cross was assisted by Sydie Peck.
55
Update Update
Pol Valentín's header from close range is blocked. Daniel Jebbison provided the assist with a headed pass.
55
Update Update
Daniel Jebbison's header from the right side of the six-yard box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Alfie Devine's cross.
54
Corner Corner
Preston North End win a corner after Adam Davies concedes.
54
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Lewis Dobbin's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Adam Davies. The assist came from Daniel Jebbison.
54
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sheffield United: Danny Ings comes on for Tahith Chong.
52
Corner Corner
Sheffield United win a corner after Andrew Moran concedes.
52
Attempt Attempt
Hare from Sheffield United has a right-footed shot from the center of the box that is blocked. The assist came from Oliver Arblaster.
50
Update Update
Foul committed by Jordan Thompson of Preston North End.
50
Update Update
Hare from Sheffield United wins a free kick in the defensive half.
49
Update Update
Alfie Devine from Preston North End wins a free kick in the defensive half.
47
Attempt Attempt
Tahith Chong's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Sydie Peck.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Sheffield United trailing Preston North End 0-2.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 3 minutes of added time.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sheffield United: Harrison Burrows comes on for Leo Hjelde.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Sheffield United 0, Preston North End 2.
41
Update Update
Foul committed by Pol Valentín of Preston North End.
41
Update Update
Andrew Moran from Preston North End wins a free kick in the defensive half.
41
Update Update
Hare from Sheffield United wins a free kick in the defensive half.
41
Update Update
Foul committed by Patrick Bamford of Sheffield United.
39
Update Update
Foul committed by Jordan Thompson of Preston North End.
39
Update Update
Hare from Sheffield United wins a free kick in the attacking half.
38
Update Update
Foul committed by Gustavo Hamer of Sheffield United.
38
Update Update
Alfie Devine from Preston North End wins a free kick in the defensive half.
36
Attempt Attempt
Jordan Thompson's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Thierry Small provided the assist with a cross.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Preston North End after a concession by Mark McGuinness.
35
Corner Corner
Preston North End win a corner after Mark McGuinness concedes.
33
Corner Corner
Sheffield United wins a corner after Pol Valentín concedes.
32
Update Update
Hare from Sheffield United wins a free kick in the defensive half.
32
Update Update
Foul committed by Andrija Vukcevic of Preston North End.
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Andrija Vukcevic of Preston North End receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
31
Update Update
Jordan Thompson from Preston North End wins a free kick in the attacking half.
31
Update Update
Femi Seriki commits a foul for Sheffield United.
29
Update Update
Jordan Thompson of Preston North End wins a free kick on the right wing.
28
Update Update
Foul by Tahith Chong of Sheffield United.
28
Update Update
Andrija Vukcevic from Preston North End wins a free kick in the attacking half.
27
Attempt Attempt
Sydie Peck from Sheffield United misses a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it close but to the right. Tahith Chong provided the assist.
25
Update Update
Alfie Devine from Preston North End wins a free kick in the defensive half.
25
Update Update
Foul committed by Gustavo Hamer of Sheffield United.
25
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Andrew Moran from Preston North End has a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the center of the goal by Adam Davies from Sheffield United. The assist came from Alfie Devine.
24
Update Update
Sheffield United is called offside as Patrick Bamford is caught in an offside position.
23
Update Update
Foul by Andrija Vukcevic of Preston North End.
23
Update Update
Tahith Chong wins a free kick for Sheffield United on the right wing.
20
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Preston North End lead 2-0 against Sheffield United. Liam Lindsay scores with a header from the left side of the six-yard box into the bottom left corner, assisted by Alfie Devine's cross after a corner.
19
Corner Corner
Preston North End win a corner after Femi Seriki concedes.
16
Update Update
Oliver Arblaster from Sheffield United wins a free kick in the attacking half.
16
Update Update
Foul committed by Jordan Thompson of Preston North End.
16
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Oliver Arblaster from Sheffield United.
16
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jordan Thompson from Preston North End receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
15
Update Update
Alfie Devine from Preston North End wins a free kick in the defensive half.
15
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Hamer's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
14
Update Update
Tahith Chong of Sheffield United wins a free kick in the attacking half.
10
Corner Corner
Sheffield United win a corner after Liam Lindsay concedes.
9
Update Update
Andrew Moran from Preston North End wins a free kick in the defensive half.
9
Update Update
Foul committed by Leo Hjelde of Sheffield United.
9
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Adam Davies from Sheffield United saves a left-footed shot from the center of the box by Thierry Small of Preston North End, directed towards the top left corner. The assist was provided by Andrew Moran.
8
Corner Corner
Sheffield United win a corner after Jordan Thompson concedes.
7
Attempt Attempt
Hare from Sheffield United takes a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's just a bit too high. He was assisted by Tahith Chong.
7
Corner Corner
Preston North End win a corner after Mark McGuinness concedes.
7
Attempt Attempt
Hare from Sheffield United takes a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's just a bit too high. The assist comes from Tahith Chong.
5
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Preston North End take the lead 1-0 against Sheffield United. Liam Lindsay scores with a header from the center of the box into the top left corner, assisted by Jordan Thompson's cross after a corner.
2
Corner Corner
Preston North End win a corner after Mark McGuinness concedes.
2
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Jebbison's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Andrew Moran provided the assist.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Preston North End exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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