Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Europa Conference League
AZ AZSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Shakhtar Donetsk and AZ has concluded as a 3-0 home victory in Leg 1 of 2 of their knockout tie. The first half ended even at 0-0, with the aggregate score entering the match at 0-0. Shakhtar Donetsk scored all three goals in the second half to take a commanding lead ahead of the return leg. Possession was nearly balanced at 51 percent for the home side and 49 percent for AZ.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Structural deviation was minimal at 3.5 percent favoring Shakhtar Donetsk.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with expectations.
- xG alignment: xG alignment is unavailable due to missing xG data.
- Market alignment: Market alignment holds true for the observed outcome.
- xG expectations: xG expectations cannot be assessed given null xG values.
- Event impact: Second-half scoring created decisive event impact for the 3-0 result.
- Red card distortion: Red card distortion is absent with zero cards issued.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
N. Walsh
Other match officials
D. McFarlane
2nd Assistant
D. Robertson
4th Official
F. Connor
1st Assistant


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZMovement
Changes since opening
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZTeam Power Ranking
i
74.2
73.31
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Shakhtar Donetsk ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Shakhtar Donetsk ⚠ Proxy
Shakhtar Donetsk AZ
Shakhtar Donetsk AZ
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk AZ


Shakhtar Donetsk AZ


Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-04-10T00:01:49+00:00
STARTING XI
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General Information
Next Match

Shakhtar Donetsk
vs

LNZ Cherkasy
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Mon, 13 Apr - 10:00 AM
Venue: Away

AZ
vs

SC Heerenveen
League: Eredivisie
Kickoff: Sun, 12 Apr - 2:45 PM
Venue: Home
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Shakhtar DonetskManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼







AZManager ▼

Starting XI ▼















Substitutes ▼




Bench ▼








Events
CONCLUSION
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
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Match Commentary