Sevilla vs Real Madrid Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga, Spain

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Sun, 17 May - 5:00 PM

La Liga

Sevilla SEV

Real Madrid RMA

KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 5:00 PM

Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sevilla host Real Madrid in La Liga (Regular Season) at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Domestically, Sevilla sit 11th in the table while Real Madrid are 2th. Power ranking favours Real Madrid by 17.8 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

Structural: Real Madrid holds a 17.8-point power advantage over Sevilla with a score of 92.52 versus 74.73.
Form: Sevilla boasts a higher form score of 34.28 compared to Real Madrid's 22.17.
Squad: Real Madrid sits 2nd in La Liga while Sevilla is 11th, highlighting squad depth disparity.
Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
Transition: Limited transition play metrics provided in current analysis.
Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
xVariable: No xG or advanced variable data accessible for this matchup.
Market: Sevilla 30.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.7% (Δ+0%) | Real Madrid 42.9% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

L. García Plaza

Á. Arbeloa Coca

1.13

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.04

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

11 - 3 - 31

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Sevilla

30.43%

Draw

26.71%

Real Madrid

42.86%

Team Power Ranking

74.73

92.52

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Sevilla

Real Madrid

Power Score

74.73

92.52

League Position

Global Rank

120

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Sevilla — Opponent-weighted form score

Real Madrid — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sevilla Real Madrid

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 45 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sevilla SEV Home

45 matches

Real Madrid RMA Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

113

Goals Conceded

-50

Goal Difference

+50

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:07:24+00:00

STARTING XI

1 O. Vlachodimos

3 C. Azpilicueta Tanco

4 Kike Salas

12 G. Suazo Urbina

2 José Ángel Carmona

36 J. Martínez Gauna

11 R. Vargas

18 L. Agoume

20 D. Sow

9 A. Adams

17 N. Maupay

1 T. Courtois

20 F. García Torres

22 A. Rüdiger

17 R. Asencio del Rosario

12 T. Alexander-Arnold

5 J. Bellingham

6 E. Camavinga

14 A. Tchouaméni

21 B. Abdelkader Diaz

7 V. Júnior

16 G. García Torres

General Information

Date & Time :

May 17, 2026, 05:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Capacity :

42714

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Lineup

Manager ▼

L. García Plaza Coach

Starting XI ▼

Odysseas Vlachodimos Goalkeeper

6.75

José Ángel Carmona Defender

6.67

César Azpilicueta Defender

6.82

Kike Salas Defender

6.94

Gabriel Suazo Defender

6.89

Oso Defender

6.82

Rubén Vargas Midfielder

6.86

Lucien Agoumé Midfielder

6.84

Djibril Sow Midfielder

6.82

Akor Adams Attacker

6.83

Neal Maupay Attacker

6.8

Manager ▼

Á. Arbeloa Coca Coach

Starting XI ▼

Thibaut Courtois Goalkeeper

6.81

Trent Alexander-Arnold Defender

6.96

Raúl Asencio Defender

6.82

Fran García Defender

6.77

Antonio Rüdiger Defender

6.77

Jude Bellingham Midfielder

7.32

Eduardo Camavinga Midfielder

6.98

Aurélien Tchouaméni Midfielder

7.2

Brahim Díaz Midfielder

6.81

Vinicius Junior Attacker

7.34

Gonzalo García Attacker

6.69

CONCLUSION

Real Madrid's overwhelming power score and league standing position them as favorites to secure victory away at Sevilla, where the hosts' slightly better form offers faint hope but little else. The 17.8-point gap in underlying strength suggests Madrid will control possession and create superior chances, leveraging their top-tier squad against Sevilla's mid-table setup. Home advantage at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán may fuel defensive resilience, yet Real Madrid's quality should prevail in key moments. Without detailed set-piece or efficiency insights, the focus remains on Madrid's dominance. This matchup pits grit against grandeur, with the visitors poised to extend their strong campaign.

Sevilla vs Real Madrid preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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STANDINGS

CONTEXT