Sevilla vs Espanyol Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Sat, 9 May - 2:15 PM
La Liga
Sevilla SEV
2 Winner 1
Espanyol ESY
Full Time Sat, 9 May 2:15 PM
Round 35 Regular Season
Akor Adams - 90+1'
Andrés Castrín - 82'
Goal
|
Goal
Tyrhys Dolan - 56'

CONTEXT

Sevilla clinched a hard-fought 2-1 win against Espanyol, overcoming a goalless first half where the score stood at 0-0. The home team asserted dominance early, holding 65% possession compared to Espanyol's 35%, yet struggled to convert chances initially. The second half proved decisive, with Sevilla scoring twice to secure victory while Espanyol responded with a single goal. As the pre-designated stronger side, Sevilla's performance exhibited a significant 52.9% structural deviation in their favor, underscoring their control despite the tight margin. No red cards marred the contest, allowing uninterrupted play, and team efficiencies aligned with typical benchmarks. This result reflects Sevilla's tactical edge and resilience, turning possession into points effectively. Espanyol showed fight but couldn't overturn the possession disparity. The match highlighted Sevilla's second-half adjustments, though no specific tactical shifts were noted, maintaining a fluid structure throughout.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sevilla's 2-1 win featured a significant 52.9% structural deviation in their favor.
  • Efficiency shift: Both teams' efficiencies stayed in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevented alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No major events like adjustments or reds influenced the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant zero distortion to the game's structure.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

Javier Alberola Rojas

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

N. Holgueras Castellanos

4th Official

Spain

A. Rodríguez Moreno

1st Assistant

Spain

J. Bueno Mateo

2nd Assistant

Spain

League averages

La Liga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.51
Yellow cards / match 4.04
Red cards / match 0.22
Penalties / match 0.29
Sevilla L. García Plaza
L. García Plaza
VS
Espanyol J. González Álvarez
J. González Álvarez
0.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Sociedad Rank: 81 W
Osasuna Rank: 77 L
Levante Rank: 73 L
Atlético Madrid Rank: 88 W
Real Oviedo Rank: 71 L
Valencia Rank: 77 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Madrid Rank: 93 L
Levante Rank: 73 D
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 75 L
FC Barcelona Rank: 97 L
Real Betis Rank: 82 D
Getafe Rank: 76 L
23
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
23 - 10 - 9
9

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sevilla
47.11%
Draw
28.97%
Away Espanyol
23.92%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sevilla
-48.96%
Draw
+25.24%
Espanyol
+23.73%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
73.96
72.62
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sevilla
Espanyol
Power Score
73.96
72.62
League Position
12
15
Global Rank
133
150

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sevilla — Opponent-weighted form score
Espanyol — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sevilla Espanyol

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sevilla

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Espanyol

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sevilla ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Espanyol
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.92
32.43
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.43
34.92
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sevilla +0.23 Efficiency Index
vs
Espanyol -0.23 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sevilla
Espanyol
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sevilla ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Espanyol
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sevilla Espanyol
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sevilla Espanyol
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sevilla
Espanyol
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sevilla
vs
Espanyol
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sevilla Espanyol
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sevilla 0.62
Espanyol 0.37
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sevilla Espanyol
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sevilla 0.04
Espanyol 0.06
Sevilla
Espanyol
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SEV had peak pressure around 52'.
  • ESY started the game with stronger pressure.
SEV Pressure ESY Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SEV reached the top pressure at 52' (84.25).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 42 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sevilla SEV Home
42 matches
Espanyol ESY Away
Match Record
23
Wins
9
10
Draws
10
9
Losses
23
Goals
80
Goals Scored
54
54
Goals Conceded
80
+26
Goal Difference
-26

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:03:14+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
O. Vlachodimos
Greece
1 O. Vlachodimos
José Ángel Carmona
Substitution
Spain
2 José Ángel Carmona
A. López Gallo
Spain
32 A. López Gallo
Kike Salas
Spain
4 Kike Salas
G. Suazo Urbina
Substitution
Chile
12 G. Suazo Urbina
R. Vargas
Substitution
Switzerland
11 R. Vargas
L. Agoume
Substitution
France
18 L. Agoume
N. Gudelj
Serbia
6 N. Gudelj
C. Ejuke
Nigeria
21 C. Ejuke
N. Maupay
France
17 N. Maupay
I. Romero Bernal
Substitution
Spain
7 I. Romero Bernal
Pitch
M. Dmitrović
Serbia
13 M. Dmitrović
C. Romero Serrano
Substitution
Spain
22 C. Romero Serrano
L. Cabrera Sasía
Uruguay
6 L. Cabrera Sasía
F. Calero Villa
Spain
5 F. Calero Villa
O. El Hilali
Morocco
23 O. El Hilali
E. Expósito Jaén
Substitution
Spain
8 E. Expósito Jaén
U. González de Zarate Quirós
Spain
4 U. González de Zarate Quirós
T. Dolan
England
24 T. Dolan
R. Terrats Espacio
Substitution
Spain
14 R. Terrats Espacio
Rubén Sáez
Substitution
Spain
2 Rubén Sáez
R. Fernández Jaén
Substitution
Spain
9 R. Fernández Jaén

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Capacity :
42714
Attendance :
39086
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Néstor Holgueras Castellanos
Alfredo Rodríguez Moreno
Javier Alberola Rojas
Jorge Bueno Mateo

Statistics

Possession
SEV
61%
ESY
39%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 0
7 Shots 3
34 Dangerous attacks 27
65 Possession 35
4 Corners 6
17 Free kicks 14
5 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

2 Assists 1
17 Successful Headers 17
6 Goal Kicks 8
9 Successful Dribbles 4
13 Dribble Attempts 9
69 Successful Dribbles Percentage 44
8 Goal Attempts 7
21 Throwins 18
65 Ball Safe 67
6 Substitutions 5

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 0
102 Attacks 84

Possession

78 Successful Passes Percentage 59
333 Successful Passes 135
73 Long Passes 68
16 Key Passes 5
28 Successful Long Passes 26
38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38
428 Passes 229

Defensive

14 Interceptions 11
57 Duels Won 45
4 Saves 4
20 Tackles 12

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 3
22 Total Crosses 17

Discipline

14 Fouls 17
4 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Javier Alberola Rojas

Starting XI ▼

1
Odysseas Vlachodimos
Odysseas Vlachodimos Goalkeeper
2
José Ángel Carmona
José Ángel Carmona Defender
16
Juanlu Sánchez
Juanlu Sánchez
Midfielder64'
4
Kike Salas
Kike Salas Defender
12
Gabriel Suazo
Gabriel Suazo Defender
36
Oso
Oso
Defender64'
32
Andrés Castrín
Andrés Castrín Defender
6
Nemanja Gudelj
Nemanja Gudelj Midfielder
11
Rubén Vargas
Rubén Vargas Midfielder
9
Akor Adams
Akor Adams
Attacker75'
18
Lucien Agoumé
Lucien Agoumé Midfielder
20
Djibril Sow
Djibril Sow
Midfielder58'
21
Chidera Ejuke
Chidera Ejuke Midfielder
7
Isaac Romero
Isaac Romero Attacker
10
Alexis Sánchez
Alexis Sánchez
Attacker46'
17
Neal Maupay
Neal Maupay Attacker
Referee : Javier Alberola Rojas

Starting XI ▼

13
Marko Dmitrovic
Marko Dmitrovic Goalkeeper
5
Fernando Calero
Fernando Calero Defender
6
Ludovic Taillandier
Ludovic Taillandier Defender
22
Carlos Romero
Carlos Romero Defender
12
José Salinas
José Salinas
Defender75'
23
Omar El Hilali
Omar El Hilali Defender
2
Rubén Sánchez
Rubén Sánchez Midfielder
18
Charles Pickel
Charles Pickel
Midfielder66'
4
Urko González de Zárate
Urko González de Zárate Midfielder
8
Edu Expósito
Edu Expósito Midfielder
10
Pol Lozano
Pol Lozano
Midfielder83'
14
Ramón Terrats
Ramón Terrats Midfielder
17
Jofre Carreras
Jofre Carreras
Attacker75'
24
Tyrhys Dolan
Tyrhys Dolan Midfielder
9
Roberto Fernández
Roberto Fernández Attacker
19
Kike García
Kike García
Attacker83'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+11'
Event
Charles Pickel
Argument / 10th Yellowcard
Event
Andrés Castrín
Argument / 9th Yellowcard
90+9'
90+9'
Event
Fernando Calero
Argument / 8th Yellowcard
Event
Akor Adams
7th Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Akor Adams
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+1'
90+1'
Event
Omar El Hilali
Time wasting / 6th Yellowcard
83'
Event
Pol Lozano → Edu Expósito
10th Substitution
83'
Event
Kike García → Roberto Fernández
9th Substitution
Event
Andrés Castrín
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
82'
Event
Akor Adams → Rubén Vargas
6th Substitution
75'
75'
Event
José Salinas → Carlos Romero
8th Substitution
75'
Event
Jofre Carreras → Ramón Terrats
7th Substitution
Event
Djibril Sow
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
73'
Event
Rubén Vargas
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
73'
73'
Event
Tyrhys Dolan
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
66'
Event
Charles Pickel → Rubén Sánchez
5th Substitution
Event
Juanlu Sánchez → José Ángel Carmona
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Oso → Gabriel Suazo
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
José Ángel Carmona
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
61'
Event
Djibril Sow → Lucien Agoumé
2nd Substitution
58'
56'
Event
Tyrhys Dolan
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Alexis Sánchez
Goal disallowed
48'
Event
Alexis Sánchez → Isaac Romero
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
26'
Event
Urko González de Zárate
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

45
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Gabriel Suazo from Sevilla.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Sevilla and Espanyol tied at 0-0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 2 minutes of added time.
45
Update Update
Handball by Rubén Sánchez of Espanyol.
45
Attempt Attempt
Kike Salas from Sevilla missed a chance, shooting with his left foot from the center of the box to the left.
45
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Roberto Fernández of Espanyol.
45
Attempt Attempt
Nemanja Gudelj of Sevilla had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box, but it went close and missed. Kike Salas provided the assist with a header.
45
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Marko Dmitrovic from Espanyol.
44
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Rubén Sánchez concedes.
43
Update Update
Chidera Ejuke of Sevilla won a free kick on the left wing.
43
Update Update
Omar El Hilali of Espanyol commits a foul.
42
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Rubén Vargas of Sevilla takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the top center of the goal by Marko Dmitrovic of Espanyol. The assist comes from José Ángel Carmona.
39
Update Update
Ramon Terrats from Espanyol commits a foul.
39
Update Update
Rubén Vargas won a free kick for Sevilla in an attacking position.
38
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucien Agoumé against Sevilla.
38
Update Update
Ramon Terrats of Espanyol won a free kick in defense.
37
Update Update
Foul committed by Isaac Romero of Sevilla.
37
Update Update
Carlos Romero of Espanyol was awarded a free kick in defense.
33
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Fernando Calero of Espanyol.
32
Update Update
Isaac Romero fouled a player from Sevilla.
32
Update Update
Fernando Calero from Espanyol won a free kick on the right wing.
29
Update Update
Gabriel Suazo of Sevilla won a free kick in defense.
29
Update Update
Isaac Romero fouled a player from Sevilla.
29
Update Update
Edu Expósito from Espanyol won a free kick in defense.
29
Update Update
Fouled by Rubén Sánchez of Espanyol.
28
Update Update
Kike Salas from Sevilla won a free kick in defense.
28
Update Update
Roberto Fernández from Espanyol committed a foul.
27
Attempt Attempt
Nemanja Gudelj's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
27
Attempt Attempt
Rubén Vargas from Sevilla has a shot blocked. He attempted a right-footed shot from outside the box, assisted by Isaac Romero.
26
Update Update
Chidera Ejuke of Sevilla won a free kick in defense.
26
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Urko González de Zárate from Espanyol receives a yellow card for a foul.
26
Update Update
Urko González de Zárate from Espanyol committed a foul.
25
Corner Corner
Edu Expósito from Espanyol attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from the right side of the box, but Odysseas Vlachodimos from Sevilla makes a save in the right corner.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Espanyol after being conceded by Odysseas Vlachodimos.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Espanyol after Gabriel Suazo concedes.
21
Update Update
Foul committed by Chidera Ejuke against Sevilla.
21
Update Update
Edu Expósito from Espanyol won a free kick on the right wing.
19
Update Update
Odysseas Vlachodimos of Sevilla won a free kick in defense.
19
Update Update
Foul committed by Tyrhys Dolan against Espanyol.
16
Update Update
Roberto Fernández of Espanyol won a free kick in the attacking area.
16
Update Update
Andrés Castrín from Sevilla commits a foul.
15
Attempt Attempt
Kike Salas's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Rubén Vargas with a cross.
14
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Omar El Hilali concedes it.
13
Update Update
Neal Maupay of Sevilla won a free kick on the left wing.
13
Update Update
Foul committed by Edu Expósito of Espanyol.
10
Attempt Attempt
Rubén Vargas's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Neal Maupay provided the assist.
10
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Leandro Cabrera concedes.
6
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Nemanja Gudelj from Sevilla shot with his left foot from outside the box but missed.
6
Attempt Attempt
Neal Maupay of Sevilla attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box, but it's saved in the top center of the goal by Marko Dmitrovic of Espanyol. The assist comes from Nemanja Gudelj.
5
Update Update
Leandro Cabrera's header from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Edu Expósito's cross.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Espanyol after Kike Salas concedes.
5
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Carlos Romero of Espanyol took a left-footed shot from over 35 yards after a corner, but it went high.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Espanyol after Lucien Agoumé concedes.
2
Attempt Attempt
Kike Salas from Sevilla has a left-footed shot from the left side of the box that is blocked.
2
Update Update
Neal Maupay of Sevilla is flagged for offside.
1
Update Update
Handball by Tyrhys Dolan for Espanyol.

CONCLUSION

Sevilla's 2-1 triumph over Espanyol validates their status as the stronger outfit, capitalizing on superior possession to deliver in the second half after a 0-0 halftime stalemate. The significant structural deviation of 52.9% highlights their outperformance, while market alignment confirms the result's predictability. With efficiencies on track and no disruptive events, the win stems from sustained pressure and clinical finishing. Espanyol's resilience yielded a goal but couldn't bridge the gap. This performance bolsters Sevilla's momentum, exposing Espanyol's vulnerabilities under pressure. Overall, the match exemplifies how possession dominance translates to victory when executed sharply.

Sevilla vs Espanyol preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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