Servette vs Winterthur Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stade de Genève Sun, 26 Apr - 2:30 PM
Super League Servette Servette 
5 
3
3
Winterthur Winterthur Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 2:30 PM
Relegation Round
Thomas Lopes - 62'
Steve Rouiller - 50'
Florian Ayé - 29'
Miroslav Stevanovic - 25', 21'
|
Alexandre Jankewitz - 51'
Nishan Burkart - 39', 32'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation
Data last checked: May 15
CONTEXT
In an exhilarating Swiss Super League clash, Servette defeated Winterthur 5-3 at home, capping a goal-fest that captivated fans. The halftime score stood at 3-2 for Servette, with both sides trading blows in a frenetic opening period. Winterthur edged possession 52% to 48%, yet Servette's sharper finishing proved decisive, as they netted two more in the second half while conceding just one. Identified pre-match as the stronger team, Servette's performance showed minimal structural deviation, staying true to expectations without any red cards to alter the flow. The absence of major second-half adjustments allowed natural game momentum to prevail, highlighting Servette's clinical edge upfront. This victory bolsters their campaign, exposing Winterthur's defensive vulnerabilities in a match defined by attacking flair.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Structural deviation was minimal at 2.2% favoring Servette.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match assessments.
- xG alignment: xG alignment assessment unavailable due to missing data.
- Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed as Servette, the stronger team, prevailed.
- xG expectations: xG expectations unmeasurable without available metrics.
- Event impact: No events or adjustments significantly influenced the outcome.
- Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, avoiding any match distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
J. Gourvennec
VS
P. Rahmen
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.7
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Young Boys Rank: D
Luzern Rank: W
Grasshopper Rank: W
Basel Rank: L
Zürich Rank: W
Winterthur Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grasshopper Rank: L
Lausanne Sport Rank: L
Basel Rank: L
Luzern Rank: W
Sion Rank: D
Servette Rank: D
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 5 - 2
2
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) Servette65.59%
Draw
17.99%
Winterthur16.42%
Movement
Changes since opening Servette-32.25%
Draw
+16.07%
Winterthur+16.18%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
25.6 14.56 0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Servette WinterthurPower Score
25.6
14.56
League Position
8
12
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Servette — Opponent-weighted form score
Winterthur — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Servette Winterthur
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Servette
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Winterthur
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Servette ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Winterthur
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Servette Winterthur Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Servette Winterthur Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Servette
Winterthur
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Servettevs
Winterthur
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Servette Winterthur Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Servette 0.00
Winterthur 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Servette Winterthur Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Servette 0.00
Winterthur 0.00
Servette
Winterthur
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- Servette had peak pressure around 13'.
- Servette started the game with stronger pressure.
Servette Pressure Winterthur Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Servette reached the top pressure at 13' (88.40).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Servette Servette Home
14 matches
Winterthur Winterthur Away
Match Record 7
Wins
2
5
Draws
5
2
Losses
7
Goals 24
Goals Scored
16
16
Goals Conceded
24
+8
Goal Difference
-8
Data last updated: 2026-04-26T14:02:42+00:00
STARTING XI
Servette Winterthur Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
32 J. Frick
H. Mendes
#1760'
2 L. Srdanovic
4 S. Rouiller
15 M. Burch
18 B. Mazikou
G. Ondoua
#589'
11 L. Fomba
28 D. Douline
J. Guillemenot
#2173'
36 T. Lopes
2
9 M. Stevanović
L. Njoh
#1489'
10 J. Kadile
S. Mráz
#9073'
97 F. Aye
1 S. Kapino
B. Dansoko
#1138'
21 L. Lüthi
5 L. Mühl
16 R. Arnold
L. Maksutaj
#3580'
3 R. Smith
A. Durrer
#2246'
7 L. Zuffi
45 A. Jankewitz
27 F. Rohner
8 T. Golliard
2
P. Kasami
#2369'
99 N. Burkart
A. Hunziker
#1746'
9 R. Buess
General Information
📅 Date & Time :
Apr 26, 2026, 02:30 PM
🏆 Competition :
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Relegation Round
🏟️ Stadium :
Stade de Genève
👥 Capacity :
30084
🌱 Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️ Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️ Referees :
Pascal Hirzel
Johannes von Mandach
N. Tuberosa
Zrinko Prskalo
Next Match
Servette
vs
Grasshopper
League: Super League
Kickoff: Sun, 3 May - 2:30 PM
Venue: Stadion Letzigrund
Winterthur
vs
Zürich
League: Super League
Kickoff: Sat, 2 May - 4:00 PM
Venue: Stadion Schützenwiese
Statistics
Possession
Servette
52%
Winterthur
48%
Top Statistics
5 Goals 3
5 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 4
64 Dangerous attacks 38
48 Possession 52
4 Corners 4
5 Free kicks 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
Match Overview
2 Hit Woodwork 0
14 Successful Dribbles 6
6 Goal Kicks 9
26 Throwins 18
18 Ball Safe 16
2 Goal Attempts 0
61 Successful Dribbles Percentage 30
23 Dribble Attempts 20
3 Assists 2
5 Substitutions 5
Attacking
3 Big Chances Missed 0
106 Attacks 95
Possession
20 Key Passes 5
402 Passes 450
88 Successful Passes Percentage 81
352 Successful Passes 365
37 Long Passes 58
21 Successful Long Passes 29
57 Successful Long Passes Percentage 50
Defensive
5 Interceptions 7
2 Saves 7
20 Tackles 22
Build-up
25 Total Crosses 7
10 Accurate Crosses 2
Discipline
2 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 5
Lineup
Servette Referee : Johannes von Mandach
Manager ▼
J. Gourvennec Coach
Starting XI ▼
32 Jérémy Frick Goalkeeper
6.152 Loun Srdanovic Defender
6.817Houboulang Mendes
6.61Defender60'
4 Steve Rouiller Defender
15 Marco Burch Defender
6.5918 Bradley Mazikou Defender
6.839 Miroslav Stevanovic Midfielder
2
7.310 Junior Kadile Midfielder
7.6214Lilian Njoh
7Defender89'
11 Lamine Fomba Midfielder
6.675Gaël Ondoua
Midfielder89'
6.27
28 David Douline Midfielder
6.9836 Thomas Lopes Midfielder
21Jérémy Guillemenot
6.93Attacker73'
97 Florian Ayé Attacker
90Samuel Mraz
6.8Attacker73'
Substitutes ▼
17Houboulang Mendes
6.61Defender60'
21Jérémy Guillemenot
6.93Attacker73'
90Samuel Mraz
6.8Attacker73'
5Gaël Ondoua
Midfielder89'
6.27
14Lilian Njoh
7Defender89'
Bench ▼
44 Louis Rieder Goalkeeper
7 Giotto Morandi Midfielder
6.5738 Malek Ishuayed Attacker
6.4539 Miguel Mardochée Attacker
6.4 Winterthur Referee : Johannes von Mandach
Manager ▼
P. Rahmen Coach
Starting XI ▼
1 Stefanos Kapino Goalkeeper
6.985 Lukas Mühl Defender
6.6916 Remo Arnold Defender
6.4721 Loïc Lüthi Defender
6.6111Bafode Dansoko
6.67Attacker38'
3 Rhodri Smith Midfielder
6.3835Leandro Maksutaj
6.29Midfielder80'
7 Luca Zuffi Midfielder
6.6922Adrian Durrer
6.62Midfielder46'
27 Fabian Rohner Midfielder
6.57
45 Alexandre Jankewitz Midfielder
8 Théo Golliard Attacker
6.869 Roman Buess Attacker
6.6917Andrin Hunziker
6.98Attacker46'
99 Nishan Burkart Attacker
2
6.7923Pajtim Kasami
6.81Midfielder69'
Substitutes ▼
11Bafode Dansoko
6.67Attacker38'
22Adrian Durrer
6.62Midfielder46'
17Andrin Hunziker
6.98Attacker46'
23Pajtim Kasami
6.81Midfielder69'
35Leandro Maksutaj
6.29Midfielder80'
Bench ▼
75 Antonio Spagnoli Goalkeeper
18 Souleymane Diaby Defender
6.4933 Tibault Citherlet Defender
6.46 Emmanuel Essiam Midfielder
6.73Events
2ND-HALF
Gaël Ondoua
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
90+1'
Gaël Ondoua → Lamine Fomba
10th Substitution
89'
Lilian Njoh → Junior Kadile
9th Substitution
89'
82'
Fabian Rohner
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
80'
Leandro Maksutaj → Rhodri Smith
8th Substitution
Jérémy Guillemenot → Thomas Lopes
6th Substitution
73'
Samuel Mraz → Florian Ayé
7th Substitution
73'
69'
Pajtim Kasami → Nishan Burkart
5th Substitution
Thomas Lopes
Left foot shot / 8th Goal
62'
Houboulang Mendes → Loun Srdanovic
4th Substitution
60'
51'
Alexandre Jankewitz
Right foot shot / 7th Goal
Steve Rouiller
Header / 6th Goal
50'
46'
Adrian Durrer → Luca Zuffi
2nd Substitution
46'
Andrin Hunziker → Roman Buess
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
39'
Nishan Burkart
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
38'
Bafode Dansoko → Loïc Lüthi
1st Substitution
32'
Nishan Burkart
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Florian Ayé
Header / 3rd Goal
29'
Miroslav Stevanovic
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
25'
Miroslav Stevanovic
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
21'
CONCLUSION
Servette's commanding 5-3 win over Winterthur exemplified their offensive potency in a thriller that ended 3-2 at halftime. Despite Winterthur's narrow possession advantage, Servette capitalized ruthlessly, extending their lead post-interval. This result aligns seamlessly with pre-match views of Servette as the superior side, featuring minimal deviation and no disruptive elements like red cards. The clean sheet on discipline preserved football's essence, rewarding Servette's efficiency. Winterthur's resilience yielded three goals but couldn't mask defensive lapses. This outcome strengthens Servette's league position, providing momentum, while prompting Winterthur to refine strategies against top attacks.
Servette vs Winterthur preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
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